Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Wednesday - March 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(6/2/7)-(9/8/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(9/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(9/8/4/3)-(6/1/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (9/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/4/3)-(9/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/4/3)-(9/8/4/3)-(9/8/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/4/3)-(6/1/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/8/4/3)-(6/1/7/2)-(5/1/6/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-4   WIN (6/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/2)-(6/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/2)-(6/1/7/2)-(6/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/7/2)-(5/1/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/2)-(5/1/6/2)-(6/1/9/8/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-5   WIN (5/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/2)-(6/1/9/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/2)-(6/1/9/8/3)-(1/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-6   WIN (6/1/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/9/8/3)-(6/1/9/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/9/8/3)-(6/1/9/8/3)-(6/1/9/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/9/8/3)-(1/6/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/9/8/3)-(1/6/7)-(7/2/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(7/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(7/2/8/1)-(9/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-8   WIN (7/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/1)-(7/2/8/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/1)-(7/2/8/1/9)-(7/2/8/1/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/8/1)-(9/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FG-9   WIN (9/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/8)-(9/5/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/8)-(9/5/8/2/1)-(9/5/8/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE BO Dec22 Dec01 Sep03 Aug06 Jul17 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50    
2  ZOOM ERIN Feb22 Jan12 Sep02 Jul16 Jun01 (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
3  SWIZZLECITY Jan04 Sep04 Jul02 Jun17 Apr26 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LADY SHYLOCK Oct19 Sep30 Sep10 May27 Mar30 (falcone n)CURTIS BEN 121 2.00 26% 2.80    
5  INDY LOVER Feb24 Feb10 Jan25 Jan11 Dec09 (morrell cynthi)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00    
SCR  ROLL GYPSY ROLL Feb16 Feb02 Dec27 Nov22 Oct12 (richard chris)GRAHAM J 124 4.50    
7  RYAN'S GRACE Feb24 Dec29 Oct14 Jul20 May20 (castille carrol)LANERIE J 121 8.00    
 
FG-2   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET MELODY Feb02 Jan21 Dec22 Dec01 Jul29 (williams k)ALBERT S 121 20.00    
2  LILY'S CREED Feb23 Jan21 Jan04 Jun11 May19 (scherer t)NAVAS YOEL 116 3.00 30% 2.30    
3  MS. PRIESTLY Dec22 Nov21 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 (constantine caro)MELANCON G 121 20.00    
4  FREEFORM Feb16 Jan11 Dec21 Nov30 Jun02 (habeeb don)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.00    
5  STAR'S DREAM Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 Dec10 Aug20 (hargrave )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00 ★    
6  MACEE Feb25 Jan25 Jan05 Dec10 Jul20 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 1.80 41% 1.40    
7  PLANTS AND BIRDS Feb23 Jan21 Aug04 Jul07 May20 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-3   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHY WAIT Feb01 Jan05 Dec01 Jun10 May28 (dandridge )ALBERT S 121 20.00    
2  MRS. NECAISE Feb15 Dec01 Aug11 May25 Apr12 (ladner herman)CURTIS BEN 121 5.00    
3  BLESS D'SOUTH Feb16 Jan06 Dec21 Nov24 Nov08 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ADDI BUG Feb23 Nov29 Nov15 Jul29 Mar25 (gomez c)POMPELL L 121 4.50 8% 11.40    
5  CRYPTO BRAVE Feb21 Feb01 Jan05 Dec01 Nov08 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 121 15.00    
SCR  JULIO CHOICE Feb23 Jan04 Dec15 Dec01 Nov17 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
7  STOP SHOP N DROP Dec21 Nov08 Oct28 Oct14 Jul28 (castille rickey)MCMAHON J 121 12.00    
8  LOYAL TO THE CHIEF Feb01 Jan05 Dec14 Aug20 Jul30 (terre davi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
9  CCED FOR STEPH Feb01 Jan07 Dec10 Jun01 Apr22 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 1.60 45% 1.20    
 
FG-4   03/13/2024 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON THE NILE Jan28 Nov29       (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 119 3.50 12% 7.10    
2  ANSWER THE CALL Jan26 Dec29 Nov14 Oct28 Sep30 (sharp joe)LANERIE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  JOCASTA Feb15 Jan19 Dec31 Dec03 Nov02 (scherer gary)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00    
4  DANCING NANCY Feb15 Dec31 Nov15 Oct21 Aug20 (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 8.00    
5  BELLA CRUELLA Feb09 Jan20 Aug18 Aug01   (williamson bria)MCMAHON J 119 8.00    
6  BERLAINE Feb15 Feb02 Dec29 Nov25 Oct06 (claire ale)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
7  CORA'S LEGACY Feb17 Jan18 Dec14 Oct21 Sep04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 5.00 12% 7.20    
 
