The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Delta Downs
Monday - December 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DED-1   Win (4/5/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $69.00 -8.00
DED-2   Win (4/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $25.00 $25.00 17.00
DED-3   Win (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60
DED-4   Win (1/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -3.60
DED-5   Win (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
DED-6   Win (5/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 2.80
DED-7   Win (4/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 0.60
DED-8   Win (7/5/2/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -5.40

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   12/18/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
See original race card.
:224 :472       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVANNAH'S HERE 1 6 3 3   3½ 1½ (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 6.00 33.50  
CHACHA TO CATALINA 8 4 2½ 2½   1nk 2½ (arey anthony)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00 14% 6.10 0.40 P
RUN AWAY SAMARI 4 8 7 56   42 3(ramirez julio)TORRES HUGO 122 3.50 39% 1.60 12.40 S
GATSBY'S GIFT 6 1 1½ 1½   2nk 43 (larrosa a)DEL-CID MARLON 117 10.00 23.40  
TROSKA 5 3 6 4   553 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 122 2.50 21% 3.80 6.20  
BRIDLED UP 7 7 8 7   66(magnon rylee)MAGNON H 123 10.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
BOSTON BELLE 3 2 4 6   778 (segura kearney)STOKES J 123 5.00 15.90  
APRIORITY GIRL 2 5 5 8   810½ 814½ (west henry)STOKES A 123 15.00 82.20  
 
DED-2   12/18/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:23
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:154     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR CLOVER GAL 6 2 3 2nk   2nk 1hd (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.50 15% 5.60 11.50 W
MISS CHARGE IT 4 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2hd (broberg karl)THORNTON G 122 1.60 33% 2.10 0.20 P
TERRI GOT A FRIEND 1 5 74 6   436 (bernard )RUIZ GARCIA 122 8.00 45.80  
LEPRECHAUN CHARM 8 6 63 53   54(larrosa a)VARGAS P 122 10.00 14% 6.30 16.40  
BELL PEPPER 3 7 86 8   66 5(kanhai joseph)MAGNON H 123 6.00 27.10  
PINTORA 7 8 53 3   33 6(knudsen kent)MELANCON JANSEN 122 3.50 16% 5.20 3.90  
BYE BYE BIG BABY 2 4 42 74   8711¼ (west henry)STOKES A 119 15.00 52.80  
MAVE RUNNER 5 3 2½ 42   7814¾ (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 123 15.00 92.60  
 
DED-3   12/18/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:223 :463       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUSTOM SUNSHINE 3 1 1½ 14   16 111 (pomier chasey)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 1.80 46% 1.20 0.20 W
BABY JANE 6 7 65 5   37 211 (perron gerard)VARGAS P 122 6.00 6% 15.70 18.00 P
COAL DANCER 5 2 32 24   26 311¼ (breaux samuel)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00 27% 2.80 4.80 S
BACK STREET BABY 1 5 54 6   4414½ (dixon tim)POMPELL L 122 8.00 28.00  
EVE EVE 7 4 78 7   610 515 (castille carr)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 10.00 26.20  
RT'S MYSTERY LADY 2 3 4 4   5620½ (sam w)MORALES ROBERTO 122 15.00 13.90  
FIVE LEAF CLOVER 4 6 2½ 34   716 742 (brown i)STOKES A 122 15.00 60.70  
SCR  JET ROCKET               (roberts roy)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.50    
 
DED-4   12/18/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:19
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:161     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIEWING TRAIL 1 6 54 4   3.2 1(broberg karl)THORNTON G 122 1.40 54% 0.90 1.20 W
ACELA EXPRESS 7 4 32 3   42(birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 4.50 21% 3.90 2.50 P
OLD SCHOOL FLASH 5 2 2 2½   2nk 3(villafranco frede)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.50 5% 19.00 2.40 S
PIECE OF ME 3 1 1 1½   1nk 4(larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 123 8.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
BROOKE'S ALL IN 6 3 4 54   5511¾ (dixon tim)POMPELL L 122 12.00 43.80  
ABSOLUTELY MINDY 4 7 7 78   6615¼ (charles jonat)LEDET THEODRICK 120 15.00 68.40  
THAT YOU MARGARET 2 8 812½ 813   810¾ 723½ (silkwood charles)TORRES HUGO 123 20.00 26.90  
CALIFORNIA CALI 8 5 6 66   7827¾ (latour nicholas)STOKES J 123 6.00 16.80  
 
