Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - January 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (2/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/9/1)-(2/5/9/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/9/1)-(2/5/9/6/1)-(2/5/9/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/9/1)-(1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/9/1)-(1/5/2)-(7/10/1/5/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-2   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(7/10/1/5/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(7/10/1/5/9)-(6/3/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-3   WIN (7/10/1/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/1/5/9)-(7/10/1/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/1/5/9)-(7/10/1/5/9)-(7/10/1/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/1/5/9)-(6/3/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/10/1/5/9)-(6/3/8)-(10/2/4/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-4   WIN (6/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/8)-(6/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/8)-(6/3/8)-(6/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/8)-(10/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8)-(10/2/4/8)-(3/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-5   WIN (10/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/4/8)-(10/2/4/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/2/4/8)-(10/2/4/8/9)-(10/2/4/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/2/4/8)-(3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/2/4/8)-(3/5/1)-(2/6/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(2/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(2/6/7/3)-(9/1/4/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-7   WIN (2/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/3)-(2/6/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/3)-(2/6/7/3/4)-(2/6/7/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/7/3)-(9/1/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/3)-(9/1/4/10)-(8/6/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-8   WIN (9/1/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/4/10)-(9/1/4/10/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/4/10)-(9/1/4/10/5)-(9/1/4/10/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DED-9   WIN (8/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/2)-(8/6/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/2)-(8/6/3/2/5)-(8/6/3/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MESABI Dec01 Nov01 Sep03 Aug07 Jun18 (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  TOTAL SURPRISE Nov29 Nov11 Aug26 Aug13 Jul19 (arnett jon )MELANCON JANSEN 119 2.50 64% 0.60    
3  RUNANDHIDE WIND Dec27 Nov17 Jul31 Jun26 Aug03 (del erick)ROSIER R 119 3.50    
4  ONE MORE BABY Dec14 Jun11 May28 May14 Apr16 (fogarty desmond)ROMAN KEVIN 119 20.00    
5  LET'S GO RANDOM Nov15 Oct27 Aug26 Jul13 Jun30 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 8.00 7% 12.90    
6  THUNDER ROAD Dec01 Sep04 Aug27 Jul31 Jun12 (dodson clifford)TORRES HUGO 119 4.50 ★    
7  OXXON Dec01 Nov11 Oct19 Sep10 Jun11 (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 114 12.00    
8  PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Dec21 Nov11 Oct06 Jul28 Jul13 (richard russell )STOKES A 116 20.00    
9  BELLO CREEDO Dec20 Dec01 Nov24 Nov08 Sep10 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 6% 16.80    
10  FULL OF GLORY Nov24 Nov04 Jul30 Jun24 Jun03 (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 20.00    
 
DED-2   01/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLANCE Dec16 Dec06 Nov17 Oct28 Oct13 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 2.50 41% 1.50    
2  KISS RIDE GOODBYE Oct28 Oct14 Aug20 Jul29 Jul07 (ramirez edu)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 4.00 14% 6.10    
3  MEAN AMERICAN Dec27 Dec16 Oct21 Aug21 Aug05 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 5.00    
4  MIDNIGHT'S GIRL Dec08 Nov25 Oct28 Jun03 May20 (berndt joel)BIRZER E 123 5.00    
5  TENNESSEE MOON Dec19 Nov17 Oct21 Sep17 Aug26 (hibdon n)THORNTON G 123 1.80 16% 5.30    
6  GP'S AMAZING GRACE Dec16 Dec01 Nov11 Oct12 Sep27 (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00    
 
