The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Saturday - April 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (3/11/1/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.78 $4.78 -5.22
KEE-2   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $5.74 -6.00
KEE-3   Win (12/4/6/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $30.92 -8.00
KEE-4   Win (9/3/10/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $8.50 $8.50 -1.50
KEE-5   Win (2/5/12/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $17.86 -10.00
KEE-6   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $16.12 -4.00
KEE-7   Win (8/2/1/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $5.52 $5.52 -4.48
KEE-8   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $11.24 $11.24 5.24
KEE-9   Win (9/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $53.68 -8.00
KEE-10   Win (2/5/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $8.62 -8.00
KEE-11   Win (5/9/1/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $8.42 $8.42 -1.58
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/13/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLORIETTE 1 1 1½ 11½   18 112¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 13% 6.90 1.39 W
11  LET'S GO BRANDI 10 5 43 44½   39 212¾ (heitzman eric)ROCCO S 125 6.00 27% 2.70 4.76 P
3  MISSILE 3 7 32½ 33½   28 314 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 125 2.00 34% 2.00 2.58 S
5  ANDREA BEACH 5 9 109¾ 1013½   817¾ 423 (correas ignacio)CANNON DECLAN 125 15.00 53.31  
9  MIKEY'S MAGIC GAL 8 11 1111¼ 1114   516½ 523 (west m)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 17.02  
12  GLAMOROUS 11 10 76 69   918¼ 628¼ (acevedo israel)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 20.00 49.81  
10  STUCK ON YOU 9 4 2½ 21½   414 729½ (ward a)HARGROVE CAMILE 108 10.00 5% 19.00 9.71  
8  FANCY PRANCE 7 8 54 58   717½ 830¾ (pittma)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 30.00 ######  
4  IGUAZU (IRE) 4 6 88 811½   617½ 931¾ (ward a)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 4.50 5% 19.00 9.22  
2  VEECATION 2 2 98¼ 912   1019¼ 1034¼ (hancock a)LANERIE J 118 30.00 93.95  
7  GET BY 6 3 66 710½   1120¼ 1135¾ (cano mun)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 30.00 57.25  
SCR  BAINBRIDGE DANCER               (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 125 20.00    
 
KEE-2   04/13/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:104     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ST. BENEDICTS PREP 5 4 52 32   22 11¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 1.87  
3  THEROANRUNNER 2 5 1½ 11½   12 21¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.60 30% 2.30 2.67 P
2  ROSIA BAY 1 6 41½ 42½   33½ 34¾ (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.50 25% 3.00 6.23 S
4  LIAM'S CHAMP 3 3 31 52½   45 46 (medina robert)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 12% 7.00 2.63  
5  SASSY WALKER 4 2 2½ 21½   59½ 519½ (esquivel jesus)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 7.24  
7  EYES OF GOLD 6 1 64 66   612 624½ (demeritte larry)CASTANON L 124 20.00 26.63  
SCR  BIRDIE ROSE               (salas felipe)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
SCR  MALAWNIA               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 124 15.00    
 
KEE-3   04/13/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:104     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SIR GREYLIND 4 3 2nk 1½   13½ 13¼ (forster grant)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 14.46  
4  EIRIK RIDGE 3 6 65¼ 65½   34 23¼ (stall m)LANERIE J 125 4.00 20% 4.10 2.64 P
12  SUMMONYOURCOURAGE 9 5 41¼ 31   23½ 38½ (walden william)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50 40% 1.50 1.33 S
10  MOVING TO KENTUCKY 7 1 51¼ 41½   57½ 413¾ (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 125 20.00 13.95  
6  PAVED IN GOLD 5 4 3.2 2½   47 514¾ (rutledge lan)CORRALES GERARDO 125 15.00 18% 4.40 5.03  
3  ZECA DIABO 2 9 99 97¼   68½ 617¾ (caramori eduardo)ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00 10.10  
2  EAST FROM WEST 1 8 87½ 87   812 722¼ (garcia gena)CORREA L 118 20.00 ★ 53.67  
11  UNREASONABLE 8 7 75½ 75½   712 824 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00 20.62  
9  BEEZER 6 2 1nk 52   915 938½ (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 27.66  
SCR  AIR IT OUT               (desormeaux j)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  MODERN DAY WARRIOR               (ward a)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 125 4.50    
SCR  TRUE FAITH               (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
 
