The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Saturday - April 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (8/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.10 $8.10 0.10
KEE-2   Win (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $9.28 -6.00
KEE-3   Win (6/5/7/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $3.70 $3.70 -6.30
KEE-4   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $12.98 -6.00
KEE-5   Win (9/2/7/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $9.76 $9.76 1.76
KEE-6   Win (9/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $14.12 -8.00
KEE-7   Win (10/9/1/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $15.04 $15.04 5.04
KEE-8   Win (6/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.32 $6.32 -1.68
KEE-9   Win (3/6/9/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $9.24 $9.24 -0.76
KEE-10   Win (10/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $5.32 $5.32 -2.68
KEE-11   Win (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.04 $5.04 -0.96

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/06/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:133 1:392   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELEPHANTS EAR 5 6 5 63 42 2½ 1nk (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 9% 10.60 3.05 W
BOURBON SOCIETY 4 1 1nk 1½ 11 1½ 2nk (wilkes r)PANICI LUCA 120 8.00 18.92  
BATTEN DOWN 6 5 6 4 3 3½ 3½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 26% 2.90 1.99 S
BANNED FOR LIFE 7 3 4 2½ 21 4 4 (stall m)LANERIE J 120 1.60 43% 1.30 2.31  
EL MAGNIFICO 3 2 31 52 52 55 5 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 5% 19.00 4.19  
ASK ARTHUR 2 7 7 7 74 66 6 (wismer glenn )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00 22.19  
BOAT HOUSE 1 4 2nk 3 63 710 722½ (galindo-torres c)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00 43.81  
SCR  EUSEBIUS               (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
 
KEE-2   04/06/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:222 :454 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILLAL 1 3 2nk 1nk   1½ 12 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 3.64  
SCATIFY 3 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 22 (sadler w)ORTIZ L 118 0.80 42% 1.40 3.43 P
KNICKS STORM 4 4 6 5   3 3 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 15.19  
PIRATE 5 6 5 4   43 45 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 23% 3.30 1.48  
GUANARE 6 5 3 32   54 5 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 9% 10.70 3.90  
BLEDSOE 2 2 4 6   67 615½ (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 11.14  
SCR  MANGIONE               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
 
KEE-3   04/06/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:102     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCREET MISCHIEF 6 1 2½ 2nk   14 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.20 46% 1.20 0.85 W
TIMEOUT 5 12 11 107   79 2 (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 15% 5.70 6.48 P
D'ORO UNBRIDLED 8 4 12 11   9 3 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 120 20.00 27.87  
LIEUTENANT GENERAL 4 2 1½ 1nk   24 4 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 24.00  
CARNITINE 3 8 4 3½   3 513 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 6.12  
VESTURE 7 6 8 7   5 613¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00 12% 7.10 10.51  
11  BEBEDOURO 11 10 9 84   4 714¾ (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00 88.59  
PRINCE OF POWER 9 9 10 12   1111¼ 815¼ (vosler eugene )CALLEJA ANDRES 113 50.00 88.58  
10  AVAILABILITY 10 5 7 63   8 915¾ (o'donnell marcus)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00 5% 19.00 43.71  
BOOKIE BRENT 2 11 52 52   10 1017¼ (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 13.13  
THIS TIME 1 7 3½ 4   6 1118 (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 120 30.00 66.79  
12  COUNTER ATTACK 12 3 6 9   1215¾ 1233¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 10.65  
 
KEE-4   04/06/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:221 :453 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREVALENCE (GB) 6 1 2½ 1   14 1 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 5.49  
SURVEILLANCE 2 5 33 33   24 2 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 5.89 P
NIGHT TIME 4 4 5 54   3 39 (morey willia)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 23% 3.30 4.13 S
BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR 5 2 1½ 2   4 411¾ (troiani niccolo)LANERIE J 118 15.00 19% 4.10 20.38  
MIDNIGHT ESCAPE 3 3 7 77   78 512¼ (brown h)ELLIOTT JANE 123 20.00 76.26  
CLASSIER 7 7 65 44   5 614¼ (magee kieron)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00 16% 5.40 8.69  
MILES AHEAD 1 6 4 66   67 717¼ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 1.20 0.87  
 
