Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Sunday - August 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (9/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (8/10/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (4/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (7/3/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (7/1/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (10/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-11   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OH MY MIA Jun26 Jun04 Apr20 Mar16 Feb13 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
SHE'S COOL Jun28 May31 Apr19 Mar02 Aug05 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
PALMETTO FURY May30 Mar29 Feb02 Jan21   (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50    
SHE'S ALWAYS ROSIE Jul18 Jun30 Apr20 Mar30 Feb28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.80 48% 1.10    
ANSWER THE CALL Aug04 Jun08 May01 Mar13 Jan26 (contessa c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-2   08/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3 ALL PT- 1:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APOLLO CODE Jul28 Jun28 Jun09 May12 Apr13 (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 12% 7.20    
PROPRIETARY TRADE Jul19 Jun02 May05 Apr06 Mar07 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.20 42% 1.40    
IRIDESCENT Jul18 May12 May05 Apr20 Feb25 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 11% 8.10    
SQUINTS Jul18 Jun28 Jun07 May19 Apr28 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
ETENDRE Jul05 Jun16 May19 Apr28 Apr04 (david a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
TEMECULA Jun23 Jun02 Apr21 Mar16   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
 
SAR-3   08/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE THE JOKER Jul17 Jun22 May09 Apr19 Mar30 (potts wayne)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
ICY REPLY Jul17 May09 Apr25 Mar30 Mar15 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
RACHEL'S ROCK Feb21 Dec17 Nov24 Oct28 Oct12 (david a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 51% 1.00    
IT TAKES HEART Jul20 May09 Apr14 Feb29 Jul27 (potts wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
WILLOW BEND Jun26 May23 Jan11 Nov22 Oct14 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
STARSHIP DEFIANT Aug03 Jul14 May12 Apr14 Mar17 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 11% 8.00    
 
SAR-4   08/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMING OF CARLI Jul11 Jun27 Jun09 Feb17 Nov10 (barker r)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00    
SCR  WICKED REYA Aug01         (persaud randi)LUZZI J 119 30.00    
YINGLE BELLS Mar23         (contessa g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00    
THAT'STHEFACTJACK Jun23 May16 Apr19 Nov04 Sep16 (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 12.00    
BAM BAM (BRZ) Jun28         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 11% 7.80    
COQUITO Jul17 May04 Apr06 Dec27   (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
NEGRA GATA Oct20 Oct06 Aug23 Aug06 Jul06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 6% 17.10    
THEDREAMCONTINUES Jul17         (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 124 10.00    
SAVE US MELANIA May30 Mar13 Feb14 Nov18 Oct13 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 62% 0.60    
 
SAR-5   08/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE WORD SCORE Jul24 May19 May10 Apr19 Apr11 (bernardini g)VAZQUEZ A 118 30.00    
JUDGE RULES Jul26 Jun28 May25 May11 Apr13 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 11% 8.40    
WITHIN VIEW Jul25 Jul05 Jun14 May17 Apr11 (sells rache)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
CAN'T STAND DISCO Jul24 Jun27       (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 118 30.00    
WAFLR Jul05 Jun22 May19 Mar09 Feb18 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET TONE Jul26 Jun22 May25 May10 Apr27 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 118 8.00    
TONY O Jul26 May03 Nov19 Nov04 Oct27 (donk dav)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00    
CATTANI Oct05 Jul30       (nevin michelle)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 54% 0.80    
CHARMING JIM Jun28 Jun09 May12 Mar09 Jan26 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
10  MAZZEI Jul20 May26 Apr26     (bond jame)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  ALPHA CAT Jul26 Jul01 Mar30 Feb25   (goodwin gabrie)HARKIE K 118 30.00    
SCR  SEMINARIAN Jun26 Jun10 May29 Oct09 Sep04 (lecesse michael)COA J 118 20.00    
SCR  TIZ THE PRINCE Jul25 Jun30 Jun06 Nov12   (duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00    
SCR  SENEGAL Jul18 Jul27       (antonucci m)RIDER TBA 118 10.00    
SCR  ALBEDO Jul18 Nov03 Oct14 Sep14 Aug23 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
SCR  BIG EGO Jun09 May11 Mar24 Feb11   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 1.40    
 
SAR-6   08/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIA'S MOM         (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
LA CARA Jul14 Jun21 May17     (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 23% 3.30    
GOING STEADY Jul14         (lukas wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00    
TRADING STRATEGY         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
TABLE FLIRT         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 12% 7.00    
QUICKICK         (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
TEJANITA         (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00    
TRANGO TOWER         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50    
 
