The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Delta Downs
Friday - February 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DED-1   Win (7/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -5.00
DED-2   Win (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 0.00
DED-3   Win (3/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $10.40 -8.00
DED-4   Win (3/10/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 -1.00
DED-5   Win (5/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $20.80 $20.80 12.80
DED-6   Win (5/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $14.00 $14.00 6.00
DED-7   Win (7/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -5.40
DED-8   Win (5/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $24.20 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:143 1:281   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLL GYPSY ROLL 6 1 31 2½ 1nk 1nk 1(richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 1.60 47% 1.10 0.50 W
GEAUX VOTE 1 2 4 3½ 2nk 2nk 2(brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.50 9% 9.90 3.40 P
TWISTED BRADE 5 4 1½ 1½ 34 36 311¾ (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.00 23% 3.40 4.70 S
BEAT THE DOUBLE 4 3 2½ 4 45 48 412 (zeno benjamin)DEL-CID MARLON 115 5.00 13.60  
COUSIN VICKIE 3 6 63 64 610 512 516 (de al)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
ABSOLUTELY MINDY 2 5 5 5 59 614 626½ (charles jonat)LEDET THEODRICK 120 15.00 47.90  
SCR  DARING DARIAN               (zeno benjamin)DEONAUTH P 120 15.00    
 
DED-2   02/16/2024 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($44K) 3 ALL PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:22 :46       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL REAL DEAL 1 5 11 11   1½ 11 (landry r)MAGNON H 120 6.00 40% 1.50 2.00 W
PRODIGY PARADISE 6 1 21 21   2½ 21 (calhoun willi)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00 12% 7.00 1.50 P
SUMMERTIME PEPPERS 3 3 31 33   33(knudsen kent)MELANCON JANSEN 117 2.00 3.00  
JOE T 2 6 6 66   44(knudsen kent)BIRZER E 117 12.00 12.70  
LOUDTHUNDRHEVYRAIN 5 2 5 44   55(johnson b)POMPELL L 117 5.00 23% 3.30 7.30  
HYMN FOR CARLOS 4 4 43 55   66 6(pomier chasey)SANTIAGO EDWARD 112 8.00 20.50  
SCR  SECRET ROAD               (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 117 5.00    
 
DED-3   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:13
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:15 1:29   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S A BIRD 8 4 43 53 11 13 1(larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 12.00 4.20  
PLAY MASTER 3 5 8 8 75 55 2(mojica edith )MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00 27.70  
HAIL THE CAT 5 6 5 7 5 23 3(ramirez e)VARGAS P 123 6.00 3.10  
JAMAICAN ME 6 7 7 65 32 34(larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.00 26% 2.80 3.80  
MR. BUTCH WOMBLE 2 2 2nk 1nk 42 44 5(bruno j)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.50 28% 2.50 3.80  
CARLOS' BLAST 4 8 64 4 6 78 617 (latour nicholas)POMPELL L 119 15.00 21.10  
SMART ANALYSIS 7 3 32 3 21 67 726 (latour nicholas)ROSIER R 119 10.00 9% 10.10 7.90  
KIT KAT KIDD 1 1 1nk 2nk 86 812 829 (knudsen kent)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 5.00 14% 5.90 4.80  
SCR  XANTHUS WRATH               (melancon donald)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 3.50    
 
DED-4   02/16/2024 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:43
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:132     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZZY'S BABY BOY 8 5 56 37   11 11 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 5% 19.00 2.50 W
GOLDEN QUALITY 4 4 46 6   43 21 (mojica edith )MELANCON JANSEN 121 12.00 39.00  
10  INDIMAAJ 10 8 8 4   31 32 (knudsen kent)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 4.50 11% 8.50 2.40 S
RUNTODAY 9 2 11 16   21 4(broberg karl)VARGAS P 121 5.00 8% 11.80 5.30  
MUFFIN NUTS 3 10 7 7   56 5(broberg karl)ROSIER R 118 4.00 58% 0.70 3.50  
MR. FOUR SEVENS 6 6 69 8   76(dison mar)POMPELL L 118 10.00 24.10  
EXTIRPATOR 2 3 34 26   6712½ (turner patti)BIRZER E 121 20.00 25.60  
AMERICAN SMOOTH 5 9 1011½ 910¾   8813¾ (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 9.10  
UNCLE BRAD 7 7 9 1011¾   910 915½ (ward ronnie)DEL-CID MARLON 116 20.00 97.80  
MR. WIMBLEDON BAY 1 1 21 5   1020 1036¼ (ramirez eduardo)STOKES J 121 8.00 20.50  
 
