Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - April 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (5/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (9/3/11/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (1/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (7/3/10/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-7   Win (4/8/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (1/5/10/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-9   Win (6/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (3/4/9/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   04/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPIMYTHIUM Mar20 Mar07 Feb22 Feb09 Jan18 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
ONE FOR RICHIE Apr12 Feb15 Feb01 Jan04 Oct23 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 5.00    
DREAMING OF SMARTY Mar27 Mar06 Feb01 Jan13 Dec21 (burton roger)TORRES A 118 15.00    
KEEN ON YOU Mar28 Feb28 Oct24 Oct05 Sep27 (miller f)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
SPYCRAFT Apr12 Mar15 Feb16 Jan31 Jan04 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
READY PURSUIT Mar14 Mar01 Feb09 Dec21 Nov26 (gonzalez rei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
LEADER OF MEN Apr05 Mar23 Mar08 Feb17 Nov03 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 15% 5.70    
SHORTLIST Apr17 Mar22 Mar07 Feb22 Feb09 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 115 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
CD-2   04/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEP ON IT Mar27 Feb23 Jan25 Dec28 Oct09 (bush s)ROCCO S 124 5.00    
BRODY'S FLY Oct17 Oct04 Sep19 Aug28 Aug09 (jones s)RIQUELME J 124 12.00    
BEER WITH ICE Mar24 Feb22 Feb01     (hartman chris)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 14% 6.10    
MOONLIGHT JOKER Mar27 Feb03 Jan12 Dec28 Sep12 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
STAR NATION Apr05 Mar15 Mar01 Feb10 Jan12 (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 124 12.00    
BARNABY Feb09 Dec14 Nov18     (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 57% 0.70    
HASKELLED Apr11 Mar15 Feb23 Feb08 Jan24 (delacruz mejia)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00    
ONEPARTICULRHARBOR Mar27 Mar15 Jan24 Dec23 Nov23 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 124 3.50    
 
CD-3   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAVAILLE Mar01 Jan25 Dec31 Mar09   (catalano m)CURTIS BEN 123 5.00    
LITTLE BLAZE Mar16 Mar01 Feb03 Dec31 Nov19 (vaccarezza carlo)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00    
THESTRAL Mar30 Feb04 Jan25 Jan01 Oct18 (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 52% 0.90    
CLASSIC PERFORMER Apr10 Mar03 Jan07 Nov02 Oct12 (forster gran)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 5.00    
EVIE'S ENCORE Mar24 Feb04 Nov12 Sep23 Jul23 (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 21% 3.80    
CENTER STAGE Feb24 Dec20 Nov05 Oct10 Aug19 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
PIONEER PARADE Apr06 Mar24 Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 (shorter aaro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00    
 
CD-4   04/27/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO THE SUNRISE Mar20 Jan28 Jan01 Dec03 Oct14 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00    
BUSHIDO Feb10 Dec23 Jun15 Apr16 Oct08 (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 122 30.00    
CAROTARI Mar01 Feb10 Jan05 Jul22 May06 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 18% 4.60    
GASLIGHT DANCER Feb22 Dec16 Nov09 Sep30 Sep02 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR Apr06 Feb24 Jan19 Jul23 Jun25 (troiani nic)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
ZOOMBIE Dec15 Oct21 Sep18 Jul03 Jun05 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
COUNTERSTRIKE Apr05 Jan27 Dec30 Dec02 Sep09 (ennis john)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
KIGALI Nov15 Oct28 Sep22 Aug30 Jul16 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00    
OUTADORE Mar22 Dec15 Sep13 Jul22 Feb17 (ward a)CEDILLO ABEL 122 1.40 54% 0.80    
SCR  SMOKIN' JAY Mar22 Mar02 Feb04 Jul22 Jul01 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00    
11  RETAINED Feb23 Dec30 Dec02 Oct23 Sep20 (morey william)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  B D VALESKI Apr05 Feb25 Jan01 Oct21 Sep22 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  FRANZ JOSEF Nov30 Nov02 Oct18 Sep18 Aug21 (wismer gle)SANTANA JR 122 20.00    
SCR  COLD AS HELL Apr07 Mar10 Feb24 Feb03 Jan05 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 122 20.00    
SCR  RED DANGER Apr02 Feb04 Dec26 Nov27 Jun03 (miller darrin)ROSARIO JOEL 122 20.00    
SCR  TWO EAGLES RIVER Sep20 Jun04 Apr22 Apr01 Feb19 (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
SCR  LARK'S MISCHIEF Apr05 Mar10 Nov12 Sep20 Jul30 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00    
 
CD-5   04/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 ALL PT- 8:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPANISH WELLS Feb06         (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 40% 1.50    
BLEDSOE Apr06 Oct08 Sep13 Apr07   (ward a)HARGROVE CAMILE 108 3.00    
MIDNIGHT STORMY Apr07 Mar08 Feb02 Jan18 Dec22 (minnock g)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
BETTERING Feb02 Jan12 Dec29 Nov15 Sep12 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00    
CRAFTED Apr05 Jan19 Dec14     (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 12% 7.20    
CHRYSO ALOGO Apr12 Sep22 Aug27     (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 19% 4.10    
NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO Feb18 Feb09 Dec30 Oct20 Sep20 (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
SAINT PETER'S BAY Mar15 Jan26       (leitch daniel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   04/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COAL BOSS Mar13 Feb17 Jan12 Dec29 Nov11 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.00    
BATTLE BORN Apr12 Mar22 Mar13 Feb24 Jan10 (king l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
AMERICAN RAIDER Mar21 Feb17 Jan25 Dec16 Nov10 (howey quinn)ASHTON GAVIN 125 6.00 24% 3.20    
GOLDEN BUCK Mar28 Nov27 Sep22     (castanon g)CASTANON L 118 10.00    
SECRET EDGE Mar21 Jul31 Jul16 Jun10 Apr29 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
FASTER Mar02 Dec21 Nov11     (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 10.00    
CASHMEUP Feb17 Nov09 Oct06 Dec31 Nov13 (rice linda)CANNON DECLAN 125 3.00 41% 1.40    
MOONOVERMONTGOMERY Apr10 Mar24 May18 May03   (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 125 8.00    
SCR  SOLIDIFIED GOLD Mar29 Feb02 Jan04 Dec14   (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 30.00    
10  FALCON QUEST Mar16 Mar01 Dec22     (simms jr)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 9% 9.80    
 
