The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Friday - April 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (7/4/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.12 $4.12 -3.88
KEE-2   Win (7/4/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.32 $3.32 -4.68
KEE-3   Win (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $9.52 -6.00
KEE-4   Win (2/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.22 $4.22 -3.78
KEE-5   Win (3/1/8/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $12.62 -10.00
KEE-6   Win (1/2/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.68 $6.68 -1.32
KEE-7   Win (9/6/2/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 0 $23.96 -10.00
KEE-8   Win (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.92 $8.92 2.92
KEE-9   Win (5/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $9.64 $9.64 1.64
KEE-10   Win (2/8/9/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $27.30 -10.00

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/26/2024 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT-12:30
See original race card.
:214 :451 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SATURDAY FLIRT 7 9 8 8   1½ 1 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40 36% 1.70 1.06 W
BOIS BLANC 8 3 7 63   3½ 2 (wojczynski justi)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 28.84  
FLIP FLOPS 4 1 31 31   2½ 3 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 22% 3.60 2.34 S
LOOKATMYBUCKLE 2 4 2nk 1nk   41 46 (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00 70.49  
11  COTILLARD 11 7 42 4   6 5 (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 119 20.00 98.80  
HER HOLY NAME 9 6 5 52   7 6 (hancock john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 21% 3.80 6.63  
MATCH FIVE 3 2 1nk 2nk   5 710 (ennis john)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 39.20  
RIO DE PAZ 1 5 6 74   8 815 (ramos )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 30.00 37.08  
10  BAYTOWN STORM 10 10 9 9   9 917¼ (mcentee paul)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 15.00 36.81  
BIV 5 8 1011¼ 1114½   1017¼ 1027¾ (hancock a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 16.57  
GOTH 6 11 1111¾ 1014   1117½ 1129½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.74  
SCR  POOTOOGOOK               (arnold r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
 
KEE-2   04/26/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:01
See original race card.
:23 :454       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURNING PINE 6 1 1½     12 1 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 116 0.80 32% 2.10 0.66 W
LA MARINERA 8 3 2½     22 2 (fernandez kelly )HISBY RONALD 116 30.00 6% 16.20 66.59 P
SERGEANT CAPPS 2 4 3     3 3 (capps a)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 53.93  
BAYTOWN BOO BOO 4 6 5     4 4 (mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 15.00 6.99  
SPIRIT RAGS 1 8 77     610 514¼ (salas )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00 7% 13.30 14.69  
MARIPOSA DE PISTA 5 7 8     712 615 (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 116 20.00 36.46  
SPUN LOVIN 3 5 4     5 718½ (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 116 2.50 25% 3.00 2.25  
BAYTOWN BULLEIT 7 2 6     815½ 829 (mcentee paul)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 27.48  
SCR  BLISTERING               (mccutchen jason)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
 
KEE-3   04/26/2024 5280ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:113 1:232   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCELLENT QUESTION 8 9 65 6 6 4 1 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 3.76  
MRS. ASTOR 2 4 9 8 7 5 2 (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 21% 3.80 2.93 P
PALLOTTA SISTERS 5 1 22 32 2 31 3 (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 9.37  
SAKE (FR) 7 5 54 54 3 2nk 4 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.59  
NEW ROME 3 3 12 11 1 1nk 5 (antonucci je)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 49% 1.00 1.73  
UNDER ADVISEMENT 6 2 33 21 43 6 6 (arnold r)ASHTON GAVIN 118 10.00 16.92  
11  SUPER STORMY 9 7 43 42 53 7 7 (cohn g)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 44.93  
RIGHT NOW 4 8 87 9 9 9 8 (girten tim)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00 34.80  
MALAWNIA 1 6 7 7 8 8 912½ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 15.00 35.54  
SCR  ECHO FOXTROT               (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
SCR  ESME               (king l)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 30.00    
SCR  SCARLETTA               (seglin e)CALLEJA ANDRES 111 20.00    
 
KEE-4   04/26/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:224 :46 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARBARA T 5 3 2½ 11   1 111¾ (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 35% 1.90 1.11 W
10  SATIN BLUE 10 6 3 3   2 211¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 11.61 P
TIRUPATI 7 4 6 66   37 313 (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.30 S
AMERICAN FAIRYTALE 8 2 5 55   4 415 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 125 20.00 50.18  
BARBTOURAGE 2 5 4 43   58 520 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 36% 1.80 3.30  
DEE MINUS 4 1 1½ 21   68 620¼ (navarrete anna)MACHADO LUAN 125 6.00 9% 10.30 10.81  
RISKY SHOT 6 8 9 89   713 725½ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 125 15.00 41.29  
CORRI FELICE 1 9 10 910½   915½ 827½ (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 125 12.00 12.63  
PONTRESINA 3 10 7 78   814½ 930¾ (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 125 4.50 13.57  
TOURING WITH NETTA 9 7 8 1013   1017½ 1031 (ward dean)MONCADA IRVING 108 30.00 61.54  
 
KEE-5   04/26/2024 6270ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 2:34
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:133 1:372   1:542   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NOMOS 10 7 21 2½ 2½ 1½ 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 5.31  
THOMAS AQUINAS 8 5 11 1½ 1½ 2½ 2 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 17% 4.90 3.36 P
SWISS SLANG 1 1 73 53 63 6 32 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 17% 4.80 11.74 S
TOUGH LITTLE NUT 6 9 84 7 4 5 4 (block chris)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 13% 6.50 7.56  
IRIS'S DREAM 2 4 42 42 52 3 5 (winebaugh cheryl)RUIZ JORGE 120 6.00 4.11  
UNCLE TRULY 3 3 3 3 3 4 65 (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 26% 2.90 3.91  
ODE TO BALIUS 9 8 52 63 7 8 7 (torres concep)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 37.78  
MCAVOY 4 6 9 96 8 7 8 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 5% 19.00 12.31  
QUOKKA 5 2 6 8 9 9 9 (blair jordan)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 11.02  
BLUE CREEK 7 10 10 10 105 10 1010¼ (brion keri)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 39.31  
SCR  GOOD BALI               (arnold geor)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
 
