Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $7.00 $1.00 17%
DED-2   EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00  4-2 $9.60 $7.60 380%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   12/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:221 :464       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZERO POINT ZERO 2 5 5 46   24 1¼ (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 119 4.50 13% 6.50 2.50 W
MARINA 6 1 13 14   14 2¼ (silva walter)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00 3.80  
FINISHWHATUSTARTED 3 2 23 24   34 3 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 52% 0.90 2.00 S
CHEROKEE SUMMER 1 6 610¼ 611¼   58 4 (morrell cynt)DEL-CID MARLON 114 5.00 17.80  
CHEER UP 5 3 33 34   46 5 (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00 8% 11.30 4.20  
SADIE'S RANSOM 4 4 45 5   6 611¼ (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 116 15.00 5.60  
SCR  MOODY RAFAELA               (barnes dav)RAMIREZ JR 111 20.00    
SCR  RIOBELLA               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.00    
 
DED-2   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:34
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:133 1:27   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARPE HORSESHOE 3 2 21 2½ 21 2nk 1 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 0.80 40% 1.50 0.90 W
GLANCE 1 3 11 1½ 11 1nk 2 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 12.00 22% 3.50 9.20 P
GIRL PRO 2 4 4 42 32 32 3 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 1.00  
MEAN AMERICAN 4 1 32 3 4 44 411 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 8.00 7.80  
SCR  RAIN               (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 5.00    
SCR  WHATS UP SWEETS               (broberg karl)POMPELL L 119 8.00    
 
DED-3   12/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 7:03
See original race card.
:222 :464       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GATSBY'S FORTUNE 8 1 1nk 11   12 11 (landry allen)MAGNON H 122 4.50 2.70  
TUSSLING CHARLIE 5 6 4 4   22 21 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 122 8.00 6% 14.40 6.10 P
SO MANY STORIES 6 9 99 810   7 3 (woodley j)THORNTON G 122 8.00 17.20  
ROCKING TOBE 2 7 65 6   69 4 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 122 15.00 8% 12.20 14.20  
COOL RIDE 7 5 5 5   59 511¼ (gelner scot)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00 9.30  
10  CUSTOM STAR 10 2 31 31   36 611¾ (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00 7.80  
HALF GUILTY 4 10 1012 912   913¼ 715 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 122 15.00 8% 12.20 59.80  
MAGNOLIA SPEED 9 8 76 77   811¼ 815 (blanchet chris)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 4.00 16% 5.20 5.50  
JOSEPH H 3 3 2nk 21   48 915¼ (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.50 34% 1.90 3.30  
C F HENRY 1 4 87 1014   1013¾ 1015¾ (ali andrea )SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 20.00 12.80  
SCR  LEXINGTON RIVER               (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 122 15.00    
 
DED-4   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:123 1:261   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUFFIN NUTS 7 8 9 8 4 22 1¾ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 6.00 5.10  
INDIMAAJ 4 7 41 1nk 1½ 12 2¾ (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00 5% 19.00 5.80 P
OAK HILL LG 6 9 7 4 3½ 4 37 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 1.60 44% 1.30 0.70 S
FAR BEYOND 5 5 31 2nk 2½ 34 4 (evans justin)BIRZER E 119 12.00 14.80  
AUTOPILOT 3 6 8 9 66 6 511 (arnett g)VARGAS P 119 10.00 16.90  
MR. FOUR SEVENS 8 3 5 31 54 5 613¼ (bullene mic)MELANCON JANSEN 116 6.00 24.30  
WAR RON 1 2 2½ 7 7 710½ 716 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
STATE OF THE UNION 9 4 6 6 811½ 816½ 828 (bruno l)ROMAN KEVIN 119 15.00 37.20  
I WILL STAND 2 1 1½ 5 912 918½ 932 (richard chris)STOKES J 119 4.00 31% 2.20 9.50  
 
