The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Turfway Park
Thursday - February 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TP-1   Win (6/3/13/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $38.16 -10.00
TP-2   Win (3/2/10/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $5.84 $5.84 -4.16
TP-3   Win (10/11/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.50 $6.50 -1.50
TP-4   Win (8/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $28.58 $28.58 20.58
TP-5   Win (8/1/7/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $11.18 $11.18 1.18
TP-6   Win (10/12/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $9.48 $9.48 1.48
TP-7   Win (5/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $8.64 $8.64 0.64
TP-8   Win (1/9/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $28.78 $28.78 20.78
TP-9   Win (11/9/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $8.38 $8.38 0.38

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   02/15/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:003     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLEDGULATIONS 3 8 9 8   51hd (rider m)MOJICA JR 125 15.00 18.08  
GOTHAM GRAY 5 3 52 4   3½ 2hd (delong ben)LEON SONNY 125 3.50 50% 1.00 2.58 P
LILY'S HOME 2 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 3(elliott michelle)CEDILLO ABEL 125 3.00 15% 5.60 3.00 S
13  CASINO ANNIE 10 9 10 11   84(parker r)MCKEE J 125 12.00 6% 14.50 11.74  
BRISBANE ROAD 8 11 8 3½   2nk 55 (rechy chaz)PAULY SUMMER 115 12.00 5% 19.00 23.85  
CLOVERTOWNE 4 7 7 7   76(brownfield claud)MACHADO LUAN 125 4.50 12.86  
14  REDNECK AGENDA 11 1 1½ 1nk   4¾ 7(cline rober)CORREA L 118 20.00 45.08  
SEVENTEENSEVITYSIX 1 6 4 5   68(jarvis kathy)BECKMAN ALICE 118 30.00 58.90  
ALLINTHECALL 7 10 11 10   99(murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 125 4.00 2.74  
10  BLOSSOM DIVA 9 5 63 9   1110(galindo-t)DE CRUZ 125 20.00 17.86  
SOUL HEIR 6 4 3 6   101111¾ (fields christo)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.19  
SCR  GAMBI               (alessi james)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 15.00    
SCR  LIMANI               (childers v)RODRIGUEZ A 125 12.00    
SCR  VIVIS IN FRONT               (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00    
 
TP-2   02/15/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:15 1:28   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINT WELL TAKEN 3 5 43 4 41 1½ 1(rider david)CORREA L 125 4.00 29% 2.40 1.92 W
IN A PEACH 7 7 86 7 63 32 2(evans ii)LEON SONNY 125 20.00 12.05  
TEQUILA EMPIRE 4 9 9 10 10 83(reed r)FELIX E 125 15.00 5% 19.00 16.37 S
10  OH POLLYANNA 8 10 109 9 8 745 (estvanko richard)ELLIOTT JANE 125 12.00 17% 5.00 4.88  
EASTERN SUNRISE 2 2 11 1nk 1nk 2½ 5(davis chri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00 21% 3.80 7.99  
SPLIT DECISION 1 1 7 8 9 66(ewing ann)MCKEE J 125 15.00 13.64  
11  C C GRAND 9 6 32 31 5 57(lyster s)MOJICA O 118 5.00 7.19  
12  RED JAG 10 8 5 5 3½ 42 89 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 6.00 6.30  
SACRED CONNECTION 6 4 6 6 75 10914½ (smith larry)OUZTS W 118 15.00 16.39  
SHE'S A KEEPER 5 3 21 2nk 2nk 91022½ (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 125 20.00 8% 10.90 13.11  
SCR  ANA               (greenhill jeff)LEON SONNY 125 8.00    
SCR  DEE DEE B               (grubbs l)MACHADO LUAN 125 6.00    
SCR  SATISFIED               (allen ferr)CORRALES GERARDO 125 4.50    
SCR  VIVID EXPOSURE               (caramori ed)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00    
 
