The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - February 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (7/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $11.40 $11.40 3.40
PEN-2   Win (6/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 5.40
PEN-3   Win (2/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $27.20 -8.00
PEN-4   Win (5/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 -1.60
PEN-5   Win (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
PEN-6   Win (4/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
PEN-7   Win (8/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 2.40

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   02/16/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:251 :50 1:151 1:413   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK SLYE 3 1 11 11 1½ 1nk 1¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70 W
TWIXTER 2 2 21 21 2½ 2nk 2¼ (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 124 1.80 22% 3.50 2.30 P
DON'T QUESTION ME 1 3 3 33 33 33 33 (albright g)DAVIS A 120 8.00 6.70  
LONG TOM 6 4 65 6 5 44(salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 17.60  
SWEEPIN HARD 5 5 4 5 6 65(jacklin )SMITH DANIEL 115 20.00 5% 19.00 27.80  
SOUL STORY 4 7 7 7 7 765 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 19.70  
MUSKOKA GIANT 7 6 5 43 4 57(chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.40 53% 0.90 1.10  
 
PEN-2   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:124 1:251   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD VINE 2 1 11 11 12 11(stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 23% 3.30 5.70 W
TIMELY PROSPECT 5 3 21 21 22 22(russell bri)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 35% 1.90 0.50 P
BROTHER BRAD 3 2 43 5 43 337 (alvarado diane)CORA D 120 6.00 7.20  
KEEN LOOKIN 1 8 75 4 5 4410½ (caiazzo corby)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 18% 4.50 11.80  
SKIMBLE SHANKS 7 6 6 7 6 69 511½ (beattie sande)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 38.70  
CHAIN REACTION 6 4 3 3 33 56 612½ (flores-coba f)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 10.00 23.20  
ORASHI 4 7 8 8 8 813½ 718½ (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00 72.10  
CAJUN OCCASION 8 5 5 6 7 712½ 819½ (salvaggio v)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
SCR  MAKE ME LUCKY               (stites wil)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
 
PEN-3   02/16/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CACTUS JACK 3 6 5 5   31 1nk (salvaggio v)CORA D 124 8.00 12.60  
SILENT TIGER 5 2 12 1   11 2nk (patterson kev)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00 24% 3.20 4.10 P
DEE BO 2 5 4 3   21 3¼ (synnefias p)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 51% 1.00 1.40 S
COFFEE WITH ALEX 4 7 32 2   447 (kravets br)DAVIS A 124 6.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
INDOCTRINATE 6 3 9 8   85(diaz jorge)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 8.00 12.50  
COAST TO COAST 7 4 7 7   78 610 (sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 124 15.00 24.40  
10  PRIMORDIAL FEAR 10 1 22 42   5710¾ (flores-c)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 10.00 11.40  
HOPE FOR GOLD 1 10 6 6   67 811 (salvaggio v)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.00 5% 19.00 3.80  
PECOS BILL 8 8 1013¼ 1012¼   1016 918½ (bartoni p)LLOYD W 124 50.00 87.30  
LUCKY AS A SEVEN 9 9 8 9   915 1021 (diaz jorge)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 30.00 49.60  
 
PEN-4   02/16/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:221 :454 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY DEVILS CHILD 7 7 6 6   1nk 1(guerrero gua)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 2.50 7% 13.30 2.20 W
HASHTAG WINNING 4 6 7 7   52(graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 5.70  
DESANTIS 2 3 2nk 32   43(diaz jorge)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 4.50 4.50  
BEE BY THE SEA 5 1 3½ 21   3.2 4(flores-coba f)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 4.00 56% 0.80 8.60  
MARTINKELLY 1 2 1nk 11   2nk 5(albright amy)FLORES E 120 8.00 5.50  
CARGO SHIP 6 4 4 5   66(beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 11% 8.00 4.30  
SPOOKY ONE 3 5 5 42   77(kravets m)CORA D 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
 
PEN-5   02/16/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:142 1:421   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIEF 5 2 34 3 32 1½ 1(chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 53% 0.90 2.30 W
KENTUCKY REIGN 3 3 1 11 1 2½ 2(mcmahon dem)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 17% 5.00 2.60 P
NANASQUAN 2 4 77 76 54 333 (spina charles)CORA D 122 12.00 17.60  
WAHINE MEANIE 6 1 2 21 2 57 4(fields kevi)VARGAS L 122 8.00 15.40  
INCONTROVERTIBLE 7 6 4 5 4 44 510 (meister willi)INIRIO J 122 10.00 18.00  
MAKE A SPLASH 1 5 5 44 6 610 613¾ (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 8% 11.70 9.60  
ALICE KRAMDEN 4 7 67 66 7 711 719¼ (penaloza migue)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 2.00 1.70  
SCR  MOON POOL               (beattie sandee )ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
 
PEN-6   02/16/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:124 1:392   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUST DEVIL 4 6 4 42 4 31 1¾ (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 47% 1.10 1.70 W
RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY 2 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 2¾ (kreiser c)CORA D 120 2.00 10% 8.90 2.10 P
MIDNIGHT ACT 5 2 3½ 2½ 2½ 2nk 3¾ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 13.10 S
STRAWBERRY TREAT 6 4 6 5 5 6412 (zalalas mi)DAVIS A 120 12.00 25.50  
GIROLAMO'S ATTACK 7 3 2½ 31 3 4513¾ (mosco robe)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00 9% 10.50 2.40  
COPPERHEAD CREEK 1 5 56 6 6 5614¼ (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 22.90  
UNCLE YUDI 3 7 711¾ 712½ 719½ 721¼ 730½ (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 12.70  
 
PEN-7   02/16/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:223 :463 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEJUCO 2 6 67 5   21¼ (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00 7% 12.70 4.20 W
SPORTING THE GOLD 3 3 4 2½   12¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 4.00 3.90  
SYLVIA I AM 1 8 810¾ 7   53(shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 5% 19.00 16.30 S
SILK PRINCE 8 7 7 6   344 (rose orlando)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00 2.90  
BULLET BREEZE 7 1 3 4   67 5(murillo ri)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 5.00 47% 1.10 2.90  
SUPE 4 4 2 3   77 6(troxell kristi)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 3.00 20% 4.00 7.20  
KNOWWHATIMEAN 5 2 1 1½   43 713 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 124 12.00 8.00  
SALVO TRIGGER 6 5 5 8   812 818 (meister willi)INIRIO J 124 20.00 66.30  
SCR  QUACKENBUSH               (martin charle)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.