Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Friday - January 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-3   WIN (8/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $8.80 $0.80 10%
FG-4   DD (8/4/5/7)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  8-3 $12.90 $4.90 61%
FG-5   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $10.80 $4.80 80%
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-7 $35.60 $26.60 296%
    DD (1/3)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-4 $22.80 $16.80 280%
    PK3 (8/4/5/7)-(1/3)-(4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-3-4 $28.30 $16.30 136%
    PK5 (5/3/4/6)-(1/2/6)-(8/4/5/7)-(1/3)-(4/7/6) 288 $0.50 $144  4-1/3-8-1/2/3-4 $235.70 $91.70 64%

Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   01/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:234 :492 1:16 1:293   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUNCHIE 4 5 6 6 31 2nk 1¾ (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 125 3.50 5% 17.90 2.70 W
QUEENIE'S LEROY 1 1 32 4 42 42 2¾ (marecha)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 15.00 23.10  
A G'S GEM 8 4 2 21 1nk 1nk 3 (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 10.00 12.60  
RENATI 2 7 7 53 5 55 44 (duke steve)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 4.50 2.30  
FLASH N CLASS 7 3 1 11 2nk 31 5 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 4.50 4.40  
BREAKING STAR 3 9 913½ 913 912 710½ 6 (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 117 5.00 22% 3.50 9.80  
MINE YOUR BIZ 9 6 54 76 76 67 7 (peterson je)CARMONA SERAFIN 120 6.00 18.00  
NATIVE REQUITE 6 8 8 810½ 811 813 822¼ (duhon o)RIQUELME J 117 12.00 5% 19.00 44.30  
RONALDS GATSBY 5 2 4 31 6 914½ 928½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 5.00 47% 1.10 4.60  
 
FG-2   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:23 :48 1:002     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALMOST DIALED OUT 1 5 43 3   11 1 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.40 62% 0.60 0.20 W
HEY MADALYN CLAIRE 3 2 22 2½   21 2 (delahou)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 3.50 4.80  
OAK HILL SENIORITA 2 3 54 54   45 3 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 5.00 10% 9.20 15.40 S
PURRFECT MOON 6 4 3 43   5 4 (silva miguel)PARKER L 122 4.50 7.40  
MISSHEARTBREAKER 5 1 12 1½   3 510¾ (delahoussaye)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 53.40  
LASSAROCK 4 6 65 68   612 622½ (hirdes john)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 5.00 21.80  
SCR  MS. PRIESTLY               (constantine caro)NAVAS YOEL 117 20.00    
 
FG-3   01/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:23 :484 1:154 1:414   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLAR BEAR PLUNGE 9 4 35 2 24 2nk 1¼ (casse mark)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 3.80 DQ↓2
YO DADDY 8 7 8 79 46 1nk 2¼ (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 120 4.50 34% 1.90 3.40 W
DROBNY 1 1 1 1 14 3.2 3 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50 2.10 S
BRIE'S MISSION 6 6 5 5 68 5 44 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 5.00  
COMMODORE 5 3 47 47 56 4 5 (devaux che)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 5% 18.00 10.70  
ENGLISH BOBBY 2 2 2 3 3 6 610¼ (claire alexis)PARKER L 120 15.00 29.90  
THEPLAINS MARSHALL 7 8 911½ 911¼ 8 7 713 (rubley ke)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 35.50  
TAYSOM 4 9 7 6 79 812¼ 827¾ (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 120 6.00 34% 1.90 6.60  
SHARMA'D 3 5 6 8 9 917¼ 939¼ (silva miguel)TORRES A 120 20.00 72.40  
 
FG-4   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:231 :472 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALLANT BUCK 1 1 1 1   14 1 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 121 6.00 5% 19.00 1.00 W
LORD DYLAN 3 5 56 5   3 2 (lopez elia)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 4.50 3.90  
OVER CALENDARED 5 3 2 2   24 3 (alba-hernandez )COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 4.70  
UNCLE NICK 4 2 33 34   4 47 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 116 3.50 2.20  
HOMELAND MESSA 2 4 4 4   5 58 (senegal dalton)CHAVEZ ORIEL 121 30.00 32.40  
SCR  STAND FOR FREEDOM               (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 121 1.80 61% 0.60    
SCR  TIME TO MEDDLE               (terre david)CURTIS BEN 124 4.00    
 
