Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Saturday - January 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-3   WIN (7/10/1/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $13.20 $3.20 32%
DED-4   WIN (6/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.40 $2.40 40%
    EXA (6/3/8)-(6/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-6 $12.70 $6.70 112%
    DD (7/10/1/5/9)-(6/3/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00  10-3 $33.00 $18.00 120%
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(7/10/1/5/9)-(6/3/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50  5-10-3 $24.85 $2.35 10%
DED-5   EXA (10/2/4/8)-(10/2/4/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-4 $27.20 $11.20 70%
    TRI (10/2/4/8)-(10/2/4/8/9)-(10/2/4/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-4-10 $38.10 $14.10 59%
    DD (6/3/8)-(10/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-8 $21.00 $9.00 75%
    PK3 (7/10/1/5/9)-(6/3/8)-(10/2/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  10-3-8 $78.50 $48.50 162%
    PK4 (1/5/2)-(7/10/1/5/9)-(6/3/8)-(10/2/4/8) 180 $0.50 $90.00  5-10-3-1/8 $157.00 $67.00 74%
DED-7   EXA (2/6/7/3)-(2/6/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-3 $16.70 $0.70 4%
    TRI (2/6/7/3)-(2/6/7/3/4)-(2/6/7/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-3-2 $30.55 $6.55 27%
DED-8   DD (2/6/7/3)-(9/1/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-1 $25.10 $9.10 57%
DED-9   WIN (8/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $12.20 $4.20 53%
    PK3 (2/6/7/3)-(9/1/4/10)-(8/6/3/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00  6-1-8 $45.90 $13.90 43%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   01/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:142 1:283   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDER ROAD 6 9 9 10 63 3½ 1 (dodson clifford)FUSILIER C 119 4.50 6.10  
TOTAL SURPRISE 2 7 5 54 52 41 2 (arnett jon )MELANCON JANSEN 119 2.50 64% 0.60 2.20 P
RUNANDHIDE WIND 3 1 4 42 31 1½ 34 (del erick)ROSIER R 119 3.50 7.00  
ONE MORE BABY 4 2 7 6 74 6 46 (fogarty desmond)ROMAN KEVIN 119 20.00 6.50  
MESABI 1 6 6 8 85 52 5 (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
OXXON 7 10 10 98 9 8 6 (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 114 12.00 4.70  
10  FULL OF GLORY 10 5 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ 7 (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 20.00 44.40  
PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN 8 8 8 77 10 94 811 (richard russell )STOKES A 116 20.00 62.90  
LET'S GO RANDOM 5 3 31 3 4 105 914 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 8.00 7% 12.90 7.50  
BELLO CREEDO 9 4 2nk 2nk 1nk 73 1014¾ (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 6% 16.80 7.40  
 
DED-2   01/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:33
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:142     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENNESSEE MOON 5 2 1 1   13 110¼ (hibdon n)THORNTON G 123 1.80 16% 5.30 0.40 W
MIDNIGHT'S GIRL 4 6 5 2   23 210¼ (berndt joel)BIRZER E 123 5.00 8.70  
GLANCE 1 4 4 5   45 311½ (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 2.50 41% 1.50 6.80 S
MEAN AMERICAN 3 5 6 4   35 412¾ (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 5.00 7.20  
GP'S AMAZING GRACE 6 1 3 3   56 513½ (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00 26.40  
KISS RIDE GOODBYE 2 3 2 6   6 614¼ (ramirez edu)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 4.00 14% 6.10 8.10  
 
DED-3   01/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:01
See original race card.
:234 :491 1:16     1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GYPSY JACKPOT 10 8 5 31   12 18 (pomier devi)STOKES J 123 6.00 11% 8.40 5.60 W
SPARKLE CITY 4 6 7 76   54 28 (zeno benjam)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 12.00 6.80  
TALKABOUT 1 1 3 43   43 39 (broussard jarmo)ROMAN KEVIN 123 5.00 5% 19.00 6.60 S
CHARMING KAT 2 7 6 6   6 410¼ (senegal j)ROSIER R 123 4.50 6.30  
STARSHIP NOLA 7 9 1011¼ 910   75 511¼ (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 123 5.00 57% 0.80 4.10  
DEE'S LIL FOOL 3 2 11 1½   22 612 (segura kearney)STOKES A 123 12.00 9.30  
MALLORY UNBRIDLED 9 5 21 2½   33 716¾ (zenon shelton)FUSILIER C 123 8.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
LUCKY BEAD LADY 5 3 4 55   97 817¼ (delahoussaye g)THORNTON G 123 3.00 5% 19.00 3.90  
GRACE'S VISION 6 4 8 88   86 917¾ (daigle walte)DEL-CID MARLON 118 20.00 50.50  
LOOKIN SPECIAL 8 10 9 1016   1025 10100 (walker phillip)POMPELL L 123 20.00 30.70  
SCR  BLUERIDGEBALLERINA               (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 123 15.00    
SCR  CUPIE CUTIE               (silva walter)TORRES HUGO 123 15.00    
 
DED-4   01/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:29
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:151 1:29   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEANUT N IKE 2 1 5 21 1nk 1½ 1 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 123 4.50 23% 3.40 3.20 W
NATIVE STAR 5 4 11 11 2nk 2½ 2 (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.00 32% 2.10 1.50 P
RUN ON ACES 4 2 3 52 44 3 37 (perron gerar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 6.00 9.10  
DEAL WITH HIM 6 3 21 31 33 4 4 (landry r)THORNTON G 123 3.50 21% 3.70 2.40  
R T'S D'ORO 1 6 6 64 6 5 512¾ (chevis a)STOKES A 123 5.00 4.90  
TOOCAN DANCE 3 5 43 4 5 6 621½ (zeno benjamin)STOKES J 123 20.00 39.30  
SCR  CHIEF KIMOSABI               (castille ric)DEL-CID MARLON 118 15.00    
SCR  MAKE YOUR DESTINY               (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 8.00    
 
