Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Thursday - February 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-4   TRI (4/2/7/8/5)-(4/2/7/8/5)-(4/2/7/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-2-8 $37.95 $7.95 27%
    SFT (4/2/7/8/5)-(4/2/7/8/5)-(4/2/7/8/5)-(4/2/7/8/5) 120 $0.10 $12.00  4-2-8-5 $57.55 $45.55 380%
DED-5   WIN (1/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $15.60 $7.60 95%
    EXA (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-7 $43.50 $31.50 263%
    TRI (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-7-1 $92.10 $80.10 668%
    DD (4/2/7/8/5)-(1/2/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-2 $33.30 $13.30 67%
    PK3 (5/4/2/10/3)-(4/2/7/8/5)-(1/2/4/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00  5-4-2 $57.35 $7.35 15%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   02/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:131 1:264   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN CAT 2 1 5 5 4 1½ 1 (shumake phillip)POMPELL L 119 8.00 4.00  
UNCLE FRANK 1 5 2nk 1nk 2½ 3½ 2 (sturrock tom)MAGNON H 119 8.00 3.20  
DAVIDIC LINE 5 2 3½ 3½ 1½ 2½ 3 (shumake phi)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 1.80 19% 4.10 3.30 S
FAHAN 6 3 41 6 6 6 416½ (noel dane)VARGAS P 119 4.50 2.60  
SECRET VISTA 3 6 6 4 5 4 516¾ (west henry)STOKES A 116 3.00 37% 1.70 9.60  
GOLD CRUSHER 4 4 1nk 2nk 31 5 618¼ (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 6.00 18% 4.70 4.80  
SCR  ITS A WRAP               (gonzalez v)BIRZER E 119 10.00    
 
DED-2   02/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:23 :47       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY LITTLE MIA 4 4 3.2 1   12 1 (perron gera)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 12% 7.10 1.10 W
RUN AWAY SAMARI 3 7 4 32   22 2 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 120 3.00 36% 1.80 1.60 P
ZIPPING MOLLY 1 8 8 7   57 39 (robbins jr)STOKES J 120 15.00 14.00  
SHARE THE DOE 8 5 6 6   35 410¼ (zeno benjam)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 6.00 9.60  
BELL PEPPER 7 6 107 9   8 511¼ (kanhai josep)MAGNON H 123 12.00 64.90  
FLYING I 5 3 2nk 42   6 616 (west henry)STOKES A 123 3.50 26% 2.80 11.40  
10  WHERESTHECARTGIRL 10 1 1nk 2   47 716 (villafranco fr)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.70  
BOSTON BELLE 6 10 9 10   910¾ 816½ (bruno l)ROSIER R 120 20.00 5% 19.00 ######  
NATURALBORNSENDER 2 9 5 53   7 917¾ (zeno benjam)MELANCON JANSEN 120 5.00 25.70  
KIMBERLY'S JACKPOT 9 2 7 8   1011¾ 1019½ (beene linda)DEL-CID MARLON 115 20.00 78.10  
SCR  ALL AMERICAN PAT               (sam w)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 8.00    
SCR  KANCANCUTIE               (bruno donald)DEL-CID MARLON 118 10.00    
 
DED-3   02/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:13
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:161     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET GUITAR 5 3 5 3   1½ 13 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 123 3.00 55% 0.80 1.00 W
SWEETHEART VISION 9 7 43 5   3½ 23 (silva walte)LEDET THEODRICK 123 5.00 5.40  
WHEELS LIKE NALA 2 9 9 8   6 3 (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 123 10.00 5% 19.00 39.30 S
SWEET REVIVAL (GB) 4 8 6 6   4 4 (chatters benard)BIRZER E 123 4.00 12% 7.30 6.10  
REINE LE FER 8 10 1012¾ 1013¾   8 5 (castille ca)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 15.00 12.80  
BLUERIDGEBALLERINA 6 5 8 7   7 6 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 123 5.00 15.00  
TIME TO CLOSE 3 2 32 4   5 7 (celestine charles )STOKES J 123 12.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
ACESANDDIAMONDS 1 1 7 9   9 814¼ (thompson kev)DEL-CID MARLON 118 8.00 14.80  
DEE'S LIL FOOL 7 4 1nk 1½   2½ 915¾ (segura kearney)STOKES A 123 8.00 14.40  
10  JAX'S STARRY BRIDE 10 6 2nk 2½   10 1020¾ (averett ronnie)ROSIER R 123 20.00 5% 19.00 29.20  
 
DED-4   02/15/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:43
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:141     1:334   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO WORLDS 3 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 1¼ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 3.50 49% 1.00 2.40 W
I WILL STAND 1 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 2¼ (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 20% 3.90 1.70 P
VANGILDER 7 7 7 5   34 3 (villafranco)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 8.20 S
BIRTHDAY PARTY 4 8 8 8   67 411 (west henry)STOKES A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 18.20  
10  TAPPIN FORA DANCE 9 5 53 7   5 511¼ (romero j)POMPELL L 121 12.00 6.30  
BIG BROTHER 5 9 9 9   7 613¼ (bryant al)FUSILIER C 119 12.00 19.90  
DOUBLE TRAP 6 6 65 6   46 713¾ (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 119 6.00 6% 14.80 9.60  
HULLINAHURRY 2 3 31 32   9 815 (cormier houston)STOKES J 123 8.00 10.30  
TENSAS TODDY 8 4 42 4   8 917 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 111 20.00 33.30  
SCR  B W P SPECIAL               (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00    
SCR  BONUS APPRECIATION               (bourgeois keith)POMPELL L 119 4.00    
SCR  COLOR FAST               (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 8.00    
 
