Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - February 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/4)-(3/1/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/4)-(3/1/10/7)-(1/3/9/2/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-2   WIN (3/1/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/10/7)-(3/1/10/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/10/7)-(3/1/10/7/8)-(3/1/10/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/10/7)-(1/3/9/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1/10/7)-(1/3/9/2/4)-(3/8/2/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-3   WIN (1/3/9/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/9/2/4)-(1/3/9/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/9/2/4)-(1/3/9/2/4)-(1/3/9/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/9/2/4)-(3/8/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/9/2/4)-(3/8/2/4)-(5/9/12) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/4)-(3/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/4)-(3/8/2/4)-(3/8/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/2/4)-(5/9/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2/4)-(5/9/12)-(1/5/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/9/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/12)-(5/9/12/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/12)-(5/9/12/1/8)-(5/9/12/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/9/12)-(1/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/9/12)-(1/5/4/8)-(3/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/8)-(1/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/8)-(1/5/4/8)-(1/5/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/8)-(3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/8)-(3/5/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/8)-(3/5/7/8)-(3/5/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROKENHEARTED Feb02 Dec22 Dec14 Nov24 Nov03 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
2  GREAT KOSTAS Dec29 Nov26 Nov10 Sep15 Aug11 (machado a)CARRASCO R 124 6.00    
3  INTEGRATED         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00 11% 7.80    
4  LOUIE'S HEAT Jan26 Jan12 Dec21 Nov09 Oct05 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  GURT'S WARRIOR Jan26 Jan10 Nov08 Oct27 Sep13 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 41% 1.50    
6  HE AROSE Jan26 Jan12 Dec21 Dec07 Jun28 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00    
SCR  DIXIE MUSIC Jan18 Dec14 Nov29 Sep13   (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 8.00    
8  WATERMELON CRUSH Jan26 Jan12 Dec21 Nov22 Nov13 (wadams j)LLOYD W 124 15.00    
 
PEN-2   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIBAL NOTION Feb09 Jan19 Dec13 Dec01 Nov16 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
2  BOYS OF QUEENS Feb09 Jan12 Dec28 Nov29 Sep22 (ippolito mark)BAKER J 122 50.00    
3  U U STAR Feb09 Jan11 Dec08 Nov22 Oct28 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
4  DIXIE CANNONBALL Feb08 Jan12 Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
5  GANDY DANCING Feb01 Dec17 Nov25 Nov11 Oct14 (stites f)DAVIS A 124 10.00    
6  PORTAL ONE Jan24 Jan08 Dec06 Nov15 Jul24 (truehart jen)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 3.00    
7  TOMMY THE TORCH Feb02 Jan19 Nov22 Nov14 Oct17 (albright amy)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Dec08 Oct03 Jul05 Jun19 May31 (dunham be)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 ★    
9  BOURBON CURRENCY Feb01 Dec22 Dec08 Oct28 Oct07 (wolfe jr)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 20.00    
10  BEYOND THE BEND Feb09 Jan11 Dec21 Dec08 Nov22 (patterson k)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 10% 8.90    
 
PEN-3   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALUABLE BREIGH Nov15 Oct16 Sep20 Aug09 Jul27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
2  PHANCY PHILLY Dec13 Nov30 Nov15 Oct27 Oct09 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 6% 15.10    
3  LADY JEAN Feb09 Jan24 Dec21 Nov27 Nov03 (patterson k)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 14% 6.30    
4  BANNED FROM MIDWAY Feb17 Feb03 Jul26 Jun29 Jun14 (caramori eduard)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  GREEN GABLES Jan26 Dec29 Dec09 Nov30 Nov09 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 6.00    
6  STORMY SPELL Jan26 Dec29 Dec13 Nov22 Nov09 (zalalas )DAVIS A 122 12.00    
7  CHLOE ROSE Jan26 Jan10 Nov30 Nov04 Oct21 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00    
8  GOLDEN LAW Feb12 Dec06 Nov25 Oct14 Sep21 (bentley fenne)ROJAS MARTINA 115 20.00    
9  TILTED TIARA Feb02 Jan18 Dec29 Dec13 Sep08 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 10% 8.90    
10  EARLY FROST Feb02 Dec22 Nov22 Oct27 Sep13 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 50.00    
SCR  ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM Feb28 Feb14 Jan29 Jan01 Dec06 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   02/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK'S LILLY Feb02 Jan26 Dec29 Nov30 Nov15 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00    
2  QUEEN ROSEMARY Feb02 Oct27 Sep13 Aug17 Jul27 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00 14% 6.00    
3  ALWAYS MIA Feb02 Jan03 Dec18 Nov20 Oct24 (krebs steven)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00 29% 2.40    
4  SIMPLE SOUVENIR Feb08 Jan25 Dec16 Nov04 Oct03 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BUSTIN DOWN DOORS Feb08 Dec22 Dec08 Nov09 Sep21 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
SCR  ORGANIZED CHAOS Jan31 Dec16 Nov26 Nov02 Sep04 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 4.00    
7  UNION FOLLY Feb02 Dec20 Oct27 Sep15 Aug31 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 8.00    
8  MELODIOUS SINGER Nov02 Oct06 Sep06 Jul28 Mar09 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
9  MAGIC BEAUTY Jan26 Dec28 Nov09 Oct23 Sep19 (kulp l)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
 
