Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - January 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (5/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/7/6)-(5/3/4/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/4/6)-(1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/6)-(1/2/6)-(8/4/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-2   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(8/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(8/4/5/7)-(1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-3   WIN (8/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/7)-(8/4/5/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/7)-(8/4/5/7/1)-(8/4/5/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/5/7)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/7)-(1/3)-(4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-4   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/3)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(4/7/6)-(8/3/5/6/9) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
FG-5   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(8/3/5/6/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(8/3/5/6/9)-(6/8/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-6   WIN (8/3/5/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/6/9)-(8/3/5/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/6/9)-(8/3/5/6/9)-(8/3/5/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/5/6/9)-(6/8/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/6/9)-(6/8/2/3)-(9/2/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (6/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/3)-(6/8/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/3)-(6/8/2/1/3)-(6/8/2/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/2/3)-(9/2/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FG-8   WIN (9/2/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/11)-(9/2/12/6/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/11)-(9/2/12/6/11)-(9/2/12/6/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENIE'S LEROY Dec29 Dec01 Dec01 Nov02 Jun08 (marecha)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 15.00    
2  RENATI Dec17 Nov23 Feb24 Nov24 Sep26 (duke steve)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 4.50    
3  BREAKING STAR         (bourgeois keith)CURTIS BEN 117 5.00 22% 3.50    
4  PUNCHIE Dec17 Dec01 Sep09 Aug05 Jul01 (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 125 3.50 5% 17.90    
5  RONALDS GATSBY Dec17 Sep11 Jul29 Jul04 Jun19 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 5.00 47% 1.10    
6  NATIVE REQUITE Nov30 Oct21 Sep09 Aug19   (duhon o)RIQUELME J 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  FLASH N CLASS Dec29 Sep05 Aug20 Feb25 Jan27 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 4.50 ★    
8  A G'S GEM Dec21 Nov17 Nov03     (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 10.00    
9  MINE YOUR BIZ Dec29 Dec01 Aug11 Jul28 Jun30 (peterson je)CARMONA SERAFIN 120 6.00    
 
FG-2   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALMOST DIALED OUT Dec22 Dec01 Nov02 Sep28 Aug26 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.40 62% 0.60    
2  OAK HILL SENIORITA Sep03 Jul09 Mar11 Feb26 Feb03 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 5.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  MS. PRIESTLY Dec22 Nov21 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 (constantine caro)NAVAS YOEL 117 20.00    
4  HEY MADALYN CLAIRE Dec22 Nov30 Nov17 Oct14 Sep04 (delahou)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 3.50    
5  LASSAROCK Jan14 Dec26 Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 (hirdes john)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 5.00    
6  MISSHEARTBREAKER Jul29 Jun24 Dec07 Aug28 Jun29 (delahoussaye)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PURRFECT MOON Dec22 Dec01 Nov08 Oct05 Sep13 (silva miguel)PARKER L 122 4.50    
 
FG-3   01/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DROBNY Dec09 Nov04 Oct12 Sep17   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50 ★    
2  ENGLISH BOBBY Dec22 Sep23       (claire alexis)PARKER L 120 15.00    
3  SHARMA'D Dec14         (silva miguel)TORRES A 120 20.00    
4  TAYSOM Oct01         (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 120 6.00 34% 1.90    
5  COMMODORE Dec21 Sep08 Aug03     (devaux che)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 5% 18.00    
6  BRIE'S MISSION Dec15 Jul31       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
7  THEPLAINS MARSHALL         (rubley ke)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  YO DADDY Dec22 Dec01 Sep24     (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 120 4.50 34% 1.90    
9  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE Dec15 Nov04 Sep24 Jul15   (casse mark)GRAHAM J 120 3.50    
 
FG-4   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STAND FOR FREEDOM Nov26 Nov05 Oct14 Sep16 Aug26 (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 121 1.80 61% 0.60    
SCR  TIME TO MEDDLE Dec17 Nov24 Oct17 Sep24 Aug20 (terre david)CURTIS BEN 124 4.00 ★    
3  GALLANT BUCK Dec21 Nov24 Oct17 Sep30 Sep09 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  HOMELAND MESSA Dec20 Nov15 Oct20 Apr29 Oct08 (senegal dalton)CHAVEZ ORIEL 121 30.00    
5  LORD DYLAN Dec21 Nov14 Oct28 Oct17 Sep30 (lopez elia)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 4.50    
6  UNCLE NICK Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jun25 Jun04 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 116 3.50 ★    
7  OVER CALENDARED Dec21 Nov24 Sep22 Aug23 Aug09 (alba-hernandez )COHEN DAVID 121 6.00    
 
