Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - December 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-5   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $39.40 $33.40 557%
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-7 $87.70 $75.70 631%
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5/8/1)-(7/6/5/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00  5-7-8 $1060 $1042 5792%

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:224 :454 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN JAY 2 3 2½ 1nk   13 17 (mcburney patri)CEDENO CAROL 121 4.50 6.00  
SILVER STYLE 4 6 5 3   33 27 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 2.50 61% 0.60 1.00 P
VEGAS PLAYBOY 5 5 6 4   5 3 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00 7.80  
STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT 3 2 3½ 2nk   23 4 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 5.00 9.20  
BOLD BLUE 1 4 42 5   44 510¾ (morey wi)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 4.80  
UNCAPTURED STAR 6 1 1½ 6   611¾ 629¼ (dobber arnou)ARROYO S 118 6.00 5% 19.00 4.10  
SCR  UNCAPTURED WARRIOR               (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 5.00    
 
TAM-2   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAN COSTANTINO 4 7 54 3.2   1½ 1 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 3.00 1.90  
FLIPPING FISH 5 4 44 2nk   3½ 2 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 122 2.00 65% 0.50 2.10 P
LORD BERRIER 2 3 33 1nk   4 3 (de ka)MARIN A 120 4.00 8% 11.10 6.10 S
REBEL EMPIRE 1 5 1½ 4¼   2½ 4 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 120 3.50 3.20  
GREAT FACES 7 1 6 6   5 5 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
PRINCELY GOD 6 2 2½ 5   6 616¾ (smith robert )ALICEA JEREMY 113 12.00 18.80  
HAIL SOUTHERN 3 6 7 7   711 720¼ (ramirez jos)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 20.00 39.20  
 
TAM-3   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIKING IT TWISTED 2 2 1nk 1nk   1 1¼ (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.50 3.40  
TRUE ATKA 4 4 33 3   32 2¼ (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 6.90  
WAIT A SEC 6 6 55 4   43 3 (buffalo mar)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00 36% 1.70 7.60 S
A SMILE A DAY 1 7 6 5   2 4 (mendieta alej)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 30.00 5% 19.00 64.90  
LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT 7 5 8 8   75 54 (clay pat)CASTANON L 120 10.00 14.70  
SOLAIR 5 3 44 6   6 66 (richards )MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 1.60 39% 1.60 1.90  
WOODS HOLE 3 8 7 7   8 7 (sepulveda c)MARIN A 120 15.00 11.50  
IDEAL BREEZE 8 1 2nk 2nk   5 810 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 120 4.50 3.00  
 
TAM-4   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGURETI (CHI) 1 7 64 6   32 13 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 3.80  
BUFF HELLO 7 2 21 2½   1½ 23 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 54% 0.80 0.60 P
MY MAN VITO 2 6 74 7   7 3 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 15.00 15.80  
MAKE IT BIG 4 5 53 42   6 4 (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.00 11% 8.10 7.90  
MACHISMO 3 4 32 5   4 511½ (marioth brand)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 10.00 9% 9.90 27.50  
GOLDEN JUAN 6 1 4 32   5 612¼ (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 8.00 16.20  
THATSAFACTJACK 5 3 11 1½   2½ 713¼ (cahill steven )ALLEN D 120 6.00 6.40  
SCR  MADDY'S DREAM               (vazquez eduard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00    
 
TAM-5   12/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:124 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIDELIGHTCAYUT 5 4 21 2nk 1nk 11 1 (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 18.70 W
DEEP STRIKE 7 8 75 5 4 42 2 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 42% 1.40 2.30 P
OUTOFTHEDARK 8 6 32 3½ 2nk 21 3 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 67.10 S
10  UNCLE KENNY 10 9 8 8 7 6 42 (potts g)WALKER M 118 5.00 5.20  
THE HONEYMAN 9 10 9 10 104 8 5 (d'angelo jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 20.00 42.70  
MAINSTREAM SELLOUT 4 5 42 4 5 31 6 (saville niall)CENTENO E 115 8.00 8.70  
LORD KNOWS 6 7 5 6 6 5 7 (dini mike)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 3.50 33% 2.00 1.50  
TAP THE SKY 2 1 10 9 94 7 8 (harty eo)GALLARDO A 118 15.00 23.50  
REAL SENSATION 1 3 6 7 84 94 9 (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.00 15.80  
GROUP TICKET 3 2 11 1nk 31 10 1010½ (stormfelt)VARGAS A 118 5.00 13.90  
 
