Handicappers' Racing Form

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Delta Downs
Monday - December 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DED-1   Win (4/5/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DED-2   Win (4/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DED-3   Win (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
DED-4   Win (1/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DED-5   Win (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
DED-6   Win (5/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DED-7   Win (4/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DED-8   Win (7/5/2/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
DED-1   12/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVANNAH'S HERE Dec07 Nov21 Oct25 Sep12 Aug27 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 6.00    
APRIORITY GIRL Nov16 Oct18 Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 (west henry)STOKES A 123 15.00    
BOSTON BELLE Dec07 Nov21 Oct25 May03 Apr07 (segura kearney)STOKES J 123 5.00    
RUN AWAY SAMARI Nov21 Oct19 Sep02 Aug05 Jul15 (ramirez julio)TORRES HUGO 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
TROSKA Nov21 Oct25 Aug12 Jul01 May27 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
GATSBY'S GIFT May13 Apr21 Feb17 Dec10 Nov12 (larrosa a)DEL-CID MARLON 117 10.00    
BRIDLED UP Nov16 Aug10 Apr27 Dec22 Jun03 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHACHA TO CATALINA Dec06 Nov11 Sep02 Aug05   (arey anthony)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00 14% 6.10    
 
DED-2   12/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TERRI GOT A FRIEND Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 Jun02   (bernard )RUIZ GARCIA 122 8.00    
BYE BYE BIG BABY Nov17 Oct12 Aug10 Jun24 May20 (west henry)STOKES A 119 15.00    
BELL PEPPER Dec07 Nov08 Sep05 Aug07 Jul17 (kanhai joseph)MAGNON H 123 6.00    
MISS CHARGE IT Nov21 Nov08 Sep03 Jul31 Jul09 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 122 1.60 33% 2.10    
MAVE RUNNER Nov21 Aug03 Jul20 May19 Mar10 (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 123 15.00    
OUR CLOVER GAL Nov16 Oct27 Oct12 Aug10 Jul29 (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.50 15% 5.60    
PINTORA Dec02 Nov18 Oct28 Oct06 Aug12 (knudsen kent)MELANCON JANSEN 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
LEPRECHAUN CHARM Nov21 Nov08 Aug06 Jul02 Jun11 (larrosa a)VARGAS P 122 10.00 14% 6.30    
 
DED-3   12/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 2:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACK STREET BABY Nov30         (dixon tim)POMPELL L 122 8.00    
RT'S MYSTERY LADY         (sam w)MORALES ROBERTO 122 15.00    
CUSTOM SUNSHINE Nov30 Nov04 Oct07 Jul07 Jun16 (pomier chasey)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 1.80 46% 1.20    
FIVE LEAF CLOVER         (brown i)STOKES A 122 15.00    
COAL DANCER Nov22 Oct27 Oct11 Aug04   (breaux samuel)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  JET ROCKET Nov30 Nov04       (roberts roy)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.50    
BABY JANE         (perron gerard)VARGAS P 122 6.00 6% 15.70    
EVE EVE Dec01         (castille carr)SANTIAGO EDWARD 117 10.00    
 
DED-4   12/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIEWING TRAIL Nov08 Oct27 Oct12 Jul07 Jun10 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 122 1.40 54% 0.90    
THAT YOU MARGARET Nov21 Jun17 May20 Oct15 Jun25 (silkwood charles)TORRES HUGO 123 20.00    
PIECE OF ME Nov16 Aug06 Jul02 Jun15 May30 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
ABSOLUTELY MINDY Feb02 Dec19 Dec07 Nov19 Aug25 (charles jonat)LEDET THEODRICK 120 15.00    
OLD SCHOOL FLASH Nov21 Nov09 Jun17 May21 Apr30 (villafranco frede)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
BROOKE'S ALL IN Dec07 Nov16 Jul12 Jun15 Jun08 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 122 12.00    
ACELA EXPRESS Nov21 Oct18 Aug25 Jul29 Jul14 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 4.50 21% 3.90    
CALIFORNIA CALI Oct27 Aug04 Jun23 May27 Apr26 (latour nicholas)STOKES J 123 6.00    
 
