Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - December 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/6)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(5/2/7)-(5/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(5/6/1)-(8/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(8/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(8/4/3)-(7/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-4   WIN (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/3)-(8/4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/3)-(8/4/3/1)-(8/4/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/4/3)-(7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3)-(7/6/5)-(1/8/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5/8/1)-(7/6/5/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(1/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(1/8/4)-(4/5/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/4)-(1/8/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/4)-(1/8/5/4)-(1/8/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/4)-(4/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4)-(4/5/7/1)-(10/3/9/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/1)-(4/5/7/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/1)-(4/5/7/9/1)-(4/5/7/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/7/1)-(10/3/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/1)-(10/3/9/2)-(8/12/10/4/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (10/3/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/9/2)-(10/3/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/3/9/2)-(10/3/9/2)-(10/3/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/3/9/2)-(8/12/10/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/12/10/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/12/10/4/5)-(8/12/10/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/12/10/4/5)-(8/12/10/4/5)-(8/12/10/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD BLUE Dec16 Mar15 Feb04     (morey wi)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 ★    
2  JOHN JAY Nov22 Oct26 Sep30 Sep09 Nov02 (mcburney patri)CEDENO CAROL 121 4.50    
3  STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT Sep16 Jul29 May28 May21 Sep03 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 5.00    
4  SILVER STYLE Dec16 Nov22 Sep02 Aug02 Jul14 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 2.50 61% 0.60    
5  VEGAS PLAYBOY Nov22 Oct14 Sep29 Sep01 Aug16 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00    
6  UNCAPTURED STAR Dec15 Dec01 Oct28 Oct01 Sep08 (dobber arnou)ARROYO S 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNCAPTURED WARRIOR Dec01 Oct28       (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 5.00    
 
TAM-2   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBEL EMPIRE Oct21 Sep28 Sep13 Aug17 Jul26 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 120 3.50    
2  LORD BERRIER Oct21 Oct04 Sep06 Aug12 Jul06 (de ka)MARIN A 120 4.00 8% 11.10    
3  HAIL SOUTHERN Jul31 Jul09 Jun24 May29 Aug27 (ramirez jos)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 20.00    
4  SAN COSTANTINO Nov25 Sep20 Sep01 Aug10 Jun26 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 3.00 ★    
5  FLIPPING FISH Dec13 Nov20 Oct23 Sep05 Aug21 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 122 2.00 65% 0.50    
6  PRINCELY GOD Sep01 Aug02 Jul14 Jun28   (smith robert )ALICEA JEREMY 113 12.00    
7  GREAT FACES Nov25 Oct20 Oct04 Sep07 Aug17 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-3   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A SMILE A DAY Dec06 Sep11 Aug17 Jun15 Jun02 (mendieta alej)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  LIKING IT TWISTED Dec06 Oct14 Sep21 Sep08 Aug23 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.50 ★    
3  WOODS HOLE Oct07 Aug25 Aug04 Jul22 Jun01 (sepulveda c)MARIN A 120 15.00    
4  TRUE ATKA Dec06 Nov29 Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
5  SOLAIR Dec06 Oct28 Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 (richards )MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 1.60 39% 1.60    
6  WAIT A SEC Aug23 Aug02 Jul05 Jun06 May22 (buffalo mar)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00 36% 1.70    
7  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Dec16 Nov29 Aug20 Aug06 Jul20 (clay pat)CASTANON L 120 10.00    
8  IDEAL BREEZE Aug13 Jul21 Jun09 Apr19 Feb05 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 120 4.50    
 
TAM-4   12/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGURETI (CHI) Nov05 Oct14 Sep02 Jul01 Apr26 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 ★    
2  MY MAN VITO Dec01 Oct20 Oct04 Sep08 Aug02 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 15.00    
3  MACHISMO Oct25 Oct02 May27 Apr28 Apr05 (marioth brand)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 10.00 9% 9.90    
4  MAKE IT BIG Aug18 Oct14 Jul29 Feb12   (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.00 11% 8.10    
5  THATSAFACTJACK Sep30 Sep20 Aug10 May27 Apr23 (cahill steven )ALLEN D 120 6.00    
SCR  MADDY'S DREAM Dec01 Apr08 Jun17     (vazquez eduard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00    
7  GOLDEN JUAN Oct06 Sep09 Aug17 Jul26 Jul01 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 8.00    
8  BUFF HELLO Nov18 Oct24 Sep20 Sep09 Aug13 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 54% 0.80    
 
TAM-5   12/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL SENSATION Dec08 Oct14 Aug25 Aug06 Jul16 (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.00 ★    
2  TAP THE SKY Oct28 Sep20 Aug23     (harty eo)GALLARDO A 118 15.00    
3  GROUP TICKET Dec08 Oct29 Sep09 Aug04 Jul20 (stormfelt)VARGAS A 118 5.00    
4  MAINSTREAM SELLOUT Dec08 Oct27 Sep27 Sep09 Aug19 (saville niall)CENTENO E 115 8.00    
5  FIDELIGHTCAYUT Sep04 Aug13       (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  LORD KNOWS Nov22 Sep04       (dini mike)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 3.50 33% 2.00    
7  DEEP STRIKE Sep25 Sep07 Aug19     (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 42% 1.40    
8  OUTOFTHEDARK Dec08 Sep09 Aug10 Jul20   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 ★    
9  THE HONEYMAN Dec01 Nov18 Oct27 Oct11 Aug13 (d'angelo jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 20.00    
10  UNCLE KENNY Dec08 Oct23 Sep26 Aug17 Aug05 (potts g)WALKER M 118 5.00    
 
