Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Wednesday - December 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(5/6/4)-(7/8/3/4/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-2   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(7/8/3/4/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(7/8/3/4/9)-(1/5/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (7/8/3/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/4/9)-(7/8/3/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/4/9)-(7/8/3/4/9)-(7/8/3/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/3/4/9)-(1/5/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/4/9)-(1/5/6/7)-(5/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-4   WIN (1/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7/8)-(1/5/6/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/6/7)-(5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/7)-(5/4/7)-(9/2/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-5   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/8)-(5/4/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(9/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7)-(9/2/8/1)-(6/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-6   WIN (9/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/8/1)-(9/2/8/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/8/1)-(9/2/8/1/5)-(9/2/8/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/2/8/1)-(6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/8/1)-(6/2/4)-(2/9/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-7   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(2/9/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DED-8   WIN (2/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/3)-(2/9/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/3)-(2/9/8/3/1)-(2/9/8/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   12/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRIMSON GLORY Dec01 Feb24 Feb03     (chatters benard)ROSIER R 122 12.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SANDONA GIRL by DISCREET CAT)
2  PORTO DEL ACE Nov08 Aug11 Jul29 Jul07 Jun23 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
  (by HARD ACES out of FRANCESCA DEL PORT by PORTO FORICOS)
SCR  QUEEN'S SOLDIER Nov16 Aug05 Jun16 Apr12   (averett ronnie)TORRES HUGO 122 20.00    
  (by SADIE'S SOLDIER out of BLACK MARIAH by DEVIL HIS DUE)
4  HONEST DEAL Nov21         (noel dane)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
  (by EL DEAL out of HONEST DANDY by HONEST MAN)
5  TIME TO CLOSE Dec16 Nov30 Nov01 Jun23 Jun08 (celestine charles )STOKES J 123 6.00    
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of TIME TO EMBRACE by HALF OURS)
6  RONA VISION Nov08 Sep11 Aug13 Jul23 Jun18 (nixon thomas )LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 ★    
  (by COURT VISION out of ETBAUER'S CHOICE by ETBAUER)
7  SECRET GUITAR Dec01 Nov01 Sep11 Jul22   (latour nichol)VARGAS P 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BROOK'S SECRET by HENNY HUGHES)
8  NATURALBORNSENDER Nov02 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun16 (zeno benjam)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 6.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SOLID SENDER by EARLY FLYER)
 
DED-2   12/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRICANE TIZWAY Nov17 Oct14 Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 8.00    
2  MEAN AMERICAN Dec16 Oct21 Aug21 Aug05 Jul07 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 2.00    
3  SHESAHEATWAVE Dec06 Nov17 Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 (bullene mic)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50    
4  TAYLOR'S SECRET Dec15 Nov25 Aug12 Jul06 Jun11 (gelner jayd)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SABER QUEEN Dec16 Oct28 Oct22 Oct08 Oct01 (gonzalez v)STOKES J 116 6.00 43% 1.30    
6  DANCE LADY Nov30 Nov04 Aug05 Jul02 Jun16 (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  AMERICAN REALITY Nov30 Oct29 Oct22 Oct08 Oct01 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00    
 
DED-3   12/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHEASTER Nov11         (averett ron)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 15.00    
2  BELLAMYSAWESOMEDAY Dec08 Nov22 Nov11 Oct14 Sep10 (alberto antonio)BIRZER E 122 3.00    
3  LORD HARMONY         (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 8% 11.80    
4  ALESSANDE         (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 122 8.00 8% 11.80    
5  COZY COURTNEY Nov22 Oct14       (ward ronnie)STOKES J 122 10.00    
6  WITH A SONG Nov11         (averett ronnie)TORRES HUGO 122 15.00    
7  HART'S PRETTY GIRL Dec08 Nov18 Oct11 Jul07 Jun16 (landry allen)MAGNON H 122 3.50 30% 2.40    
8  SUGAR CANE GAL         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
9  AMERICAN CHICK         (breaux samuel)ROSIER R 122 8.00 8% 11.80    
10  IDO SOLEMNLY SWEAR Nov30 Nov11 Oct14     (west henry)DEL-CID MARLON 117 15.00    
 
DED-4   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH'S VISION Dec01 Oct28 Jul23 Jun10 May20 (klanfer ala)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  SWIFT N TRAFFIC Dec07 Nov24 Oct28 Aug29 Jul29 (mouton chad)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.50    
3  NOW NOW MAN Dec01 Nov11 Oct18 Jul31 Jul01 (nelson r)VARGAS P 119 20.00    
4  QUARTER RAT Nov25 Oct27 Jul28 Jul07 Jun10 (delahoussaye)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00    
5  GOTTATAKEHIMTO Dec07 Nov08 Oct18 Jul20 Jun09 (patt jr)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 12.00 15% 5.70    
6  J C'S IN TOWN Dec14 Dec01 Oct20 Sep03 Jul31 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 8.00 13% 6.80    
7  SABER STORM Dec01 Nov09 Oct11 Jul22 Jun15 (delany sarah)STOKES J 119 4.50 10% 8.70    
8  MONITOR MILLS Dec14 Oct20 Oct06 Jul13 May26 (chatters benard)BIRZER E 119 5.00 ★    
9  MY BOOK Dec07 Nov08 Oct20 Jun10 May18 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00    
 