KEE-6   04/26/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:224 :453 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MULLIKIN 2 7 11 11   14 1 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 23% 3.30 2.34 W
CHANCE 8 6 8 7   5 2 (drury jr)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 10% 9.20 7.07 P
TIVY 5 1 21 21   24 37 (antonucci m)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 17.60 15.62 S
VINCO 6 4 52 3   36 4 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 21.45  
MIRACLE WORKER 4 3 4 43   46 510¾ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 5.70  
ONE GIANT LEAP 1 5 31 6   68 611¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00 38% 1.60 1.33  
MOREAU 7 2 7 56   710 713½ (mckeever andre)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 15.37  
BALTASAR 3 8 63 8   811 816½ (ramirez ricardo )CONNER TYLER 118 12.00 38.41  
 
KEE-7   04/26/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:36
See original race card.
:224 :451 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  WHERE YA AT VINCE 11 8 2nk 2nk   1½ 1¼ (catalano m)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 10.98  
TROUBLE'S ROARING 1 3 5 6   53 2¼ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 8.45 P
WORLD RECORD 2 7 31 54   3 3¼ (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 5% 19.00 2.90 S
ALCOVE 8 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80 49% 1.10 2.37  
BRODY 6 11 6 4   6 5 (pompell robert)CEDILLO ABEL 120 20.00 43.15  
STINGER BEE 5 6 4 32   4 64 (correas ignacio)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 20% 3.90 3.09  
11  SWEET AS SIN 10 5 7 8   710 711 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 14.97  
BECKSTER 4 10 8 79   810¼ 812½ (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 21.12  
FRIO RIVER 7 2 11 1111¼   912¼ 914¾ (lovell michell)TORRES A 120 30.00 46.04  
10  YO BANANA BOY 9 4 9 1010¼   1012¾ 1015 (heath destin )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00 5% 19.00 30.09  
LEAN MUSIC MACHINE 3 9 10 910¼   1118¾ 1145½ (leitch daniel)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 45.47  
SCR  SCHWARZMEIER               (sadler w)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00    
 
KEE-8   04/26/2024 7920ft TURF FIRM Bewitch Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:253 :493 1:141 1:392 2:04 2:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOP CHOP 1 4 43 4 1nk 12 1 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 21% 3.80 3.46 W
ATOMIC BLONDE (GER) 3 64 65 5 3 33 2 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 4.23  
VERGARA 5 3 3 2½ 2nk 22 3 (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 40% 1.50 1.50 S
TOWER BRIDGE 2 2½ 2 31 5 4 49 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 9.69  
TIC TIC TIC BOOM 6 53 5 6 6 611 517 (girten tim)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00 31.16  
LOVELY PRINCESS 4 1½ 1 1½ 4 5 621 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 13% 6.80 2.96  
SCR  COMMANDANDCONTROL               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 30.00    
SCR  QUEENS COMMAND (IRE)               (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  WAR LIKE GODDESS               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 0.60    
 
KEE-9   04/26/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:111     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL SPA 5 8 7 64   1 14 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 35% 1.80 3.82 W
10  BRAGANZA 10 10 8 107   7 24 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 7.12  
UNIFYING 8 12 10 86   4 3 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 5% 17.50 5.71 S
TWO ITEM SAVER 6 1 52 53   6 4 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 20.00 11.34  
SWALL 3 11 4 21   2 5 (damato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 10.51  
NAPA CANDY 9 3 11 12   8 67 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 53.50  
NOM DE PLUME 4 7 9 7   5 78 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 12% 7.70 12.40  
PRINCESS ADALEIGH 1 4 11 11   3 88 (damato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 118 10.00 16.44  
HAPPY SOUL 7 2 21 3   1113¼ 926¼ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 24% 3.20 4.31  
BE LIKE WATER 2 9 12 11   1012¼ 1027½ (oliver victo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 52.28  
11  MUCHO MACHO GIRL 11 5 3 43   910¾ 1133¼ (stewart dallas)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 7.80  
12  ROYAL TAKE CHARGE 12 6 6 9   1218¼ 1247¼ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 12.78  
 
KEE-10   04/26/2024 6270ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 5:09
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:132 1:364   1:543   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZZY D'ORO 4 1 11 1½ 1½ 13 1¾ (kelly blake)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00 12.65  
DOMINGO 2 2 5 63 64 9 2¾ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 41% 1.50 5.17 P
CATCH A WAVE 8 6 75 8 8 65 3¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 32% 2.10 1.86 S
MAGIC HEART 9 8 32 31 5 55 4 (schuh tim)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 20.97  
10  COPPER MISSILE 10 11 11 9 9 8 52 (danner kelsey)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 9.53  
BANDWAGON 3 5 96 106 10 107 6 (damato philip)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 4.26  
MIKEALICIOUS 7 7 43 4 4 3 7 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 7.19  
GEWURZTRAMINER 5 4 21 2½ 2½ 23 8 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 31.03  
HAWKS CREEK 1 3 86 74 7 7 95 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 30.00 51.71  
ROSE COLLECTOR 6 9 64 5 31 44 10 (sweezey kent)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.18  
11  TEAM CAPTAIN 11 10 10 117 11 1112 1115 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 16.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.