DED-5   12/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINT OF VICTORY Nov30 Nov17 Aug12 May29 May06 (bruno donald )SANTIAGO EDWARD 111 15.00    
LA TRESS GRAY Nov17 Jun29 Jun01 Apr20 Dec29 (ramirez eduar)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 1.80 17% 5.00    
HOLY WAR Feb03 Jan13 Dec15 Nov23 Oct21 (roberts roy)FUSILIER C 116 12.00    
ITSNOTMYJOB Nov17 Oct28 Oct14 Aug12 Jul27 (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 3.50 9% 9.70    
IRON LOTUS Nov17 Oct20 Sep23 Sep10 Aug25 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 8.00    
KNIGHTS SWORD Nov17 Oct28 Aug05 Jun08 Apr15 (toups brent)POMPELL L 116 6.00    
ESSENTIAL BELLA Dec08 Oct26 Sep13 Sep02 Jul20 (richard chris)STOKES J 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
DED-6   12/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUNT JANA Dec06 Jul21 Jul01 Jun08 May20 (west henry)LEDET THEODRICK 123 15.00    
THAT IS AWESOME Dec06 Nov16 Oct25 Jul13 Jul04 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 2.50 32% 2.20    
MOR KISSES Dec06 Nov17 Oct12 Aug20 Jul06 (delany sarah)DEL-CID MARLON 117 6.00 14% 6.10    
CAT B CAUSE Dec01 Aug10 Jul21 Jul03 Jun19 (alberto anton)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 6.00    
PAYTON'S INDIAN Dec01 Oct25 Aug05 Jun30 Jun08 (borel renay)BOREL H 122 4.50 33% 2.00    
GRAEME'S DEAL Dec06 May08 Mar26 Mar11 Feb28 (johnson b)VARGAS P 122 6.00    
EASY ACT Dec06 Oct12 Jul07 Jun08 May20 (segura kearney)STOKES J 122 3.50    
COUSIN VICKIE Sep11 Aug20 Aug07 Jul03 May29 (de alex)NEGRON LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-7   12/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR MIDWAY Nov16 Oct26 Oct19 Sep15   (courville ri)MARQUEZ L 120 12.00    
GOD'S GOLD Nov22 Nov09 Oct20 Sep12 Aug13 (martin james )SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
MAYFIELD STRONG Dec01 Sep01 Jun02 Apr28 Mar30 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 8.00    
JOLLY TOMMY Dec01 Nov17 Oct28 Aug12 Jul27 (knudsen kent)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.00 33% 2.10    
CLASSIC BET Dec03 Nov09 Oct14 Sep25 Sep03 (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00 32% 2.10    
UPTOWN SOCIAL Nov24 Oct25 Oct14 Aug20 Jul31 (dixon tim)STOKES J 118 10.00    
EL ORO (FR) Oct29 Oct09 Sep04 Jul21 Jun03 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 3.00    
DONEGAL FACTOR Dec06 Nov18 Oct25 May25 Feb19 (noel dane)VARGAS P 118 4.50 14% 6.30    
 
DED-8   12/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHINEGUNPREACHER Oct28 Sep03 Aug21 Oct22 Oct07 (arnett g)VARGAS P 121 8.00    
GETCHA Dec02 Nov22 Nov01 Jul01 Jun22 (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 121 6.00 9% 10.00    
HONOR MY SPEED Dec08 Nov16 Oct06 Jul21 Jun02 (landry ray)THORNTON G 121 4.00    
MOTATAABEQ Nov24 Oct19 Jul27 May03 Apr08 (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 12.00    
U S NAVY CROSS Dec02 Oct27 Oct06 Jun17 May27 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 13% 6.60    
WHISKEY'S GONE Nov29 Nov09 Oct27 Jul31 Oct05 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 10.00    
COOLCROSS Nov22 Nov02 Oct13 Sep17 Sep10 (reeves jeffer)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 3.00 38% 1.70    
TAPPIN FORA DANCE Dec07 Nov22 Nov01 Oct13 Sep10 (romero j)TORRES HUGO 121 20.00    
DOUBLE THUNDER Dec07 Nov15 Sep23 Sep15 Aug14 (gonzalez v)STOKES J 121 6.00 6% 14.60    
10  UNFATHOMED Nov18 Nov08 Oct25 Oct13 Aug27 (evans justin)BIRZER E 118 10.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  I'LL RAISE YOU Nov25 Nov02 May12 Apr29 Apr08 (reeves jeffer)MELANCON JANSEN 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.