The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Sunday - April 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (6/10/1/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $22.94 -10.00
KEE-2   Win (1/9/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $4.94 $4.94 -3.06
KEE-3   Win (10/1/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.92 $3.92 -2.08
KEE-4   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $15.10 -6.00
KEE-5   Win (5/8/7/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 -2.80
KEE-6   Win (3/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $9.16 $9.16 3.16
KEE-7   Win (12/10/5/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $45.54 -10.00
KEE-8   Win (3/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $8.54 -8.00
KEE-9   Win (1/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.18 $5.18 -2.82

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/14/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDY WALK 5 7 54 4   13 1 (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 10.47  
FASTA LAVISTA BABY 1 5 4 5   46 2 (scherer mariann)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 6% 16.40 3.18 P
TROTTER 4 3 2½ 1nk   23 39 (sweezey ken)HARGROVE CAMILE 108 15.00 5% 19.00 18.84 S
10  DELIGHTED (IRE) 9 1 1½ 2nk   3 415¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 27% 2.70 1.34  
SOUL HEIR 3 4 6 6   510 516 (grubbs l)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 15.00 43.95  
CAUSE IMA ROSE 2 9 911½ 913¼   713½ 623 (guida antho)CORREA L 125 20.00 16.65  
LA PICASITA 6 2 3 3   610½ 727 (antonucci jen)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 34% 1.90 5.62  
E STORMY 7 8 8 812¾   818½ 836¼ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 6.00 15.68  
MISS GOLDEN PENNY 8 6 7 711¾   919½ 938¾ (west m)MORALES EDGAR 125 6.00 9.16  
SCR  HOLD MY CROWN               (nocero carmino)LEBRON VICTOR 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-2   04/14/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:11     1:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUST DADDY 7 2 4 2½   1nk 1 (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 11% 7.80 1.47 W
MERLOTTI 3 6 6 5   4 2 (wainwright john)MCKEE J 124 20.00 39.50  
CRUISIN AND BOOZIN 4 7 5 69   35 3 (jarvis kathy)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 21.78  
QUINCY RIDER 1 4 11 1½   2nk 4 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 60% 0.70 1.27  
REDHILL 6 5 7 714   513¾ 513 (pittman bonnie)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 15.00 5% 19.00 35.95  
FORGE IN FIRE 2 1 21 46   615¼ 626 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.11  
TIME MUSE 5 3 31 3   717¾ 731¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 10.36  
SCR  BEAUMONT RED               (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 124 2.50    
SCR  MORE THAN FIVE               (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 124 6.00    
 
KEE-3   04/14/2024 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:221 :461 1:12 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMEO PERFORMANCE 1 2 4 44 2 1½ 1 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 30% 2.40 0.96 W
10  GREEN LIGHT 10 6 7 54 1 2½ 2 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 46% 1.20 5.53 P
CINDER BLOCK 3 9 68 6 64 4 3 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 15.00 17.66  
11  RADICAL MISCHIEF 11 5 3 3 32 35 410¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.88  
SPIN IT 6 11 1213¼ 117 9 610 512 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 10.44  
12  VILLAIN 12 10 8 7 5 59 614¼ (schultz lindsay)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 38.26  
GARDEN LEAVE 5 12 9 8 7 710 715 (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 10.08  
ACTING DEBUT 7 8 1111¾ 128 10 812 817½ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00 36.90  
INDY CHARGE 9 1 1½ 1½ 42 915 928½ (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00 54.95  
SALB 8 7 10 107 11 1019 1040¾ (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00 27.37  
ENHANCED SCAT 4 4 2½ 2½ 8 1121 1143¾ (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 25.55  
PED D'ORO 2 3 57 96 1214¾ 1226 1248¾ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 22.48  
SCR  CULPRIT               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50    
SCR  JOHN THE BEER MAN               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00    
SCR  SAN MARTIN               (sancal murat)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
SCR  SARDIS               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 12.00    
 
KEE-4   04/14/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:131     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S A SAINT 4 6 4 2nk   1 1 (dunn stephen )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00 6.55  
GRACE GIVEN 2 3 6 4   2 2 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.00 58% 0.70 0.35 P
DICE ARM 3 1 2nk 5   3 3 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 125 12.00 17% 5.00 5.19 S
AMERICAN MAESTRA 1 4 5 6   612 416½ (gallagher )RODRIGUEZ A 125 20.00 21.04  
SARISSA 6 5 3.2 1nk   48 517½ (sandy s)HESS SARA 118 20.00 22.20  
ALWAYS DREAM BIG 5 2 1nk 32   59 617½ (brownfield clau)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 20.00 5% 19.00 13.25  
SCR  ANOINTED OF GOD               (douaihy michel)MONCADA IRVING 108 30.00    
SCR  KAZILLION               (brinkman brett)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 6.00    
SCR  LITE IT UP LOUIE               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.20    
SCR  PRETTY LILY               (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 120 30.00    
 
