Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Wednesday - December 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-5   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.60 $1.60 27%
DED-8   WIN (2/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  9 $9.60 $3.60 60%
    EXA (2/9/3)-(2/9/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-1 $25.10 $13.10 109%
    DD (6/2/4)-(2/9/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-9 $15.30 $6.30 70%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   12/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:16     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PORTO DEL ACE 2 6 42 53   4 1 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 1.80 35% 1.90 0.50 W
  (by HARD ACES out of FRANCESCA DEL PORT by PORTO FORICOS)
CRIMSON GLORY 1 4 11 1   12 2 (chatters benard)ROSIER R 122 12.00 4.80  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SANDONA GIRL by DISCREET CAT)
TIME TO CLOSE 4 2 31 2   22 3 (celestine charles )STOKES J 123 6.00 38.20  
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of TIME TO EMBRACE by HALF OURS)
RONA VISION 5 7 7 7   6 4 (nixon thomas )LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 14.70  
  (by COURT VISION out of ETBAUER'S CHOICE by ETBAUER)
SECRET GUITAR 6 3 5 4   32 5 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 122 3.50 23% 3.30 5.40  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BROOK'S SECRET by HENNY HUGHES)
NATURALBORNSENDER 7 5 63 6   75 611 (zeno benjam)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 6.00 29.30  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SOLID SENDER by EARLY FLYER)
HONEST DEAL 3 1 21 3   5 712 (noel dane)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00 14% 6.10 8.20  
  (by EL DEAL out of HONEST DANDY by HONEST MAN)
SCR  QUEEN'S SOLDIER               (averett ronnie)TORRES HUGO 122 20.00    
  (by SADIE'S SOLDIER out of BLACK MARIAH by DEVIL HIS DUE)
 
DED-2   12/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:34
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:144     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEAN AMERICAN 2 2 2 2½   11 13 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 2.00 1.70  
HURRICANE TIZWAY 1 1 1 1½   21 23 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 8.00 28.20  
SABER QUEEN 5 5 5 5   33 3 (gonzalez v)STOKES J 116 6.00 43% 1.30 4.30 S
DANCE LADY 6 4 3 3   4 4 (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 119 4.00 28% 2.60 3.80  
SHESAHEATWAVE 3 6 65 65   54 5 (bullene mic)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 5.30  
TAYLOR'S SECRET 4 3 43 44   66 615 (gelner jayd)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 10.00 5% 19.00 2.90  
SCR  AMERICAN REALITY               (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00    
 
DED-3   12/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 7:03
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:162     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HART'S PRETTY GIRL 7 2 24 2½   2nk 1 (landry allen)MAGNON H 122 3.50 30% 2.40 3.40 W
LORD HARMONY 3 5 4 31   1nk 2 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 8% 11.80 2.00 P
BELLAMYSAWESOMEDAY 2 6 610 45   4 3 (alberto antonio)BIRZER E 122 3.00 3.40  
AMERICAN CHICK 9 8 715 6   33 4 (breaux samuel)ROSIER R 122 8.00 8% 11.80 8.50  
COZY COURTNEY 5 4 815 910½   66 5 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 122 10.00 13.20  
SUGAR CANE GAL 8 9 916½ 79   55 6 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.50 22% 3.60 7.00  
ALESSANDE 4 10 1022½ 1014½   710 716¾ (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 122 8.00 8% 11.80 11.20  
WITH A SONG 6 7 59 8   812 826¾ (averett ronnie)TORRES HUGO 122 15.00 70.60  
10  IDO SOLEMNLY SWEAR 10 3 14 1½   912½ 931¾ (west henry)DEL-CID MARLON 117 15.00 61.40  
SOUTHEASTER 1 1 3 5   1013½ 1035 (averett ron)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 15.00 57.70  
 
DED-4   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:14 1:273   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONITOR MILLS 8 1 11 12 1 12 1 (chatters benard)BIRZER E 119 5.00 9.60  
SARAH'S VISION 1 4 21 22 33 3 2 (klanfer ala)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 2.50 30% 2.30 1.60 P
QUARTER RAT 4 3 3 32 2 22 3 (delahoussaye)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 5.80  
J C'S IN TOWN 6 2 4 4 44 4 4 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 8.00 13% 6.80 3.70  
GOTTATAKEHIMTO 5 9 910¾ 912¼ 710 6 5 (patt jr)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 12.00 15% 5.70 71.30  
SWIFT N TRAFFIC 2 5 52 5 55 55 6 (mouton chad)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.50 3.50  
SABER STORM 7 7 7 6 68 7 79 (delany sarah)STOKES J 119 4.50 10% 8.70 7.40  
MY BOOK 9 6 64 78 810½ 811½ 819½ (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00 71.60  
NOW NOW MAN 3 8 8 8 911 911½ 920¼ (nelson r)VARGAS P 119 20.00 71.90  
 