FG-5   01/12/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:222 :463       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOCTAW BINGO 2 5 65 65   3 1 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 39% 1.60 4.40 W
LILY'S WOOFY 5 1 21 2   2nk 2 (hernand)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00 13% 6.60 8.70 P
ZOOM ERIN 7 3 11 1   1nk 3 (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 4.00 2.70  
SIKUM 3 4 43 3   4 46 (camejo jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 2.00  
MOVE IT BABY 6 6 54 4   6 5 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 116 8.00 26.60  
MISS MELODY 1 2 33 54   5 6 (ecoffey gilbert )CURTIS BEN 121 3.00 4.00  
CARSON'S PRINCESS 4 7 77 78   7 711¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 11% 8.00 9.80  
SCR  SUMMERTIME BANDIT               (zenon shel)ALBERT S 118 15.00    
SCR  SWEET PERFECTION               (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 20.00    
 
FG-6   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:221 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TANMANCAN 1 1 1½ 2nk   11 1¾ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 2.10  
BACKFIRE 5 8 74 56   34 2¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 13% 6.50 4.20 P
ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND 4 3 2½ 1nk   21 3 (silva miguel)PARKER L 120 8.00 36.60  
PURPLE OCTOPUS 3 2 3 45   4 4 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 24% 3.20 2.60  
COOKN WIT CATMAN 8 7 64 7   7 5 (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 120 3.00 32% 2.10 3.20  
DROMAS 2 5 53 67   56 6 (savoie sherman)RIQUELME J 120 20.00 97.00  
MAJESTIC CRAKEN 6 9 911½ 918½   918½ 716 (silva miguel)TORRES A 120 6.00 6% 16.90 12.90  
10  STARTING GUN 10 4 42 3   67 819½ (sanche)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 39.20  
VICTOR ALY 9 6 89 814½   816½ 922¼ (troiani n)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 22.30  
STRONG DIAMOND 7 10 1012 1020   1022½ 1026½ (escobar alis)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00 ######  
 
FG-7   01/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:001     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIND BOLT 9 1 3 5   2½ 1¼ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 21.00  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of GWITHIAN by STREET SENSE)
BONZER 8 2 11 11   1½ 2¼ (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 4.00 12% 7.50 4.70 P
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JEWELIANA by SMART STRIKE)
DEBT PAID 4 3 6 6   3 3 (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 8.00 17.90  
  (by COLLECTED out of PRISONER'S DILEMMA by BLAME)
PATRIARCHAL 1 6 9 8   4 45 (stall albe)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 3.30  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of HAPPY MOTORING by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
CARTHAGE CAJUN 3 8 7 7   6 5 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LIGHT OF A STAR by MUQTARIB)
GIMME THE CANDY 6 7 4 32   7 610½ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 61% 0.60 1.50  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RICHIE'SLILWILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
BIG FIG 7 4 5 4   5 711¾ (maker j)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 7.70  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SUDDEN FAME by WESTERN FAME)
SEVEN ANNIVERSARY 2 5 8 9   911 816 (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00 6% 15.20 9.50  
  (by KANTHAROS out of MAHBADIHA by MORE THAN READY)
BALTIMORE HEART 5 9 21 21   88 917¼ (williamson brian)NAVAS YOEL 115 20.00 25.40  
  (by HEART TO HEART out of FLIGHT PATTERN by STRAIGHT LINE)
SCR  AIR IT OUT               (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 120 6.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of SINGING HILLS by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  BEAR RIVER               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SIXTYFIVENORTH by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  EL ALACRAN               (camejo m)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of DOOWOP SHEDOO by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  GAVEL               (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CONQUERING by WAR FRONT)
SCR  HEN HEN               (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MAY LILY by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  LUCKY ROMANCE               (block chr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SPARKLINGROMANCE by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  REDEPOSIT               (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of KIDORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
FG-8   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS NIMBUS 4 1 13 1   18 1 (zeringue j)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00 28.40  
GIGI'S LUV 2 4 34 2   28 2 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 11% 8.20 6.80 P
EVE EVE 3 7 66 49   3 36 (castille carrol)LANERIE J 120 5.00 3.50  
SWEET GUITAR 9 8 9 1015   411 4 (mckeever andrew)CURTIS BEN 120 4.00 60% 0.70 1.00  
COSTA LADY 8 10 1112½ 1117½   914¾ 510¾ (boxie jose)MARQUEZ L 120 12.00 53.90  
LEXI'S FURY 5 5 7 813½   511 611¾ (duhon josep)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 20.00 86.80  
11  STEAL ME OVER 11 11 109 914½   613 714¾ (schmidt denise)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
LASSIE'S DUE DATE 6 6 8 711½   1016¼ 817½ (jeansonne )ALBERT S 120 8.00 12.90  
FLASH IT WIDE OPEN 7 3 4 610   814¼ 918 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 26.70  
SOY TU SUERTE 1 2 23 38   714 1018¼ (gelner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 8.60  
10  STORMY COUNTRY DAY 10 9 55 510   1116¾ 1124¾ (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00 19.60  
SCR  SHEZAPERFECTDREAM               (delahoussaye g)GREEN AUBRIE 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.