Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Friday - February 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (7/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/3)-(1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/3)-(1/6/7)-(3/7/1/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-2   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(3/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(3/7/1/8)-(3/10/9/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-3   WIN (3/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/8)-(3/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/8)-(3/7/1/8)-(3/7/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/8)-(3/10/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/8)-(3/10/9/8)-(5/6/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-4   WIN (3/10/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/9/8)-(3/10/9/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/10/9/8)-(3/10/9/8/5)-(3/10/9/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/10/9/8)-(5/6/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/10/9/8)-(5/6/2/7)-(5/3/6/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-5   WIN (5/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/7)-(5/6/2/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/7)-(5/6/2/9/7)-(5/6/2/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/2/7)-(5/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/7)-(5/3/6/2)-(7/3/2/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-6   WIN (5/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/6/2)-(7/3/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/2)-(7/3/2/1)-(5/2/1/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-7   WIN (7/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/2/1)-(5/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-8   WIN (5/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3/7)-(5/2/1/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEAUX VOTE Jan05 Dec09 Oct12 Aug04 Jul21 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.50 9% 9.90    
2  ABSOLUTELY MINDY Jan07 Dec18 Feb02 Dec19 Dec07 (charles jon)LEDET THEODRICK 120 15.00    
3  COUSIN VICKIE Jan05 Dec18 Sep11 Aug20 Aug07 (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  BEAT THE DOUBLE Feb02 Jan06 Dec13 Dec02 Oct28 (zeno benjami)DEL-CID MARLON 115 5.00    
5  TWISTED BRADE Jan25 Dec16 Dec02 Nov09 Oct12 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  DARING DARIAN Jan25 Dec15 Aug03 Jul01 Jun10 (zeno benjamin)DEONAUTH P 120 15.00    
7  ROLL GYPSY ROLL Feb02 Dec27 Nov22 Oct12 Sep16 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 1.60 47% 1.10    
 
DED-2   02/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($44K) 3 ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL REAL DEAL Feb01         (landry allen)MAGNON H 120 6.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  SECRET ROAD Jan05 Nov29 Oct21     (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 117 5.00    
3  JOE T Dec02 Nov10 Oct13 Aug05   (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 117 12.00    
4  SUMMERTIME PEPPERS Jan19 Jan04 Dec19 Nov18 Nov03 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 117 2.00    
5  HYMN FOR CARLOS Dec09 Nov17 Oct21 Oct06 Jul08 (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 112 8.00    
6  LOUDTHUNDRHEVYRAIN Nov29 Nov03 Sep09 Aug19 Jul04 (johnson b)POMPELL L 117 5.00 23% 3.30    
7  PRODIGY PARADISE Jan19 Dec09 Nov18 Oct06   (calhoun wil)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00 12% 7.00    
 
DED-3   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIT KAT KIDD Jan27 Dec20 Nov22 Nov01 Oct11 (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 5.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  XANTHUS WRATH Jan20 Dec21 Dec08 Nov09 Oct13 (melancon donal)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 3.50    
3  MR. BUTCH WOMBLE Dec20 Nov18 Oct27 Sep04 Jul29 (bruno donald )LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.50 28% 2.50    
4  PLAY MASTER Jan20 Dec21 Nov25 Jul13 Jun09 (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00    
5  CARLOS' BLAST Dec20 Nov24 Nov15 Oct18 Aug14 (latour nicholas)POMPELL L 119 15.00    
6  HAIL THE CAT Jan25 Dec16 Nov22 Nov01 Sep12 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 123 6.00    
7  JAMAICAN ME Jan20 Dec21 Oct28 Sep10 Aug10 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
8  SMART ANALYSIS Feb01 Dec20 Nov09 Oct19 Jun30 (latour nicholas)ROSIER R 119 10.00 9% 10.10    
9  IT'S A BIRD Jan20 Dec21 Nov25 Oct19 May12 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 12.00    
 
DED-4   02/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. WIMBLEDON BAY Jan04 Oct28 Jul13 May20 Apr22 (ramirez eduardo)STOKES J 121 8.00    
2  EXTIRPATOR Jan13 Dec20 Nov15 Oct20 Sep09 (turner patti)BIRZER E 121 20.00    
3  MUFFIN NUTS Feb03 Dec29 Dec16 Dec08 Nov02 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 118 4.00 58% 0.70    
4  GOLDEN QUALITY Jan13 Dec01 Nov18 Nov01 Oct19 (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 121 12.00    
5  AMERICAN SMOOTH Jan19 Jan06 Dec20 Nov24 Oct27 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 ★    
6  MR. FOUR SEVENS Feb03 Jan19 Jan04 Dec16 Nov09 (dison m)POMPELL L 118 10.00    
7  UNCLE BRAD Jan20 Dec29 Dec08 Nov24 Oct19 (ward ronnie)DEL-CID MARLON 116 20.00    
8  IZZY'S BABY BOY Feb03 Dec09 Nov18 Oct21 Aug11 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 5% 19.00    
9  RUNTODAY Jan25 Dec28 Dec09 Dec01 Nov22 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 121 5.00 8% 11.80    
10  INDIMAAJ Jan27 Dec16 Dec02 Nov03 Oct14 (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 4.50 11% 8.50    
 
