Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Saturday - April 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-1   WIN (5/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $9.74 $1.74 22%
    EXA (5/8/7/1)-(5/8/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-7 $26.28 $2.28 10%
    TRI (5/8/7/1)-(5/8/7/1)-(5/8/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-7-8 $13.98 $1.98 17%
CD-2   TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00  6-7-3 $20.02 $11.02 122%
CD-3   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $45.84 $39.84 664%
    DD (6/3/4)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-6 $79.16 $70.16 780%
    PK3 (5/8/7/1)-(6/3/4)-(3/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  5-6-6 $148.20 $130.20 723%
CD-4   DD (3/5/6)-(9/3/11/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-9 $73.90 $61.90 516%
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(3/5/6)-(9/3/11/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-6-9 $85.29 $67.29 374%
CD-5   EXA (1/6/5/8)-(1/6/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-8 $34.16 $10.16 42%
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(9/3/11/5)-(1/6/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-9-1 $205.99 $181.99 758%
CD-6   TRI (7/3/10/2/5)-(7/3/10/2/5)-(7/3/10/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-3-10 $35.10 $5.10 17%
CD-7   WIN (4/8/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $10.88 $2.88 36%
    PK3 (1/6/5/8)-(7/3/10/2/5)-(4/8/2/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00  1-7-2 $65.96 $25.96 65%
CD-9   WIN (6/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $8.90 $0.90 11%
    EXA (6/3/5/2)-(6/3/5/2/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00  5-6 $34.26 $2.26 7%
CD-10   WIN (3/4/9/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  11 $91.46 $81.46 815%
    EXA (3/4/9/11/8)-(3/4/9/11/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  11-3 $542.76 $502.76 1257%
    DD (6/3/5/2)-(3/4/9/11/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  5-11 $185.91 $165.91 830%
    PK3 (1/5/10/11/2)-(6/3/5/2)-(3/4/9/11/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00  1-5-11 $336.62 $286.62 573%
    PK4 (4/8/2/9)-(1/5/10/11/2)-(6/3/5/2)-(3/4/9/11/8) 400 $0.50 $200  2-1/6-5-11 $2179 $1979 990%
    PK5 (7/3/10/2/5)-(4/8/2/9)-(1/5/10/11/2)-(6/3/5/2)-(3/4/9/11/8) 2000 $0.50 $1000  7/9-2-1/6-5-11 $10459 $9459 946%
    PK6 (1/6/5/8)-(7/3/10/2/5)-(4/8/2/9)-(1/5/10/11/2)-(6/3/5/2)-(3/4/9/11/8) 8000 $0.20 $1600  1-7/9-2-1/6-5-11 $15508 $13908 869%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   04/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:092     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPYCRAFT 5 1 22 1nk   1 1 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 118 2.50 48% 1.10 3.87 W
LEADER OF MEN 7 6 33 3.2   2 2 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 15% 5.70 1.58 P
SHORTLIST 8 8 55 4   35 310 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 115 3.50 17% 4.90 3.62 S
READY PURSUIT 6 4 6 6   5 413 (gonzalez r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 58.62  
ONE FOR RICHIE 2 2 43 5   4 515¼ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 5.00 3.12  
EPIMYTHIUM 1 3 7 7   710½ 615¼ (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 20.72  
KEEN ON YOU 4 7 812¼ 811¼   812 717½ (miller jerome)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 35.88  
DREAMING OF SMARTY 3 5 12 2nk   610 828½ (burton roger)TORRES A 118 15.00 13.08  
 
CD-2   04/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:11 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARNABY 6 7 42 32 32 32 1 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 57% 0.70 0.92 W
HASKELLED 7 4 2½ 2½ 1nk 11 2 (delacruz mej)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 7.81 P
BEER WITH ICE 3 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 21 3 (hartman chri)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 14% 6.10 2.23 S
ONEPARTICULRHARBOR 8 8 6 55 56 46 46 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 6.91  
STAR NATION 5 6 7 7 68 68 5 (hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 124 12.00 16.73  
MOONLIGHT JOKER 4 3 32 42 4 56 610¼ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 62.68  
BRODY'S FLY 2 1 5 6 7 7 713¾ (jones s)RIQUELME J 124 12.00 76.02  
STEP ON IT 1 5 8 811¾ 813 814 819¾ (bush s)ROCCO S 124 5.00 16.41  
 
CD-3   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:213 :443 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTER STAGE 6 2 6 2½   1½ 1 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00 5% 19.00 21.92 W
CLASSIC PERFORMER 4 4 1½ 1½   2½ 2 (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 5.00 13.13  
THESTRAL 3 5 4 5   3 35 (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 52% 0.90 2.04 S
EVIE'S ENCORE 5 3 7 6   6 4 (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 21% 3.80 2.74  
LITTLE BLAZE 2 6 3 4   4 5 (vaccarezza car)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 1.98  
PIONEER PARADE 7 1 2½ 32   5 611½ (shorter aa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 7.41  
TRAVAILLE 1 7 5 78   711½ 720¾ (catalano m)CURTIS BEN 123 5.00 19.24  
 
