Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Friday - January 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-3   EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-5 $9.80 $3.80 63%
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-5-4 $20.10 $17.10 570%
DED-5   WIN (9/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $22.40 $14.40 180%
    EXA (9/4/1/2)-(9/4/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-9 $44.00 $28.00 175%
DED-6   DD (9/4/1/2)-(4/3/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-1 $41.40 $25.40 159%
DED-7   PK3 (9/4/1/2)-(4/3/10/1)-(4/1/3/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00  2-1-4 $57.15 $25.15 79%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   01/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:223 :471       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR 4 2 31 2½   22 1 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 3.00 53% 0.90 1.00 W
TRIPLE RED ACES 3 1 1nk 1½   12 2 (landry r)THORNTON G 121 6.00 14% 6.00 9.60 P
10  GRAPHENE CASSOCK 9 5 6 65   5 3 (shumake phill)VARGAS P 121 6.00 13.50  
DRAG MALIBU 8 3 43 42   35 47 (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 25.30  
FLASHY LOVER 6 8 7 7   66 58 (dison ma)STOKES A 121 8.00 10.80  
MEET KEVIN 2 7 8 8   7 6 (romero john )DEL-CID MARLON 113 12.00 59.10  
THE BOYZ PRIORITY 7 4 5 52   45 711¼ (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 118 12.00 14.50  
CHARLIE'S PARADE 1 6 2nk 3   8 817¼ (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 118 6.00 5% 18.80 3.00  
R T'S MIDNIGHT 5 9 911¾ 911¼   914½ 920 (sam w)STOKES J 118 15.00 9.70  
SCR  COOL SPIRIT               (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 121 4.00    
 
DED-2   01/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3 F PT- 6:33
See original race card.
:222 :47       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIX STRING 5 4 2½ 1½   11 11 (landry ray)ROSIER R 120 4.50 53% 0.90 1.80 W
CUSTOM SUNSHINE 6 2 6 2½   21 21 (pomier devi)STOKES J 117 3.00 2.80  
READY FOR THUNDER 4 3 5 4   43 3 (pomier d)ROMAN KEVIN 117 6.00 14.30  
SASSI STRUTTER 3 1 1½ 3   32 46 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 117 6.00 21% 3.80 2.90  
TAKEOVER QUEEN 2 6 41 53   53 5 (roberts roy)VARGAS P 117 4.00 5.80  
ASTROLOGY GIRL 1 5 31 67   67 611¾ (ali anci)POMPELL L 117 12.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
SCR  JAYDYN CAT               (calhoun wil)MELANCON JANSEN 117 5.00    
SCR  ONE LINE RULER               (castille ca)SANTIAGO EDWARD 112 10.00    
 
DED-3   01/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:01
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:161     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNLIKELANIE 6 5 4 4   2nk 12 (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 123 2.00 24% 3.10 2.00 W
  (by MINESHAFT out of CAJUN HEAT by LATENT HEAT)
CRAFTROOM 5 2 3.2 1nk   1nk 22 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00 28% 2.60 1.80 P
  (by INTERACTIF out of LISA by CAPITALIMPROVEMENT)
SECRET GUITAR 4 1 2nk 3.2   32 3 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 123 5.00 14% 6.20 11.30 S
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BROOK'S SECRET by HENNY HUGHES)
FAST OUT 1 6 6 6   56 410¾ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 6.00 7.00  
  (by FLAT OUT out of FAST LANER by MUTAKDDIM)
SPARKLE CITY 2 4 5 5   44 511 (zeno benjam)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 8.00 24.20  
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of WINBRANDLEX by YANKEE VICTOR)
CRIMSON GLORY 3 3 1nk 2nk   613 6100 (chatters benard)ROSIER R 123 3.50 2.60  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SANDONA GIRL by DISCREET CAT)
 