TP-3   02/15/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:14 1:263   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL 2 5 3 3.2 31 2½ 1(dunham g)CONNER TYLER 123 8.00 7% 12.60 2.25 W
10  ROCKIN JUSTICE 7 1 21 1nk 11 1½ 2(granitz a)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 49% 1.00 1.72 P
ESTILO PELIGROSO 4 7 65 7 5 43(kordenbrock matt)LEON SONNY 123 30.00 22.55  
SAMI'S TROOPER 6 3 4 4 21 34(richardville t)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 12.00 5.97  
STEWARDS RULES 5 4 5 5 65 56 511¼ (holden jay )BERMUDEZ E 123 12.00 12.87  
WEEKEND IN COURT 1 6 76 6 77 7612 (davis d)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00 13.34  
CITY PLAN 3 2 11 2nk 43 66 713¾ (fernandez edward)ASHTON GAVIN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 3.75  
SCR  DIGITAL SOFTWARE               (caramori caio)CEDILLO ABEL 123 15.00    
SCR  GOLDEN TEXT               (clark lee)MCKEE J 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  IOYA AGAIN               (van thom)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 10.00    
SCR  STRIKE APPEAL               (londono odin)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50    
 
TP-4   02/15/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
URBAN COWGIRL 5 2 31 4   31 1hd (cline c)LEON SONNY 125 8.00 9% 9.70 13.29 W
DEE MINUS 1 10 8 9   42 2hd (navarrete anna)MACHADO LUAN 125 10.00 15.29 P
12  TIVALI 11 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 3(danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 12.00 7.06  
GOLD DEL MAR 6 4 1nk 1nk   2nk 44 (salas felipe)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 3.50 11% 8.50 3.72  
LADY ROBO 4 6 7 5   554 (holden darragh)ELLIOTT JANE 125 8.00 5% 19.00 29.19  
ALWAYS DREAM BIG 3 9 10 117   767 (brownfield clau)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 20.00 46.93  
SASSY WALKER 7 5 4 3½   67(damato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 125 2.50 54% 0.90 1.21  
TARTAN GREEN (IRE) 8 3 9 10   107 8(arnold geor)HERNANDEZ J 125 12.00 17.51  
10  SALLY BALI 9 8 63 6   9910½ (hamilton william )MOJICA JR 125 30.00 40.37  
MABEE A MIRACLE 2 11 11 84   81010¾ (danner ke)DE CRUZ 125 10.00 7.14  
11  SARISSA 10 7 5 7   117 1111¼ (sandy s)MCKEE J 125 12.00 25.09  
SCR  KATE'S CONCERTO               (lucas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 125 10.00    
SCR  WILLADEAN               (garcia gena)CORREA L 125 12.00    
 
TP-5   02/15/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPPER CASE 6 5 5 4   3½ 1(lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.50 33% 2.00 4.59 W
MARMALADE SKYE 5 4 32 21   2nk 2(jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 125 4.00 11% 8.00 5.76 P
10  STAGFLATION 8 1 8 86   63(baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 12.00 15.56  
REACTIVE 7 10 7 64   42 4(harty eoin)CONNER TYLER 125 12.00 16.28  
SWEET TROUBLE 1 7 11 11   1nk 5(damato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 125 3.00 26% 2.80 1.65  
12  CATMINT 10 3 6 7   76(hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 125 8.00 5% 18.60 5.34  
FOURWAY STOP 4 6 21 32   57(maker mic)DE CRUZ 125 10.00 14.45  
11  BIG DIG 9 2 10 9   88(salas felipe)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 30.00 34.83  
RISKY SHOT 2 9 9 10   10913¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 125 15.00 17.64  
SHERBET FOUNTAIN 3 8 4 53   91017¾ (vaughan edward)CANNON DECLAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00 10.46  
SCR  AMERICAN MAESTRA               (gallagher willi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 30.00    
SCR  CRUSHED ICE               (quartarolo an)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 12.00    
 
TP-6   02/15/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  RICHIESINTHEHOUSE 8 1 3.2 21   21 1½ (radosevich s)LEON SONNY 120 6.00 60% 0.70 3.74 W
CARL G 6 5 5 4   11 2½ (lynch e)MOJICA JR 118 12.00 20.09  
12  ONE COOL DUDE 9 2 62 32   33(blair jordan)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.50 10% 8.60 2.23 S
BLAZEN ROAD 1 9 85 97   74(manley steve)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 4.67  
MALIGATOR 7 8 9 6   55(reid r)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00 13.11  
LAST ROO 4 7 7 7   65 69 (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00 7% 13.60 8.06  
ONE FOR RICHIE 3 3 1nk 11   43 710 (wisner trac)BERMUDEZ E 120 6.00 3.79  
NOT AGAIN JACKIE 2 6 4 5   8815¾ (eubanks r)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 21.86  
STITZY 5 4 2nk 87   916½ 929 (alessi james)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 30.00 5% 19.00 27.52  
SCR  DOUBLE ADVANTAGE               (andrade hugo)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 5.00    
SCR  MEDAL OF FACT               (martinez a)MCKEE J 120 20.00    
SCR  ONE LUCKY DAY               (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 120 6.00    
SCR  SARGEANT BARGER               (alessi)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 15.00    
 