CD-4   04/27/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:214 :442       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTADORE 9 4 2nk 2nk   1½ 1nk (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 122 1.40 54% 0.80 0.87 W
COUNTERSTRIKE 7 6 6 32   32 2nk (ennis john)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 7.12 P
ZOOMBIE 6 10 107 106   8 3 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 11.72  
CAROTARI 3 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 4 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 18% 4.60 4.10  
BUSHIDO 2 1 31 5   4 5 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 122 30.00 31.13  
GASLIGHT DANCER 4 8 8 9   9 63 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 8.81  
KIGALI 8 9 95 7   75 73 (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00 17.33  
INTO THE SUNRISE 1 3 73 6   5 8 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 24.77  
11  RETAINED 10 5 4 4   6 9 (morey willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 7% 14.20 31.29  
BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR 5 7 5 8   10 108 (troiani niccolo)CURTIS BEN 122 30.00 5% 19.00 39.32  
SCR  B D VALESKI               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  COLD AS HELL               (lukas wayn)TORRES A 122 20.00    
SCR  FRANZ JOSEF               (wismer g)SANTANA JR 122 20.00    
SCR  LARK'S MISCHIEF               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00    
SCR  RED DANGER               (miller darrin)ROSARIO JOEL 122 20.00    
SCR  SMOKIN' JAY               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00    
SCR  TWO EAGLES RIVER               (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
 
CD-5   04/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:10     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPANISH WELLS 1 7 11 1   14 1 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 40% 1.50 2.02 W
SAINT PETER'S BAY 8 2 4 2   24 2 (leitch dani)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.38 P
MIDNIGHT STORMY 3 6 7 88   5 3 (minnock wayne)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 26.01  
CHRYSO ALOGO 6 8 63 3   36 4 (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 19% 4.10 2.65  
BETTERING 4 5 84 78   69 5 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 23.39  
BLEDSOE 2 4 21 55   4 6 (ward wesley)HARGROVE CAMILE 108 3.00 8.18  
NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO 7 1 5 67   812½ 721½ (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 6.03  
CRAFTED 5 3 3 44   711½ 822 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 12% 7.20 5.94  
 
CD-6   04/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:13 1:384   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASHMEUP 7 3 5 6 2½ 11 1 (rice linda)CANNON DECLAN 125 3.00 41% 1.40 2.24 W
AMERICAN RAIDER 3 2 65 53 4 33 2 (howey quinn)ASHTON GAVIN 125 6.00 24% 3.20 6.33 P
10  FALCON QUEST 9 9 7 7 6 43 3 (simms jr)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 9% 9.80 2.27 S
COAL BOSS 1 1 32 3 1½ 21 4 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.00 8.06  
SECRET EDGE 5 6 87 86 7 56 510¾ (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 30.00 5% 19.00 43.87  
MOONOVERMONTGOMERY 8 7 2nk 2½ 5 710 614¼ (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 125 8.00 11.25  
GOLDEN BUCK 4 5 4 4 8 911¼ 716½ (castanon jose )CASTANON L 118 10.00 8.23  
FASTER 6 4 1nk 1½ 31 68 816½ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 10.00 20.46  
BATTLE BORN 2 8 99 9 9 810¼ 918¼ (king l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00 5% 19.00 9.75  
SCR  SOLIDIFIED GOLD               (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 30.00    
 
CD-7   04/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:123 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TITUBA 2 3 33 34 2 1nk 1nk (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.50 14% 6.20 4.44 W
DREAMING OF MO 5 5 4 45 3 2nk 2nk (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 6.00 16.93  
HAY STACK 8 9 8 6 7 3 3½ (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 5.00 22% 3.60 7.09 S
STEPHANIE'S CHARM 6 6 10 9 8 56 4 (ramos rafae)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 20.00 44.14  
LA PACHANGA 3 4 5 55 43 4 5 (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 125 5.00 6.82  
10  ROBIN SAGE 10 10 99 109 10 8 610 (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 125 20.00 26.08  
ENZI 7 8 7 88 9 9 713½ (o'donnell mar)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 59.87  
HOLA GATA 4 7 67 77 6 6 814 (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.00 39% 1.60 1.17  
KILLSHAVE BEAUTY 9 1 2nk 11 1 7 915½ (mckeever andr)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 5% 17.70 4.91  
PICTURE OF A LADY 1 2 1nk 21 5 1017¼ 1033¾ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 125 20.00 54.70  
SCR  CATMINT               (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 125 12.00    
SCR  JOHANNY               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00    
SCR  KALISPERA (IRE)               (lynch a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00    
SCR  MYSTIC PLEASURE               (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.00    
SCR  SPARTAN QUEEN               (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 125 12.00    
 
