Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Delta Downs
Saturday - December 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $6.80 $0.80 13%
DED-4   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.20 $2.20 37%
    DD (5/8/1)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  8-6 $12.30 $3.30 37%
DED-5   DD (1/6/4)-(6/2/3/4/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00  6-10 $23.60 $8.60 57%
    PK3 (5/8/1)-(1/6/4)-(6/2/3/4/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50  8-6-10 $33.15 $10.65 47%
    PK4 (7/5/2/6)-(5/8/1)-(1/6/4)-(6/2/3/4/10) 180 $0.50 $90.00  5-4/8-6-10/11 $91.35 $1.35 2%
    PK5 (1/3/2)-(7/5/2/6)-(5/8/1)-(1/6/4)-(6/2/3/4/10) 540 $0.50 $270  2-5-4/8-6-10/11 $383.65 $113.65 42%
DED-9   EXA (9/2/7/5)-(9/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-5 $19.40 $7.40 62%
    TRI (9/2/7/5)-(9/2/7/5)-(9/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-5-9 $21.85 $9.85 82%

Simulator Race results

 
DED-1   12/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:15     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET LAURA 2 6 66 6   1 1 (arnett g)BIRZER E 121 4.50 11% 8.30 2.40 W
BAR TAP 5 3 52 4   4 2 (mojica edit)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 20.00 38.80  
ATOMIC ROSE 4 1 2½ 1nk   2 35 (lorefice matt)STOKES J 119 20.00 32.60  
FASTED 6 4 3 3.2   53 4 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00 30.40  
CARPE HORSESHOE 1 2 1½ 2nk   3 58 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 0.60 37% 1.70 0.30  
KATIE'S KARAT 3 5 42 5   65 6 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 32% 2.10 10.00  
SCR  BOWS N LACE               (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 8.00    
 
DED-2   12/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:34
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:154     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUGLIA 5 7 811 67   52 1 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 1.80 13% 6.50 1.30 W
FROSTY BREW 7 2 12 1nk   1½ 2 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.50 36% 1.80 2.30 P
CAJUN ACES 8 6 4 54   31 3 (wilson melton)LOZADA CARLOS 116 10.00 22.80  
SENSE OF FLURRY 2 4 22 2nk   4 4 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.50 13% 6.70 3.70  
SARA'S SAPPHIRE 4 3 3 3   2½ 55 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 115 12.00 8.20  
KELLYS THE BOSS 3 5 57 43   63 6 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 119 15.00 46.60  
SPLICER 6 8 68 78   76 79 (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 119 6.00 12% 7.60 18.20  
LADY ENVOY 1 1 78 810   814 820¾ (dixon tim)TORRES HUGO 122 6.00 22.50  
 
DED-3   12/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
See original race card.
:223 :463       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK SOLID WORDS 7 3 3 2nk   1nk 1½ (fogarty desm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 2.00 16% 5.20 1.30 W
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of FLAME RUN by HARD SPUN)
K R POWER STORM 3 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2½ (roberts roy)ROSIER R 122 4.50 4.80  
  (by POWER JAM out of STORMY BRICK ROAD by STORM PASSAGE)
DR SPECK 6 2 2½ 3.2   32 3 (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 122 8.00 5.80  
  (by APRIORITY out of DICKSON STREET by STORM BOOT)
MYMANROWEN 4 5 65 6   6 43 (shamsie mik)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.00 55% 0.80 4.50  
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of STELLA HEY STELLA by RULER'S COURT)
CATALINA DAY 2 4 4 4   5 5 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 4.70  
  (by CATALINA RED out of DOUBLE POINTS DAY by STORM DAY)
SUIT OF WANDS 1 7 5 5   44 6 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 15.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
  (by MO TOM out of COTEAU KITTEN by TALE OF THE CAT)
GRAY DANE 5 6 7 7   7 7 (senegal dalton )ROMAN KEVIN 123 20.00 22.90  
  (by JAY GATSBY out of WHISPERDOWNTHELANE by REAL QUIET)
SCR  CATCH ME T               (noel dane)VARGAS P 122 10.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SHEILA TEQUILA by INDEFATIGABLE)
 
DED-4   12/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:141     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LO LO'S LAUGHTER 6 3 21 11   11 1¾ (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.00 27% 2.70 3.10 W
LIBERTY'S HAULER 2 4 5 33   21 2¾ (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 118 5.00 5.30  
FIRST CLASS HARLOW 5 6 7 55   32 3 (courville ricky)ROSIER R 118 6.00 5.30 S
STEAUXLIT 4 7 6 7   46 4 (landry r)THORNTON G 117 4.50 10% 8.90 3.30  
MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR 1 1 4 4   57 5 (berndt joel)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 3.00 34% 2.00 2.00  
TRIPLE RED ACES 3 2 11 21   6 618½ (landry allen )VARGAS P 118 6.00 17.60  
HEZA ROYAL CAT 7 5 35 6   711½ 720¾ (ward ronnie)STOKES J 119 20.00 24.80  
 