TP-7   02/15/2024 6600ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:12 1:381   2:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN OF MISSOULA 6 888 7 5 21(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.50 7% 13.70 3.32 W
WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS 5 556 54 2nk 12(cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 2.00 48% 1.10 2.34 P
COMMUNITY ADJUSTED 3 99 9 6 33 3(delacour arnaud)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00 12.12  
AMAZON QUEEN 2 766 6 4 54(delacour arnaud)ROCCO S 124 10.00 15.57  
WHITE LILACS 4 11 1 1nk 43 511¾ (noble f)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 2.50 22% 3.50 2.53  
LILLY LANE 1 33 34 33 32 6616¾ (vaughan edward)CANNON DECLAN 124 30.00 30.97  
SHE'S GONE 8 43 4 43 7 7720½ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.67  
DIAMOND SOLITAIRE 7 67 8 910¼ 817½ 835¾ (lyster s)MOJICA O 124 15.00 26.95  
CRICKENBERGER 9 22 2 8 919 937½ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 124 20.00 21.30  
 
TP-8   02/15/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:221 :462 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURE CAN 7 3 5 3½   21 1(armstrong steve )CEDILLO ABEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00 13.39 W
SASSY AND BOLD 1 7 1½ 1½   11 2(cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.00 48% 1.10 1.77 P
TABOO HOO 6 10 7 5   432 (anderson susan)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 12.00 18.01  
STORM CHARGING 3 9 9 9   64(hester haley)OUZTS W 124 30.00 52.76  
BROADWAY BLAZE 4 6 6 6   32 5(pitts helen)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.50 4.79  
11  MUSED (GB) 10 1 84 41   56(gonzalez agust)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 8.00 9% 10.10 7.45  
12  DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE 11 11 11 10   97 7(taylor brent)ROCCO S 124 20.00 25.71  
JURADICIAL 8 2 2½ 2½   76 810½ (caramori )DE CRUZ 124 5.00 19% 4.40 4.73  
NIGHT LIVIN 5 5 42 7   87 912¾ (labra rogel)BERMUDEZ E 124 6.00 11.59  
SPARE A DIME 2 8 32 8   101016½ (johnston rebecca)MOJICA JR 124 20.00 23.89  
10  BERAVINA 9 4 107 1110¼   1111½ 1121¼ (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 124 20.00 10.22  
SCR  MORNIN' BOSS               (short w)LEON SONNY 124 15.00    
 
TP-9   02/15/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3 ALL PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:243 :511 1:164 1:284   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MR. FAVERSHAM 9 7 8 8 5½ 2nk 1(devaux cherie)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.50 44% 1.20 3.19 W
NEW SPELL 7 3 5 52 4¼ 1nk 2(simms jr)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.00 25% 3.10 1.88 P
MONEY MEMOLO 6 4 42 4 6 535 (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00 8% 11.00 10.59 S
GERICAULT 1 9 74 7 7 64(stidham michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00 8.49  
MONTEVALLO 3 2 1½ 2nk 2nk 3.2 5(harty eoin)MONCADA IRVING 106 6.00 8.49  
BROTHER RICE 2 8 96 9 85 86(blair jor)DE CRUZ 120 30.00 16.61  
WICKED MELODY 4 6 2½ 1nk 1nk 47(molloy thomas)ROCCO S 120 4.50 4.98  
MR. MELO 5 1 3 31 3.2 78(hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 120 15.00 20.79  
10  COASTING BY 8 5 6 6 98 9914½ (cannon ste)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 15.51  
SCR  BRICKLAYER               (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00    
SCR  HE'S ELUSIVE               (jackson christop)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00    
SCR  HOLD THE PHONE               (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00    
SCR  JUST GUS               (thompson er)BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00    
SCR  QUIET RUSH               (arnold geor)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.