KEE-4   04/13/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:112     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  RED STATE 9 2 1½ 1nk   13½ 1½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 11% 8.00 3.25 W
4  FRACTURE 4 6 52½ 32   23½ 2½ (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00 20.03 DQ↓5
3  LOU'S LEGACY 3 7 74 64½   33½ 31¼ (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50 22% 3.60 3.90 P
5  COACH CAMPBELL 5 3 41 42½   54¼ 45¼ (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 120 12.00 32.87  
9  SHADOW SURGE 8 1 2½ 2nk   43¾ 56¼ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 34% 2.00 2.78  
1  BRODY 1 8 84½ 74¾   67¼ 66½ (pompell rober)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 15.00 8% 11.40 7.99  
6  TEEN IDOL 6 4 31 53   79¼ 716¼ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 3.25  
8  LET'S BOUNCE 7 5 97 913¾   916¾ 822¾ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 24.90  
2  TITLE CONTENDER 2 9 63 88¾   815¼ 929 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 30.00 37.86  
SCR  BECKSTER               (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
 
KEE-5   04/13/2024 5610ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:114 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  READY FOR SHIRL 9 12 1110½ 99½ 74¾ 1nk 13½ (attfield roger)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 7.93  
1  PIN UP BETTY 1 1 43 41½ 41½ 3.2 23½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.05 P
2  SPALIDAY 2 9 65 66 52½ 2nk 33¾ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 40% 1.50 0.93 S
5  SCARLET POPPY (IRE) 5 3 21½ 2½ 21 42¼ 47¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 20% 4.00 9.18  
4  RACONTEUSE 4 4 53½ 52 31½ 53¼ 58 (wilkes r)CONNER TYLER 120 30.00 54.38  
10  EMBARK 10 11 1210½ 1212½ 85¼ 66¼ 69¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 14.54  
6  WINE AND WAVES 6 10 75½ 77 64½ 76¼ 711¼ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 22.14  
7  ARGENTINIDAD 7 7 98½ 1010 96¾ 88¾ 812 (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 120 20.00 ######  
11  CAT'S SYMPHONY 11 8 86 87½ 129 1116¼ 922½ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 33.82  
3  SWEET LILIBET 3 2 1010 1111½ 118¾ 1015¼ 1025¼ (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00 ######  
12  TEMPTING LADY 12 5 11½ 1½ 11 910¼ 1132½ (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 8% 11.30 9.64  
8  ARGAN 8 6 32 3½ 108¾ 1231¼ 1271¼ (gutierrez faust)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 16.72  
SCR  ADRASTEIA               (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 30.00    
SCR  BEYOND LUCKY               (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  I'M A COOKIE LOVER               (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00    
SCR  MY SEXY BLONDE               (taylor brent)ROCCO S 120 20.00    
 
KEE-6   04/13/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:123 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL LUTE 1 4 64½ 65 64 31½ 1½ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 7.06  
7  MUSICAL MISCHIEF 6 5 21 21½ 2½ 2½ 2½ (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00 ★ 4.16 P
2  JULIA SHINING 2 1 53 53½ 53 1½ 31½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.00 64% 0.60 0.57 S
6  FIRELINE 5 3 32 42½ 42½ 42½ 45¼ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 6% 16.50 5.43  
5  SULTRY LASS 4 6 42½ 32½ 32½ 66 513¼ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 22.17  
4  LIL KINGS PRINCESS 3 2 11 11½ 1½ 54 616¼ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 25.31  
SCR  JOKE SISI (CHI)               (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
 
KEE-7   04/13/2024 3630ft TURF GOOD Giant's Causeway Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:211 :441 :562     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ROSES FOR DEBRA 7 2 54½ 44   42 11¼ (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 38% 1.60 1.76 W
12  LOVE REIGNS (IRE) 11 4 66 66   52½ 21¼ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 7.75  
11  ELM DRIVE 10 6 33 32½   2nk 32¼ (damato philip)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 7.51  
6  SECRET MONEY 5 9 109¼ 109   84½ 42¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00 14.70  
5  B G WARRIOR 4 5 11½ 12   1nk 53½ (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 30.27  
1  PLAY THE MUSIC 1 7 76½ 77½   63 64¼ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 13% 6.80 8.48  
2  BLING 2 10 87½ 87½   73½ 74¼ (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 13% 6.60 6.91  
4  OEUVRE 3 11 97¾ 98½   94¾ 84½ (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 12% 7.30 6.14  
10  BREEZE EASY (GB) 9 12 1110¾ 1211   107¾ 97 (catalano wa)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00 ######  
7  PORT TOWNSEND 6 3 21½ 22   31½ 107¾ (devaux cherie)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00 43.55  
13  HIGH CLASS 12 1 44½ 54½   118¼ 1111¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 59.43  
9  KISSED BY FIRE 8 8 1210¾ 1110½   1211¼ 1216 (eurton peter)SMITH E 122 10.00 11.16  
SCR  JILL JITTERBUG               (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 122 50.00    
 