TAM-6   12/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUILLAUME Dec16 Dec01 Nov03 Oct27 Oct14 (simone micha)ARROYO S 121 2.50 60% 0.70    
2  CAMPTOWN RACES Dec16 Nov22 Oct02 Sep18 Aug26 (torres pa)VARGAS A 121 12.00    
3  SOVEREIGN OF SPEED Nov25 Nov03 Oct21 Oct04 Sep08 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 12.00    
4  TAP EM Dec20 Dec03 Oct13 Sep15 Aug02 (rivera xavi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  AWESOMEBROTHERBILL Nov25 Oct02 Sep10 Aug18 Jul28 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 ★    
6  BEAR CREEK Dec13 Sep27 Sep18 Aug28 Jul31 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 121 8.00    
7  BIG BUCKSALOT Nov29 Oct27 Sep29 Sep08 Aug05 (gatis chris)FERRER C 118 2.00    
8  GOLDEN TONE Dec15 Dec01 Oct23 Oct09 Sep13 (rivera xa)HERNANDEZ H 121 12.00 11% 8.50    
 
TAM-7   12/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALZONE Sep13 Aug27 Jul30 Jul02 Jun10 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  HELLO SUCKER Dec13 Nov24 Jul01 Jun03 May12 (mcgoey mo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 15.00    
3  MOONSTRIKE (GB) Dec16 Nov22 Oct02 Sep10 Aug05 (engler jeff)ALLEN D 118 8.00    
4  GROUP HUG Dec01 Sep02 Jul22 Jun02 May04 (carrascojr vic)CAMACHO SAMY 121 1.20 44% 1.30    
5  MISTERCHILLIWILLI Dec13 Nov25 Sep20 Aug09 Jul19 (simone michael )CENTENO E 118 5.00 27% 2.70    
6  ALBOROTO Oct18 Oct05 Sep22 Aug19 Jul06 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 12.00    
7  B G LEE Sep12 Sep04 Aug25 Aug05 Jul13 (philipp )GALLARDO A 121 8.00 6% 14.90    
8  EL GUAPO Dec01 Feb09 Dec07 Nov12 Sep06 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00    
9  JOYFUL GHOST Dec09 Nov25 Oct19 Oct02 Sep19 (potts g)ALLEN M 118 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-8   12/27/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR SCHUSTER Dec13 Oct13 Aug25 Aug06 Jun23 (avila c)MORELOS E 119 10.00    
2  THREEWHITESOLDIERS Dec01 Oct31 Oct05 Aug26 Jul20 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 7% 13.90    
3  SPANISH PHAROAH Dec02 Sep03 Aug13     (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00 20% 4.10    
4  BEYOND REPROACH Nov24 Nov12 Oct15 Sep08 Aug24 (seale christophe)FERRER C 119 20.00    
SCR  CHASENTHEONE Nov22 Oct20       (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 12.00    
6  STYLE ME ROYAL Dec01 Nov22 Sep07     (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 6.00    
SCR  JOSH'S DRAMA Dec13 Nov24 Sep09 Aug10 Jul20 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 30.00    
8  ADIOS FRANK Oct27         (vinson g)CASTANON L 119 10.00    
9  MY NOBLE KNIGHT Dec01         (barbazoniii)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 6.00 10% 8.70    
10  SKYLANE Dec01 Nov18 Oct27 Sep29   (nunez mauricio)CENTENO E 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  THAT MAGIC MOMENT Dec03 Oct27       (yanez re)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 4.50    
SCR  MR. LEFTY Dec10 Nov22 Sep06 Aug25 Jul27 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
 
TAM-9   12/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTEN'S CLOWN Nov24 Nov01 Sep16 Sep08 Aug25 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 12.00    
2  SKIPPERINI Dec16 Oct22 Sep23 Apr29 Apr19 (puckett dwight)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00    
3  RUNANDHIDE WIND Nov17 Jul31 Jun26 Aug03 Jul13 (ramirez jose)ARROYO S 120 15.00    
SCR  GRAND ROCK Nov18 Oct14 Sep16 Aug25 Jul08 (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 6% 15.50    
5  ERLAN Dec20 Dec06 Nov24 Nov08 Oct31 (cascallares ne)CEDENO CAROL 120 12.00 5% 18.00    
6  HESTON Nov29 Oct07 Sep27 May26 May04 (engler jeff)ALLEN D 120 12.00    
7  MY WAY OR NO WAY Dec01 Dec07 Nov05 Oct09 Sep05 (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00    
8  CHROMED IMPULSE Oct06 May30 May13 Apr11 Mar21 (roque elis)LOPEZ E 120 15.00 30% 2.40    
9  MEAN TWEETS Dec09 Nov25 Nov04 Oct25 Oct06 (posadas pedro)SOSA LAUREANO 113 5.00    
10  TRUEBELIEVE Oct13 Sep16 Sep10 Jun02 Oct13 (potts wa)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 4.50 7% 13.60    
SCR  CHIEF CHEETAH Nov17 Aug26 Aug12 Jul09 Jun25 (ramirez jos)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 15.00    
12  WELL PLAYED Sep13 Aug29 Aug07 Jul19 Jul12 (buffalo marvin)HIRALDO JOHN 118 8.00 24% 3.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.