DED-3   01/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALKABOUT Dec16 Dec02 Nov11 Sep05 Jul23 (broussard jarmo)ROMAN KEVIN 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHARMING KAT Dec20 Dec02 Nov09 Aug21 Aug10 (senegal j)ROSIER R 123 4.50    
3  DEE'S LIL FOOL Dec20 Nov18 Oct27 Jul22 Jul01 (segura kearney)STOKES A 123 12.00    
4  SPARKLE CITY Dec21 Dec13 Nov18 Oct27 Aug28 (zeno benjam)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 12.00    
5  LUCKY BEAD LADY Nov16 Sep02 Aug03 Feb03   (delahoussaye g)THORNTON G 123 3.00 5% 19.00    
6  GRACE'S VISION Dec20 Dec13 Dec02 Nov16 Oct19 (daigle walte)DEL-CID MARLON 118 20.00    
7  STARSHIP NOLA Dec13 Oct25 Aug10 Jul07 Jun08 (gelner scott)NEGRON LUIS 123 5.00 57% 0.80    
8  LOOKIN SPECIAL Dec06         (walker phillip)POMPELL L 123 20.00    
9  MALLORY UNBRIDLED Dec13 Oct25 Sep03 Aug06 Jul01 (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  GYPSY JACKPOT Dec21 Dec02 Nov16 Oct25 Aug10 (pomier devi)STOKES J 123 6.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  CUPIE CUTIE Dec21 Dec02 Nov16 Jul29 Feb15 (silva walter)TORRES HUGO 123 15.00    
SCR  BLUERIDGEBALLERINA Dec21 Dec02 Oct27 Aug05 Apr12 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 123 15.00    
 
DED-4   01/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHIEF KIMOSABI Dec19 Dec07 Nov16 Nov01 Oct06 (castille ric)DEL-CID MARLON 118 15.00    
2  R T'S D'ORO Dec19 Nov16 Nov01 Aug04 Jun15 (chevis a)STOKES A 123 5.00    
3  PEANUT N IKE Dec16 Nov30 Oct20 Aug05 Jul22 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 123 4.50 23% 3.40    
4  TOOCAN DANCE Dec19 Dec07 Nov18 Oct11 Aug19 (zeno benjamin)STOKES J 123 20.00    
5  RUN ON ACES Dec07 Oct20 Sep12 Aug28 Aug05 (perron gerar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 6.00    
6  NATIVE STAR Dec13 Nov24 Nov11 Oct18   (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  MAKE YOUR DESTINY Dec19 Nov01 Oct11 Sep25 May20 (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 8.00    
8  DEAL WITH HIM Dec16 Dec08 Nov01 Apr16 Mar27 (landry r)THORNTON G 123 3.50 21% 3.70    
 
DED-5   01/06/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WISE ANCHOR Dec28 Nov17 Sep09 Aug05 Jun25 (degeyter randy)THORNTON G 116 4.00    
2  COOLCROSS Dec18 Nov22 Nov02 Oct13 Sep17 (reeves jeff)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 6.00 24% 3.20    
3  AMERICAIN JOEY Dec07 Nov24 Nov04 Sep10 Aug19 (arnett g)POMPELL L 119 8.00    
4  MIAS MOONBEAM Dec02 Nov24 Nov03 Oct19 Aug11 (larrosa a)BIRZER E 119 5.00 17% 4.80    
5  LOUIS LE GRANDE Dec28 Dec07 Nov24 Nov16 Jul27 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 6.00    
6  BIG MONEY MACHINE Dec07 Nov18 Oct19 Jul27 Jun22 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 20.00    
7  FAST VERDICT Nov29 Nov18 Nov02 Sep26 Sep05 (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 111 20.00    
8  HUNTERS GHOST Dec20 Dec02 Oct20 Aug13 Jul29 (pierce mich)MELANCON JANSEN 119 10.00 6% 16.80    
9  MOTATAABEQ Dec18 Nov24 Oct19 Jul27 May03 (richard chris)STOKES J 119 12.00 ★    
10  GETCHA Dec18 Dec02 Nov22 Nov01 Jul01 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
DED-6   01/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNIGHT COMMANDER Dec03 Nov09 Sep18 Jul02 Jun11 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 8.00 12% 7.20    
2  AMERICAN SMOOTH Dec20 Nov24 Oct27 Sep30 Sep11 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00    
3  MARKS PROMISE Dec08 Nov17 Oct18 Mar10 Feb24 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  DAZZLEMESILVER Dec17 Dec01 Nov17 Oct22 Sep04 (desormeaux ke)POMPELL L 123 3.00    
5  GRUNT Dec09 Jun03 May19 Feb10 Jan05 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 116 5.00 19% 4.30    
6  JOLLY TOMMY Dec18 Dec01 Nov17 Oct28 Aug12 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 121 1.80    
7  HEZA PICKLE Dec01 Nov10 Oct26 Oct06 Sep11 (lara jorge)SANTIAGO EDWARD 111 12.00    
 
