The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Wednesday - April 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (3/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $10.64 $10.64 4.64
KEE-2   Win (1/10/12/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.26 $4.26 -5.74
KEE-3   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $9.16 $9.16 5.16
KEE-4   Win (12/2/3/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $5.74 $5.74 -4.26
KEE-5   Win (10/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $6.34 $6.34 0.34
KEE-6   Win (4/7/16) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $12.96 $12.96 6.96
KEE-7   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.70 $7.70 1.70
KEE-8   Win (7/14/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.30 $3.30 -2.70

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRITUAL LADY 7 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 1 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 7% 13.00 4.32 W
GOLDYS LOCK 3 3 44 5   3 2 (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 125 12.00 17.70  
BLUE EYED SOUL (IRE) 1 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 34 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00 66% 0.50 0.73 S
CHARM OF THE SONG 2 4 7 4   5 45 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 3.78  
GIFT GORGEOUS 6 7 6 3   4 55 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00 5% 18.30 13.19  
LADY JUNE 4 5 54 7   710¼ 611 (taylor brent)ROCCO S 118 30.00 19.68  
BROWNIE BAY 5 6 33 6   6 712½ (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 20.69  
SCR  UP THE CREEK               (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00    
SCR  WEST COAST HARBOR               (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 118 10.00    
 
KEE-2   04/10/2024 2970ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:222 :453       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISE THE BAR 1 5 1½     13 1 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.00 42% 1.40 1.13 W
TUXEDO PARK 7 2 42     23 2 (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 109 5.00 8.00  
AKINMUSIRE 9 12 1110½     7 3 (bahena ismael)SANJUR SANTO 119 30.00 73.89  
MO HAIR SAM 3 6 6     57 4 (galvan baltazar)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00 24.60  
HAPPYFLYER 2 1 2½     3 5 (o'donnell marcus)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 8.79  
10  TAPIRS VALOR 10 8 7     69 6 (hancock john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 12% 7.70 4.34  
ENDURING SPIRIT 8 3 31     47 713¾ (ramos )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00 13.67  
ACE IT 6 9 109     1013 814¼ (chapman k)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 9.09  
MISBEHAVIN 5 11 9     810½ 914½ (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 28.38  
12  CUPID'S THUNDER 12 4 87     1113¼ 1015 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 67.16  
11  BOTTOMS UP 11 7 5     912½ 1119 (mccutchen jason)CEDILLO ABEL 119 30.00 36.38  
SERGEANT CAPPS 4 10 1213     1216¾ 1221¾ (capps a)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 36.23  
SCR  BAYTOWN STORM               (mcentee paul)MONCADA IRVING 106 4.00    
SCR  BOSTONTONIAN               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.80    
SCR  PROBALE TEN               (chapman james)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
 
KEE-3   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST HILL 2 5 34 3   2nk 1 (watkins m)MCKEE J 124 3.50 40% 1.50 3.58 W
CLASSIC PERFORMER 4 2 2½ 21   1nk 2 (forster gran)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.00 1.88 P
IN COLOR 1 3 1½ 11   3½ 3 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 124 20.00 2.21  
BEST SELLER 3 4 5 5   410 412 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 10.00 21% 3.80 3.23  
ITSABLINGTHING 5 1 4 49   511½ 521¾ (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 124 30.00 11.56  
SCR  ANNA'S WISH               (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80    
SCR  CENTER STAGE               (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00    
SCR  ECHO FOXTROT               (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 124 4.50    
 
KEE-4   04/10/2024 5940ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:123 1:39   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  TOP OF THE STREET 9 3 21 2½ 1½ 1 1½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 36% 1.70 1.87 W
10  STATELY ORDER 7 9 8 7 76 34 2½ (tomlinson michae)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 11.02  
CURLINS INCHARGE 2 5 43 4 2½ 2 31 (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 15% 5.90 2.25 S
11  ACCONA 8 8 9 8 65 44 42 (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 9.86  
QUIET RUSH 4 6 6 55 5 58 5 (arnold r)ASHTON GAVIN 118 15.00 14.26  
MOONOVERMONTGOMERY 3 1 3 32 32 6 615¼ (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 126 12.00 15.33  
VINO FA DANZA 6 4 7 99 914 739½ 7100 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00 45.93  
WAUHATCHIE 5 2 11 1½ 4 843 8100 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 10.31  
PHOTO OP 1 7 5 66 86 963 9100 (hiles rick)LANERIE J 126 6.00 27% 2.70 7.01  
SCR  BATTLE BORN               (king l)ELLIOTT JANE 126 20.00    
SCR  CASHMEUP               (rice linda)CANNON DECLAN 126 6.00    
SCR  CAUSE A RUCKUS               (catalano m)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
SCR  COOL OPERATOR               (gargan danny)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50    
SCR  LOMACHENKO               (beckman whitw)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
SCR  MONEY MEMOLO               (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
 
