Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - April 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (5/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $9.74 $9.74 1.74
CD-2   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.84 $3.84  
CD-3   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $45.84 $45.84 39.84
CD-4   Win (9/3/11/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $3.74 $3.74  
CD-5   Win (1/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.04 $6.04  
CD-6   Win (7/3/10/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $6.48 $6.48  
CD-7   Win (4/8/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $10.88 $10.88 2.88
CD-8   Win (1/5/10/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.64 $4.64  
CD-9   Win (6/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.90 $8.90 0.90
CD-10   Win (3/4/9/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $91.46 $91.46 81.46
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   04/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:092     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SPYCRAFT 5 1 22 1nk   13½ 19¼ (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 118 2.50 48% 1.10 3.87 W
7  LEADER OF MEN 7 6 33 3.2   23½ 29¼ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 15% 5.70 1.58 P
8  SHORTLIST 8 8 55 42¼   35 310 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 115 3.50 17% 4.90 3.62 S
6  READY PURSUIT 6 4 65¼ 64¼   57½ 413 (gonzalez rei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 58.62  
2  ONE FOR RICHIE 2 2 43 52¾   47½ 515¼ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 5.00 3.12  
1  EPIMYTHIUM 1 3 75¼ 79¼   710½ 615¼ (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 20.72  
4  KEEN ON YOU 4 7 812¼ 811¼   812 717½ (miller f)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 35.88  
3  DREAMING OF SMARTY 3 5 12 2nk   610 828½ (burton roger)TORRES A 118 15.00 13.08  
 
CD-2   04/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:11 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BARNABY 6 7 42 32 32 32 11½ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 57% 0.70 0.92 W
7  HASKELLED 7 4 2½ 2½ 1nk 11 21½ (delacruz mejia)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 ★ 7.81 P
3  BEER WITH ICE 3 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 21 33¾ (hartman chris)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 14% 6.10 2.23 S
8  ONEPARTICULRHARBOR 8 8 63¾ 55 56 46 46 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 124 3.50 6.91  
5  STAR NATION 5 6 76¼ 77¼ 68 68 58½ (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 124 12.00 16.73  
4  MOONLIGHT JOKER 4 3 32 42 44½ 56 610¼ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 62.68  
2  BRODY'S FLY 2 1 53½ 65¼ 78½ 78½ 713¾ (jones s)RIQUELME J 124 12.00 76.02  
1  STEP ON IT 1 5 89¾ 811¾ 813 814 819¾ (bush s)ROCCO S 124 5.00 16.41  
 
CD-3   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:213 :443 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CENTER STAGE 6 2 62¾ 2½   1½ 12½ (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00 5% 19.00 21.92 W
4  CLASSIC PERFORMER 4 4 1½ 1½   2½ 22½ (forster gran)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 5.00 13.13  
3  THESTRAL 3 5 42½ 53½   33½ 35 (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 52% 0.90 2.04 S
5  EVIE'S ENCORE 5 3 74¾ 65½   65½ 45¾ (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 21% 3.80 2.74  
2  LITTLE BLAZE 2 6 31½ 42½   44½ 59¾ (vaccarezza carlo)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 ★ 1.98  
7  PIONEER PARADE 7 1 2½ 32   54½ 611½ (shorter aaro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 7.41  
1  TRAVAILLE 1 7 52½ 78   711½ 720¾ (catalano m)CURTIS BEN 123 5.00 19.24  
 