DED-7   01/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELIZABETH RENEE Dec21 Nov19 Oct05 Aug27 Aug12 (chevis a)ROSIER R 119 15.00    
2  BLESS D'SOUTH Dec21 Nov24 Nov08 Oct27 Aug20 (larrosa a)BIRZER E 119 4.00 34% 1.90    
3  THE GREY BEAUTY Nov24 Nov08 Oct28 Aug20 Jul15 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 10% 9.10    
4  SADIE'S RANSOM Dec16 Nov16 Oct25 Jul27 Jun18 (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00 ★    
5  T R'S FIRST Dec21 Nov08 Oct07 Oct01 Sep11 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00    
6  SIMPLE SUNDAY Dec21 Dec09 Nov24 Oct27 Sep09 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 119 3.00 19% 4.20    
7  JUST A WIN Dec21 Dec06 Nov17 Nov08 Oct27 (landry allen)MAGNON H 121 6.00 10% 8.60    
8  IRON BANNER Oct27 Aug28 Jul14 Jun16 May11 (torres jesu)MELANCON JANSEN 119 4.50    
9  KAPPA HILL Nov08 Oct12 Aug20 Jul06 May11 (journet albert)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 10.00    
 
DED-8   01/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAT GUITAR Dec13 Nov25 Nov08 Jul22 Jun16 (ramirez eduardo)STOKES J 119 4.00 25% 2.90    
2  MOLLI WAY Nov25 Nov01 Feb18 Jan21 Jan04 (romero j)STOKES A 119 15.00    
3  WORLD OF HURT Dec09 Oct28 Aug03 Jul06 Jun03 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 5.00    
4  NOWNOWDANCER Dec09 Nov17 Nov02 Jul31 Jul10 (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 114 5.00 14% 6.10    
5  EVERLYN'S ANGEL Dec13 Nov01 Feb23 Feb04 Jan13 (landry r)THORNTON G 119 6.00 ★    
6  AFLEET CHARLENE Nov25 Nov08 Oct12 Jul10 Jun24 (beene linda)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00    
7  BEAT THE DOUBLE Dec13 Dec02 Oct28 May11 Apr26 (zeno benjamin)LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00    
SCR  HOPESHECANRUN Dec19 Nov22 Nov02     (west henry)ROMAN KEVIN 119 20.00    
9  NEW DESTINY Nov25 Nov01 Jun03 May05 Mar25 (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
10  KAN SHE Nov01         (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-9   01/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S THE SHERIFF Dec16 Nov11 Jun29 Jun02   (garcia migue)DEL-CID MARLON 118 20.00    
2  SCRAPPY Dec14 Nov21 Jul29 Jul23 Jul08 (bernard john)POMPELL L 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  JENNYSBIGBABY Nov21 Oct19 Sep02 Jul09 Jun18 (lara jorge)STOKES J 120 5.00 8% 11.50    
4  SERENA'S SERENADE Nov09         (knudsen kent)ROSIER R 123 15.00    
5  SHARE THE DOE Dec06 Oct19 Sep10 Aug28 Aug12 (zeno benjam)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 3.50 ★    
6  E R'S MIREYA Dec06 Nov11 Oct19 Sep10 Aug28 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 115 5.00 20% 4.10    
7  KOSTROMA'S DANCER Nov18 Oct28 Oct06     (ward ronnie)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 20.00    
8  NATURALBORNSENDER Dec27 Nov02 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 (zeno benjam)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  BITSY'S DOUBLE DAY Aug06 Jul23 May12 Apr26 Mar03 (ramirez e)TORRES HUGO 120 8.00    
10  LA LOLA Dec28 Jul01 Jun22 May20 May03 (giangrosso russe)STOKES A 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.