KEE-5   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SAMARITA 10 2 2½ 1   13 1 (rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 118 1.60 60% 0.70 2.17 W
MAZOKU 4 4 5 55   3 2 (butcher james)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 20.00 38.10  
GHOSTLY NIGHT 3 7 4 6   5 3 (shirer a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 5% 19.00 1.40 S
GOSHEN 1 6 33 4   4 4 (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5.78  
STORM CHARGING 2 10 8 97   7 58 (hester haley)OUZTS W 120 15.00 57.74  
PRINCESSTAPITURE 5 5 97 7   8 6 (andrade hugo)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 30.00 29.71  
FOREVER HOME 7 1 1½ 2   23 7 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 12.35  
PROTOMAGIC 8 9 6 34   6 8 (cano mun)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50 16% 5.10 6.46  
GIN N SIN 9 3 7 87   9 9 (acevedo israel)SANJUR SANTO 118 20.00 52.89  
BANNED FROM MIDWAY 6 8 1010½ 1011   1012¼ 1021½ (caramori eduardo)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 94.62  
 
KEE-6   04/10/2024 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:123 1:251   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU SPRINGS 2 3 1½ 1½ 11 1 1 (sweezey k)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 10.00 51% 1.00 5.48 W
16  DISSOLVED 6 2 2½ 2½ 21 2 2 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 7% 13.70 1.09 P
CARCANO 4 1 52 42 3 37 3 (oliver victoria)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 14% 6.30 2.53 S
OVERBORE 1 6 64 6 4 4 418 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 6.69  
15  GAMER 5 5 42 5 6 615 525¾ (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 15.00 11.84  
COACHES MEETING 3 4 3 32 5 515 625¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 13.60  
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
SCR  PASSING JUDGMENT               (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 30.00    
SCR  PORQUEROLLES               (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
SCR  EXEMPLIFIED               (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 30.00    
SCR  CAROOM               (catalano m)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
SCR  BERRETTINI               (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
SCR  BATTLE OF NORMANDY               (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
SCR  TIVERTON (GB)               (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  ALEMAN               (jarvis kath)CORREA L 118 20.00    
SCR  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB)               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
 
KEE-7   04/10/2024 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:112 1:371   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIVE LAND 1 5 3 3 41 31 1¼ (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00 37% 1.70 2.85 W
HEARTENED 2 3 63 54 3½ 1½ 2¼ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 26% 2.90 1.86 P
ROCKETEER 4 2 2½ 21 2nk 2½ 3¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 15% 5.90 1.87 S
GAMBLERS TAIL 6 6 4 6 5 44 4 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 16.84  
KITTY HAWK (GB) 3 1 1½ 11 1nk 5 512¼ (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 8.95  
EVERDOIT 5 4 53 44 6 6 614¾ (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 11.92  
SCR  FACENDA               (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
SCR  MORE VINO               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
SCR  SAN SIRO               (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
 
KEE-8   04/10/2024 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:121 1:371   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIPELINE 2 2 11 1 1 1 1 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 37% 1.70 0.65 W
NOT NORMAL 4 1 21 2 2 2 2 (murphy conor)CONNER TYLER 118 12.00 5% 19.00 3.71 P
WOODCOCK FLIGHT (IRE) 3 4 33 3 3 3 310¼ (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 11.85  
LINCOLN HIGHWAY 1 3 46 4 48 5 411½ (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 4.63  
14  HE'S GOT THIS 5 5 5 510 58 49 514¼ (troiani niccolo)LANERIE J 118 8.00 34% 1.90 7.29  
SCR  FEBRUARY SON               (granitz anth)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
SCR  GREEK ORDER (GB)               (mott i)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
SCR  HIGH TIDE               (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50    
SCR  LEAVE IT TO KITTEN               (jarvis kathy)ACHARD ALEX 118 20.00    
SCR  NOISES OFF               (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00    
SCR  DEER DISTRICT               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00    
SCR  BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES               (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
SCR  RECKONING FORCE               (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00    
SCR  BELOUNI (FR)               (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  AMERICAN DIAMOND               (joseph a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
SCR  BLOODLINE               (fosdick steve)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.