DED-4   01/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:29
See original race card.
:224 :472       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR SONG 5 2 4 32   21 1 (roberts roy)FUSILIER C 120 20.00 29.70  
BAYOU BEAUX 3 5 1nk 11   11 2 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 123 6.00 16% 5.10 1.90 P
TRIPPER JOHN 7 3 6 53   34 37 (lorefice matt)STOKES J 120 3.00 30% 2.30 1.30 S
DONNA'S COURT 1 7 7 74   6 4 (kanhai joseph)VARGAS P 120 8.00 18.00  
WHACUDPOSBLYGOWRNG 2 6 5 6   5 5 (henry eric)MELANCON JANSEN 120 20.00 44.80  
B B MOODY 4 1 3.2 21   45 612½ (west henry)STOKES A 120 8.00 6.30  
10  STURGILL 8 4 2nk 4   713½ 727 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 123 4.00 19% 4.40 7.40  
SHARK HARBOR 6 8 812¼ 816   8100 8100 (lorefice mat)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.50 7% 13.10 12.00  
SCR  DIABLO CAT               (melancon donal)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 15.00    
SCR  HEZA PRIORITY               (husak j)MAGNON H 120 2.00    
SCR  KINLEE'S SONG               (kanhai joseph)ROSIER R 120 15.00    
SCR  LT. BONURA               (jackson dway)DEL-CID MARLON 115 8.00    
 
DED-5   01/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:152     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEE SASSY RUN 2 2 4 36   2½ 1nk (morris rowd)MELANCON JANSEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 10.20 W
FROSTY BREW 9 3 14 16   1½ 2nk (broberg karl)THORNTON G 121 2.50 48% 1.10 1.60 P
KELLYS THE BOSS 8 7 810½ 5   4 33 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 121 8.00 29.10  
MISS CHARLIE GRAS 1 1 24 26   3 46 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 118 3.50 6% 14.70 1.70  
POINT OF VICTORY 5 4 58 47   5 513 (bruno donal)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 20.00 80.30  
LADY ENVOY 7 9 914½ 912½   912 613¼ (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 121 8.00 35.80  
SARA'S SAPPHIRE 3 8 7 810½   711 714¼ (dixon tim)POMPELL L 118 6.00 8.60  
WITHHERBOOTSON 6 5 6 7   811 814½ (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 121 12.00 15.20  
SABER QUEEN 4 6 3 68   610½ 918¾ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 5.00 19% 4.10 6.00  
SCR  PELLETIER               (alba-hernandez i)ROSIER R 121 20.00    
SCR  SUPORB               (alba-hernan)MELANCON JANSEN 121 15.00    
 
DED-6   01/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:161     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANKTON'S COWGIRL 1 2 1 11   12 1 (landry ra)POMPELL L 120 5.00 5% 19.00 2.60 W
LORD HARMONY 4 5 2 21   34 2 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 33% 2.00 2.20 P
JET ROCKET 3 1 4 32   22 3 (roberts roy)ROMAN KEVIN 120 5.00 23% 3.30 1.50 S
MY IDEA 9 3 32 54   57 45 (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 120 12.00 59.60  
STAND BY TIME 7 4 5 4   47 5 (ramirez e)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 20.00 78.90  
ALESSANDE 6 6 63 76   710 611½ (larrosa jua)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 15.00 74.20  
10  AMERICAN CHICK 10 8 74 6   69 713½ (breaux samuel)ROSIER R 120 3.50 20% 4.10 9.20  
SUGAR CANE GAL 2 7 9 910½   813 813¾ (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 8.00 24.50  
COZY COURTNEY 5 9 107 1012½   914 915¼ (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 10.00 22.70  
THE LADY BULLS EYE 8 10 85 810   1016 1021½ (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 115 20.00 ######  
SCR  MONI DESIGN               (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 4.00    
 