KEE-5   04/06/2024 6270ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :463 1:133 1:394   1:574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHITE PALOMINO 2 2 42 32 4 1 12 (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 18% 4.40 3.88 W
14  EL REZEEN 12 8 9 9 9 43 22 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 5.99  
FORT THOMAS 3 9 119 11 12 95 3 (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 31.06  
10  STOP THE PRESS 9 11 8 10 11 6 4 (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 3.71  
12  CABERNAYDO 11 12 1211 12 10 8 5 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 20.00 5% 19.00 32.46  
THORNBURY (IRE) 6 3 2nk 2½ 2½ 2 64 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 14% 6.40 9.62  
ARTEMPUS 8 5 6 64 63 33 75 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 44% 1.30 2.34  
TELESCOPIC 5 7 5 53 5 5 8 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 120 20.00 28.36  
11  TAPAKENA 10 6 7 7 8 7 9 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 10.26  
CHASING KITTY 4 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 105 1011¾ (bindner walter)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 30.00 45.07  
THOUSAND SPRINGS 7 4 3½ 42 3 11 1112¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 48.18  
HOLIDAY CHARM 1 10 10 8 7 12 1214½ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 120 30.00 80.49  
SCR  CLOUDY HOLIDAY               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 20.00    
SCR  CYBER ATTACK               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
 
KEE-6   04/06/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Commonwealth Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:102     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BO CRUZ 5 1 2½ 2nk   1 1 (stall m)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 6.06  
MINNESOTA READY 7 2 3 31   2 2 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 42% 1.40 2.54 P
WICO (IRE) 2 4 4 4   34 3 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 1.99  
CALL ME FAST 6 6 7 6   44 4 (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 9% 10.40 7.01  
RAISE CAIN 3 5 6 7   6 57 (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 3.24  
RICHIESONAROLL 4 3 1½ 1nk   5 6 (rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 118 20.00 28.73  
FRAT PACK 1 7 5 5   7 711¼ (beckman wh)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 9% 10.50 24.72  
SCR  HERE MI SONG               (stinson j)ACHARD ALEX 118 4.50 13% 6.70    
SCR  MANNY WAH               (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
 
KEE-7   04/06/2024 5280ft TURF GOOD Appalachian Purse ($400K) 3 F PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:122 1:242   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCHU 9 8 75 7 42 1½ 1½ (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.00 7% 13.70 6.52 W
MO FOX GIVIN 8 11 11 10 7 32 2½ (powell leonar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00 58.91  
DANCING N DIXIE 3 10 1211¼ 12 12 4 3¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 10.77  
11  SIMPLY IN FRONT 11 12 10 9 8 5 4 (kenneally eddi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 20.00 34.24  
POOLSIDE WITH SLIM (IRE) 1 3 11 1½ 11 2½ 56 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 6% 14.50 5.88  
AUSTERE 6 2 8 85 10 85 6 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 4.73  
LIVING MAGIC 2 6 6 6 11 11 7 (schoenthal phil)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00 5% 19.00 15.72  
GRECIAN GODDESS 4 9 9 11 9 10 8 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 6.25  
KAIRYU (IRE) 5 1 42 42 32 6 98 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 6% 14.80 7.28  
12  CROWN IMPERIAL 12 7 5 53 5 9 10 (ortiz john )LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 39.60  
10  POUNCE 10 4 3 32 21 74 1111¼ (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00 53% 0.90 2.96  
DOZEN DIAMONDS 7 5 21 2½ 63 1211¾ 1220¾ (oliver victori)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 78.81  
 