DED-5   02/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THA ILLEST DEAL Feb02 Jan12 Dec08 Nov22 Nov04 (west henry)STOKES A 120 20.00    
2  TRUVY'S BANDIT Dec27 Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct18 (averett ronni)VARGAS P 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLASHY LOVER Jan19 Dec13 Nov04 Aug10 Jul28 (dison ma)FUSILIER C 123 10.00    
4  GRAPHENE CASSOCK Feb02 Jan19 Jun03 May20 Mar22 (shumake phillip)POMPELL L 123 15.00    
5  ROBUST Dec15 Nov04 Sep25 Aug26 Aug07 (shumake phi)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.50 49% 1.00    
6  DRAG MALIBU Jan19 Nov30 Nov10 Oct19 Aug20 (villafranco fred)BIRZER E 123 2.50 24% 3.10    
7  LOVE A FIGHTER Jan28 Jan05 Dec19 Nov17 Oct25 (morrell cyn)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  FROM PIT TO PALACE Jan27 Nov10 Oct14 Sep14 Feb19 (clary jaylan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 6.00    
9  ALL OF US Feb02 Jan12 Dec08 Nov17 Jul29 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 ★    
 
DED-6   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIT TWICE Feb02 Jan19 Dec21 Dec07 Nov08 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 123 15.00    
2  ALPHIN Dec14 Nov15 Oct26 Sep11 Aug14 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  MY UNCLE BILLY Feb02 Jan11 Dec21 Dec07 Nov21 (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 123 3.00 9% 10.40    
4  FLYING IN HOT Feb02 Jan11 Dec07 Aug27 Aug12 (morrell cyn)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 4.00    
5  PRIX DE WEST Jan24 Dec21 Dec08 Sep22 Sep04 (gibson jona)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 1.40 58% 0.70    
6  ROYAL DE BE Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 Nov04 Sep11 (vincent jarv)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 10.00 6% 15.40    
7  WILD FIST Feb02 Dec20 Nov08 Aug29 Jul27 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 120 12.00    
 
DED-7   02/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALLIACEOUS Dec29 Nov18 Nov01 Oct21 Jul27 (bryant george)VARGAS P 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  ANOTHER HOT MESS Jan18 Dec09 Nov24 Oct21 Jul01 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 8.00 13% 6.90    
3  ZING Jan25 Dec30 Nov04 Sep28 Sep07 (claire alexis)ROSIER R 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
4  MY FRIEND AMY Jan18 Dec08 Nov01 Sep24 Aug12 (gelner scott)BIRZER E 119 6.00    
5  NOMADIC PRIDE Dec16 Sep24 Aug18 Jun29 May29 (amoss thomas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00    
6  DASHYNS DREAM Dec09 Oct04 Sep10 Jul27 Jul07 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 119 15.00    
7  LACIE BE GOOD Dec30 Nov22 Oct25 Aug04 Jun10 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 1.00 38% 1.60    
 
DED-8   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A P HUMOR Jan19 Dec21 Jun30 Jun10 Jun01 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 119 4.50 8% 11.40    
2  BLESS D'SOUTH Jan06 Dec21 Nov24 Nov08 Oct27 (larrosa a)BIRZER E 119 6.00 29% 2.50    
3  COME WHAT MAE Jan19 Oct25 Aug20 Jul21 Jun08 (cormier card)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  KATIE'S C Feb01 Dec10 Jul01 Jun10 May19 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00    
5  ARMS APRIORITY Jan25 Jan05 Dec06 Aug10 Apr26 (mojica edit)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 2.00 35% 1.80    
6  SADIE'S RANSOM Feb01 Jan06 Dec16 Nov16 Oct25 (knudsen kent)FLORIAN JOSE 114 20.00    
7  OUR AMEN Jan19 Dec30 Mar05 Feb19 Feb03 (morris rowd)MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00 ★    
8  SHE'S TAKIN OVER Dec21 Dec09 Oct27 Sep09 Aug12 (johnson b)POMPELL L 119 6.00    
9  CAJUN TWO STEP Jan19 Dec21 Dec09 Nov10 Oct14 (breaux samuel)STOKES J 119 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.