Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(4/2)-(3/9/2/4/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
DED-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(3/9/2/4/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(3/9/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/1) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
DED-3   WIN (3/9/2/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/2/4/5)-(3/9/2/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/2/4/5)-(3/9/2/4/5)-(3/9/2/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/9/2/4/5)-(6/2/4/1)-(8/7/4/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-4   WIN (6/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/7/1)-(6/2/4/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/4/1)-(8/7/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/1)-(8/7/4/6)-(2/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-5   WIN (8/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/6)-(8/7/4/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/6)-(8/7/4/6/1)-(8/7/4/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/7/4/6)-(2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4/6)-(2/5/7)-(5/9/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/1)-(2/5/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(5/9/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7)-(5/9/4/8)-(3/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-7   WIN (5/9/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/8)-(5/9/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/8)-(5/9/4/8)-(5/9/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/4/8)-(3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/9/4/8)-(3/8/4)-(7/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-8   WIN (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/4)-(3/8/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/4)-(3/8/1/4)-(3/8/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DED-9   WIN (7/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/8)-(7/4/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/8)-(7/4/1/8)-(7/4/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   12/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEROKEE SUMMER Nov10 Oct25 Jun15 Apr30 Sep15 (morrell cynt)DEL-CID MARLON 114 5.00    
SCR  RIOBELLA Nov15 Oct19 Sep01 Aug13 Jul29 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.00    
3  ZERO POINT ZERO Nov29 Oct28 Oct12 Jul21 May12 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 119 4.50 13% 6.50    
4  FINISHWHATUSTARTED Nov29 Oct21 Sep09 Aug10 Jul29 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 52% 0.90    
5  SADIE'S RANSOM Nov16 Oct25 Jul27 Jun18 May13 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 116 15.00    
6  CHEER UP Nov29 Oct21 Sep09 Aug26 Jul28 (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  MOODY RAFAELA Nov16 Jul10 May08 Feb28 Feb02 (barnes dav)RAMIREZ JR 111 20.00    
8  MARINA Nov21 Oct25 Aug12 Jul08 Jun17 (silva walter)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00    
 
DED-2   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAIN Nov22 Oct28 Aug27 Jul15 Jun09 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 5.00    
2  GLANCE Dec06 Nov17 Oct28 Oct13 Aug03 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 12.00 22% 3.50    
3  GIRL PRO Dec06 Nov03 Oct13 Sep11 Sep01 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50    
4  CARPE HORSESHOE Nov17 Nov03 Oct19 Oct07 Aug12 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 0.80 40% 1.50    
5  MEAN AMERICAN Oct21 Aug21 Aug05 Jul07 May26 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 8.00    
SCR  WHATS UP SWEETS Dec01 Nov18 Oct12 Oct07 Sep16 (broberg karl)POMPELL L 119 8.00    
 
DED-3   12/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C F HENRY Nov29 Oct13       (ali andrea )SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 20.00    
2  ROCKING TOBE         (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 122 15.00 8% 12.20    
3  JOSEPH H Nov29 Oct28       (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
4  HALF GUILTY         (ward ronnie)STOKES J 122 15.00 8% 12.20    
5  TUSSLING CHARLIE         (thomas lee)POMPELL L 122 8.00 6% 14.40    
6  SO MANY STORIES         (woodley j)THORNTON G 122 8.00    
7  COOL RIDE Nov03 Jun05 May11     (gelner scot)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00    
8  GATSBY'S FORTUNE Nov17 Oct21 Oct06     (landry allen)MAGNON H 122 4.50    
9  MAGNOLIA SPEED Nov17 Oct21       (blanchet chris)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 4.00 16% 5.20    
10  CUSTOM STAR Nov17         (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00    
SCR  LEXINGTON RIVER         (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 122 15.00    
 
DED-4   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR RON Nov18 Nov01 Sep24 Sep16 Aug25 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  I WILL STAND Oct14 Aug30 Jul19     (richard chris)STOKES J 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
3  AUTOPILOT Nov08 Oct14 Aug27 Aug12 Jul10 (arnett g)VARGAS P 119 10.00    
4  INDIMAAJ Dec02 Nov03 Oct14 Jul06 Jun09 (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  FAR BEYOND Nov17 Oct28 Oct12 Aug28 Jun17 (evans justin)BIRZER E 119 12.00    
6  OAK HILL LG Nov10 Oct26 Oct14 Sep02 Jul15 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 1.60 44% 1.30    
7  MUFFIN NUTS Dec08 Nov02 Oct12 Aug04 Jul21 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 6.00 ★    
8  MR. FOUR SEVENS Nov09 Oct27 Oct06 Sep04 Aug14 (bullene mic)MELANCON JANSEN 116 6.00    
9  STATE OF THE UNION Nov08 Oct25 Sep16 Sep03 Aug25 (bruno l)ROMAN KEVIN 119 15.00    
 
