The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Fair Grounds
Wednesday - March 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
FG-2   Win (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
FG-3   Win (9/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -3.80
FG-4   Win (6/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $36.00 -8.00
FG-5   Win (5/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $24.40 $24.40 16.40
FG-6   Win (6/1/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -4.80
FG-7   Win (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60
FG-8   Win (7/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $37.60 -8.00
FG-9   Win (9/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $7.80 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:121 1:251   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZOOM ERIN 2 1 21 1½ 14 16 1(sharp joe)TORRES A 121 2.50 47% 1.10 0.80 W
RYAN'S GRACE 6 3 68 55 6 62(castille carrol)LANERIE J 121 8.00 19.00  
SWIZZLECITY 3 6 5 6 4 43(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 5% 19.00 13.60 S
INDY LOVER 5 5 4 4 5 54(morrell cynthia)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00 50.20  
BE BO 1 2 11 2½ 36 26 5(duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50 5.70  
LADY SHYLOCK 4 4 3 3 24 38 617¼ (falcone n)CURTIS BEN 121 2.00 26% 2.80 1.60  
SCR  ROLL GYPSY ROLL               (richard chris)GRAHAM J 124 4.50    
 
FG-2   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:132     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILY'S CREED 2 2 11 1 1 11(scherer t)NAVAS YOEL 116 3.00 30% 2.30 1.70 W
MACEE 6 1 3 2 2 22(broberg karl)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 1.80 41% 1.40 2.30 P
PLANTS AND BIRDS 7 6 76 67 69 511 310¼ (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00 5% 19.00 13.10 S
FREEFORM 4 4 5 5 4 410 411¼ (habeeb donal)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.00 2.30  
SECRET MELODY 1 7 43 34 35 38 512¼ (williams kev)ALBERT S 121 20.00 24.90  
STAR'S DREAM 5 5 6 4 5 611½ 617½ (hargrave ke)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00 7.20  
MS. PRIESTLY 3 3 21 7 719 729½ 748¾ (constantine carol)MELANCON G 121 20.00 71.80  
 
FG-3   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:22 :461 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CCED FOR STEPH 8 1 1nk 1½   13 15 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 1.60 45% 1.20 1.10 W
LOYAL TO THE CHIEF 7 5 32 2½   23 25 (terre david)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 22% 3.50 4.30 P
BLESS D'SOUTH 3 7 811½ 7   68 35 (larrosa a)VARGAS P 121 8.00 5% 19.00 15.40 S
ADDI BUG 4 2 5 43   34(gomez c)POMPELL L 121 4.50 8% 11.40 2.10  
CRYPTO BRAVE 5 6 6 5   57 5(zenon shelton)STOKES J 121 15.00 27.20  
MRS. NECAISE 2 4 43 6   7611¾ (ladner herman)CURTIS BEN 121 5.00 9.60  
WHY WAIT 1 3 2nk 3   4712½ (dandridge co)ALBERT S 121 20.00 60.10  
STOP SHOP N DROP 6 8 7 810   812½ 819½ (castille n)MCMAHON J 121 12.00 41.30  
SCR  JULIO CHOICE               (mojica ed)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
 
FG-4   03/13/2024 4950ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:253 :492 1:154     1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA CRUELLA 5 3 11 11   12 11 (williamson brian)MCMAHON J 119 8.00 17.00  
JOCASTA 3 7 7 7   22 21 (scherer gary)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 6.30  
BERLAINE 6 4 3 31   334 (claire alexi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.00 43% 1.30 3.40 S
ANSWER THE CALL 2 5 6 6   43 44 (sharp joe)LANERIE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
CORA'S LEGACY 7 6 21 21   55(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 5.00 12% 7.20 13.70  
ON THE NILE 1 1 5 5   7613½ (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 119 3.50 12% 7.10 0.80  
DANCING NANCY 4 2 4 42   67 714¾ (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 8.00 10.20  
 
FG-5   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:123 1:26   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERNREFLECTION 2 3 44 45 4 21(jeansonne justin)CURTIS BEN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 11.20 W
GALLANT STAR 7 7 66 7 68 65 2(schwandt emi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00 7.40  
AND FIFTY 6 2 1 1 13 13(david sam)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 15% 5.70 7.70 S
HOT LE ROY 5 5 5 57 57 543 (larrosa juan )MELANCON JANSEN 121 3.00 22% 3.60 2.70  
UNFATHOMED 1 1 33 35 34 353 (broberg karl)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 18% 4.70 5.20  
ZONG TOUGH 3 4 2 2 23 46(foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 13.90  
PINCH ME A PENNY 4 8 76 6 7 77 7(camejo jose )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 3.10  
CHEROKEE TAKEOVER 8 6 8 811¾ 811 8810¾ (foster joseph )TORRES A 121 4.00 5.30  
SCR  STEAL IT BACK               (west g)MCMAHON J 121 12.00    
 
