The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Delta Downs
Saturday - December 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DED-1   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $24.80 $24.80 18.80
DED-2   Win (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
DED-3   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 6.20
DED-4   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
DED-5   Win (1/5/10/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $8.00 -10.00
DED-6   Win (2/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -4.20

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   12/09/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:22 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD BERT 2 5 5 33   2½ 1¾ (averett ronnie)STOKES J 119 12.00 7% 13.50 11.40 W
JANETS JAY JAY 6 4 6 6   42 2¾ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 6.00 5.00  
SAMMY DANSEUR JR. 1 6 4 5   52 3(broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.50 3.60  
PRIZELESS 4 1 3 2   31 4(broberg karl)ROMAN KEVIN 119 1.80 29% 2.40 1.40  
BERTIE'S GALAXY 5 2 1nk 1   1½ 5(terre david)ROSIER R 119 2.50 33% 2.10 4.90 DQ↓6
GRUNT 3 3 2nk 4   66 6(brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 119 6.00 4.90  
SCR  HOLY BAYOU               (klanfer alan)BIRZER E 118 12.00    
 
DED-2   12/09/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:34
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:143     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYSTAL D'ORO 4 7 6 4   33 1¼ (landry ray)ROSIER R 118 4.00 67% 0.50 0.70 W
NOWNOWDANCER 3 2 11 1½   13 2¼ (nelson r)DEL-CID MARLON 114 10.00 17.60  
10  WORLD OF HURT 10 9 1011¼ 1010½   66 3¾ (brinkman brett)VARGAS P 119 4.50 7.10  
QUEEN OF THE MOON 7 10 9 8   45 4(antwine michael)NEGRON LUIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00 35.30  
GEAUX VOTE 8 3 32 3½   23 5(brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 119 8.00 34.00  
RUN BAMBI RUN 6 1 21 2½   565 (berndt joel)BIRZER E 122 3.00 2.30  
APRIORITY CATCH 2 5 4 6   79 712¾ (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 5% 19.00 33.40  
BAYOU BEAUTY 5 6 8 9   812 815¾ (rangel raul)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00 41.30  
RIPTIDE ROSE 9 4 5 52   912¼ 916¾ (silva walter)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00 49.70  
GAP DADDY 1 8 7 7   1016¼ 1024¾ (nelson r)ROMAN KEVIN 122 15.00 20.80  
 
DED-3   12/09/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 7:03
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:143     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TDZSHININLUCKYSTAR 4 3 4 2nk   12 1(roberts kenneth)ROSIER R 122 2.00 38% 1.60 5.10 W
CAJUN CYCLONE 5 1 3.2 1nk   22 2(courville ricky)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 22% 3.50 5.10 P
DEACON JONES 6 6 6 54   35 3(ortiz javie)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 10.00 13.20  
GAMER NATE 1 5 1nk 3½   448 (briley lonnie)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00 18% 4.50 2.40  
NO MORE WORDS 3 4 5 6   611½ 517¾ (richard chris)BIRZER E 122 8.00 2.30  
MAJESTIC PALACE 2 2 2nk 41   5621¾ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 3.50 3.50  
SCR  TONI'S INFERNO               (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00    
 
DED-4   12/09/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:131 1:264   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLEETRIDGE 1 1 2nk 22 2½ 1nk 1hd (arnett g)MELANCON JANSEN 119 2.00 33% 2.00 0.60 W
GET THEM JUSTIN 4 5 4 33 3½ 2nk 2hd (segura kearney)STOKES A 116 6.00 6.50  
RUNTODAY 3 2 1nk 12 1½ 32 34 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 118 4.50 7.50  
GUITAR SLIM 5 3 34 56 4 45 4(bryant all)TORRES HUGO 116 6.00 6% 15.50 5.90  
WARRIOR'S RUN 6 6 6 610 6 65(guillory jr)FUSILIER C 119 8.00 19.50  
BURNING LEAVES 2 4 5 46 5 56(berndt joel)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 3.00 32% 2.20 5.20  
SCR  WOKE UP IN LOVE               (arnett g)VARGAS P 119 12.00    
 
DED-5   12/09/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:153     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY ENVOY 3 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 11 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 118 4.50 3.00  
10  CAYMAN QUEEN 10 9 7 65   42 21 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 10.00 17% 4.80 4.00 P
INDY LOVER 2 3 1nk 2nk   2½ 3(morrell cynthia)ROSIER R 119 15.00 20.70  
LIKE FINE WINE 7 6 31 31   34(berndt joel)STOKES J 118 2.50 5.40  
SIMPLE SUNDAY 4 5 65 8   54 5(ward ronnie)VARGAS P 116 12.00 7% 13.70 6.80  
AVENDORE 1 4 8 9   76 6(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 3.50 26% 2.90 4.50  
I'M ALL MIXED UP 6 2 42 4   66 7(nelson r)DEL-CID MARLON 111 20.00 46.70  
SHE'S TAKIN OVER 5 7 9 7   888 (johnson b)MUNOZ SERGIO 111 8.00 24% 3.20 9.80  
MARILYN'S MAGIC 8 8 54 54   9921¾ (barnes lee)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 84.60  
CAJUN TWO STEP 9 10 10 1010¾   1016½ 1026¾ (breaux samuel)NEGRON LUIS 116 6.00 7.00  
SCR  ELIZABETH RENEE               (chevis a)ROSIER R 116 20.00    
 
DED-6   12/09/2023 4950ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:28
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:13     1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO MINUTE DRILL 7 2 12 11   14 1(arnett g)VARGAS P 118 3.00 32% 2.20 0.90 W
ANOTHER HOT MESS 2 3 33 21   24 2(brinkman brett)BIRZER E 119 2.00 35% 1.80 2.10 P
MARINA'S GOLD 1 4 56 713   613 3(richard chris)STOKES J 119 6.00 9.90  
DASHYNS DREAM 5 5 45 4   49 411¼ (gelner j)ROMAN KEVIN 118 5.00 33.10  
TENSAS CANDY 8 7 66 610   510 511¼ (lara jorge)NEGRON LUIS 118 5.00 16.20  
KELA'S TURN 6 1 22 3   38 615¼ (guillory henr)MELANCON JANSEN 119 10.00 6% 16.00 4.80  
AKIANE'S SOLDIER 4 8 8 813   817 720¾ (boxie s)STOKES A 116 20.00 ######  
TINCANDANCE 3 6 7 5   714 822 (lara jorge)MORALES ROBERTO 116 12.00 5% 19.00 35.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.