Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Sunday - April 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-6   WIN (3/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00  9 $9.16 $3.16 53%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WINDY WALK 5 7 54 45½   13 17¼ (davis christop)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 10.47  
1  FASTA LAVISTA BABY 1 5 43½ 55¾   46 27¼ (scherer maria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 6% 16.40 3.18 P
4  TROTTER 4 3 2½ 1nk   23 39 (sweezey k)HARGROVE CAMILE 108 15.00 5% 19.00 18.84 S
10  DELIGHTED (IRE) 9 1 1½ 2nk   34½ 415¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 27% 2.70 1.34  
3  SOUL HEIR 3 4 65½ 69¼   510 516 (grubbs jamie)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 15.00 43.95  
2  CAUSE IMA ROSE 2 9 911½ 913¼   713½ 623 (guida ant)CORREA L 125 20.00 16.65  
6  LA PICASITA 6 2 32½ 33½   610½ 727 (antonucci j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 34% 1.90 5.62  
7  E STORMY 7 8 87½ 812¾   818½ 836¼ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 6.00 15.68  
9  MISS GOLDEN PENNY 8 6 76½ 711¾   919½ 938¾ (west m)MORALES EDGAR 125 6.00 9.16  
SCR  HOLD MY CROWN               (nocero carmin)LEBRON VICTOR 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-2   04/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:11     1:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  TRUST DADDY 7 2 41¼ 2½   1nk 11¾ (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 11% 7.80 1.47 W
4  MERLOTTI 3 6 68¼ 58½   45¼ 21¾ (wainwright john)MCKEE J 124 20.00 39.50  
5  CRUISIN AND BOOZIN 4 7 57¼ 69   35 32¼ (jarvis kat)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 21.78  
1  QUINCY RIDER 1 4 11 1½   2nk 42¼ (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 60% 0.70 1.27  
8  REDHILL 6 5 78¾ 714   513¾ 513 (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 15.00 5% 19.00 35.95  
2  FORGE IN FIRE 2 1 21 46   615¼ 626 (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.11  
6  TIME MUSE 5 3 31 35½   717¾ 731¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 10.36  
SCR  BEAUMONT RED               (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 124 2.50    
SCR  MORE THAN FIVE               (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 124 6.00    
 
KEE-3   04/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:221 :461 1:12 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMEO PERFORMANCE 1 2 45½ 44 21½ 1½ 11½ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 30% 2.40 0.96 W
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LA MONEDA by FREUD)
10  GREEN LIGHT 10 6 78½ 54 11½ 2½ 21½ (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 46% 1.20 5.53 P
  (by HARD SPUN out of ELECTRIC by SMART STRIKE)
3  CINDER BLOCK 3 9 68 64¼ 64 46½ 37½ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 15.00 17.66  
  (by BLAME out of ZUCCHINI FLOWER by FLOWER ALLEY)
11  RADICAL MISCHIEF 11 5 33½ 33½ 32 35 410¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.88  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  SPIN IT 6 11 1213¼ 117 97¾ 610 512 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 ★ 10.44  
  (by HARD SPUN out of TRY YOUR LUCK by TELLA FIB)
12  VILLAIN 12 10 89½ 75¾ 53½ 59 614¼ (schultz linds)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 38.26  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of HONOR YOUR GIFT by SIGHTSEEING)
5  GARDEN LEAVE 5 12 99½ 85¾ 75½ 710 715 (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 10.08  
  (by CURLIN out of ON LEAVE by WAR FRONT)
7  ACTING DEBUT 7 8 1111¾ 128 107¾ 812 817½ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00 36.90  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MISS CHAPIN by ROYAL ACADEMY)
9  INDY CHARGE 9 1 1½ 1½ 42 915 928½ (medina robert)ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00 54.95  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of AWESOME CLASS by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  SALB 8 7 109¾ 107 119¾ 1019 1040¾ (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00 27.37  
  (by WAR FRONT out of AUSUS by INVASOR (ARG))
4  ENHANCED SCAT 4 4 2½ 2½ 87½ 1121 1143¾ (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 ★ 25.55  
  (by JUSTIFY out of HEAVENLY TAP by TAPIT)
2  PED D'ORO 2 3 57 96 1214¾ 1226 1248¾ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 22.48  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MELODIC by REBMEC)
SCR  CULPRIT               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of HENNY JENNEY by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  JOHN THE BEER MAN               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TROPHY WIFE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  SAN MARTIN               (sancal mura)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of STOPTALKINGMARIA by WHYWHYWHY)
SCR  SARDIS               (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ENDLESS CHAT by BERNARDINI)
 
