The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Sunday - April 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (11/8/9/12/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $92.74 $92.74 82.74
KEE-2   Win (4/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $16.60 -8.00
KEE-3   Win (7/1/4/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $5.28 -10.00
KEE-4   Win (9/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $9.42 $9.42 1.42
KEE-5   Win (4/11/1/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $6.14 $6.14 -3.86
KEE-6   Win (5/6/7/8/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $4.46 $4.46 -5.54
KEE-7   Win (8/12/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $17.50 -8.00
KEE-8   Win (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.58 $5.58 -0.42
KEE-9   Win (8/2/6/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $20.68 -10.00

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/07/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:222 :454       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  THE QUEENS M G 11 11 1nk     1nk 1nk (acevedo israel)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 20.00 5% 19.00 45.37 W
11  WEST MEMORIAL 10 7 2nk     2nk 2nk (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 43% 1.30 3.31 P
10  ISLAND RIDE 9 3 4     48 311 (ennis john)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 17.69  
IMAGE OF ME 7 5 32     36 411¾ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 11% 8.00 1.02  
WHATINTHELITERAL 2 1 9     610 512½ (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 5.93  
LOOKATMYBUCKLE 3 4 54     5 612¾ (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00 ######  
POUNDS IN TOWN 1 2 108     813 715¼ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 42.97  
BAYTOWN CLEOPATRA 4 6 6     711½ 816¾ (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00 5.73  
RUN CAMILA RUN 5 8 7     914 921¾ (decker anna)LEBRON VICTOR 119 30.00 26.43  
STREET LASS 6 10 1110     1016½ 1022¼ (chapma)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 5% 19.00 48.59  
LA MEDUSA 8 9 8     1117½ 1127½ (fernandez kel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 5% 19.00 ######  
SCR  BAYTOWN STORM               (mcentee paul)MONCADA IRVING 109 4.50    
SCR  MISTY SUNDAY               (chapman james)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
SCR  SWEET KAUFY               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00    
 
KEE-2   04/07/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:23 :462 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOCUS (GB) 1 5 11 12   13 1 (thompson michae)CANNON DECLAN 124 30.00 7.30  
SUPREMELY 3 4 3 22   23 2 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 23% 3.30 2.43 P
TRUE JEDI 4 3 53 5   3 3 (sweezey kent)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50 38% 1.60 2.87 S
YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY 5 7 74 7   57 4 (rice adam)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 15.49  
J. P. RACE 7 6 63 45   6 5 (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 2.47  
ONCOMING TRAIN 6 2 4 3   47 6 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.00 6.43  
HALLOWEEN 2 1 21 6   7 717¼ (grubbs l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 15.00 10% 9.30 25.59  
SCR  PICO D'ORO               (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 2.50    
 
KEE-3   04/07/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3 ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:111     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARKSDALE 7 2 11 11   1 1 (walden willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 1.64  
GREAT RICHIE M 1 5 4 32   2 2 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 20% 4.10 8.21 P
11  NORTHERN CHILL 10 1 21 21   36 310 (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 10% 8.90 3.38 S
10  TIZZY INDY 9 6 8 98   511 413¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 9.45  
PRETTY FAST 6 3 31 4   4 515¼ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.50 35% 1.90 5.63  
NEWHART 4 10 1011¼ 1010½   916 617½ (stidham mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 15% 5.70 6.37  
ILLINI 3 8 6 53   613½ 718¾ (hughes byron )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00 28.99  
NOBLE GENTLEMAN 2 7 7 8   816 822¼ (demeritte larr)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 12.00 52.88  
MIDNIGHT STORMY 5 9 9 76   715 925¾ (minnock g)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 42.32  
FEAR AND LOATHING 8 4 5 6   1022 1046¾ (toye lin)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00 5% 19.00 52.09  
SCR  RULEROFTHEUNIVERSE               (rarick wade)ORTIZ L 120 3.00    
 
KEE-4   04/07/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:132 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANDED 8 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 11 1 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 34% 2.00 3.71 W
BEFRIENDED 5 8 6 41 31 21 2 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 12% 7.40 8.41 P
LITTLE JAMIE 6 5 2½ 5 5 4 3 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 17.16  
YES INDEED 3 7 5 62 6 6 4 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 6.59  
PRETTY ANA 7 1 4 2½ 4 5 5 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 11.65  
TWIRLING GOOD TIME 2 4 3 3½ 2½ 3 6 (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 28% 2.50 1.33  
FOURFIFTYSEVEN 4 3 7 7 75 7 711¼ (brownfield clau)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 30.00 52.81  
SING A LITTLE SONG 1 6 88 84 86 811¾ 814½ (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 5% 19.00 5.26  
SCR  PRINCESS MAYFAIR               (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 118 15.00    
 
