Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - February 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/5)-(6/2/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/5)-(6/2/1/9)-(2/5/1/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/9)-(6/2/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/9)-(6/2/1/9)-(6/2/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/9)-(2/5/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/9)-(2/5/1/4)-(5/6/7/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4/7)-(2/5/1/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/1/4)-(5/6/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/4)-(5/6/7/3)-(6/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/3)-(6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/3)-(6/4/2)-(4/2/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2/5)-(6/4/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(4/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(4/2/7/5)-(8/5/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-6   WIN (4/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/5)-(4/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/5)-(4/2/7/5)-(4/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/7/5)-(8/5/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-7   WIN (8/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/2)-(8/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/2)-(8/5/3/2)-(8/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T QUESTION ME Feb01 Dec21 Nov16 Sep13 Jun21 (albright)DAVIS A 120 8.00    
2  TWIXTER Jan31 Dec27 Dec15 Dec01 Nov10 (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 124 1.80 22% 3.50    
3  JACK SLYE Jan26 Dec21 Dec07 Nov03 Sep21 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SOUL STORY Feb01 Jan18 Dec21 Mar16 Feb22 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00    
5  SWEEPIN HARD Nov17 Oct27 Sep15 Aug09 Jul06 (jackli)SMITH DANIEL 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  LONG TOM Feb01 Jan10 Dec21 Dec08 Nov17 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00    
7  MUSKOKA GIANT Dec15 Nov24 Nov03 Oct20 Sep29 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.40 53% 0.90    
 
PEN-2   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEN LOOKIN Jan24 Dec13 Nov17 Sep09 Jul31 (caiazzo corby)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
2  WILD VINE Dec27 Dec06 Nov17 Nov03 Sep15 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
3  BROTHER BRAD Dec10 Nov04 Oct18 Sep16 Aug03 (alvarado )HERNANDEZ F 120 6.00    
SCR  MAKE ME LUCKY Jan24 Dec27 Dec15 Nov03 Sep22 (stites w)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
5  ORASHI Nov30 Nov16 Sep13 May31 May10 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00    
6  TIMELY PROSPECT Jan31 Dec13 Nov04 Aug23 Jul18 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
7  CHAIN REACTION Dec27 Nov08 Nov01 Oct17 Sep12 (flores-coba)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 10.00    
8  SKIMBLE SHANKS Jan24 Dec27 Nov30 Nov02 Oct26 (beattie san)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
9  CAJUN OCCASION Jan19 Dec21 Dec01 Nov10 Sep15 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   02/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOPE FOR GOLD Feb01 Jan12 Dec13 Nov15 Oct11 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
2  DEE BO Jan25 Dec27 Dec04 Nov07 Oct25 (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
3  CACTUS JACK Feb01 Dec28 Jul14 Jun24 Jun11 (salvaggio v)CORA D 124 8.00    
4  COFFEE WITH ALEX Feb02 Dec21 Nov14 Nov02 Sep20 (kravets )DAVIS A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  SILENT TIGER Feb01 Dec28 Nov22 Oct30 Oct17 (patterson k)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
6  INDOCTRINATE Jan29 Dec29 Dec20 Dec06 Oct23 (diaz jorge)ROJAS MARTINA 119 8.00    
7  COAST TO COAST Feb01 Dec14 Nov29 Nov01 Sep15 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 124 15.00 ★    
8  PECOS BILL Dec20 Nov29 Nov02 Sep22 Jul13 (bartoni p)LLOYD W 124 50.00    
9  LUCKY AS A SEVEN Jan31 Jan08 Dec26 Dec05 Nov22 (diaz jorge)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 30.00    
10  PRIMORDIAL FEAR Jan08 Dec21 Dec05 Nov22 Oct25 (flores)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 10.00    
 
PEN-4   02/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTINKELLY Feb02 Jan19 Dec22 Nov22 Nov01 (albright amy)FLORES E 120 8.00    
2  DESANTIS Jan09 Dec26 Nov28 Oct31 Oct24 (diaz jorge)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.50    
3  SPOOKY ONE Jan11 Dec21 Dec08 Nov01 Sep07 (kravets m)CORA D 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HASHTAG WINNING Jan25 Dec21 Nov22 Oct25 Aug30 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00    
5  BEE BY THE SEA Oct27 Oct04 Sep23 Aug26 Aug06 (flores-coba)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 4.00 56% 0.80    
6  CARGO SHIP Jan19 Dec08 Oct27 Sep07 Aug08 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 11% 8.00    
7  MY DEVILS CHILD Dec13 Nov28 Oct30 Sep27 Aug30 (guerrero gu)RIVERA D 120 2.50 7% 13.30    
 
PEN-5   02/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOON POOL Feb08 Jan25 Dec09 Nov24 Nov03 (beattie sande)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
2  MAKE A SPLASH Feb08 Jan11 Dec27 Nov29 Nov10 (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 8% 11.70    
3  NANASQUAN Jan11 Dec27 Nov10 Oct26 Aug18 (spina charles)CORA D 122 12.00    
4  KENTUCKY REIGN Jan26 Jan06 Nov16 Oct05 Sep04 (mcmahon d)CARRASCO R 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
5  ALICE KRAMDEN Jan09 Dec20 Nov30 Nov03 Oct08 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 2.00 ★    
6  BRIEF Feb08 Dec27 Dec09 Nov24 Nov10 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
7  WAHINE MEANIE Jan26 Jan11 Dec21 Dec01 Nov16 (fields ke)VARGAS L 122 8.00    
8  INCONTROVERTIBLE Jan11 Dec01 Nov02 Oct06 Aug26 (meister wil)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
 
PEN-6   02/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COPPERHEAD CREEK Feb01 Jan19 Dec28 Dec13 Dec01 (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
2  RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Jan13 Dec31 Dec08 Nov24 Sep22 (kreiser c)CORA D 120 2.00 10% 8.90    
3  UNCLE YUDI Jan24 Dec27 Dec01 Nov09 Sep22 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
4  DUST DEVIL Feb05 Jan02 Dec13 Nov06 Aug25 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
5  MIDNIGHT ACT Feb02 Jan11 Dec22 Nov08 Oct09 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  STRAWBERRY TREAT Jan31 Dec22 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 (zalalas )DAVIS A 120 12.00    
7  GIROLAMO'S ATTACK Jan29 Dec13 Nov04 Oct20 Sep26 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00 9% 10.50    
 
PEN-7   02/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUACKENBUSH Mar10 Jan19 Jan01 Dec03   (martin char)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00    
2  SYLVIA I AM Dec07 Nov08 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  BEJUCO Feb02 Jan10 Dec21 Dec06 Nov22 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00 7% 12.70    
4  SPORTING THE GOLD Feb02 Jan12 Dec22 Aug31 Feb08 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 4.00    
5  SUPE Apr01 Mar19 Feb19 Feb01 Jan16 (troxell kris)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
6  KNOWWHATIMEAN Feb02 Dec24 Dec09 Nov25 Nov01 (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 124 12.00    
7  SALVO TRIGGER Nov17 Oct26       (meister wil)INIRIO J 124 20.00    
8  BULLET BREEZE Nov08 Oct27 Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 (murillo )DAVIS A 124 5.00 47% 1.10    
9  SILK PRINCE Jan10 Dec20 Dec01 Jul26 Jul09 (rose orlando)TORRES JOMAR 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.