DED-5   12/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:153     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SCRAPBOOK 10 7 6 5½   13 14 (beavin judy)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00 5% 19.00 2.30 W
LAKE BALI 1 10 9 84   34 24 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 4.50 6.40  
I'M ALL MIXED UP 7 5 41 4¼   23 3 (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 114 15.00 40.90  
NON BINDING 9 8 8 7   4 4 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 10.00 6.30  
VALTESSE 6 4 52 95   8 510½ (landry ray)ROSIER R 119 2.50 34% 2.00 4.30  
REINA ACES 8 6 7 62   7 611¾ (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00 17.10  
OUR AMEN 3 9 10 108   9 712¼ (morris rowdy)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00 11% 7.90 15.20  
AGGIE DOCTOR 2 1 1½ 1nk   66 813 (delany sarah)STOKES A 119 3.50 27% 2.70 4.20  
TENPINS TEMPEST 4 3 2½ 2nk   56 914 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 123 6.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
CHATAIN'S FLYER 5 2 3½ 3.2   1014¼ 1025¼ (vincent jarvis)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 20.00 96.30  
SCR  EAGLEOVERTHEMOON               (de al)NEGRON LUIS 119 6.00    
 
DED-6   12/30/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:28
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:134     1:333   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LACIE BE GOOD 6 3 4 3   12 1 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 1.60 25% 3.10 0.20 W
ZING 5 7 7 5   33 2 (claire alexis)JARA FERNANDO 119 3.00 23% 3.40 10.30 P
CINCY'S ANNA 7 4 54 6   54 3 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 118 8.00 21.20  
BIRDIE CALL 1 1 2½ 2   4 4 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 12.00 21% 3.80 24.10  
SAENZ 4 5 1½ 1   22 510½ (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 118 5.00 6.00  
MIDNIGHT BELLA 3 2 6 44   67 612¼ (guillory j)BIRZER E 119 4.00 12.50  
EL CALIENTE LADY 2 6 32 76   711 722¼ (nelson r)POMPELL L 118 15.00 77.10  
 
DED-7   12/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:154     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAN JUAN HILL 6 9 911½ 6   31 11 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 123 2.50 64% 0.60 1.30 W
HALF A BUCK 2 3 45 44   1nk 21 (pedigo randy)STOKES J 119 6.00 19.80  
SHADY GRADY 4 2 1015½ 1011½   4 3 (romero d)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 75.90 S
ITELLYOUTHEFACTS 1 6 56 5   5 4 (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 119 3.50 3.30  
NOCOMET 3 8 79 77   6 54 (senegal dalton )ROMAN KEVIN 119 20.00 44.10  
ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE 9 1 1nk 1   2nk 6 (thompson kevin)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 8.00 7.90  
G'S STORM 8 10 810½ 9   75 7 (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 8% 11.20 4.10  
DOUBLE PRIORITY 7 4 67 8   98 814¼ (beavin judy)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00 25.50  
CLASSIC RED RACER 5 5 32 33   86 914¾ (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 10.00 31.00  
11  JANET'S DEVIL 10 7 2nk 2   1016 10100 (melancon donald)STOKES A 119 20.00 9.10  
SCR  SALUTE NOW               (delany sarah)STOKES J 119 6.00    
 
DED-8   12/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:141     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOTMY MO JO WORKIN 2 1 2½ 1½   1 1½ (charles kei)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00 3.20  
RISKY PRIORITY 3 9 910½ 7   6 2½ (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 119 15.00 28.00  
GUITAR DOCTOR 4 3 3 3   3 3 (ramirez edu)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 4.00 3.90 S
OURPERFECTPRINCE 6 6 44 4   4 4 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 113 5.00 31.80  
GEORGE ALLEN 7 2 1½ 2½   2 5 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 1.70  
CPRIORITY 1 5 67 5   53 6 (broberg karl)JARA FERNANDO 119 4.50 13.30  
CREEKSIDE 8 8 56 67   7 7 (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 120 3.00 66% 0.50 3.50  
HEZA SEXY ZONG 5 4 8 811½   8 811 (dison ma)STOKES A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 26.10  
THUNDERTAKESDALEAD 9 7 7 914½   912¼ 916¼ (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00 61.40  
 
DED-9   12/30/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:52
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:144     1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYOU CHROME 7 7 64 43   42 1¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 5% 19.00 3.20 W
BRIARTOWN 8 1 3 3   1½ 2¼ (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.00 34% 1.90 1.50 DQ↓3
PAPIRINGO 5 6 4 54   31 3 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.40 P
CARLOS'S MAMA 1 5 810 88   65 4 (bernard john)STOKES A 119 20.00 79.10  
DEFINE 3 3 1½ 1½   2½ 54 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 5.00 4.10  
PARTY GRAS 2 2 5 7   88 68 (gelner scott)BIRZER E 122 6.00 34% 1.90 18.50  
R T'S IRON MAN 6 8 77 66   76 7 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 5.00 7.40  
TREASURE COAST 4 4 2½ 2½   5 8 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 122 12.00 45.10  
SCR  D W STRONG               (turner denn)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 20.00    
SCR  FORTY STRANGERS               (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 123 10.00    
SCR  HAIL THE CAT               (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 114 12.00    
SCR  HULLINAHURRY               (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.