KEE-8   04/06/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Resolute Racing Madison Purse ($600K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:22 :45 1:10     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALVA STARR 6 2 41 31   12 1½ (brinkman bre)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 34% 1.90 2.16 W
VAHVA 8 1 5 5   3 2½ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 27% 2.70 2.38 P
RED CARPET READY 2 4 1nk 1nk   22 35 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 15% 5.50 4.88 S
STERLING SILVER 1 8 74 7   4 46 (albertrani tho)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 8.64  
MARYQUITECONTRARY 5 7 8 8   6 5 (plesa jr)PANICI LUCA 123 10.00 5% 19.00 16.37  
HOT AND SULTRY 3 3 2nk 2nk   5 6 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 13.39  
BIG POND 7 6 6 6   7 78 (yakteen tim)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 20.00 5.23  
ICICLES 4 5 3½ 4   814½ 838 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 123 30.00 54.12  
 
KEE-9   04/06/2024 3630ft TURF GOOD Shakertown Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:213 :444 :563     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARZAK 6 6 4 42   1nk 11 (trombetta micha)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 31% 2.20 3.62 W
MISCHIEF MAGIC (IRE) 3 11 11 11   8 21 (appleby char)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 34% 2.00 2.21 P
EAMONN 1 7 8 9   6 31 (orseno joseph )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 15.00 21.65  
10  OUR SHOT 10 9 9 64   53 4 (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 6.47  
BAD BEAT BRIAN 5 4 3 3   41 5 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 33.52  
PANTHER ISLAND 9 2 65 8   9 6 (cazares laura)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 8% 11.40 13.65  
LET MY PEOPLE GO 7 10 10 10   116 7 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00 48.06  
12  YES I AM FREE 12 1 1 1½   2nk 85 (cazares laura)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 31.81  
11  COPPOLA 11 3 2 2½   3½ 9 (romans dale)ZAYAS J 122 6.00 9.47  
BEER CAN MAN 4 5 54 54   7 10 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 6.61  
SOSUA SUMMER 2 8 75 7   126 118 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 11.67  
FRONT RUN THE FED 8 12 128 12   10 12 (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00 30.77  
SCR  MARK OF THE Z               (rodriguez jose)GILES EMMANUEL 122 20.00    
 
KEE-10   04/06/2024 5940ft DIRT FAST Toyota Blue Grass Purse ($1000K) 3 ALL PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:104 1:363   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SIERRA LEONE 10 9 9 9 7 4 1 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00 32% 2.10 1.66 W
JUST A TOUCH 6 4 21 21 21 1 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.50 20% 4.00 3.31 P
EPIC RIDE 8 7 42 32 3 32 3 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 20.00 5% 19.00 51.37 S
DORNOCH 4 6 32 42 4 54 4 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 26% 2.80 2.64  
MUGATU 9 10 10 10 6 65 5 (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 30.00 ######  
TOP CONOR 1 1 11 11 11 2 68 (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 15.00 12.41  
SEIZE THE GREY 3 3 7 7 8 810 710¾ (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 123 20.00 19.90  
BE YOU 2 2 6 54 54 7 811 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 7.16  
LAT LONG 7 8 8 8 9 910 914 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 123 30.00 57.32  
GOOD MONEY 5 5 5 6 1012 1022 1040¼ (brown c)CASTELLANO J 123 20.00 42.72  
SCR  ENCINO               (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00    
 
KEE-11   04/06/2024 5610ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:26
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:132 1:363   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNING BEE 2 4 3 4 42 2 1½ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60 65% 0.50 1.52 W
DOMINICAN PIONEER 3 3 11 1½ 1½ 1 2½ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 6.18  
MASTER PIECE (CHI) 4 1 5 64 64 6 32 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 2.22 S
INJUNCTION 7 5 42 3 31 33 4 (vaccarezza carlo)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.45  
OCEAN ATLANTIQUE 6 7 6 5 5 5 5 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 11.39  
ACCREDIT 5 2 21 2½ 2½ 43 6 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 8% 11.50 11.74  
KITODAN 1 6 7 75 7 7 7 (foster eric)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 18.10  
SCR  CAMP HOPE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.