FG-5   01/12/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUMMERTIME BANDIT Dec09 Nov11 Oct25 Oct11 Sep11 (zenon shel)ALBERT S 118 15.00    
2  MISS MELODY Dec06 Aug17 Jul12 Jun21 Mar06 (ecoffey gilbert )CURTIS BEN 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  SWEET PERFECTION Dec10 Nov25 Aug20 Jun25 Feb12 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 20.00    
4  CHOCTAW BINGO Dec02 Oct25 Oct08 Sep17 Aug28 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 39% 1.60    
5  SIKUM Oct08 Sep24 Aug27 Jul29 Jul08 (camejo jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50    
6  CARSON'S PRINCESS Oct07 Sep05 Mar23 Jan15 Dec09 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 11% 8.00    
7  LILY'S WOOFY Nov07 Sep30 Nov11 Oct08 Sep17 (hernand)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 8.00 13% 6.60    
8  MOVE IT BABY Dec08 Oct24 Oct10 Aug31 Aug06 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 116 8.00    
9  ZOOM ERIN Sep02 Jul16 Jun01 Apr18 Mar08 (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 4.00    
 
FG-6   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TANMANCAN         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
2  DROMAS Dec22         (savoie sherman)RIQUELME J 120 20.00    
3  PURPLE OCTOPUS Dec22 Dec01 Aug20     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND         (silva miguel)PARKER L 120 8.00    
5  BACKFIRE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 13% 6.50    
6  MAJESTIC CRAKEN Dec22         (silva miguel)TORRES A 120 6.00 6% 16.90    
7  STRONG DIAMOND Oct07 Aug21 Jul28 Jul04 Jun15 (escobar alis)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
8  COOKN WIT CATMAN Dec14 Nov24 Oct29     (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
9  VICTOR ALY Aug18 Aug05 Jul09     (troiani n)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  STARTING GUN         (sanchez c)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
 
FG-7   01/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATRIARCHAL         (stall albe)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 ★    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of HAPPY MOTORING by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  SEVEN ANNIVERSARY Dec16         (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00 6% 15.20    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MAHBADIHA by MORE THAN READY)
3  CARTHAGE CAJUN         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LIGHT OF A STAR by MUQTARIB)
4  DEBT PAID Nov22 Oct13 Sep20     (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of PRISONER'S DILEMMA by BLAME)
5  BALTIMORE HEART Dec16         (williamson brian)NAVAS YOEL 115 20.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of FLIGHT PATTERN by STRAIGHT LINE)
6  GIMME THE CANDY Jul23         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 61% 0.60    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RICHIE'SLILWILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
7  BIG FIG Dec16 Sep29       (maker j)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SUDDEN FAME by WESTERN FAME)
8  BONZER         (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 4.00 12% 7.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JEWELIANA by SMART STRIKE)
9  MIND BOLT         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of GWITHIAN by STREET SENSE)
SCR  REDEPOSIT Dec16 Nov26 Oct20     (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of KIDORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  GAVEL Nov24 Sep03       (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CONQUERING by WAR FRONT)
SCR  EL ALACRAN Nov25 Sep03 Aug04     (camejo m)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of DOOWOP SHEDOO by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  LUCKY ROMANCE Nov25 Oct24 Aug27 Aug20   (block chr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SPARKLINGROMANCE by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  BEAR RIVER Nov22 Nov09 Oct07 Sep10 Aug24 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SIXTYFIVENORTH by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  HEN HEN         (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MAY LILY by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  AIR IT OUT         (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 120 6.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of SINGING HILLS by SUPER SAVER)
 
FG-8   01/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOY TU SUERTE Dec22 Nov04       (gelner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
2  GIGI'S LUV Dec22 Sep04 Aug26 Aug06   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 11% 8.20    
3  EVE EVE Dec18 Dec01       (castille carrol)LANERIE J 120 5.00    
4  MISS NIMBUS Dec01 Oct20 Aug26     (zeringue j)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
5  LEXI'S FURY Dec22 Dec01 Oct20 Aug28   (duhon josep)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 20.00    
6  LASSIE'S DUE DATE         (jeansonne )ALBERT S 120 8.00 ★    
7  FLASH IT WIDE OPEN Dec22 Dec01       (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00    
8  COSTA LADY Dec22 Dec01 Oct27 Aug04   (boxie jose)MARQUEZ L 120 12.00    
9  SWEET GUITAR Dec08 Sep27 Aug20     (mckeever andrew)CURTIS BEN 120 4.00 60% 0.70    
10  STORMY COUNTRY DAY Dec08 Aug28       (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
11  STEAL ME OVER         (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHEZAPERFECTDREAM Jan04 Dec15       (delahoussaye g)GREEN AUBRIE 120 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.