Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - December 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(7/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(7/5/2/6)-(5/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-2   WIN (7/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/6)-(5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/6)-(5/8/1)-(1/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-3   WIN (5/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/1)-(5/8/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/1)-(5/8/2/1)-(5/8/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/8/1)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1)-(1/6/4)-(6/2/3/4/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-4   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(6/2/3/4/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(6/2/3/4/10)-(6/5/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-5   WIN (6/2/3/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/4/10)-(6/2/3/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/4/10)-(6/2/3/4/10)-(6/2/3/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/3/4/10)-(6/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/4/10)-(6/5/1)-(6/8/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-6   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(6/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(6/8/4)-(8/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DED-7   WIN (6/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/4)-(6/8/1/4/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/4)-(6/8/1/4/11)-(6/8/1/4/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/8/4)-(8/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4)-(8/7/5)-(9/2/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-8   WIN (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/5)-(8/7/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5)-(8/7/4/1/5)-(8/7/4/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DED-9   WIN (9/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/7/5)-(9/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/7/5)-(9/2/7/5)-(9/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   12/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARPE HORSESHOE Dec16 Nov17 Nov03 Oct19 Oct07 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 0.60 37% 1.70    
2  SWEET LAURA Nov25 Nov09 Sep04 Jul24 Jul10 (arnett g)BIRZER E 121 4.50 11% 8.30    
3  KATIE'S KARAT Dec06 Nov25 Nov03 Oct11 Sep05 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  BOWS N LACE Nov17 Oct28 Oct20 Apr19 Apr08 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 8.00    
5  ATOMIC ROSE Dec08 Nov21 Jul04 Jun18 Jan21 (lorefice matt)STOKES J 119 20.00    
6  BAR TAP Dec06 Nov25 Nov01 Sep11 Aug05 (mojica edit)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 20.00    
7  FASTED Dec08 Nov25 Nov09 Oct20 Oct07 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00    
 
DED-2   12/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY ENVOY Dec09 Nov10 Oct25 Sep16 Aug25 (dixon tim)TORRES HUGO 122 6.00    
2  SENSE OF FLURRY Dec15 Nov22 Oct28 Oct14 Aug13 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.50 13% 6.70    
3  KELLYS THE BOSS Dec08 Nov22 Oct28 Aug19 Jan26 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 119 15.00    
4  SARA'S SAPPHIRE Dec15 Nov17 Oct14 Sep04 Aug07 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 115 12.00    
5  PUGLIA Dec15 Nov22 Oct14 Sep03 Jul15 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 1.80 13% 6.50    
6  SPLICER Dec02 Nov19 Oct01 Sep18 Sep02 (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 119 6.00 12% 7.60    
7  FROSTY BREW Nov30 Nov20 Oct18 Sep28 Sep13 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
8  CAJUN ACES Dec07 Nov22 Oct21 Sep04 Aug20 (wilson melton)LOZADA CARLOS 116 10.00    
 
DED-3   12/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUIT OF WANDS Nov25 Aug20 Feb02 Jan05   (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOM out of COTEAU KITTEN by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  CATALINA DAY Dec02 Nov04 Oct12     (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 ★    
  (by CATALINA RED out of DOUBLE POINTS DAY by STORM DAY)
3  K R POWER STORM Dec02 Nov02 Feb04 Jan07 Nov30 (roberts roy)ROSIER R 122 4.50    
  (by POWER JAM out of STORMY BRICK ROAD by STORM PASSAGE)
SCR  CATCH ME T Nov25 Nov09 Aug10 Jun24   (noel dane)VARGAS P 122 10.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SHEILA TEQUILA by INDEFATIGABLE)
5  MYMANROWEN Dec02 Nov02       (shamsie mik)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.00 55% 0.80    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of STELLA HEY STELLA by RULER'S COURT)
6  GRAY DANE Nov23 Nov09 Oct18 Sep03 Aug20 (senegal dalton )ROMAN KEVIN 123 20.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of WHISPERDOWNTHELANE by REAL QUIET)
7  DR SPECK         (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 122 8.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of DICKSON STREET by STORM BOOT)
8  ROCK SOLID WORDS Dec02 Nov02 Sep03 Aug05 Jul03 (fogarty desm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 2.00 16% 5.20    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of FLAME RUN by HARD SPUN)
 
DED-4   12/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Nov21 Oct11 Sep02 Aug16 Jul23 (berndt joel)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 3.00 34% 2.00    
2  LIBERTY'S HAULER Nov18 Oct19 Sep17 Aug27 Jul28 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 118 5.00    
3  TRIPLE RED ACES Oct19 Aug20 Jul21 Jun17 May25 (landry allen )VARGAS P 118 6.00    
4  STEAUXLIT Nov25 Nov02 Jun17 Jun08 May04 (landry r)THORNTON G 117 4.50 10% 8.90    
5  FIRST CLASS HARLOW Nov21 Aug13 Jul10 Jun10 May27 (courville ricky)ROSIER R 118 6.00 ★    
6  LO LO'S LAUGHTER Nov18 Oct14 Sep02 Aug16 Jul23 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.00 27% 2.70    
7  HEZA ROYAL CAT Oct28 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May14 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 119 20.00    
 