DED-5   02/16/2024 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:13
See original race card.
:223 :464       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUVY'S BANDIT 2 8 7 75   51½ (averett ronnie)VARGAS P 120 5.00 5% 19.00 9.40 W
ROBUST 5 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 2½ (shumake phill)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.50 49% 1.00 2.80 P
ALL OF US 9 1 31 31   32 3½ (broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 2.40 S
DRAG MALIBU 6 5 6 64   64(villafranco freder)BIRZER E 123 2.50 24% 3.10 8.80  
THA ILLEST DEAL 1 4 2nk 2nk   1nk 5(west henry)STOKES A 120 20.00 33.80  
FLASHY LOVER 3 6 5 5   46(dison mark)FUSILIER C 123 10.00 7.90  
LOVE A FIGHTER 7 7 8 8   87 7(morrell cynth)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 20.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
GRAPHENE CASSOCK 4 9 9 96   98(shumake l)POMPELL L 123 15.00 21.40  
FROM PIT TO PALACE 8 3 4 43   79(clary r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 6.00 4.30  
 
DED-6   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:151 1:293   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL DE BE 6 1 34 35 24 22 12 (vincent jarvis)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 10.00 6% 15.40 6.00 W
MY UNCLE BILLY 3 3 6 58 4 35 22 (bernard )RUIZ GARCIA 123 3.00 9% 10.40 5.50 P
WILD FIST 7 6 5 610 6 69 3(zenon shelton)STOKES J 120 12.00 51.60  
PRIX DE WEST 5 4 2nk 11 14 12 4(gibson jonas)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 1.40 58% 0.70 0.70  
FLYING IN HOT 4 5 4 48 5 57 5(morrell cynth)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 4.00 8.60  
TAPIT TWICE 1 7 7 711 7 710 6(dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 123 15.00 26.10  
ALPHIN 2 2 1nk 21 3 46 711¼ (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
 
DED-7   02/16/2024 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:13
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:151     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LACIE BE GOOD 7 4 3 3   2nk 1½ (amoss thomas )DEL-CID VICENTE 121 1.00 38% 1.60 0.30 W
NOMADIC PRIDE 5 3 1½ 11   1nk 2½ (amoss m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00 7.40  
MY FRIEND AMY 4 6 7 6   43 3(gelner scott)BIRZER E 119 6.00 7.30  
DASHYNS DREAM 6 5 2½ 21   32 4(gelner j)FUSILIER C 119 15.00 50.10  
ANOTHER HOT MESS 2 1 5 4   657 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 8.00 13% 6.90 7.60  
ALLIACEOUS 1 2 4 5   54 67 (bryant a)VARGAS P 116 10.00 5% 19.00 38.60  
ZING 3 7 6 7   724¼ 7100 (claire alexis)ROSIER R 119 5.00 20% 4.00 17.70  
 
DED-8   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:43
See original race card.
:232 :484 1:151 1:29   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S TAKIN OVER 8 8 79 58 3 11 1(johnson b)POMPELL L 119 6.00 11.10  
ARMS APRIORITY 5 1 22 23 11 21 2(mojica edith )SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 2.00 35% 1.80 2.50 P
CAJUN TWO STEP 9 4 6 7 7 538 (breaux samuel)STOKES J 119 3.50 4.40  
A P HUMOR 1 7 5 46 4 35 4(latour nicholas)VARGAS P 119 4.50 8% 11.40 1.80  
BLESS D'SOUTH 2 6 810 8 6 48 511¾ (larrosa a)BIRZER E 119 6.00 29% 2.50 6.40  
KATIE'S C 4 9 910½ 9 9 710½ 612½ (mojica a)LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00 21.40  
OUR AMEN 7 3 48 6 8 811 714½ (morris rowdy)MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00 13.80  
COME WHAT MAE 3 5 36 34 5 6815 (cormier cardel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 23.40  
SADIE'S RANSOM 6 2 12 13 21 913 925½ (knudsen kent)FLORIAN JOSE 114 20.00 47.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.