The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Turfway Park
Friday - February 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TP-1   Win (9/6/4/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $11.16 $11.16 1.16
TP-2   Win (2/5/10/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $4.34 $4.34 -5.66
TP-3   Win (3/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.10 $6.10 -1.90
TP-4   Win (12/1/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $21.34 $21.34 13.34
TP-5   Win (8/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $20.10 $20.10 12.10

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   02/16/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:113     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS GETTY UP 4 8 86 6   21hd (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.00 12% 7.30 4.58 W
ANAITA 9 6 63 3½   12hd (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 2.00 45% 1.20 2.63 P
SUPER LUCY 2 9 98 9   53(livers cha)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 7.04  
MY TOMMY LEE 3 7 7 8   44 45 (sands shane)ORM CORY 120 12.00 5% 19.00 11.51  
RENAISSANCE (IRE) 6 3 2nk 2nk   33 5(danner doug)LEON SONNY 120 5.00 15% 5.70 2.79  
QUIET DAWN 8 1 31 4   66 6(grubbs l)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 5.00 7.82  
MERRY OF SOUL 5 2 1nk 1nk   7716¼ (shetron p)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 7.78  
WARIS 1 5 52 53   88 816½ (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00 5% 19.00 34.21  
ELEGANT TASTE 7 4 4 7   913½ 927½ (smith m)CONNER TYLER 120 20.00 27.80  
 
TP-2   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:13 1:262   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEWILLGHOSTU 1 1         1 1¼ (wittek karyn)ACHARD ALEX 125 2.50 54% 0.90 1.17 W
ECONOMIC HANGOVER 7 9         9 2¼ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 125 12.00 5% 17.20 13.42 P
ANA 4 8         8 3¼ (greenhill jeff)LEON SONNY 125 10.00 10% 8.60 7.25 S
ENGLISH CHARM 3 3         3 4(grubbs l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 127 5.00 5.08  
FLORIS 2 2         2 5(duvall willia)PETERSON FERRIN 125 12.00 12.48  
CANDY KICK 5 5         5 68 (thompson erin)BURGOS ALBERTO 125 8.00 5% 19.00 12.98  
10  DEE DEE B 9 6         6 7(grubbs l)MACHADO LUAN 125 6.00 6% 15.80 4.42  
MY BLUE VALENTINE 6 7         7 818½ (galindo-t)DE CRUZ 125 12.00 31.63  
LUCKY PHOENIX 8 4         4 919 (medina toma)BERMUDEZ E 125 20.00 26.22  
SCR  COLLECT A LIL               (davis chri)RODRIGUEZ A 125 3.00    
 
TP-3   02/16/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:22 :444 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPYCRAFT 3 3 1½ 12   11¾ (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.00 39% 1.50 2.05 W
STONEVICIOUS 8 8 86 86   62¾ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00    
GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) 7 1 64 6   44 3(walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 9% 10.50 4.62 S
STOP HAMMERTIME 6 5 76 7   55 4(richardville t)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 15.00 10.15  
AKAMAI 4 4 3 22   25(dobbsjr r)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 9% 9.80 3.31  
SARGEANT BARGER 5 2 42 32   34 66 (alessi)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 20.00 27.76  
BONNIE BILL 1 7 5 5   77(elliott michelle)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00 5.14  
LOUISIANIMAL 2 6 2½ 4   8811½ (foley greg)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 20% 3.90 4.34  
SCR  ROCKET DOCKET               (elliott)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 30.00    
 
TP-4   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($33K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:12 1:243   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER QUARTERS 3 10 10 9 8 31 1½ (manley steve)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.67 W
10  LONG LANCE 9 8 8 7 4 1nk 2½ (stidham micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00 6.49 P
12  LEBLON 11 6 5 4 31 2nk 3(kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.00 45% 1.20 2.37 S
FOUNDER 2 2 63 6 6 44(asmussen steven )CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 10.92  
SOULMATE 7 4 4 5 7 53 5(noble f)MORALES JOSHUA 120 15.00 15.20  
MOBSTER GUN 6 7 7 8 9 76(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 10.00 14.18  
TWO BIRDS 8 5 21 2½ 2nk 67(hiles jeff )HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 6.86  
PADDY'S HOUSE 4 11 11 11 10 98(dobbsjr e)CEDILLO ABEL 120 12.00 26.81  
HEMP HEAVEN 5 3 3 3 5 8912½ (wittek karyn)LEBRON VICTOR 120 20.00 16.08  
11  SEVENTYSEVEN STONE 10 9 9 10 1111¾ 111014¾ (lepiane pa)RODRIGUEZ A 120 30.00 68.94  
VANBRUGH 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 101115 (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 28% 2.60 3.14  
SCR  NIP N TUCK               (contreras c)CORREA L 120 12.00    
 
TP-5   02/16/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:101     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNIVERSAL SOUND 3 6 4 42   21 12 (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 120 6.00 7% 13.80 9.05 W
BOWSTREET 8 3 1nk 11   11 22 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 120 1.20 55% 0.80 0.61 P
10  YELLOW CARD 10 4 52 5   33(mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00 17.22 S
STORMTOWN 1 12 12 106   54(miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 20.00 61.94  
ENHANCED SCAT 4 7 7 6   45(matejka pavel)LEON SONNY 120 20.00 30.50  
BRODY 7 5 63 7   77 6(pompell rob)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 38.28  
GOLD ASPEN 2 8 8 8   107(cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 5.00 18% 4.40 5.03  
HOYLAKE 5 11 11 11   9810 (harty eoin)MONCADA IRVING 110 12.00 40.47  
11  BANJO CHRIS 11 9 9 9   1111¼ 912¼ (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 120 12.00 8.39  
12  MILLARD A MAVERICK 12 1 31 31   67 1013½ (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 120 15.00 65.79  
THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS 9 2 2nk 21   81115½ (brafford michel)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00 52.02  
MIDTERM 6 10 10 129   1212¾ 1216 (navarrete anna)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00 28.58  
SCR  CONTEMPLATION               (stidham michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00    
SCR  TWO BEERS BY TEN               (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.