CD-4   04/27/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:214 :442       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  OUTADORE 9 4 2nk 2nk   1½ 1nk (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 122 1.40 54% 0.80 0.87 W
7  COUNTERSTRIKE 7 6 62¾ 32   32 2nk (ennis john)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 ★ 7.12 P
6  ZOOMBIE 6 10 107 106   85¼ 31¼ (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 11.72  
3  CAROTARI 3 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 41½ (lynch a)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 18% 4.60 4.10  
2  BUSHIDO 2 1 31 52¾   42½ 51½ (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 122 30.00 31.13  
4  GASLIGHT DANCER 4 8 84½ 95¾   96¼ 63 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 8.81  
8  KIGALI 8 9 95 74¾   75 73 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00 17.33  
1  INTO THE SUNRISE 1 3 73 63¾   54½ 84¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 24.77  
11  RETAINED 10 5 41¼ 42½   64½ 96¾ (morey william)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 7% 14.20 31.29  
5  BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR 5 7 52¾ 84¾   106¾ 108 (troiani niccolo)CURTIS BEN 122 30.00 5% 19.00 39.32  
SCR  B D VALESKI               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  COLD AS HELL               (lukas wayne)TORRES A 122 20.00    
SCR  FRANZ JOSEF               (wismer gle)SANTANA JR 122 20.00    
SCR  LARK'S MISCHIEF               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00    
SCR  RED DANGER               (miller darrin)ROSARIO JOEL 122 20.00    
SCR  SMOKIN' JAY               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00    
SCR  TWO EAGLES RIVER               (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
 
CD-5   04/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:10     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPANISH WELLS 1 7 11 11½   14 17¼ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 40% 1.50 2.02 W
8  SAINT PETER'S BAY 8 2 41½ 21½   24 27¼ (leitch daniel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.38 P
3  MIDNIGHT STORMY 3 6 73½ 88   58½ 38¼ (minnock g)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 26.01  
6  CHRYSO ALOGO 6 8 63 32½   36 49¼ (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 19% 4.10 2.65  
4  BETTERING 4 5 84 78   69 59¼ (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 23.39  
2  BLEDSOE 2 4 21 55   48½ 69¾ (ward a)HARGROVE CAMILE 108 3.00 8.18  
7  NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO 7 1 52½ 67   812½ 721½ (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 6.03  
5  CRAFTED 5 3 31½ 44   711½ 822 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 12% 7.20 5.94  
 
CD-6   04/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:13 1:384   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CASHMEUP 7 3 54½ 63½ 2½ 11 12¾ (rice linda)CANNON DECLAN 125 3.00 41% 1.40 2.24 W
3  AMERICAN RAIDER 3 2 65 53 42½ 33 22¾ (howey quinn)ASHTON GAVIN 125 6.00 24% 3.20 6.33 P
10  FALCON QUEST 9 9 75½ 75½ 62¾ 43 33½ (simms jr)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 9% 9.80 2.27 S
1  COAL BOSS 1 1 32 31½ 1½ 21 46½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.00 8.06  
5  SECRET EDGE 5 6 87 86 73¾ 56 510¾ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 30.00 5% 19.00 43.87  
8  MOONOVERMONTGOMERY 8 7 2nk 2½ 52½ 710 614¼ (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 125 8.00 11.25  
4  GOLDEN BUCK 4 5 42½ 42½ 84¾ 911¼ 716½ (castanon g)CASTANON L 118 10.00 8.23  
6  FASTER 6 4 1nk 1½ 31 68 816½ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 10.00 20.46  
2  BATTLE BORN 2 8 99 98½ 96¾ 810¼ 918¼ (king l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00 5% 19.00 9.75  
SCR  SOLIDIFIED GOLD               (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 30.00    
 
CD-7   04/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:123 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TITUBA 2 3 33 34 21½ 1nk 1nk (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.50 14% 6.20 4.44 W
5  DREAMING OF MO 5 5 43½ 45 32½ 2nk 2nk (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 6.00 16.93  
8  HAY STACK 8 9 88½ 66½ 74¾ 31½ 3½ (beckman wh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 5.00 22% 3.60 7.09 S
6  STEPHANIE'S CHARM 6 6 109¼ 98½ 86¼ 56 46¼ (ramos rafael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 20.00 44.14  
3  LA PACHANGA 3 4 54½ 55 43 43½ 56½ (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 125 5.00 ★ 6.82  
10  ROBIN SAGE 10 10 99 109 108¾ 88¾ 610 (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 125 20.00 26.08  
7  ENZI 7 8 77½ 88 96¾ 99¼ 713½ (o'donnell marcu)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 59.87  
4  HOLA GATA 4 7 67 77 64½ 66¼ 814 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.00 39% 1.60 1.17  
9  KILLSHAVE BEAUTY 9 1 2nk 11 11½ 76¾ 915½ (mckeever andrew)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 5% 17.70 4.91  
1  PICTURE OF A LADY 1 2 1nk 21 54½ 1017¼ 1033¾ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 125 20.00 54.70  
SCR  CATMINT               (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 125 12.00    
SCR  JOHANNY               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00    
SCR  KALISPERA (IRE)               (lynch a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00    
SCR  MYSTIC PLEASURE               (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.00    
SCR  SPARTAN QUEEN               (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 125 12.00    
 