DED-5   12/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:223 :471       1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUVY'S BANDIT 4 7 5 42   4¾ 1nk (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.00 40% 1.50 2.80 W
WORK ALL DAY 2 3 3.2 1½   1nk 2nk (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 123 12.00 12.80  
RED IDOL 1 6 6 6   5 3¼ (thomas lee)MAGNON H 119 12.00 6.10  
COUNTRY CAT JAKE 3 4 2nk 2½   2nk 4¾ (nelson r)POMPELL L 119 4.50 22% 3.50 1.40  
ARKANSAS ZONG 7 2 4¼ 3   3.2 5 (dison m)TORRES HUGO 123 3.50 4.30  
QUICK ZONG 5 5 1nk 5   6 611½ (dison ma)STOKES A 122 10.00 21.10  
FISHIN WITH PETE 6 1 7 76   7 714¾ (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 119 6.00 11% 8.30 10.30  
SCR  FREE FALLING NATE               (briley lonn)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 6.00    
 
DED-6   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:28
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:141 1:281   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEORGIA DAWN 5 1 55 53 22 2 1 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 3.50 3.90  
IN THE RED 8 4 43 31 12 1 2 (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 13% 6.60 8.20 P
MIDNIGHT TRIP 4 8 710½ 7 5 3 3 (zeno benjam)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 12.00 15.30  
ASHLEY'S GIRL 1 7 812½ 811¼ 77 5 4 (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 6.00 12% 7.30 15.20  
MSCHITCHATTOUR 3 9 913½ 912¼ 9 69 510½ (zenon shelto)DEL-CID MARLON 116 15.00 30.90  
WATERS OF MEROM 2 6 6 43 34 4 612½ (gonzalez v)BIRZER E 121 8.00 14% 6.00 6.70  
TEASIN' TESLA 9 5 31 6 8 8 715¾ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 2.00 28% 2.60 1.00  
HARLANS WARRIOR 7 3 2½ 2½ 4 79 818¾ (latour nicholas)STOKES J 121 20.00 48.30  
BEYOND THE HYPE 6 2 1½ 1½ 66 9 919½ (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 121 5.00 9.70  
 
DED-7   12/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 8:56
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:142     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTOFMAINE 5 2 21 1½   12 1 (calhoun wil)MELANCON JANSEN 118 1.60 43% 1.30 1.80 W
SAVED BY GRACE 4 5 47 46   33 2 (scherer gary)THORNTON G 118 6.00 6.80  
PLUM WINE 1 4 5 58   4 3 (johnson henry)VARGAS P 120 3.50 15% 5.90 2.90 S
ONE LINE RULER 2 1 34 33   22 4 (castille ca)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 2.50 3.00  
SHE SMILED AT ME 3 3 11 2½   5 514¼ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 15.00 11% 7.90 3.50  
SCR  COMMUNICATIONISKEY               (villafranco fred)BIRZER E 118 6.00    
 
DED-8   12/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:24
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:15     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC GLASS 8 3 5 4   1nk 1 (bryant geor)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50 37% 1.70 3.80 W
ROLL GYPSY ROLL 1 4 87 88   7 2 (richard chris)STOKES J 118 3.50 4.30 P
LAYLA'S SONG 4 9 98 6   5 3 (antwine michae)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 8.00 7.50  
APRIORITY CATCH 5 7 6 74   4 4 (thomas lee)MAGNON H 117 15.00 29.00  
GAP DADDY 6 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 5 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 20.00 42.30  
BOARDWALK QUEEN 2 5 43 5   6 6 (berndt joel)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 2.50 38% 1.70 1.10  
ZIPPING MOLLY 7 2 1½ 1nk   3.2 7 (robbins jr)STOKES A 115 6.00 17.40  
10  ILIMITADA 9 8 7 9   9 812½ (escobar aliso)VARGAS P 122 20.00 59.80  
HIGH DONNA 3 6 31 31   8 912¾ (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
SCR  ARMS APRIORITY               (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 116 8.00    
SCR  CALIFORNIA BELLE               (latour nichol)VARGAS P 118 12.00    
SCR  OUR HALLIE               (dixon tim)POMPELL L 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.