CD-8   04/27/2024 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-10:14
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:123 1:383   2:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST BASKING 1 10 9 55 2nk 15 1 (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 37% 1.70 1.32 W
  (by ARROGATE out of SPANISH STAR by BLAME)
QUEEN OF THE RODEO 7 9 10 10 55 46 2 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 126 10.00 7.23  
  (by CURLIN out of BERNED by BERNARDINI)
11  FORESEEN 10 3 3 3 3½ 35 310¼ (arnold geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 5% 19.00 6.62 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of IMPRECATION by FIRST DEFENCE)
HEART HEADED WOMAN 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 25 411 (drury thoma)PETERSON FERRIN 126 8.00 20.23  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BRILLIANT BLAZE by SEEKING THE GOLD)
CHURNING BERNI 8 84 8 99 7 6 511½ (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 63.35  
  (by BERNARDINI out of ABUNDANT FLURRY by MIDSHIPMAN)
MYSTICAL CHANT 5 1½ 1½ 1nk 41 58 619 (colebrook ben)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 23% 3.30 2.68  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MUSICAL MYSTERY by CONCERTO)
RYBAKINA 2 6 4 42 6 711 722¾ (greenhill je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 5% 19.00 57.29  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of PORT CHARLOTTE by BLAME)
10  AVA'S LOOK 9 73 64 67 821¾ 829 846 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 10% 8.90 6.52  
  (by MASTERY out of TAPELLA by TAPIT)
SOCIAL AFFAIR 3 52 74 7 922¼ 930½ 950¾ (lukas wayn)TORRES A 118 20.00 40.86  
  (by MUNNINGS out of ROAMING by QUALITY ROAD)
SAVA 6 4 53 8 1037¼ 1070½ 10100 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 44.11  
  (by CONNECT out of ALMINA by MACHO UNO)
SCR  CHOATE               (nihei michelle)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
  (by CUPID out of SCHMISS by HARD SPUN)
 
CD-9   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Roxelana Overnight Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT-10:46
See original race card.
:211 :442 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZEITLOS 5 7 74 73   3½ 1¼ (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 9% 10.50 3.45 W
  (by CURLIN out of THYME FOR ROSES by REDOUTE'S CHOICE)
DAZZLING BLUE 6 8 6 52   2nk 2¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 50% 1.00 2.71 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BLUE VIOLET by CURLIN)
HAPPY AM I 1 5 21 41   1nk 31 (stewart dalla)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 15.44  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CAT DANCE by TOM CAT)
POSITANO SUNSET 4 9 8 84   6 43 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 7.55  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GIGGLIN' GAL by CONSOLIDATOR)
SPEEDY TRAVELER 3 3 11 1½   5 5 (bauer philip)TORRES A 118 4.50 18% 4.60 4.23  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of LESS TRAVELED by GOTTCHA GOLD)
10  CURRENT CLIMATE 9 6 52 2½   41 6 (foster eri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 28.22  
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of MULLINS BAY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
LAST LEAF 2 4 3 6   8 7 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.96  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MY MISS KALLIE by PADDY O'PRADO)
BACKYARD MONEY 7 2 9 9   96 811¾ (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 19.27  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BECCAWHIT by ROMAN RULER)
CONDENSATION 8 1 4 31   74 912½ (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 4.72  
  (by FROSTED out of TIZ BRISKA by TIZNOW)
SCR  SOCIALLY SELECTIVE               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DHARMA GIRL by FRENCH DEPUTY)
 
CD-10   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT-11:17
See original race card.
:214 :451 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BEAUTY N THE BOLT 10 7 5 3   3½ 1½ (delima e)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 44.73 W
STARCOURT 2 3 3 42   2½ 2½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 41% 1.40 3.67 P
DARK FURY 5 4 21 1½   1½ 3½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 4.58  
RUBIA 8 9 10 6   5 43 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 125 5.00 12% 7.40 4.51  
10  ARGAN 9 1 11 2½   4 5 (gutierr)DE CRUZ 118 6.00 7.80  
COMPUTADORA (ARG) 7 10 8 7   6 6 (stall albe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 5% 19.00 29.16  
TAMMY'S CRUISER 3 8 9 97   86 7 (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 19% 4.20 9.23  
GALADINI 4 2 4 54   75 810 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 8.64  
GREEN FAIRY 1 5 7 10   10 910¾ (foley greg)ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00 3.60  
GOLDYS LOCK 6 6 6 86   9 1011½ (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 125 12.00 18.68  
SCR  CORRI FELICE               (puhich mi)LEPAROUX R 125 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.