KEE-5   04/14/2024 7920ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:252 :511 1:154 1:414 2:062 2:301   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UTAH BEACH 7 6 76 74 3 1½ 1 (correas ignacio )ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 2.60 W
SIX MINUS 1 5 55 5 54 33 2 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 4.48  
11  VERBAL 11 21 2½ 11 12 2½ 3 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 6.89  
HEADLINE NEWS 5 32 3 32 4 44 4 (toner j)ORTIZ L 118 1.80 39% 1.60 2.65  
WHO TOOK THE MONEY 2 85 8 85 9 57 5 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 21.33  
TARTUFO 6 96 9 9 8 8 6 (vaccarezza ca)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 26.82  
HIDDEN STASH 8 7 66 64 6 7 712¼ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 32% 2.20 10.56  
DAI VERNON 3 107 10 11 11 9 812½ (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
10  WOW WHATA SUMMER 10 11 1½ 21 22 67 915¾ (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 118 20.00 37.20  
MUTAKATIF (IRE) 9 43 4 43 7 1010¾ 1018½ (brown paul )HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 68.99  
CLASSIC CREATION 4 11 119 10 10 1112¾ 1125¼ (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 22.79  
 
KEE-6   04/14/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($64K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:132 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YO DADDY 7 7 66 64 5 1nk 1 (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.58 W
MONTEVALLO 2 1 2nk 1½ 1nk 2nk 2 (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 18.66  
J T'S IMAGINATION 6 6 5 4 42 3 35 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 25% 3.10 4.07 S
STINGY 4 2 1nk 2½ 2nk 43 4 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 20.00 19.47  
BLOWN COVER 3 3 31 3 3½ 5 58 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80 50% 1.00 1.22  
MR. FAVERSHAM 1 5 77 7 7 711½ 623¼ (lyster s)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 7.45  
DR BAYTER 5 4 4 53 6 6 723½ (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 8.18  
SCR  J BIRD TIME               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
SCR  PAPA YO               (davis christophe)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00    
 
KEE-7   04/14/2024 5940ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:132 1:374   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY EMILY KATHRYN 2 2 4 4 4 11 1¼ (joseph saffie)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 21.77  
12  NOTINAMILLIONYEARS (IRE) 11 9 10 10 9 5 2¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 26% 2.90 1.51 P
BOSS LADY BAILEY 1 5 7 7 73 42 3 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 17.13  
10  LAST CALL (ARG) 10 10 11 11 10 7 4 (thomas jonathan)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 23% 3.30 6.77  
CATMINT 6 8 6 6 6 6 5 (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 24.19  
HIGH STICK 4 3 1½ 1nk 1½ 21 6 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 14% 6.40 4.02  
IMPLOSION 3 7 5 5 52 83 75 (giddings melan)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00 69.30  
TEXAS SHUFFLE 5 4 2½ 2nk 2½ 31 8 (toner j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 15% 5.80 13.75  
ZIPADOO 7 6 8 8 8 9 9 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 4.47  
GET YOUR KICKS 8 11 9 9 115 106 10 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00 19.06  
LUCKY ANA 9 1 3½ 3½ 31 116 1112¾ (douaihy michel)CANUTO THIAGO 118 50.00 88.25  
SCR  BIG BRASS BED               (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
SCR  RIGHT NOW               (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00    
 
KEE-8   04/14/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($61K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:101     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURE PANIC 5 6 3 2   2 1 (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 3.27  
LUNAR MODULE 2 1 42 4   3 2 (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 6% 16.90 3.73 P
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 6 3 1nk 1   1 3 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 118 4.00 7% 13.30 10.04 S
GUNNER BAY 9 7 6 5   5 4 (margolis r)RIQUELME J 120 20.00 12.86  
MAC DADDY TOO 3 2 2nk 3   45 5 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 63% 0.60 1.93  
SOLIDIFY 4 9 9 8   79 6 (cano mun)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 5.39  
NAVY SOUL 1 8 8 7   810 711 (pittman bonnie)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 20.00 39.56  
VOODOO ZIP 8 5 53 6   69 811½ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 5% 19.00 20.35  
CHAMBERS BAY 7 4 7 911¾   918 930½ (guerrero sal)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 30.00 67.22  
 
KEE-9   04/14/2024 7920ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:251 :503 1:16 1:413 2:053 2:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OHANA HONOR 1 11 11 11 11 1 1 (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 56% 0.80 1.59 W
FOREIGN RELATIONS 5 21 21 21 21 2 2 (murphy conor)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 16% 5.10 2.17 P
11  HE'S GOT SWAGGER 8 4 4 5 5 5 3 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 10.32  
WIND TWIST 3 3 3 32 4 36 410 (sandy step)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 5% 19.00 53.42  
BEUYS (IRE) 6 54 5 4 3 4 512½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.19  
REGAL KINGDOM 4 66 66 7 78 6 613¾ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 12.00 18.60  
FIRST STRIKE 7 8 8 8 8 713 723¼ (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 26.73  
HIGH TIDE 2 7 77 64 6 814 827¼ (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 8.58  
SCR  CALYCANTHUS               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
SCR  ENGLISH CHALLENGE               (estvanko richard)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
SCR  KEROUAC               (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
SCR  KING CURLIN               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.