DED-5   12/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKE BALI Nov17 Nov02 Sep05 Aug10 Jul29 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 4.50    
2  AGGIE DOCTOR Nov08 Oct19 Aug28 Jul27 Jul08 (delany sarah)STOKES A 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  OUR AMEN Mar05 Feb19 Feb03 Jan08   (morris rowdy)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00 11% 7.90    
4  TENPINS TEMPEST Dec15 Nov21 Mar15 Feb28 Jan28 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHATAIN'S FLYER Nov24 Oct27 Aug28 Aug20 Jul03 (vincent jarvis)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 20.00    
6  VALTESSE Nov29 Nov03 Apr08 Feb25 Feb04 (landry ray)ROSIER R 119 2.50 34% 2.00    
7  I'M ALL MIXED UP Dec09 Nov16 Oct21 Feb09 Jan25 (nelson eric )DEL-CID MARLON 114 15.00    
8  REINA ACES Dec01 Nov17 Oct27 Oct12 Aug20 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
9  NON BINDING Nov24 Jul30 Jun24 Jun03 Apr07 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 10.00    
10  SCRAPBOOK Nov25 Nov03 Sep09 Aug26 Jul17 (beavin judy)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EAGLEOVERTHEMOON May26 May08 Feb17 Jan21 Jan04 (de al)NEGRON LUIS 119 6.00    
 
DED-6   12/30/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIRDIE CALL Oct25 Oct07 Aug27 Aug05 Jul23 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 12.00 21% 3.80    
2  EL CALIENTE LADY Dec06 Nov16 Nov03 Sep09 Aug12 (nelson r)POMPELL L 118 15.00    
3  MIDNIGHT BELLA Oct14 Aug12 Jul15 Jun11 Apr15 (guillory j)BIRZER E 119 4.00 ★    
4  SAENZ Nov25 Aug26 Jun10 May06 Mar25 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 118 5.00    
5  ZING Nov04 Sep28 Sep07 Aug10 Jul27 (claire alexis)JARA FERNANDO 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
6  LACIE BE GOOD Nov22 Oct25 Aug04 Jun10 May20 (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 1.60 25% 3.10    
7  CINCY'S ANNA Oct26 Oct07 Aug12 May20 Apr15 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 118 8.00    
 
DED-7   12/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITELLYOUTHEFACTS Dec20 Nov25 Oct28 Sep10 Aug14 (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 119 3.50 ★    
2  HALF A BUCK Nov15 Oct13 Sep05 Aug13 Jul23 (pedigo randy)STOKES J 119 6.00    
3  NOCOMET Nov25 Oct28 Jul28 Jun30 Jun08 (senegal dalton )ROMAN KEVIN 119 20.00    
4  SHADY GRADY Nov09 Oct13 Sep10 Aug29 Jul31 (romero d)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  CLASSIC RED RACER Dec15 Nov15 Oct18 Aug10 Jul21 (zeno benjam)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 10.00    
6  SAN JUAN HILL Dec08 Oct27 Sep05 Aug12 Jul08 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 123 2.50 64% 0.60    
7  DOUBLE PRIORITY Dec08 Nov09 Oct28 Sep10 Aug12 (beavin judy)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00    
8  G'S STORM Dec08 Nov15 Oct27 Oct13 Aug29 (dixon tim)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 8% 11.20    
9  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Dec14 Nov23 Sep04 Aug13 Jul17 (thompson kevin)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 8.00    
SCR  SALUTE NOW Nov23 Nov04 Aug12 Jul13 Jun18 (delany sarah)STOKES J 119 6.00    
11  JANET'S DEVIL Dec08 Nov11 Oct18 Jul28 Jun29 (melancon donald)STOKES A 119 20.00 ★    
 
DED-8   12/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CPRIORITY Dec14 Nov30 Oct13 Mar26 Feb25 (broberg karl)JARA FERNANDO 119 4.50 ★    
2  GOTMY MO JO WORKIN Nov30 Nov04 Oct14 Jun24 Apr08 (charles kei)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00    
3  RISKY PRIORITY Dec14 Nov30 Nov04 Aug21 Aug05 (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 119 15.00    
4  GUITAR DOCTOR Dec07 Nov17 Oct14 Jan20 Dec10 (ramirez edu)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 4.00 ★    
5  HEZA SEXY ZONG Dec08 Nov17 Nov02 Oct18 Aug10 (dison ma)STOKES A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  OURPERFECTPRINCE Dec02 Oct20 Aug10 Jul06 Jun15 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 113 5.00    
7  GEORGE ALLEN Dec07 Nov17 Oct14 Mar25 Mar01 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  CREEKSIDE Nov24 Oct20 Aug11 Jun03 May10 (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 120 3.00 66% 0.50    
9  THUNDERTAKESDALEAD Dec08 Feb10 Jan19 Jan05 Dec21 (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00    
 
DED-9   12/30/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARLOS'S MAMA Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Aug11 Jun22 (bernard john)STOKES A 119 20.00    
2  PARTY GRAS Dec13         (gelner scott)BIRZER E 122 6.00 34% 1.90    
3  DEFINE Nov30 Sep20 Aug30 Aug04 Jul20 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 5.00    
4  TREASURE COAST Nov29 Nov16 Nov01 Oct06 Sep11 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 122 12.00    
5  PAPIRINGO Nov24 Nov11 Jul10 Jul01 May15 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  R T'S IRON MAN Dec15 Nov21 Nov08 Aug05 Jun22 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 5.00    
7  BAYOU CHROME Dec16 Nov29 Nov02 Oct10 Sep19 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  D W STRONG Dec01 Oct27 Aug19 May19   (turner denn)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 20.00    
9  BRIARTOWN Dec16 Nov18 Oct21 Sep02 Aug10 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  HAIL THE CAT Dec16 Nov22 Nov01 Sep12 Aug28 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 114 12.00    
SCR  FORTY STRANGERS Dec13 Nov17 Oct28 Oct13 Sep27 (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 123 10.00    
SCR  HULLINAHURRY Dec19 Nov22 Nov09 Oct20 Aug10 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.