DED-5   12/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAZZ BRUNCH Nov17 Oct21 Sep17 Aug12 Jul21 (arnett jon )MELANCON JANSEN 119 2.50 ★    
2  LOTS OF GOLD Dec02 Oct21 Aug12 Jul04 Apr28 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00    
3  D'WILD MUFFIN Nov30 Oct14 Sep11 Aug27 Jul17 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 116 8.00    
4  SABER QUEEN Oct28 Oct22 Oct08 Oct01 Aug12 (gonzalez v)STOKES J 116 12.00 7% 13.90    
5  LIGHTNING HART Nov21 Nov01 Oct11 Jul09 Jun18 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 119 15.00    
6  DONNAS FINAL WORD Dec02 Oct27 Oct21 Oct01 Sep11 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00 7% 14.20    
7  BIND ON EARTH Dec02 Nov17 Oct28 Aug12 Jul27 (west henry)FUSILIER C 120 3.50 8% 12.30    
8  HARRIET'S DREAM Nov11 Oct14 Aug26 Aug06 Jul15 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 116 4.50 50% 1.00    
9  STARBUCK LUCK Dec02 May10 Apr15 Jan28 Dec30 (segura kearney)STOKES A 116 15.00    
 
DED-6   12/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPARKIN Dec02 Nov24 Sep11 Aug29 Aug05 (villafranco mar)ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.00 ★    
2  PEANUT N IKE Nov30 Oct20 Aug05 Jul22 May10 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 123 5.00 28% 2.50    
3  HAIL THE CAT Nov22 Nov01 Sep12 Aug28 Aug05 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 117 10.00    
4  CARLOS'S MAMA Dec02 Nov18 Aug11 Jun22 May10 (bernard john)STOKES A 122 10.00    
5  GONE SOLUTION Dec02 Nov18 Jun23 May26 May10 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
6  STRAY CAT STRUT Nov22 Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 May05 (averett ronni)VARGAS P 122 6.00    
7  DEAL WITH HIM Dec08 Nov01 Apr16 Mar27 Mar06 (landry r)THORNTON G 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
DED-7   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON TIME Dec01 Nov17 Oct27 Aug27 Jul03 (pierce michael)THORNTON G 122 8.00    
SCR  THIRSTY PAPPY Nov21 Aug10 Aug03 Jun18 Apr21 (evans justin)BIRZER E 122 2.50    
3  LOST GOLD Nov29 Nov11 Oct18 Aug10 Jul28 (melancon donald)ROSIER R 123 20.00    
4  PRESUMPTIVE CLOSER Nov29 Nov09 Oct18 May10 Apr19 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 6.00 13% 6.50    
5  NAPOLEONIC CODE Nov22 Nov11 Jul03 Jun25 Apr17 (arnett g)VARGAS P 122 4.00 50% 1.00    
6  GHOST COWBOY Nov16 Oct18 Aug05 Jul01 Jan27 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 123 8.00    
7  BAYOU CHROME Nov29 Nov02 Oct10 Sep19 Aug28 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 10.00    
8  QUIET AS MIDNIGHT Nov29 Oct18 Aug05 Jul08 May25 (chatters bena)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  BRIARTOWN Nov18 Oct21 Sep02 Aug10 Jul30 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
DED-8   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAVES MILL ROAD Nov29 Nov10 Oct20 Sep10 Aug19 (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 5.00 ★    
2  MINNESOTA MIRACLE Nov29 Nov10 Jul13 Jun17 Jun02 (segura kearney)STOKES A 119 5.00    
3  FRENCH COMPOSER Oct25 Oct11 Apr12 Mar10 Feb12 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
4  HARD ATTACK Oct20 Sep15 Jul16 Jun12 May29 (arnett jon )MELANCON JANSEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  WISE VERDICT Nov15 Nov02 Oct06 Aug17 Jul29 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 116 6.00    
6  MOTAWAAFEQ Oct26 Oct06 Sep09 Jul29 Jun16 (escobar ali)MORALES ROBERTO 119 15.00    
SCR  VODKA MARTINI Nov10 Oct11 Jun02     (landry r)THORNTON G 118 3.50    
8  LIMONITE Nov24 Jul02 May21 Apr02 Mar05 (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 8.00 33% 2.10    
 
DED-9   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABBEY CAKES Dec02 Nov09 Oct12 Aug20 Aug07 (west henry)STOKES A 122 4.50 ★    
2  TALKABOUT Dec02 Nov11 Sep05 Jul23   (broussard jarmo)ROMAN KEVIN 119 6.00    
3  SHE'S THE SHERIFF Nov11 Jun29 Jun02     (garcia migue)DEL-CID MARLON 118 20.00    
4  OUR HALLIE Dec02 Nov18 Oct28 Sep03 Jul17 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
5  AD LIBITUM Nov18 Feb24 Apr02 Mar12   (zenon charles)STOKES J 123 12.00    
6  SLIM CAUSEWAY Dec02 Oct28 May06 Apr07 Mar19 (west henry)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 122 20.00    
7  TWISTED BRADE Dec02 Nov09 Oct12 Aug29 Aug13 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 51% 1.00    
8  TIME TO CLOSE Nov30 Nov01 Jun23 Jun08 May05 (celestine char)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LO PROFILE Oct12 Sep03 Aug13 Jun11 May21 (rossi j)BOREL H 122 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.