KEE-5   04/07/2024 3630ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:214 :452 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN FOR THE HILLS 4 4 3.2 2nk   1 1 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 59% 0.70 2.07 W
11  HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES 10 8 7 73   53 2 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 8% 11.70 2.23 P
PEACOCK LASS 6 3 6 62   4 3 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 8.00 9.16  
HURRICANE DEBBIE 8 2 4¾ 4   3 4 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 9.13  
UP AND DOWN 1 7 1nk 1nk   2 54 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 8% 12.10 19.66 DH
12  ADMISSIBLE 11 11 11 104   8 54 (d'angelo fr)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 28.72 DH
HIDEKI 5 9 9 8   74 7 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 15.37  
PAMMY'S READY 7 10 10 94   9 85 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 20.00 35.70  
FRANGO ELECTRICO 3 5 5 5   6 9 (bahena is)DE CRUZ 118 30.00 ######  
AMERICAN ROCKETTE 9 12 125 125   11 10 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00 7.03  
14  DRIANA 12 1 8 114   12 11 (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 25.00  
BOUDOIR BURLESQUE 2 6 2nk 3.2   10 12 (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 20.00 56.65  
SCR  COVENANT LADY               (granitz anthony )CASTANON L 118 15.00    
SCR  ERNA               (matejka pavel)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
SCR  LAURA'S CHARM               (kerrick lacy)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  SECRET STATEMENT               (baker james)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
 
KEE-6   04/07/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:133 1:394   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIDAMARA 4 6 11 11 8 11 11 (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 24% 3.20 1.23 W
JUST BASKING 7 11 12 104 9 33 21 (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00 14% 6.20 38.17 P
12  CHILLED 11 3 63 62 7 43 3 (oliver victoria)ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00 26.59 S
13  MYSTICAL CHANT 12 7 3 3½ 2nk 21 4 (colebrook ben)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 9.54  
LETSTALKABOUTME 3 5 74 83 12 5 55 (green troy)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 27.33  
CLAIRE'S JETE 1 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 6 613 (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 9.70  
ENCOURAGEACHOTHER 8 9 8 7 5 9 714¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 9.01  
RESTLESS DREAMER 5 10 53 41 4¾ 7 814½ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 22% 3.50 6.71  
SICILIAN PRINCESS 2 4 4 5 6 8 916 (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 8.04  
10  AVA MOON PIE 9 8 10 12 10 1012¼ 1023 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 30.46  
11  YAY HOORAY 10 1 2½ 2nk 3½ 1114¾ 1137½ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 120 30.00 73.64  
JESSAMINE HILL 6 12 96 9 11 1218¾ 1239½ (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 16% 5.20 12.91  
SCR  FORESEEN               (arnold r)PANICI LUCA 120 12.00    
SCR  NEON ICON               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 120 15.00    
SCR  SPEED SHOPPER               (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 120 30.00    
SCR  SPIRITED               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
 
KEE-7   04/07/2024 3630ft TURF GOOD Palisades Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:213 :443 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANDOM (GB) 6 3 53 5   5 1¼ (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 7.75  
MANSA MUSA (IRE) 3 11 6 64   4 2¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00 15.86  
12  REFUEL 12 6 3½ 3½   1nk 31 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 24% 3.20 5.70 S
NO NAY METS (IRE) 4 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 4 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 22% 3.60 1.77  
MATTINGLY 1 5 4 4   6 5 (orseno joseph )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 30.00 17.27  
SILENT HEART 5 4 2nk 2nk   3.2 6 (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.23  
10  SHARDS 10 10 11 11   9 73 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 14.71  
MY BOY PRINCE 8 7 7 75   7 8 (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.50 29% 2.40 5.25  
11  ASPENITE 11 9 10 9   8 94 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 15.00 32.96  
COIN MINER 2 12 128 12   127 10 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 74.63  
CEEPEEGEE 7 8 9 10   106 115 (moquett ron)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 30.00 40.04  
COMMITTEE OF ONE 9 2 8 8   11 12 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 23.21  
SCR  SKETCH (IRE)               (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
SCR  WORKS FOR ME               (lee joseph)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 4.50    
 
KEE-8   04/07/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST MiddleGround Capital Beaumont Purse ($400K) 3 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:104     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DENIM AND PEARLS 1 3 3 32   1 1 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 15% 5.80 1.79 W
HARBOR SPRINGS 2 4 4 44   37 2 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 8.71  
YOUALMOSTHADME 6 1 21 21   2 312¼ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.00 50% 1.00 1.07 S
CHI CHI 4 5 65 6   49 414 (wilensky sam)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 31.53  
TIPSY TAMMY 3 6 55 54   614 522¼ (bauer a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 15% 5.90 4.29  
VICOUNTESS 5 2 11 11   512 625¼ (beattie m)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 33.53  
 
KEE-9   04/07/2024 5280ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:224 :474 1:122 1:241   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTIFIABLE BELLE 9 4 4 42 32 2 1 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 9.34  
TITUBA 2 5 1½ 1½ 2nk 1 2 (maker micha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 5% 18.60 3.81 P
SAKE (FR) 5 3 7 6 54 43 32 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.99 S
BAG LADY 3 7 8 9 75 56 4 (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 13.39  
HOLY FOLEY 7 10 107 10 10 8 5 (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 7.08  
11  CONDONE 11 11 12 11 11 7 6 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 13.80  
CADENCIA 8 6 2½ 2½ 1nk 3 7 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 64% 0.60 2.46  
APROPOS 6 2 53 5 9 9 8 (toner james)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.79  
KING'S SECRET (GB) 1 1 3 32 43 6 9 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 5% 19.00 17.55  
SQUASH BLOSSOM 4 9 9 8 86 119 10 (ward dean)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 36.54  
10  CANT KEEP ME DOWN 10 8 64 7 6 10 1110 (salas felipe)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00 71.48  
12  LADAN 12 12 118 12 12 1211½ 1212¾ (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 77.83  
SCR  BOSS LADY BAILEY               (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50    
SCR  CATMINT               (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
SCR  EXCELLENT QUESTION               (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
SCR  HOLA GATA               (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.