The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - February 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (5/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00
PEN-2   Win (3/1/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $3.80 -8.00
PEN-3   Win (1/3/9/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 -3.60
PEN-4   Win (3/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $5.00 -8.00
PEN-5   Win (5/9/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -1.20
PEN-6   Win (1/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 1.20
PEN-7   Win (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $11.00 $11.00 5.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   02/29/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:133 1:41   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTEGRATED 3 7 713½ 711½ 6 22 1(russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00 11% 7.80 2.00 W
GURT'S WARRIOR 5 2 31 31 3.2 12 2(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 41% 1.50 2.70 P
HE AROSE 6 6 5 55 4 43(shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00 39.40  
LOUIE'S HEAT 4 1 2nk 2nk 1nk 3410½ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
GREAT KOSTAS 2 4 4 4 5 6512½ (machado ant)CARRASCO R 124 6.00 6.20  
BROKENHEARTED 1 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 54 615 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 27% 2.70 1.90  
WATERMELON CRUSH 7 5 6 6 710¾ 715½ 725¾ (wadams j)FLORES E 124 15.00 32.80  
SCR  DIXIE MUSIC               (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 8.00    
 
PEN-2   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PORTAL ONE 6 2 2nk 1nk   12 1(truehart jenni)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 3.00 0.90  
TOMMY THE TORCH 7 1 3 33   35 2(albright amy)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 16.90 P
TRIBAL NOTION 1 6 45 45   45 3(houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.50 24% 3.10 4.10 S
BOURBON CURRENCY 9 9 910¾ 7   74(wolfe jr)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 20.00 27.90  
DIXIE CANNONBALL 4 3 1nk 2nk   22 5(graci a)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 34.00  
SHANGHAI SUPERFLY 8 5 5 6   56(dunham bern)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 16.90  
GANDY DANCING 5 7 7 8   810 7(stites fli)DAVIS A 124 10.00 7.20  
10  BEYOND THE BEND 10 4 6 5   67 8(patterson kev)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 10% 8.90 11.20  
BOYS OF QUEENS 2 8 8 910   911½ 911¾ (ippolito mark)BAKER J 122 50.00 ######  
U U STAR 3 10 1012¾ 1010½   1013 1016 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 40% 1.50 8.90  
 
PEN-3   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TILTED TIARA 9 3 1 12   11(kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 10% 8.90 2.20 W
PHANCY PHILLY 2 7 6 6   22(beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 6% 15.10 13.20 P
CHLOE ROSE 7 10 9 7   632 (kreiser timothy )TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 9.10  
VALUABLE BREIGH 1 1 2 22   34(ness jamie)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 2.00 42% 1.40 1.90  
LADY JEAN 3 6 3 3   45(patterson kev)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 14% 6.30 8.40  
BANNED FROM MIDWAY 4 9 10 8   86(caramori eduardo)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00 44.30  
GREEN GABLES 5 8 4 4   57(graci a)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 4.50  
STORMY SPELL 6 5 5 5   7811¼ (zalalas mi)DAVIS A 122 12.00 19.00  
10  EARLY FROST 10 4 7 9   9911¾ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 50.00 69.20  
GOLDEN LAW 8 2 8 1010¾   1011¾ 1016¼ (bentley )SMITH DANIEL 115 20.00 63.40  
SCR  ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM               (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC BEAUTY 8 1 11 1   14 1(kulp l)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 1.50  
JACK'S LILLY 1 8 7 7   62(bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00 11.40  
ALWAYS MIA 3 3 5 54   34 3(krebs steven)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00 29% 2.40 5.00 S
SIMPLE SOUVENIR 4 6 6 65   44(chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
MELODIOUS SINGER 7 5 31 2   24 5(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 25% 3.10 2.90  
BUSTIN DOWN DOORS 5 2 21 3   5610 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 4.50  
UNION FOLLY 6 4 4 44   7711¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 8.00 17.50  
QUEEN ROSEMARY 2 7 8 812   810¾ 813¼ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00 14% 6.00 36.00  
SCR  ORGANIZED CHAOS               (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 4.00    
 
PEN-5   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:123 1:252   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPING IT COUNTRY 7 3 6 6 5 212 (kreiser c)CORA D 120 5.00 32% 2.20 1.40 W
DYNAMITE KARMA 6 2 1nk 1½ 1 122 (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 5.30 P
12  OLYMPIC ROMP 9 5 4 52 4 33(padilla hu)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 6.00 5% 19.00 4.40 S
WE BE THERE 4 9 9 9 7 58 411½ (caban ca)GONZALEZ JR 120 8.00 14.60  
KAZ SWEET HEIST 5 8 8 8 8 8512¼ (synnefias dimitr)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 40% 1.50 9.70  
HONORABLE AVENUE 2 1 2nk 2½ 3 48 613½ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 115 12.00 22.90  
11  AHSAD 8 4 31 31 2 6714½ (kirby t)OCASIO M 120 6.00 6.60  
CAJUN OCCASION 1 6 5 42 6 7815¾ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 14.40  
COOL COMEDIAN 3 7 7 7 9 917¾ 931½ (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 17.40  
SCR  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY               (murtough stephe)TUNON JORDANO 120 30.00    
SCR  GOODLUCKCHUCK               (lawrence ja)CARRASCO R 120 6.00    
SCR  NICK PAPAGIORGIO               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00    
 
PEN-6   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:143 1:28   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAR LADY 1 7 8 810¼ 65 21(graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 54% 0.90 3.60 W
SERENE WARRIOR 2 1 1 1½ 1 12(beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 2.10  
SWITCHRATTLENROLL 8 5 6 65 33 33(zalalas mi)DAVIS A 124 20.00 5% 19.00 29.10 S
KATY THE CAT 6 3 54 53 54 45 4(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00 3.20  
ROSES FROM HEAVEN 7 4 3 3 2 55 5(graci a)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00 5.30  
MIKEY'S JEWEL 5 8 44 43 78 79 610 (salinas jose)FLORES E 124 3.50 15% 5.90 5.00  
FLOWER'S FORTUNE 4 2 2 2½ 43 68 716¾ (kravets )SMITH DANIEL 119 20.00 7% 12.90 34.80  
WITHOUT A VIEW 3 6 78 710 820 822 828¾ (linder jr)AGUILAR JEAN 119 6.00 16.20  
 
PEN-7   02/29/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:232 :484 1:15 1:421   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLINNY TIN TIN 3 5 45 4 12 113 (allen ferris)MENA E 122 5.00 44% 1.30 4.50 W
JOIA RARA 2 2 3 22 32 223 (caramori eduardo)TORRES JOMAR 117 20.00 2.40  
ZIFFY BUG 5 1 5 5 43 36 38 (stites fli)DAVIS A 122 3.00 1.30 S
SHE'SACHUBBLEMAKER 4 8 711½ 713 710 44(kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 31% 2.30 12.30  
CHEERFUL TROUT 7 6 69 67 66 511 512¼ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00 10.30  
LOOKING FANCY 1 7 815 816 819 822 625¼ (crane clovis)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00 22.00  
10  FOXEY G 8 4 2 32 22 613 726¼ (kravets )SMITH DANIEL 117 15.00 21.00  
THIRSTY FOR LOVE 6 3 1 12 54 714 830½ (martinez j)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 12.00 5% 19.00 16.50  
SCR  DREAMERY               (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00    
SCR  THE LAST JET               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.