DED-5   12/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED IDOL Dec01 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24   (thomas lee)MAGNON H 119 12.00    
SCR  FREE FALLING NATE Jul14 Jun23 May25 Apr27 Jul10 (briley lonn)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 6.00    
3  WORK ALL DAY Mar23 Mar12 Feb04 Jan21 Jan01 (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 123 12.00    
4  COUNTRY CAT JAKE Dec07 Nov22 Apr13 Feb28 Feb16 (nelson r)POMPELL L 119 4.50 22% 3.50    
5  TRUVY'S BANDIT Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct18 Aug11 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
6  QUICK ZONG Nov29 Oct27       (dison ma)STOKES A 122 10.00    
7  FISHIN WITH PETE Nov22 Nov10 Oct08 Aug19   (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 119 6.00 11% 8.30    
8  ARKANSAS ZONG Dec13 Nov29 Nov04 Oct07 Aug10 (dison m)TORRES HUGO 123 3.50 ★    
 
DED-6   12/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASHLEY'S GIRL Oct13 Aug19 Jul06 May11 Apr26 (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 6.00 12% 7.30    
2  WATERS OF MEROM Dec08 Nov25 Nov09 Oct19 Aug04 (gonzalez v)BIRZER E 121 8.00 14% 6.00    
3  MSCHITCHATTOUR Dec13 Nov22 Oct25 Oct14 Aug28 (zenon shelto)DEL-CID MARLON 116 15.00    
4  MIDNIGHT TRIP Dec07 Nov22 Oct07 Aug21 Jul09 (zeno benjam)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 12.00    
5  GEORGIA DAWN Nov25 Nov04 Aug26 Jul14 Jun08 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 3.50 ★    
6  BEYOND THE HYPE Nov22 Oct07 Aug26 Jun19 Jun05 (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 121 5.00    
7  HARLANS WARRIOR Nov30 Nov02 Jul14 Jun08 Apr21 (latour nicholas)STOKES J 121 20.00    
8  IN THE RED Nov25 Aug13 Jul21 Jul03 May20 (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 13% 6.60    
9  TEASIN' TESLA Nov25 Jul01 Apr15 Feb15 Dec22 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
 
DED-7   12/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COMMUNICATIONISKEY Oct27 Oct07 Aug26 Aug06 Jul17 (villafranco fred)BIRZER E 118 6.00    
2  PLUM WINE Nov22 Oct26 Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 (johnson henry)VARGAS P 120 3.50 15% 5.90    
3  ONE LINE RULER Dec09 Nov11 Oct14 Aug04 Jun16 (castille ca)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 2.50    
4  SHE SMILED AT ME Nov10         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 15.00 11% 7.90    
5  SAVED BY GRACE Dec03 Nov17 Aug05 Jul09   (scherer gary)THORNTON G 118 6.00    
6  LIGHTOFMAINE Dec09 Nov17 Oct14 Aug04   (calhoun wil)MELANCON JANSEN 118 1.60 43% 1.30    
 
DED-8   12/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLL GYPSY ROLL Nov22 Oct12 Sep16 Aug30 Jul29 (richard chris)STOKES J 118 3.50 ★    
2  BOARDWALK QUEEN Sep02 Jul27 Nov24 Oct30 Sep25 (berndt joel)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 2.50 38% 1.70    
3  HIGH DONNA Nov21 Oct25 Sep05 Aug20 Jul13 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LAYLA'S SONG Oct25 Aug20 Aug07 Jul08 May14 (antwine michae)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 8.00    
5  APRIORITY CATCH Dec09 Nov18 Oct27     (thomas lee)MAGNON H 117 15.00    
SCR  CALIFORNIA BELLE Nov21 Jul08 Jun01 May18 Apr27 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 118 12.00    
7  GAP DADDY Dec09 Nov21 Jul31 Jul10   (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 20.00    
8  ZIPPING MOLLY Dec15 Dec01 Nov02 Aug10 Jul01 (robbins jr)STOKES A 115 6.00 ★    
9  MAGIC GLASS Nov21 Oct18 Aug30 Aug02 Jun28 (bryant geor)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50 37% 1.70    
10  ILIMITADA Dec02 Oct28 Sep03 Jul23 Jul02 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 122 20.00    
SCR  OUR HALLIE Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Oct28 Sep03 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 123 8.00    
SCR  ARMS APRIORITY Dec06 Aug10 Apr26 Apr07 Feb18 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 116 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.