DED-5   12/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:22 :461       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTNING HART 5 1 11 1½   11 1nk (dixon tim)POMPELL L 119 15.00 2.60  
D'WILD MUFFIN 3 7 7 66   5 2nk (hibdon n)BIRZER E 116 8.00 9.70  
SABER QUEEN 4 9 9 9   6 3 (gonzalez v)STOKES J 116 12.00 7% 13.90 20.40 S
JAZZ BRUNCH 1 8 31 2½   21 4 (arnett jon )MELANCON JANSEN 119 2.50 3.40  
LOTS OF GOLD 2 6 5 43   4 5 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00 6.00  
HARRIET'S DREAM 8 4 21 31   33 65 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 116 4.50 50% 1.00 4.90  
BIND ON EARTH 7 2 6 76   7 75 (west henry)FUSILIER C 120 3.50 8% 12.30 4.50  
DONNAS FINAL WORD 6 5 8 88   88 87 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00 7% 14.20 30.90  
STARBUCK LUCK 9 3 42 55   910 915¼ (segura kearney)STOKES A 116 15.00 19.60  
 
DED-6   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:28
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:141     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKIN 1 2 11 1½   13 11 (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.00 1.90  
PEANUT N IKE 2 1 3 2½   23 21 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 123 5.00 28% 2.50 2.60 P
DEAL WITH HIM 7 5 42 42   35 32 (landry r)THORNTON G 123 3.50 22% 3.50 3.80 S
CARLOS'S MAMA 4 7 710 6   7 4 (bernard john)STOKES A 122 10.00 49.20  
HAIL THE CAT 3 4 56 78   6 5 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 117 10.00 8.30  
STRAY CAT STRUT 6 6 68 56   5 68 (averett ronni)VARGAS P 122 6.00 12.00  
GONE SOLUTION 5 3 21 31   48 713 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.00 24% 3.20 4.40  
 
DED-7   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:14 1:274   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON TIME 1 2 1½ 1nk 11 14 1 (pierce michael)THORNTON G 122 8.00 5.60  
BAYOU CHROME 6 5 6 5 5 4 2 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 10.00 6.40  
BRIARTOWN 8 3 31 3½ 21 24 3 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.50 14% 6.00 2.10 S
GHOST COWBOY 5 4 52 6 6 56 4 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 123 8.00 9.40  
PRESUMPTIVE CLOSER 3 6 42 4 42 35 510¼ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 6.00 13% 6.50 16.30  
NAPOLEONIC CODE 4 1 2½ 2nk 31 6 611¼ (arnett g)VARGAS P 122 4.00 50% 1.00 1.80  
LOST GOLD 2 7 7 7 7 711½ 725 (melancon donald)ROSIER R 123 20.00 58.00  
QUIET AS MIDNIGHT 7 8 8 8 8100 8100 8100 (chatters bena)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
SCR  THIRSTY PAPPY               (evans justin)BIRZER E 122 2.50    
 
DED-8   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:122 1:26   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRENCH COMPOSER 3 2 1 12 15 16 1 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 119 2.50 40% 1.50 0.50 W
WISE VERDICT 5 3 3 4 25 26 2 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 116 6.00 6.70  
GRAVES MILL ROAD 1 5 5 5 4 37 3 (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 5.00 4.90 S
LIMONITE 7 6 7 6 5 510 49 (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 8.00 33% 2.10 5.00  
MINNESOTA MIRACLE 2 4 4 3 3 49 518¼ (segura kearney)STOKES A 119 5.00 16.10  
HARD ATTACK 4 7 6 7 7 612 619¾ (arnett jon )MELANCON JANSEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 31.30  
MOTAWAAFEQ 6 1 2 22 6 712½ 720¾ (escobar ali)MORALES ROBERTO 119 15.00 68.40  
SCR  VODKA MARTINI               (landry r)THORNTON G 118 3.50    
 
DED-9   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:52
See original race card.
:234 :492 1:16     1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR HALLIE 4 1 11 11   1nk 11 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 123 3.50 23% 3.30 0.50 W
TWISTED BRADE 7 7 32 21   2nk 21 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 51% 1.00 4.00 P
TALKABOUT 2 2 42 4   31 3 (broussard jarmo)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00 7.40  
ABBEY CAKES 1 3 54 52   44 4 (west henry)STOKES A 122 4.50 7.60  
SLIM CAUSEWAY 6 5 8 8   611 512¼ (west henry)TORRES HUGO 122 20.00 43.70  
AD LIBITUM 5 8 7 6   58 613¼ (zenon charles)STOKES J 123 12.00 50.00  
TIME TO CLOSE 8 6 65 7   813 717½ (celestine char)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 8.00 5% 19.00 16.60  
SHE'S THE SHERIFF 3 4 21 3   712½ 820¾ (garcia migue)DEL-CID MARLON 118 20.00 71.90  
SCR  LO PROFILE               (rossi j)BOREL H 122 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.