Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Sunday - August 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $9.90  
SAR-2   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
SAR-3   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 5.20
SAR-4   Win (9/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $4.10 $4.10  
SAR-5   Win (8/10/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $29.40  
SAR-6   Win (4/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 3.20
SAR-7   Win (7/3/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $15.00 $15.00 7.00
SAR-8   Win (7/1/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 2.00
SAR-9   Win (10/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $53.50  
SAR-10   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.10 $6.10 0.10
SAR-11   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 6.40
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:113     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PALMETTO FURY 3 2 1nk 1nk   12 1½ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 3.95  
2  SHE'S COOL 2 4 55¾ 57½   53½ 2½ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 18% 4.50 4.10 P
1  OH MY MIA 1 5 43¾ 44½   33 32¼ (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 5.40  
5  ANSWER THE CALL 5 3 33½ 34   43½ 44¾ (contessa c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
4  SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE 4 1 2nk 2nk   22 56 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.80 48% 1.10 0.80  
 
SAR-2   08/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3 ALL PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PROPRIETARY TRADE 2 4 41½ 31½   12 11¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.20 42% 1.40 1.20 W
6  TEMECULA 6 5 52½ 53½   32 21¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 10.10  
4  SQUINTS 4 3 31½ 42   43 35¾ (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 6.50  
5  ETENDRE 5 1 1½ 1½   22 47½ (david a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 2.50  
3  IRIDESCENT 3 2 2½ 2½   54 59½ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 11% 8.10 5.50  
1  APOLLO CODE 1 6 64 65   67 610 (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 12% 7.20 12.20  
 
SAR-3   08/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STARSHIP DEFIANT 6 1 21½ 2½   12 11 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 11% 8.00 4.60 W
3  RACHEL'S ROCK 3 4 42½ 32   32 21 (david a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 51% 1.00 1.90 P
5  WILLOW BEND 5 6 64 42   44 35 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 3.70  
4  IT TAKES HEART 4 2 11½ 1½   22 45½ (potts wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 2.10  
2  ICY REPLY 2 3 53 54   510 514¼ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 120 5.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
1  JACKIE THE JOKER 1 5 32½ 64½   614 622 (potts wayn)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 18.90  
 
SAR-4   08/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SAVE US MELANIA 8 3 2½ 12½   17 16¼ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 62% 0.60 1.05 W
6  COQUITO 5 8 712 713   49½ 26¼ (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 7.00  
8  THEDREAMCONTINUES 7 5 53½ 56   39 311½ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 124 10.00 10.20  
3  YINGLE BELLS 2 4 31½ 33   27 412¼ (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 ★ 11.90  
4  THAT'STHEFACTJACK 3 7 812½ 816   813½ 514¾ (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00 20.80  
1  DREAMING OF CARLI 1 1 43 45   510 616 (barker r)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00 31.50  
5  BAM BAM (BRZ) 4 6 65 67   610½ 721¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 11% 7.80 2.80  
7  NEGRA GATA 6 2 1½ 22½   712½ 839½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 6% 17.10 11.70  
SCR  WICKED REYA               (persaud randi)LUZZI J 119 30.00    
 
SAR-5   08/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:143 1:394   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WITHIN VIEW 3 2 53 53½ 53 31½ 1¾ (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 13.70  
2  JUDGE RULES 2 1 31½ 31½ 42 21½ 2¾ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 11% 8.40 3.85 P
9  CHARMING JIM 9 10 98½ 98 87 42½ 31 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 ★ 14.00 S
10  MAZZEI 10 4 11 1½ 11 11½ 42 (bond jame)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 13% 6.40 4.00  
7  TONY O 7 9 74½ 63½ 63 74¼ 55 (donk dav)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00 10.80  
6  SWEET TONE 6 6 21 2½ 21 52¾ 65½ (sells rachel)LUZZI J 118 8.00 13.40  
5  WAFLR 5 7 64½ 74 97½ 85¾ 77½ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
4  CAN'T STAND DISCO 4 8 86½ 86 73½ 96¼ 88¼ (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 118 30.00 56.00  
8  CATTANI 8 5 42½ 42 31½ 63¼ 98¾ (nevin michelle)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 54% 0.80 1.35  
1  TRIPLE WORD SCORE 1 3 109 1010½ 1015½ 1016¼ 1039¾ (bernardini g)VAZQUEZ A 118 30.00 52.50  
SCR  ALBEDO               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
SCR  ALPHA CAT               (goodwin gabrie)HARKIE K 118 30.00    
SCR  BIG EGO               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 1.40    
SCR  SEMINARIAN               (lecesse michael)COA J 118 20.00    
SCR  SENEGAL               (antonucci m)RIDER TBA 118 10.00    
SCR  TIZ THE PRINCE               (duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00    
 
SAR-6   08/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:102     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LA CARA 2 1 13½ 14   12½ 18 (casse mark)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 23% 3.30 4.60 W
3  GOING STEADY 3 2 36 24   22½ 28 (lukas wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00 18.20  
6  QUICKICK 6 7 815 815½   510½ 39¾ (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 4.10  
4  TRADING STRATEGY 4 5 410 412   49 413¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 43% 1.30 1.90  
8  TRANGO TOWER 8 6 714½ 513   38½ 515¾ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 11.50  
7  TEJANITA 7 4 512½ 614   612½ 616¼ (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 5.60  
5  TABLE FLIRT 5 8 613½ 715½   719½ 734¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 12% 7.00 7.80  
1  MIA'S MOM 1 3 23½ 38   828½ 866 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
 