KEE-4   04/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:131     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHE'S A SAINT 4 6 41¼ 2nk   12½ 14½ (dunn stephe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00 6.55  
3  GRACE GIVEN 2 3 61½ 42½   22½ 24½ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.00 58% 0.70 0.35 P
4  DICE ARM 3 1 2nk 52¾   37½ 38¾ (barnett c)GRAHAM J 125 12.00 17% 5.00 5.19 S
2  AMERICAN MAESTRA 1 4 51¼ 67¾   612 416½ (gallaghe)RODRIGUEZ A 125 20.00 21.04  
8  SARISSA 6 5 3.2 1nk   48 517½ (sandy s)HESS SARA 118 20.00 22.20  
7  ALWAYS DREAM BIG 5 2 1nk 32   59 617½ (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 20.00 5% 19.00 13.25  
SCR  ANOINTED OF GOD               (douaihy mich)MONCADA IRVING 108 30.00    
SCR  KAZILLION               (brinkman bre)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 6.00    
SCR  LITE IT UP LOUIE               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.20    
SCR  PRETTY LILY               (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 120 30.00    
 
KEE-5   04/14/2024 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:252 :511 1:154 1:414 2:062 2:301   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  UTAH BEACH 7 64½ 76 74 32½ 1½ 14¾ (correas ignaci)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 2.60 W
1  SIX MINUS 1 53½ 55 53½ 54 33 24¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 4.48  
11  VERBAL 11 21 2½ 11 12 2½ 35½ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 6.89  
5  HEADLINE NEWS 5 32 33½ 32 42½ 44 47¾ (toner j)ORTIZ L 118 1.80 39% 1.60 2.65  
2  WHO TOOK THE MONEY 2 85 86½ 85 96¾ 57 59¼ (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 21.33  
6  TARTUFO 6 96 97½ 95½ 86¼ 87¼ 69½ (vaccarezza )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 26.82  
8  HIDDEN STASH 8 74½ 66 64 64¼ 77¼ 712¼ (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 32% 2.20 10.56  
3  DAI VERNON 3 107 108½ 116¾ 118¾ 99¾ 812½ (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
10  WOW WHATA SUMMER 10 11 1½ 21 22 67 915¾ (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 118 20.00 37.20  
9  MUTAKATIF (IRE) 9 43 44½ 43 76¼ 1010¾ 1018½ (brown pau)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 68.99  
4  CLASSIC CREATION 4 117½ 119 105¾ 107¾ 1112¾ 1125¼ (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 22.79  
 
KEE-6   04/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($64K) 3 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:132 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  YO DADDY 7 7 66 64 52¼ 1nk 11¼ (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.58 W
2  MONTEVALLO 2 1 2nk 1½ 1nk 2nk 21¼ (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 18.66  
8  J T'S IMAGINATION 6 6 53½ 42½ 42 32½ 35 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 25% 3.10 4.07 S
5  STINGY 4 2 1nk 2½ 2nk 43 47¼ (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 20.00 19.47  
3  BLOWN COVER 3 3 31 31½ 3½ 53½ 58 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80 50% 1.00 1.22  
1  MR. FAVERSHAM 1 5 77 75½ 77¼ 711½ 623¼ (lyster stephen)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 ★ 7.45  
7  DR BAYTER 5 4 42½ 53 64¼ 69½ 723½ (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 8.18  
SCR  J BIRD TIME               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
SCR  PAPA YO               (davis christop)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00    
 