DED-5   12/18/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:223 :463       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA TRESS GRAY 2 4 5 2½   1nk 13 (ramirez eduar)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 1.80 17% 5.00 0.70 W
ITSNOTMYJOB 4 1 1 1½   2nk 23 (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 3.50 9% 9.70 9.80 P
HOLY WAR 3 5 6 66   53(roberts roy)FUSILIER C 116 12.00 43.10  
KNIGHTS SWORD 6 3 3 44   34 4(toups brent)POMPELL L 116 6.00 3.90  
POINT OF VICTORY 1 7 7 78   67 5(bruno donald )SANTIAGO EDWARD 111 15.00 61.50  
IRON LOTUS 5 2 4 5   7614¾ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 8.00 9.10  
ESSENTIAL BELLA 7 6 2 3   46 715¼ (richard chris)STOKES J 119 2.50 46% 1.20 4.20  
 
DED-6   12/18/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:242 :494 1:153 1:284   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT IS AWESOME 2 3 11 1 1nk 11 1¾ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 2.50 32% 2.20 4.40 W
MOR KISSES 3 6 4 2 2nk 21 2¾ (delany sarah)DEL-CID MARLON 117 6.00 14% 6.10 1.50 P
COUSIN VICKIE 8 4 5 5 46 4311½ (de alex)NEGRON LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00 27.20 S
PAYTON'S INDIAN 5 1 21 3 34 36 412½ (borel renay)BOREL H 122 4.50 33% 2.00 4.50  
EASY ACT 7 5 6 6 612½ 610½ 516¼ (segura kearney)STOKES J 122 3.50 3.90  
CAT B CAUSE 4 2 3 4 5 5619 (alberto anton)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 6.00 6.70  
AUNT JANA 1 7 7 811 816 813 725¼ (west henry)LEDET THEODRICK 123 15.00 86.50  
GRAEME'S DEAL 6 8 89 7 713 713 832 (johnson b)VARGAS P 122 6.00 12.30  
 
DED-7   12/18/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:132     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONEGAL FACTOR 8 7 3 3½   2nk 1¼ (noel dane)VARGAS P 118 4.50 14% 6.30 3.30 W
CLASSIC BET 5 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 2¼ (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00 32% 2.10 4.00 P
JOLLY TOMMY 4 5 42 42   431 (knudsen kent)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.00 33% 2.10 0.60 S
UPTOWN SOCIAL 6 3 1½ 1nk   31 4(dixon tim)STOKES J 118 10.00 57.00  
MAYFIELD STRONG 3 1 73 6   55(birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 8.00 15.30  
GOD'S GOLD 2 8 8 7   66(martin james )SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 20.00 5% 19.00 72.50  
MR MIDWAY 1 4 5 8   8716¼ (courville ri)MARQUEZ L 120 12.00 23.80  
EL ORO (FR) 7 6 6 53   7816¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 3.00 17.40  
 
DED-8   12/18/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:133 1:271   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE THUNDER 9 8 7 5 1nk 1½ 1(gonzalez v)STOKES J 121 6.00 6% 14.60 1.30 W
GETCHA 2 1 5 4 4 32(mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 121 6.00 9% 10.00 7.90 P
COOLCROSS 7 4 11 11 3.2 2½ 3(reeves jeffer)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 3.00 38% 1.70 7.80 S
10  UNFATHOMED 10 7 3 31 2nk 42 4(evans justin)BIRZER E 118 10.00 9% 10.40 5.10  
MACHINEGUNPREACHER 1 2 9 87 6 54 59 (arnett g)VARGAS P 121 8.00 24.10  
WHISKEY'S GONE 6 5 21 21 5 6615¼ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 10.00 24.70  
MOTATAABEQ 4 3 4 64 7 7715¼ (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 12.00 9.20  
U S NAVY CROSS 5 9 8 9 1010¼ 1010 816¼ (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 13% 6.60 7.00  
TAPPIN FORA DANCE 8 6 6 75 8 99 918½ (romero j)TORRES HUGO 121 20.00 70.00  
HONOR MY SPEED 3 10 1010¾ 109 9 88 1019½ (landry ray)THORNTON G 121 4.00 10.60  
SCR  I'LL RAISE YOU               (reeves jeffer)MELANCON JANSEN 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.