SAR-7   08/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:28
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:104     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CHARGING AERO 7 1 41½ 2nk   1nk 1¾ (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 123 15.00 10% 9.20 6.50 W
7  MISTER J T 6 2 21 1nk   2nk 2¾ (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 46% 1.20 1.65 P
2  JOKING WAY 2 6 54½ 52¾   33 32¾ (romero j)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 4.90  
6  BEACH BOY AL 5 5 712 710¼   66¼ 43½ (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 3.20  
3  NOTTOWAY 3 4 31½ 42½   55¼ 55¾ (reed lisa )DAVIS A 123 12.00 15% 5.90 4.80  
5  RIBBONS AND MEDALS 4 3 11 3½   45 68½ (potts wayn)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
1  NOTABLE BOB (CHI) 1 7 65½ 69¾   712¼ 717¾ (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 30.00 15.10  
SCR  BRONX BOMBER               (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  RIDER'S SPECIAL               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40    
 
SAR-8   08/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD Mahony Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:213 :442 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANDOM (GB) 1 2 1½ 1½   1nk 1¼ (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 31% 2.20 4.00 W
10  RUN CARSON 9 4 2½ 2½   3½ 2¼ (danner kel)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 7% 13.20 36.25 P
4  APOLLO TEN 4 1 32 33   2nk 31¼ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 13.40  
2  HOWARD WOLOWITZ 2 7 54 44   52¼ 41¼ (d'angelo fra)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 12.00  
8  WORKS FOR ME 7 8 98 911¼   95 51¾ (lee joseph)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00 18.80  
3  YELLOW CARD 3 9 64½ 76¼   63¾ 62½ (mccarthy michae)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 ★ 3.85  
7  MANSA MUSA (IRE) 6 5 43½ 54   42 72¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 37% 1.70 1.35  
9  REEF RUNNER 8 6 74½ 66   73¾ 83½ (fawkes david)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
6  AMERICAN RASCAL 5 3 86 87¾   84¾ 95½ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 20.20  
SCR  BARAYE               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 115 3.00    
SCR  NO NAY METS (IRE)               (weaver george)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
 
SAR-9   08/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:112     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SKI COUNTRY 7 9 87 85½   34 12 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 123 15.00 25.75  
5  ANTHRACITE 4 4 32 51½   22 22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 5% 19.00 7.10 P
6  TWELTH MAN 5 8 75 31   12 32¾ (kantarma)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 23% 3.30 23.80 S
9  EIRIK RIDGE 8 5 913½ 913½   66 44½ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 ★ 6.40  
10  THAT'S MONEY 9 1 42 41   55½ 55¼ (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 48% 1.10 1.45  
1  J J'S JOKER 1 7 53½ 63   77 68 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00 2.80  
2  STREET SWAGG 2 6 64 74½   87¼ 78¾ (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
3  BOBBY THE TANK 3 2 11½ 1½   45½ 811¼ (zito nicholas)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 12.00 22.60  
7  BADLANDS RULER 6 3 21½ 2½   97¾ 917 (chatterpaul naipa)VAZQUEZ A 120 15.00 37.00  
SCR  DADS GOOD RUNNER               (persaud randi)LUZZI J 125 10.00    
 
SAR-10   08/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC14 GOOD FanDuel Fourstardave Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:133 1:251   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CARL SPACKLER (IRE) 3 2 22 22½ 2½ 11½ 13½ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80 19% 4.30 2.05 W
7  MORE THAN LOOKS 6 4 56 57 55 43½ 23½ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 2.90  
6  OTTOMAN FLEET (GB) 5 5 44 44 33 32½ 35 (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.60 46% 1.20 1.50 S
1  STRONG QUALITY 1 1 12 12½ 1½ 21½ 45 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 9% 9.80 9.40  
3  MAJOR DUDE 2 3 33½ 34 43 53½ 510½ (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 11.80  
5  MONEY SUPPLY 4 6 610½ 611 610 69½ 616¼ (sharp joe)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 26.00  
SCR  MASTER OF THE SEAS (IRE)               ( )TBA null      
 
SAR-11   08/11/2024 6270ft TURF RC14 GOOD Saratoga Derby Invitational Purse ($600K) 3 ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:13 1:373   1:554   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CARSON'S RUN 4 6 64½ 68½ 53 31 1¾ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20 W
1  LEGEND OF TIME (GB) 1 2 53 45½ 42½ 1½ 2¾ (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 57% 0.70 1.10 P
6  DETERMINISTIC 6 4 43 57 63½ 52½ 31½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 19% 4.20 2.70 S
3  ROYAL MAJESTY (GB) 3 5 32 33½ 31 2½ 41½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 5.60  
2  IZZY D'ORO 2 1 11½ 12½ 11 42 59 (kelly blake)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00 15.80  
5  FULMINEO 5 3 21½ 22½ 21 66 612½ (delacour arn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 10.90  
SCR  FIRST WORLD WAR               (walsh brend)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.50    
SCR  TRIKARI               (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.