DED-7   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:154 1:294   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARDI GRAS ALARM 4 1 2½ 2nk 1½ 1nk 1½ (bryant a)POMPELL L 119 4.00 46% 1.20 1.80 W
A P HUMOR 3 3 4 32 3½ 2nk 2½ (latour nichol)VARGAS P 119 5.00 5% 19.00 7.70 P
CAJUN TWO STEP 2 4 3½ 4 4 33 35 (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 119 2.50 3.80  
T R'S FIRST 5 8 7 8 6 5 4 (hibdon n)THORNTON G 119 10.00 20.90  
VALTESSE 1 2 1½ 1nk 2½ 45 510½ (landry ray)ROSIER R 119 6.00 26% 2.80 3.40  
OUR AMEN 7 5 54 5 5 6 611 (morris rowdy)BIRZER E 119 15.00 5% 19.00 16.00  
COME WHAT MAE 8 10 8 7 7 810¼ 712¾ (cormier carde)LOZADA CARLOS 119 6.00 14.80  
10  MYLIES STAR 10 7 66 6 8 710¼ 814¼ (dussette alv)DEL-CID MARLON 114 15.00 17.70  
BOSTON LUCILLE 6 9 10 1010½ 9 911¼ 917 (roberts roy)FUSILIER C 119 12.00 11.70  
CHATAIN'S FLYER 9 6 9 910¼ 10 1016¼ 1026¾ (vincent jarvis)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 20.00 ######  
SCR  BLESS D'SOUTH               (larrosa a)BIRZER E 119 8.00    
SCR  KAPPA HILL               (journet albert)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 12.00    
 
DED-8   01/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:133     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOTSIE'S GALAXY 7 3 2nk 1nk   14 13 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.00 71% 0.40 1.10 W
MR. FOUR SEVENS 8 6 32 4   3 23 (dison m)POMPELL L 116 12.00 27.90  
BOYFRIEND MATERIAL 5 1 1nk 2nk   24 34 (evans justin)VARGAS P 123 4.00 3.70  
AMERICAN SMOOTH 9 4 4 31   4 4 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00 8.10  
FIRE SWORD 4 5 7 8   7 5 (nelson r)STOKES J 123 4.50 3.20  
B W P SPECIAL 2 2 5 5   5 6 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 15.00 53.10  
12  MINT 10 9 6 6   6 7 (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 119 10.00 5% 19.00 26.20  
MISTS OF TIME 1 8 97 7   811¾ 816¼ (knudsen kent)ROSIER R 119 15.00 32.40  
MONGOLIAN BEE 3 7 85 9   913¾ 918 (shumake phi)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
TEXAS RULE 6 10 109 10   1016¾ 1025½ (west henry)STOKES A 119 20.00 96.40  
SCR  SAILOR CHOW               (guillory j)BIRZER E 119 12.00    
SCR  WIN YA WIN               (bourgeois keith)POMPELL L 116 10.00    
 
DED-9   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:163 1:304   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE WARRIOR 8 3 44 4 2nk 13 1 (melancon donald)FUSILIER C 120 6.00 14.90  
RED OCTOBER 3 10 10 7 3½ 23 2 (escobar ali)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 5.00 8% 11.40 5.80 P
ROYAL DE BE 9 5 7 5 6 4 3 (vincent jarvis)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 17.80 S
KAT'S SOLDIER 2 9 9 8 52 37 4 (bernard john)STOKES A 120 4.50 29% 2.40 8.60  
TAPIT TWICE 6 8 8 10 7 711 513¾ (dixon tim)POMPELL L 123 20.00 5% 19.00 44.10  
UNCLE CHAN 7 2 2½ 2nk 4 69 615 (west henry)LEDET THEODRICK 120 10.00 64.10  
EL GABRIELO 1 1 31 1nk 1nk 5 720 (del erick)ROSIER R 123 5.00 34% 2.00 0.80  
DABOOGEYMAN 4 7 6 6 810¼ 815 826¾ (hewitt michael)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.00 5.00  
STONECOAT 5 6 54 9 911¼ 919 927½ (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 115 20.00 35.30  
10  POPPY T 10 4 1½ 3.2 1015¼ 1029 10100 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 17.10  
SCR  BENISSIMO               (arey anthony)THORNTON G 123 4.00    
SCR  BOBBY MERLOT               (ramsay-bank)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.