CD-7   04/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICTURE OF A LADY Aug05 Jun17 Jun05 May06   (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 125 20.00    
TITUBA Apr07 Feb28 Jan31 Nov15 Oct01 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.50 14% 6.20    
LA PACHANGA May29 May13 Mar26 Jan29 Jan07 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 125 5.00    
HOLA GATA Feb24 Dec30 Oct18 Sep09 Aug11 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.00 39% 1.60    
DREAMING OF MO Mar23 Feb22 Nov16 Oct19 Sep21 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 6.00    
STEPHANIE'S CHARM Mar23 Mar03 Jan27 Nov11 Sep16 (ramos rafael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 20.00    
ENZI Apr12 Mar23 Feb14 Jan24 Jan10 (o'donnell marcu)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
HAY STACK Mar23 Feb15 Nov23 Oct27 Sep16 (beckman wh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 5.00 22% 3.60    
KILLSHAVE BEAUTY Oct11         (mckeever andrew)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 5% 17.70    
10  ROBIN SAGE Oct27 Oct01 Sep07 Aug13 Jul20 (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 125 20.00    
SCR  CATMINT Apr14 Mar07 Feb15 Oct14 Sep17 (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 125 12.00    
SCR  SPARTAN QUEEN Mar21 Feb15 Jan25 Dec30 Nov09 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 125 12.00    
SCR  JOHANNY Mar23 Feb23 Jan20 Nov26 Dec23 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00    
SCR  KALISPERA (IRE) Feb11 Jan07       (lynch a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00    
SCR  MYSTIC PLEASURE Mar27 May04 Mar31     (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.00    
 
CD-8   04/27/2024 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-10:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST BASKING Apr07 Mar13       (wilkes r)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
RYBAKINA Mar21 Jan24 Dec20     (greenhill jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SOCIAL AFFAIR Mar09 Nov03 Sep03 Jul07   (lukas wayne)TORRES A 118 20.00    
HEART HEADED WOMAN Mar07 Jan25 Dec21 Oct03 Aug28 (drury thomas )PETERSON FERRIN 126 8.00    
MYSTICAL CHANT Apr07 Mar06 Sep16 Jul23 Jun23 (colebrook ben)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  CHOATE Mar13 Sep02       (nihei michelle)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
SAVA Apr05 Mar23       (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
QUEEN OF THE RODEO Apr13         (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 126 10.00    
CHURNING BERNI Mar14 Feb13 Dec21 Nov25 Nov03 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
10  AVA'S LOOK Feb02 Dec31       (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 10% 8.90    
11  FORESEEN Apr17 Feb18 Nov29 Oct29 Sep07 (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
CD-9   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Roxelana Overnight Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT-10:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY AM I Feb03 Nov19 Oct05 Aug06 Jul01 (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00    
LAST LEAF Feb17 Jan12 Dec07 Nov11 Oct07 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SPEEDY TRAVELER Mar02 Feb03 Dec31     (bauer a)TORRES A 118 4.50 18% 4.60    
POSITANO SUNSET Aug13 Apr07 Mar04 Feb04 Nov18 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
ZEITLOS Mar30 Feb24 Feb03 Nov10 Oct14 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 9% 10.50    
DAZZLING BLUE Oct21 Sep02 Jul08 May19 Dec26 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 50% 1.00    
BACKYARD MONEY Apr04 Mar16 Mar08 Feb24 Feb03 (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
CONDENSATION Feb03 Dec30 Nov20 Oct06 Sep17 (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  SOCIALLY SELECTIVE Feb21 Jan13 Apr22 Mar25 Aug17 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
10  CURRENT CLIMATE Mar16 Jan12 Dec07 Nov16 Oct22 (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
 
CD-10   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT-11:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREEN FAIRY May20         (foley greg)ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00    
SCR  CORRI FELICE Apr26 May05 Apr21     (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 125 8.00    
STARCOURT Mar23         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 41% 1.40    
TAMMY'S CRUISER Apr05 Feb07 Dec14     (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
GALADINI Mar24 Feb09 Jan19 Dec17   (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00    
DARK FURY         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
GOLDYS LOCK Apr10 Mar06 Feb10 May14   (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 125 12.00    
COMPUTADORA (ARG) Mar22         (stall albert)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
RUBIA Mar02 Feb10 Nov26 Oct28 Apr22 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 125 5.00 12% 7.40    
10  ARGAN Apr13 Mar23 Dec27 Jun08 May19 (gutierrez)DE CRUZ 118 6.00    
11  BEAUTY N THE BOLT Mar06 Feb07 Jan03     (delima e)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.