TAM-6   12/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BUCKSALOT 7 2 3½ 11   1 1 (gatis chris)FERRER C 118 2.00 2.80  
BEAR CREEK 6 6 6 64   3 2 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 121 8.00 12.00  
GUILLAUME 1 7 5 42   2 32 (simone micha)ARROYO S 121 2.50 60% 0.70 1.10 S
GOLDEN TONE 8 1 7 7   6 4 (rivera xa)HERNANDEZ H 121 12.00 11% 8.50 13.20  
AWESOMEBROTHERBILL 5 3 4 32   4 5 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 5.30  
TAP EM 4 4 2nk 21   5 610¾ (rivera xavi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
CAMPTOWN RACES 2 8 8 8   78 712¾ (torres pa)VARGAS A 121 12.00 27.90  
SOVEREIGN OF SPEED 3 5 1nk 5   89 815¾ (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 12.00 21.70  
 
TAM-7   12/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROUP HUG 4 9 8 33   1½ 1 (carrascojr vic)CAMACHO SAMY 121 1.20 44% 1.30 1.00 W
MISTERCHILLIWILLI 5 4 1 11   2½ 2 (simone michael )CENTENO E 118 5.00 27% 2.70 2.40 P
JOYFUL GHOST 9 1 6 4   34 3 (potts g)ALLEN M 118 6.00 5.70 S
ALBOROTO 6 7 43 5   4 411¾ (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 12.00 22.30  
B G LEE 7 2 910¼ 911½   69 513 (philipp )GALLARDO A 121 8.00 6% 14.90 25.40  
CALZONE 1 8 7 65   5 613¾ (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 114 10.00 5% 19.00 14.60  
MOONSTRIKE (GB) 3 6 2 21   7 724¼ (engler jeff)ALLEN D 118 8.00 8.90  
EL GUAPO 8 3 5 76   812 825¼ (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00 55.70  
HELLO SUCKER 2 5 3 89   915 931½ (mcgoey mo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 15.00 35.60  
 
TAM-8   12/27/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 3:59
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:15 1:41   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STYLE ME ROYAL 5 3 4 2½ 2nk 1 1 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 6.00 5.30  
MY NOBLE KNIGHT 7 1 3 4 31 2 2 (barbazoniii)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 6.00 10% 8.70 6.00 P
THREEWHITESOLDIERS 2 8 8 8 6 32 3 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 7% 13.90 2.90 S
10  SKYLANE 8 4 6 5 5 42 4 (nunez mauricio)CENTENO E 119 4.00 42% 1.40 4.50  
DR SCHUSTER 1 5 1½ 1½ 1nk 53 513¼ (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 10.00 8.30  
ADIOS FRANK 6 2 2½ 3½ 42 6 614¾ (vinson g)CASTANON L 119 10.00 16.30  
BEYOND REPROACH 4 6 7 6 7 7 715 (seale christophe)FERRER C 119 20.00 18.60  
SPANISH PHAROAH 3 7 5 7 8 88 816¼ (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00 20% 4.10 2.90  
SCR  CHASENTHEONE               (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 12.00    
SCR  JOSH'S DRAMA               (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 30.00    
SCR  MR. LEFTY               (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
SCR  THAT MAGIC MOMENT               (yanez re)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 4.50    
 
TAM-9   12/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:113     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIPPERINI 2 7 53 53   2nk 1nk (puckett dwight)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 3.50  
CHROMED IMPULSE 7 2 1 11   1nk 2nk (roque elis)LOPEZ E 120 15.00 30% 2.40 13.10 P
MEAN TWEETS 8 10 8 42   54 3 (posadas pedro)SOSA LAUREANO 113 5.00 3.20  
ERLAN 4 9 9 8   7 47 (cascallares ne)CEDENO CAROL 120 12.00 5% 18.00 7.00  
10  TRUEBELIEVE 9 3 2 21   43 5 (potts wa)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 4.50 7% 13.60 8.40  
KITTEN'S CLOWN 1 6 64 9   32 6 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 12.00 8.00  
RUNANDHIDE WIND 3 5 42 31   6 712¾ (ramirez jose)ARROYO S 120 15.00 12.10  
HESTON 5 8 7 7   8 814½ (engler jeff)ALLEN D 120 12.00 7.90  
MY WAY OR NO WAY 6 4 3 6   9 915¼ (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00 29.30  
12  WELL PLAYED 10 1 10100 10100   10100 10100 (buffalo marvin)HIRALDO JOHN 118 8.00 24% 3.20 7.50  
SCR  CHIEF CHEETAH               (ramirez jos)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 15.00    
SCR  GRAND ROCK               (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 6% 15.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.