DED-5   02/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 8:13
See original race card.
:222 :461       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANKTON'S COWGIRL 2 5 2½ 2nk   2½ 1nk (landry ra)POMPELL L 120 8.00 29% 2.50 6.80 W
ASTROLOGY GIRL 7 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 2nk (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 118 12.00 5% 19.00 3.90 P
SARAH'S COURT 1 7 78 6   59 3 (klanfer alan)ROSIER R 118 3.50 37% 1.70 3.50 S
READY FOR THUNDER 8 2 31 34   3 4 (pomier devi)STOKES J 118 6.00 2.30  
RUNTOLIVE 4 4 67 7   712 55 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50 7% 13.70 4.20  
DESPEIGHTFUL 6 3 54 5   610 66 (landry allen)MAGNON H 118 12.00 39.40  
JAYDYN CAT 5 6 43 4   47 78 (calhoun wil)MELANCON JANSEN 118 2.50 6.00  
REAL DEAL RYAN 3 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (castille ca)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 8.00    
 
DED-6   02/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:132     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENNESSEE MOON 1 1 1½ 11   13 1 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 123 1.60 28% 2.50 0.60 W
10  BLESSED ANNA 10 7 5 58   36 2 (shumake phi)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00 5.00  
XCARET 4 2 3 33   23 3 (guillory he)MELANCON JANSEN 121 8.00 8% 11.50 9.40 S
MISS DARLENE 6 10 1014½ 1016½   813 411½ (ward ronnie)STOKES J 121 20.00 63.10  
BAR TAP 7 9 7 6   6 512 (mojica edit)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 15.00 43.90  
BLUE RIDGE QUEEN 9 5 2½ 21   5 612¼ (toups brent)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00 53.40  
SAENZ 8 6 4 45   47 712¼ (mojica a)POMPELL L 121 5.00 13% 7.00 4.10  
GLANCE 2 4 69 710½   710 813 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 121 8.00 19% 4.20 52.20  
ROSES ARE GRAY 5 8 911½ 812½   914 915¾ (garza joaqui)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 12.00 27.60  
KATIE'S KARAT 3 3 810½ 915½   1029 10100 (gonzalez v)ROSIER R 121 10.00 10% 8.90 30.50  
SCR  GIMME CANDY               (villafranco f)VARGAS P 121 20.00    
 
DED-7   02/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:153     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HART'S PRETTY GIRL 2 1 11 1nk   1nk 1¼ (landry allen)MAGNON H 113 12.00 29.30  
PORTO DEL ACE 8 9 9 8   32 2¼ (averett ronnie)BIRZER E 120 10.00 20.20  
BANDIT'S PRIDE 3 2 31 2nk   2nk 3 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 5.00 39% 1.60 3.20 S
THE CALLING STONE 9 8 6 6   8 4 (woodley car)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00 11% 8.50 3.80  
STHEPANIE PRINCESS 5 5 21 3.2   4 5 (del eric)DEL-CID MARLON 115 15.00 5% 19.00 25.20  
MEGANS MILLIONS 7 7 8 9   9 6 (mojica edit)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 8.00 7.60  
10  KAN SHE 10 3 4 4¼   5 7 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00 25% 3.10 3.00  
MOLLI WAY 1 6 10 10   7 8 (romero j)STOKES A 120 15.00 41.00  
NEW DESTINY 4 4 5 5   6 9 (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 120 6.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
RUNLIKELANIE 6 10 7 7   10 108 (klanfer alan)ROSIER R 123 8.00 10.90  
 
DED-8   02/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:43
See original race card.
:241 :501 1:163 1:302   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN ON ACES 1 5 8 85 31 1½ 1 (perron gera)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 6.00  
GHOST COWBOY 5 2 43 42 4 4 2 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.00 51% 0.90 1.50 P
TREASURE COAST 7 8 33 31 1nk 3½ 3 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 123 15.00 3.50  
R T'S D'ORO 3 6 7 6 5 5 4 (chevis vinc)LEDET THEODRICK 120 10.00 16% 5.40 15.60  
LITTLE WARRIOR 8 3 22 21 2nk 2½ 5 (melancon donald)FUSILIER C 120 20.00 5% 19.00 16.50  
PARTY GRAS 4 1 6 9 7 76 68 (gelner scot)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 6.00 10.00  
CALL ME FIREY 6 7 5 5 6 6 7 (dison m)POMPELL L 123 8.00 10.40  
CARLOS'S MAMA 2 9 9 7 8 87 811 (bernard john)STOKES A 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
10  STRAY CAT STRUT 9 4 12 11 9 911 916½ (averett ronnie)STOKES J 120 8.00 10.10  
SCR  IRON N STEEL               (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00    
SCR  R T'S IRON MAN               (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.