SAR-7   08/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTABLE BOB (CHI) Jul19 Jul06 Jun23 May19 Aug19 (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 30.00    
JOKING WAY Jul12 Jun23 May19 Mar30 Mar16 (romero j)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00    
NOTTOWAY Jun11 May27 May14 Apr07 Mar02 (reed lisa )DAVIS A 123 12.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  RIDER'S SPECIAL Aug07 Jul14 Jun28 Nov05 Sep14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40    
RIBBONS AND MEDALS Jul29 Jul19 Jun29 Jun14 Apr07 (potts wayn)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
BEACH BOY AL May04 Mar29 Mar10 Jan27 Dec30 (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
MISTER J T Jun16 May19 Apr27 Mar21 Mar02 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  BRONX BOMBER Aug01 Jun29 May05 Apr11 Mar08 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
CHARGING AERO Aug01 Jul12 Jun12 May16 Apr14 (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 123 15.00 10% 9.20    
 
SAR-8   08/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD Mahony Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANDOM (GB) Jul14 Apr07 Apr27     (cox h)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
HOWARD WOLOWITZ Jun22 Mar02       (d'angelo fra)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00    
YELLOW CARD Jun16 May04 Mar23 Feb16   (mccarthy michae)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
APOLLO TEN Jul14 Jun17 Apr18 Nov04 Sep22 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  NO NAY METS (IRE) Jul14 Jun08 May01 Apr07 Nov03 (weaver george)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
AMERICAN RASCAL Jul14 Feb10 Dec23 Nov28 Sep15 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
MANSA MUSA (IRE) Jul14 Jun08 May01 Apr07   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
WORKS FOR ME Jun27 May18 Apr27 Feb16 Nov18 (lee joseph)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00    
REEF RUNNER Jul06 May18 Mar23 Feb07 Jan12 (fawkes david)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  RUN CARSON Jul11 Jun13 May17 Apr26   (danner kel)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  BARAYE Aug10 May26 Apr20 Jan26 Dec23 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 115 3.00    
 
SAR-9   08/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J J'S JOKER Jun29 May12 Mar10 Feb19 Jan06 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00    
STREET SWAGG Jul14 Jun23 May26 May11 Mar14 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOBBY THE TANK Jul20 Jun28 May09 Apr11 Apr05 (zito nicholas)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 12.00    
SCR  DADS GOOD RUNNER Jun22 Apr07 Mar02 Feb11 Jan28 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 125 10.00    
ANTHRACITE Jul21 Apr13 Mar21 Feb25 Feb03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
TWELTH MAN Jun28 May05 Apr13 Oct07 Sep28 (kantarma)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 23% 3.30    
BADLANDS RULER Jun29 May09 Mar21 Feb19 Jan28 (chatterpaul naipa)VAZQUEZ A 120 15.00    
SKI COUNTRY Jul14 Jun16 May18 May12 Apr04 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 123 15.00    
EIRIK RIDGE Jul16 Jun19 Jun03 Apr13 Jan15 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00    
10  THAT'S MONEY Jun09 May05 Mar24 Feb17   (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 48% 1.10    
 
SAR-10   08/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC14 GOOD FanDuel Fourstardave Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG QUALITY Jun08 May04 Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 9% 9.80    
MAJOR DUDE Jul20 Jun23 Sep02 Aug12 Jul07 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
CARL SPACKLER (IRE) Jul13 Jun08 May02 Sep01 Aug11 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80 19% 4.30    
MONEY SUPPLY Jul06 May03 Mar23 Feb17 Jan06 (sharp joe)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
OTTOMAN FLEET (GB) Jun29 Jun01 May04 Jun10 May06 (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.60 46% 1.20    
MORE THAN LOOKS Nov04 Sep30 Aug11 Jul07 Jun17 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
SCR  MASTER OF THE SEAS (IRE) Apr12 Nov04 Oct07 Sep16   ( )TBA null      
 
SAR-11   08/11/2024 6270ft TURF RC14 GOOD Saratoga Derby Invitational Purse ($600K) 3 ALL PT- 6:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGEND OF TIME (GB) Jul06 May25 May04     (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 57% 0.70    
IZZY D'ORO Jun23 Apr26 Mar23 Feb10 Dec09 (kelly blake)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00    
ROYAL MAJESTY (GB) Jul06 May25 Apr13 Mar02 Jan20 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00    
CARSON'S RUN Jun23 Apr27 Nov03 Sep16 Aug31 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
FULMINEO Jul13 May18 Apr19 Mar09 Feb10 (delacour arn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00    
DETERMINISTIC Jun29 May11 Apr06 Mar02 Aug12 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  FIRST WORLD WAR Jun29 May31 Apr05 Feb03 Jan01 (walsh brend)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.50    
SCR  TRIKARI Jul06 May31 May04 Mar23 Feb10 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.