FG-5   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNFATHOMED Feb09 Dec18 Nov18 Nov08 Oct25 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 18% 4.70    
2  NORTHERNREFLECTION Feb13 Feb01 Jan11 Dec16 Nov25 (jeansonne justin)CURTIS BEN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ZONG TOUGH Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 Nov30 Jun12 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
4  PINCH ME A PENNY Feb18 Jan25 Jan01 Nov10 Oct07 (camejo jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00    
5  HOT LE ROY Feb03 Jan04 Dec02 Nov15 Oct19 (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
6  AND FIFTY Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 Nov25 Jul20 (david s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 15% 5.70    
7  GALLANT STAR Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov30 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00    
SCR  STEAL IT BACK Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 (west g)MCMAHON J 121 12.00    
9  CHEROKEE TAKEOVER Feb18 Feb01 Nov10 Oct06 Jul21 (foster josep)TORRES A 121 4.00    
 
FG-6   03/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZOE'S PRIME Feb18         (camejo jose )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 28% 2.50    
2  LAUGHING OUT LOUD Feb18 Feb01       (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 10.00    
3  AWESOME BECCA         (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  GIFT GORGEOUS         (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00    
5  MY SOUTHERN GIRL Feb18         (breaux samue)TORRES A 122 15.00    
6  CANDY LOVER Feb04 Nov25 Nov02 Oct05 Aug20 (devaux che)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
7  SHETALKSTOANGELS         (casse w)LANERIE J 122 6.00    
8  LA SCALONETA Dec29 Nov17 Oct11 Sep16   (correas iv)GRAHAM J 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
9  LADY ABERDEEN Jan19 Dec14       (walsh brenda)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 8% 12.10    
 
FG-7   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($59K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEBURN Feb22 Jan28 Dec31 Dec10 Nov05 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 117 2.00 64% 0.60    
2  DAT GUITAR Feb24 Jan06 Dec13 Nov25 Nov08 (ramirez eduardo)CURTIS BEN 122 10.00    
SCR  RUNNING ARGUMENT Feb17 Nov17 Oct13 Aug05 Jul07 (robbins jr)STOKES J 114 15.00    
SCR  GUITAR SOLO Feb03 Dec31 Dec09 Nov30   (landry ra)LANERIE J 117 1.60    
5  DANCE LIL DARLING Feb24 Sep09 Aug26 Apr26 Apr08 (garcia luis)RODRIGUEZ T 122 15.00    
6  CANKTON'S COWGIRL Feb15 Jan19 Dec15     (landry ra)POMPELL L 114 10.00 9% 9.80    
7  LUYV Feb24 Jan25 Jan11 Dec15 Dec01 (goins garland)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 8.00 6% 16.80    
8  LOUISIANA LIBERTY Feb10 Jan11 Dec14 Nov17 Oct06 (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 122 6.00    
 
FG-8   03/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMOND LORD Feb17         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of CATCHING DIAMONDS by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  MAP TO THE STARS Feb13         (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 17% 4.80    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of INCLUDE ME OUT by INCLUDE)
3  BALTIMORE HEART Feb13 Jan12 Dec16     (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of FLIGHT PATTERN by STRAIGHT LINE)
4  BRONTE DIEM Feb13         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of ZAMSWEET by ZAMINDAR)
5  TAKETHEFIFTH Feb08 Oct05       (rubley kell)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 20.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of PERDONA by BLAME)
6  CAPER'S HOOLEY Jun17         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of BEAR IT by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
7  HERO WORSHIP Feb08 Dec30 Nov24     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ADORE YOU by TACTICAL CAT)
8  LUCCHESI         (stall m)LANERIE J 122 4.50 13% 6.60    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of A. A. AZULA'S ARCH by ARCH)
9  RUNAWAY JOKE Jan21 Dec14 Nov22 Oct18 Sep07 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of QUIVERY by VIOLENCE)
SCR  HONORANDPRINCIPLE         (roussel j)NAVAS YOEL 117 8.00    
  (by FROSTED out of FLAME MINGO by BLAME)
SCR  MISTER LINCOLN Feb17         (asmussen ste)TORRES A 122 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HOT DIXIE CHICK by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  COACH CAMPBELL         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of FAITH PROOF by IDIOT PROOF)
 
FG-9   03/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BITSY'S STAR Feb22 Jan19 Dec09     (david b)TORRES A 117 6.00 ★    
2  LOVELY SASSICAIA Feb15 Jan27 Oct07 Aug10   (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 12.00 ★    
3  INGLIS Feb22 Feb07 Dec29 Dec13 Nov29 (patt jr)GREEN AUBRIE 125 12.00    
4  COMPUTERIZED Feb22 Feb08 Nov17 May27 Apr27 (peterson j)ALBERT S 125 12.00    
5  GUMBALL Feb22         (david b)NAVAS YOEL 112 4.00 37% 1.70    
6  HAPPY SEASON Nov02 May26 May04 Mar08 Feb16 (zenon charles)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 6.00    
7  DEE'S LEGS Feb22 Jan18 Dec29 Dec07 Nov10 (nelson eric )NIEVES EMANUEL 125 8.00    
8  PUPPETEER (GB) Feb15 Jan04 Dec19 Nov25 Oct20 (castille carrol)LANERIE J 117 4.50 5% 19.00    
9  MATZOH BALL Jan20 Dec31 Nov29 Nov03   (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 117 5.00 41% 1.40    
10  SOCIAL SOLUTION Feb18 Jan07 Dec16     (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 125 12.00    
11  HIT THE BULLSEYE Feb22 Dec19 Nov29 Nov03   (pedigo ran)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.