KEE-8   04/13/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:113 1:371   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FROSTED DEPARTURE 3 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2½ 1¼ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 44% 1.30 4.62 W
5  HAYES STRIKE 5 6 66½ 65½ 64 64¾ 2¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 7.95  
4  BRIGADIER GENERAL 4 3 31 2½ 2½ 1½ 31 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 9% 10.30 6.70 S
7  CLASSIC CATCH 6 5 55½ 55 53½ 34 41½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 1.93  
2  TRANSECT 1 2 2½ 31½ 42½ 54¼ 54½ (lobo h)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 3.24  
1  GIANT GAME 2 4 42½ 42 32 44 64½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 16% 5.10 4.12  
SCR  GILCREASE               (stall m)LANERIE J 118 4.50    
SCR  HOWLING TIME               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00    
 
KEE-9   04/13/2024 5610ft TURF GOOD Jenny Wiley Purse ($600K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:134 1:37   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BEAUTE CACHEE (FR) 10 4 11 11 1½ 12 11½ (brown chad )DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 15.00 25.84  
5  ENGLISH ROSE (IRE) 5 7 21 31 31½ 32½ 21½ (appleby charl)BUICK T 123 4.50 ★ 1.71 P
9  DIDIA (ARG) 9 5 32 21 2½ 22 33¼ (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 123 4.00 35% 1.90 5.17 S
7  SURGE CAPACITY 7 10 52½ 42 42 44 44¼ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 123 5.00 15% 5.80 4.45  
1  WALKATHON 1 1 42 52½ 53 54½ 55 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 123 10.00 28.55  
2  FLUFFY SOCKS 2 2 74½ 83¾ 94½ 76 67¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 5% 19.00 13.28  
6  GINA ROMANTICA 6 3 64 63½ 63 65 77¼ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 25% 3.00 3.60  
8  STAR FORTRESS (IRE) 8 9 107¼ 105½ 84 87 87½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00 25.16  
3  ELUSIVE PRINCESS (FR) 3 6 96¼ 95¼ 104¾ 98½ 910 (delacour arna)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 8.00 12.47  
4  EMBRACE ME 4 8 86 73¾ 73½ 109 1012 (rutledge lan)CORRALES GERARDO 123 50.00 ######  
 
KEE-10   04/13/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Stonestreet Lexington Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:12 1:371   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ENCINO 7 1 11 11 1½ 1½ 1¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 ★ 3.31  
2  THE WINE STEWARD 2 3 41½ 41½ 2½ 2½ 2¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 48% 1.10 1.49 P
3  DILGER (IRE) 3 6 74¾ 84¼ 52¾ 35 39 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 36.38  
1  SECRET CHAT 1 2 52½ 62¾ 42½ 45 49½ (rodriquez roderi)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 11% 8.30 13.20  
4  FOOTPRINT 4 8 95¾ 74¼ 85 57½ 514 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 15.70  
9  LIBERAL ARTS 8 9 85¼ 95¼ 96½ 710½ 615¾ (medina robert)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 6.25  
5  HADES 5 4 62¾ 52½ 73 69½ 719 (orseno f)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 18% 4.70 5.03  
10  LUCKY JEREMY 9 5 31½ 31½ 62¾ 813 828 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.33  
6  HOW'S UR ATTITUDE 6 7 21 21 32½ 916 940 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00 59.36  
SCR  EVERDOIT               (rice kevin)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00    
 
KEE-11   04/13/2024 5610ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:13 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROYAL MAJESTY (GB) 4 9 74½ 64 63½ 2nk 12 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.50 26% 2.90 3.21 W
9  MOONLIGHT 8 4 54 53 53 53¼ 22 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 25% 3.10 3.34 P
7  MASSIF 6 10 107½ 107 74 63¾ 32 (russell t)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 23.05  
8  ST. ARMANDS KEY 7 2 2½ 1nk 2nk 1nk 42¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 7% 12.50 7.32  
10  BEYOND STOKED 9 3 43 31½ 31½ 3½ 52¾ (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 4.82  
4  DEADPAN 3 6 97 96½ 95 84¼ 65½ (casse mark)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 13.79  
1  PURE POETRY 1 1 1½ 2nk 1nk 4¾ 75½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 7% 12.50 6.45  
11  FRONTLINE WARRIOR 10 7 64½ 75 84½ 106½ 86¼ (mcgaughey c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00 9.85  
6  GORILLA TREK 5 8 85½ 86 116 96¼ 96¼ (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 22.32  
3  INCINERATOR 2 5 32½ 42½ 42½ 74¼ 107¼ (delacour arnaud)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 5% 17.20 22.87  
12  KARLWITHANARL 11 11 118½ 117½ 105½ 118½ 1110½ (medina robert)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00 89.55  
SCR  BREAK OUT               (joseph a)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  COPPER MISSILE               (danner kelsey)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
SCR  ONE RED CENT               (jazdzewski j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
SCR  THOMAS AQUINAS               (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  TIFAREEH               (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.