KEE-7   04/14/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:132 1:374   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LADY EMILY KATHRYN 2 2 41½ 41½ 41½ 11 1¼ (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 21.77  
12  NOTINAMILLIONYEARS (IRE) 11 9 105¼ 105¼ 94½ 52¼ 2¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 26% 2.90 1.51 P
1  BOSS LADY BAILEY 1 5 73¾ 73¼ 73 42 31½ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 17.13  
10  LAST CALL (ARG) 10 10 116¼ 115¾ 104½ 72¾ 41¾ (thomas jonatha)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 23% 3.30 6.77  
6  CATMINT 6 8 62¾ 62¼ 62½ 62¾ 53¾ (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 24.19  
4  HIGH STICK 4 3 1½ 1nk 1½ 21 64½ (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 14% 6.40 4.02  
3  IMPLOSION 3 7 51¾ 51¾ 52 83 75 (giddings mel)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00 69.30  
5  TEXAS SHUFFLE 5 4 2½ 2nk 2½ 31 87¼ (toner j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 15% 5.80 13.75  
7  ZIPADOO 7 6 83¾ 84¼ 83½ 94½ 98¾ (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 4.47  
8  GET YOUR KICKS 8 11 94¾ 94¾ 115 106 109¼ (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00 19.06  
9  LUCKY ANA 9 1 3½ 3½ 31 116 1112¾ (douaihy miche)CANUTO THIAGO 118 50.00 88.25  
SCR  BIG BRASS BED               (walsh brendan )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
SCR  RIGHT NOW               (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00    
 
KEE-8   04/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($61K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:101     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PURE PANIC 5 6 31½ 21½   21½ 11½ (foster eri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 ★ 3.27  
2  LUNAR MODULE 2 1 42 43½   33½ 21½ (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 6% 16.90 3.73 P
6  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 6 3 1nk 11½   11½ 31½ (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 118 4.00 7% 13.30 10.04 S
9  GUNNER BAY 9 7 63¼ 53¾   55½ 46½ (margolis stephen)RIQUELME J 120 20.00 12.86  
3  MAC DADDY TOO 3 2 2nk 31½   45 57½ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 63% 0.60 1.93  
4  SOLIDIFY 4 9 96¼ 89¼   79 69¼ (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 5.39  
1  NAVY SOUL 1 8 84¾ 78¾   810 711 (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 20.00 39.56  
8  VOODOO ZIP 8 5 53 65¼   69 811½ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 5% 19.00 20.35  
7  CHAMBERS BAY 7 4 74¾ 911¾   918 930½ (guerrero sal)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 30.00 67.22  
 
KEE-9   04/14/2024 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:251 :503 1:16 1:413 2:053 2:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OHANA HONOR 1 11 11 11 11 12½ 15¾ (mcgaughey clau)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 56% 0.80 1.59 W
7  FOREIGN RELATIONS 5 21 21 21 21 22½ 25¾ (murphy con)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 16% 5.10 2.17 P
11  HE'S GOT SWAGGER 8 42½ 44½ 53½ 55½ 57½ 39¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 10.32  
5  WIND TWIST 3 32½ 31½ 32 43½ 36 410 (sandy st)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 5% 19.00 53.42  
8  BEUYS (IRE) 6 54 54½ 42½ 33½ 46½ 512½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.19  
6  REGAL KINGDOM 4 66 66 74½ 78 69½ 613¾ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 12.00 18.60  
9  FIRST STRIKE 7 87¾ 87¼ 86½ 89½ 713 723¼ (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 26.73  
4  HIGH TIDE 2 77½ 77 64 67½ 814 827¼ (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 8.58  
SCR  CALYCANTHUS               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
SCR  ENGLISH CHALLENGE               (estvanko richa)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
SCR  KEROUAC               (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
SCR  KING CURLIN               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.