DED-5   01/06/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:144     1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUNTERS GHOST 7 5 41 2½   11 1 (pierce mich)MELANCON JANSEN 119 10.00 6% 16.80 3.20 W
MIAS MOONBEAM 3 7 9 7   5 2 (larrosa a)BIRZER E 119 5.00 17% 4.80 6.70 P
10  GETCHA 9 8 62 41   21 3 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.00 31% 2.20 3.30 S
AMERICAIN JOEY 2 3 3½ 52   31 4 (arnett g)POMPELL L 119 8.00 3.50  
LOUIS LE GRANDE 4 4 8 95   7 5 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 6.00 5.00  
FAST VERDICT 6 2 1nk 1½   4 66 (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 111 20.00 72.30  
BIG MONEY MACHINE 5 9 73 63   6 7 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 20.00 36.70  
COOLCROSS 1 1 2nk 3½   8 8 (reeves jeff)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 6.00 24% 3.20 6.70  
MOTATAABEQ 8 6 5 8   9 911 (richard chris)STOKES J 119 12.00 17.00  
SCR  WISE ANCHOR               (degeyter randy)THORNTON G 116 4.00    
 
DED-6   01/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:134     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN SMOOTH 2 1 55 5   3½ 1½ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00 25.00  
MARKS PROMISE 3 4 31 31   1nk 2½ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 4.00 40% 1.50 1.10 P
JOLLY TOMMY 5 5 43 4   2nk 3¾ (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 121 1.80 1.40  
HEZA PICKLE 6 6 69 6   42 4 (lara jorge)SANTIAGO EDWARD 111 12.00 18.00  
GRUNT 4 3 1nk 1½   55 513¾ (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 116 5.00 19% 4.30 5.40  
KNIGHT COMMANDER 1 2 2nk 2½   67 618¼ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 8.00 12% 7.20 9.20  
SCR  DAZZLEMESILVER               (desormeaux ke)POMPELL L 123 3.00    
 
DED-7   01/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:161     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLE SUNDAY 6 3 4 43   2nk 1¼ (ward ronnie)STOKES J 119 3.00 19% 4.20 2.40 W
THE GREY BEAUTY 3 2 22 21   1nk 2¼ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 10% 9.10 2.60 P
BLESS D'SOUTH 2 9 911½ 8   7 3 (larrosa a)BIRZER E 119 4.00 34% 1.90 7.70 S
KAPPA HILL 9 8 7 65   5 42 (journet albert)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 10.00 17.10  
JUST A WIN 7 5 6 5   3.2 5 (landry allen)MAGNON H 121 6.00 10% 8.60 5.10  
ELIZABETH RENEE 1 6 33 3   4¼ 6 (chevis a)ROSIER R 119 15.00 25.20  
T R'S FIRST 5 7 8 910½   8 711 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00 14.30  
IRON BANNER 8 4 55 7   9 811 (torres jesu)MELANCON JANSEN 119 4.50 15.00  
SADIE'S RANSOM 4 1 12 11   6 915¾ (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00 6.00  
 
DED-8   01/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:153     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAT GUITAR 1 2 4 5   5 1¾ (ramirez eduardo)STOKES J 119 4.00 25% 2.90 3.10 W
NEW DESTINY 8 6 56 4   31 2¾ (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 119 3.00 35% 1.90 1.90 P
WORLD OF HURT 3 8 914½ 710½   64 3¾ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 5.00 7.50  
10  KAN SHE 9 4 33 21   1½ 4 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 2.20  
MOLLI WAY 2 7 814 811   42 5 (romero j)STOKES A 119 15.00 32.40  
NOWNOWDANCER 4 3 11 11   2½ 6 (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 114 5.00 14% 6.10 11.20  
EVERLYN'S ANGEL 5 1 21 3   75 79 (landry r)THORNTON G 119 6.00 19.10  
AFLEET CHARLENE 6 5 68 6   87 810 (beene linda)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00 80.60  
BEAT THE DOUBLE 7 9 711 912½   911 911 (zeno benjamin)LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00 45.00  
SCR  HOPESHECANRUN               (west henry)ROMAN KEVIN 119 20.00    
 
DED-9   01/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:23 :472       1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATURALBORNSENDER 8 4 2½ 1   12 1 (zeno benjam)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.50 46% 1.20 5.10 W
SERENA'S SERENADE 4 8 5¾ 3   22 2 (knudsen kent)ROSIER R 123 15.00 16.50  
SHARE THE DOE 5 5 6 4   33 3 (zeno benjam)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 3.50 2.80 S
SCRAPPY 2 6 3½ 53   4 4 (bernard john)POMPELL L 120 10.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
SHE'S THE SHERIFF 1 9 8 76   6 58 (garcia migue)DEL-CID MARLON 118 20.00 27.00  
JENNYSBIGBABY 3 1 4¾ 65   7 6 (lara jorge)STOKES J 120 5.00 8% 11.50 2.10  
E R'S MIREYA 6 3 1½ 2   55 710¼ (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 115 5.00 20% 4.10 3.60  
KOSTROMA'S DANCER 7 7 9 98   811½ 819½ (ward ronnie)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 20.00 38.10  
10  LA LOLA 9 2 7 8   912 921¼ (giangrosso russe)STOKES A 120 12.00 19.70  
SCR  BITSY'S DOUBLE DAY               (ramirez e)TORRES HUGO 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.