CD-8   04/27/2024 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-10:14
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:123 1:383   2:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST BASKING 1 106½ 96½ 55 2nk 15 17¾ (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 37% 1.70 1.32 W
8  QUEEN OF THE RODEO 7 94½ 107½ 109¼ 55 46 27¾ (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 126 10.00 7.23  
11  FORESEEN 10 31½ 31½ 31½ 3½ 35 310¼ (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 5% 19.00 6.62 S
4  HEART HEADED WOMAN 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 25 411 (drury thomas )PETERSON FERRIN 126 8.00 20.23  
9  CHURNING BERNI 8 84 85½ 99 79¾ 69½ 511½ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 63.35  
5  MYSTICAL CHANT 5 1½ 1½ 1nk 41 58 619 (colebrook ben)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 23% 3.30 2.68  
2  RYBAKINA 2 62½ 42½ 42 65¼ 711 722¾ (greenhill jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 5% 19.00 57.29  
10  AVA'S LOOK 9 73 64 67 821¾ 829 846 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 10% 8.90 6.52  
3  SOCIAL AFFAIR 3 52 74 77½ 922¼ 930½ 950¾ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 118 20.00 40.86  
7  SAVA 6 41½ 53 88½ 1037¼ 1070½ 10100 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 44.11  
SCR  CHOATE               (nihei michelle)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
 
CD-9   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Roxelana Overnight Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT-10:46
See original race card.
:211 :442 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ZEITLOS 5 7 74 73   3½ 1¼ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 9% 10.50 3.45 W
6  DAZZLING BLUE 6 8 63½ 52   2nk 2¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 50% 1.00 2.71 P
1  HAPPY AM I 1 5 21 41   1nk 31 (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 15.44  
4  POSITANO SUNSET 4 9 85½ 84   62½ 43 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 7.55  
3  SPEEDY TRAVELER 3 3 11 1½   51½ 58¼ (bauer a)TORRES A 118 4.50 18% 4.60 4.23  
10  CURRENT CLIMATE 9 6 52 2½   41 68½ (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 28.22  
2  LAST LEAF 2 4 31½ 62½   84½ 78½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.96  
7  BACKYARD MONEY 7 2 95¾ 95½   96 811¾ (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 19.27  
8  CONDENSATION 8 1 41½ 31   74 912½ (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 ★ 4.72  
SCR  SOCIALLY SELECTIVE               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
 
CD-10   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT-11:17
See original race card.
:214 :451 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BEAUTY N THE BOLT 10 7 51¾ 31½   3½ 1½ (delima e)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 44.73 W
3  STARCOURT 2 3 31½ 42   2½ 2½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 41% 1.40 3.67 P
6  DARK FURY 5 4 21 1½   1½ 3½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 4.58  
9  RUBIA 8 9 107¼ 65½   52½ 43 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 125 5.00 12% 7.40 4.51  
10  ARGAN 9 1 11 2½   41½ 54¾ (gutierrez)DE CRUZ 118 6.00 7.80  
8  COMPUTADORA (ARG) 7 10 84¾ 75½   64½ 66¼ (stall albert)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 5% 19.00 29.16  
4  TAMMY'S CRUISER 3 8 95¼ 97   86 78¾ (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 19% 4.20 9.23  
5  GALADINI 4 2 41½ 54   75 810 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 8.64  
1  GREEN FAIRY 1 5 74¼ 107¼   106¼ 910¾ (foley greg)ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00 3.60  
7  GOLDYS LOCK 6 6 63¾ 86   96¼ 1011½ (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 125 12.00 18.68  
SCR  CORRI FELICE               (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 125 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.