FG-6   03/13/2024 3630ft TURF FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3 F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:22 :461 :581     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZOE'S PRIME 1 1 12 1   11(camejo m)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 28% 2.50 1.60 W
SHETALKSTOANGELS 7 3 3 33   22(casse w)LANERIE J 122 6.00 8.80  
CANDY LOVER 6 2 22 2   33(devaux cheri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 39% 1.50 1.70 S
GIFT GORGEOUS 4 8 7 79   612 410¾ (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00 28.70  
LA SCALONETA 8 5 6 5   510 510¾ (correas iv)GRAHAM J 122 5.00 5% 19.00 16.90  
LADY ABERDEEN 9 4 5 4   49 613¾ (walsh brendan )GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 8% 12.10 6.50  
AWESOME BECCA 3 7 913 916   915½ 715 (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 46.70  
MY SOUTHERN GIRL 5 6 8 810½   814½ 815¼ (breaux samuel)TORRES A 122 15.00 13.30  
LAUGHING OUT LOUD 2 9 44 66   712½ 916½ (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 10.00 20.70  
 
FG-7   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($59K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:213 :452 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEBURN 1 1 1½ 1½   14 15 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 117 2.00 64% 0.60 0.20 W
LUYV 5 3 31 3   24 25 (goins garland)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 8.00 6% 16.80 9.30 P
DAT GUITAR 2 5 4 44   57 3(ramirez eduardo)CURTIS BEN 122 10.00 20.80  
LOUISIANA LIBERTY 6 4 56 56   36 4(castille carrol)MCMAHON J 122 6.00 6.30  
CANKTON'S COWGIRL 4 2 2½ 2½   4512¼ (landry ray)POMPELL L 114 10.00 9% 9.80 11.40  
DANCE LIL DARLING 3 6 6 6   611 616¼ (garcia luis)RODRIGUEZ T 122 15.00 54.00  
SCR  GUITAR SOLO               (landry ray)LANERIE J 117 1.60    
SCR  RUNNING ARGUMENT               (robbins jr)STOKES J 114 15.00    
 
FG-8   03/13/2024 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:222 :471 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPER'S HOOLEY 6 2 1 1   12 12 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 17.80  
RUNAWAY JOKE 9 5 42 2   22 22 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00 36.80 P
MAP TO THE STARS 2 6 5 6   53(mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 17% 4.80 3.60 S
TAKETHEFIFTH 5 4 7 5   44(rubley kelly)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 20.00 76.70  
HERO WORSHIP 7 1 32 42   35 56 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.00 48% 1.10 0.40  
BALTIMORE HEART 3 7 8 8   66(williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 22.30  
BRONTE DIEM 4 9 9 9   78 7(foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00 35.60  
LUCCHESI 8 8 6 7   89 87 (stall m)LANERIE J 122 4.50 13% 6.60 11.40  
DIAMOND LORD 1 3 2 32   911 919½ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 27.90  
SCR  COACH CAMPBELL               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
SCR  HONORANDPRINCIPLE               (roussel j)NAVAS YOEL 117 8.00    
SCR  MISTER LINCOLN               (asmussen steve)TORRES A 122 6.00    
 
FG-9   03/13/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:221 :461 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY SASSICAIA 2 1 11 1½   14 1(thomas le)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 12.00 2.90  
MATZOH BALL 9 4 4 32   24 2(klanfer alan)MARQUEZ L 117 5.00 41% 1.40 3.60 P
GUMBALL 5 11 5 4   46 3(david b)NAVAS YOEL 112 4.00 37% 1.70 4.00 S
11  HIT THE BULLSEYE 11 8 6 6   56 4(pedigo randy)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 15.00 16.40  
PUPPETEER (GB) 8 9 1010¾ 99   68 5(castille carrol)LANERIE J 117 4.50 5% 19.00 8.40  
INGLIS 3 2 21 2½   3610¾ (patt jr)GREEN AUBRIE 125 12.00 30.20  
BITSY'S STAR 1 7 8 77   7711 (david b)TORRES A 117 6.00 7.40  
DEE'S LEGS 7 10 1113¾ 1112½   911 811 (nelson r)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 8.00 13.00  
COMPUTERIZED 4 3 3 55   89 915½ (peterson jes)ALBERT S 125 12.00 21.50  
HAPPY SEASON 6 6 910½ 1010   1013 1016½ (zenon charles)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 6.00 11.80  
10  SOCIAL SOLUTION 10 5 78 89   1116 1126¾ (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 125 12.00 37.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.