PEN-5   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN OCCASION Feb16 Jan19 Dec21 Dec01 Nov10 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 ★    
2  HONORABLE AVENUE Feb09 Jan19 Dec27 Nov21 Oct23 (o'callahan ca)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00    
3  COOL COMEDIAN Jan19 Dec27 Nov29 Nov08 Oct04 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
4  WE BE THERE Feb05 Dec11 Nov14 Oct30 Sep27 (caban )GONZALEZ JR 120 8.00    
5  KAZ SWEET HEIST Feb09 Jan19 Dec21 Nov15 Oct25 (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  GOODLUCKCHUCK Feb08 Dec27 Dec08 Oct20 Oct06 (lawrence )CARRASCO R 120 6.00    
SCR  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Jan26 Dec29 Dec10 Nov19 Oct12 (murtough step)TUNON JORDANO 120 30.00    
8  DYNAMITE KARMA Feb02 Jan11 Dec13 Nov17 Sep15 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 ★    
9  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Feb07 Jan11 Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 (kreiser c)CORA D 120 5.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  NICK PAPAGIORGIO Feb22 Jan19 Dec27 Nov10 Oct14 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00    
11  AHSAD Jan10 Jan01 Dec13 Nov04 Oct18 (kirby john )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00    
12  OLYMPIC ROMP Feb12 Jan29 Dec26 Dec11 Nov21 (padilla )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   02/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAR LADY Jan31 Jan10 Nov14 Oct13 Aug24 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 54% 0.90    
2  SERENE WARRIOR Feb02 Dec07 Nov24 Sep14 Aug30 (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00    
3  WITHOUT A VIEW Feb06 Dec11 Jun20 May23 May01 (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 119 6.00    
4  FLOWER'S FORTUNE Feb09 Dec14 Nov10 Oct26 Aug08 (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 119 20.00 7% 12.90    
5  MIKEY'S JEWEL Feb09 Jan31 Jan10 Nov24 Nov08 (salinas jose)FLORES E 124 3.50 15% 5.90    
6  KATY THE CAT Jan31 Jan10 Dec07 Nov15 Oct27 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00    
7  ROSES FROM HEAVEN Jan24 Dec21 Oct27 Sep27 Sep08 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 6.00    
8  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Jan31 Jan10 Dec15 Nov08 Jul19 (zalalas )DAVIS A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   02/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKING FANCY Feb09         (crane clovis)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00    
2  JOIA RARA Feb14 Jun10 May10 Apr12   (caramori edua)ROJAS MARTINA 117 20.00    
3  FLINNY TIN TIN Dec22 Nov17 Oct22     (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 5.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  DREAMERY Jan31 Jan11 Nov20 Aug12 Jul27 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00    
5  SHE'SACHUBBLEMAKER Jan31 Dec20       (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  THE LAST JET Jan31         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50    
7  ZIFFY BUG Feb04 Jan11 Nov22 Nov09 Oct09 (stites f)DAVIS A 122 3.00 ★    
8  THIRSTY FOR LOVE Jan12 Dec11 Nov19 Sep27 Sep03 (martinez)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  CHEERFUL TROUT Feb01 Aug23       (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00    
10  FOXEY G Dec20         (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 117 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.