Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - June 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $16.78 $10.78 180%
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-3 $53.58 $41.58 347%
CD-2   DD (3/1/4)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-2 $27.67 $18.67 207%
CD-3   EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-2 $26.80 $14.80 123%
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-2-7 $30.34 $27.34 911%
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(5/2/4)-(7/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50  4-2-1 $55.00 $41.50 307%
CD-8   WIN (5/11/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.04 $2.04 26%
    EXA (5/11/7/1)-(5/11/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-1 $59.18 $35.18 147%
    TRI (5/11/7/1)-(5/11/7/1)-(5/11/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-1-5 $43.22 $31.22 260%
    DD (4/5/7)-(5/11/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-7 $18.72 $6.72 56%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   06/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GOLDEN BUCK 4 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 1¼ (castanon j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.39 W
3  SUNDAY SPIRIT 3 4 41¼ 42¾   41 2¼ (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 41% 1.40 2.56 P
5  TWIRLING TROILLET 5 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 3¾ (milligan )TORRES A 118 4.00 6.56  
1  BROTHER RICE 1 6 31 3.2   3½ 42 (pino michael)TORRES A 118 1.40 34% 2.00 0.85  
2  BAJAN BOY 2 5 62¾ 54¼   52½ 53¼ (tomlinson mi)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 10.00 8.86  
6  HEZMORETHANREADY 6 3 52¼ 67¾   68½ 614¾ (house gary)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 23.30  
 
CD-2   06/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:113 1:353   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STIR CRAZY 2 4 43 42½ 43 42 12¼ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 122 2.00 26% 2.80 2.04 W
3  JOIN THE DANCE 3 2 11 1½ 11 11 22¼ (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 122 3.00 3.00  
4  VALENTINA DAY 4 1 21 31½ 21 31 32½ (toye kara )CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 5% 19.00 11.46 S
5  CAROLINE STREET 5 5 54½ 54 53 21 43¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 45% 1.20 2.15  
1  SAMAY (PER) 1 3 31½ 2½ 31½ 53½ 56½ (arias alfonso)CHUAN MARTIN 122 8.00 5.15  
6  ROYAL TAKE CHARGE 6 6 64½ 64½ 66 69½ 619½ (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 12.43  
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)               (meah m)ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
 
CD-3   06/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:224 :46       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRALIZER 1 4 11 12   12 12 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 29% 2.50 1.71 W
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of JOTOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  ASLEEP AT EIGHT 2 3 42½ 32   22 22 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.98 P
  (by FROSTED out of STORMY SKY by SKY MESA)
7  MO HAIR SAM 6 6 54 53½   53½ 32½ (hancock a)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 48% 1.10 5.61 S
  (by MO TOWN out of SHANGHAI LADY by JUDY'S KING)
6  CHARLIE TOLU 5 2 32½ 43   43 42½ (hancock ja)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 2.00 2.10  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of LADY TULA by BIG SURF)
5  HEDGE 4 1 21 22   33 54¼ (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 25.52  
  (by VOLATILE out of QIAONA by WILKO)
3  MORLOCK 3 5 64¼ 64   64½ 65¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 4.26  
  (by BERNARDINI out of ST. JOHN'S RIVER by INCLUDE)
SCR  EL CORDOBES (IRE)               (chavez manue)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 15.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of GRAMS FUTURE by RAISON D'ETAT)
 
CD-4   06/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:113 1:234   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COX CANYON 2 6 68 64½ 62¼ 41½ 1nk (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 9.02  
1  TARTUFO 1 2 54 53 3½ 31 2nk (vaccarezza car)ORTIZ L 118 1.40 64% 0.60 0.53 P
4  COOL QUARTET 4 3 42½ 41½ 1nk 1½ 3¼ (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 2.32  
7  CLASSIC KING 6 5 21 2½ 2nk 2½ 41¾ (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 16.26  
3  IMPROBABLE STORY 3 1 31½ 31½ 52¼ 51½ 52 (king l)RIQUELME J 118 20.00 35.11  
5  KHOZAN'S SUCCESS 5 4 11 1½ 4¾ 64 69¼ (vanden bri)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00 5% 18.40 12.62  
SCR  SHORTLIST               (cano mun)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
 
CD-5   06/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($141K) 3 ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:223 :444 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BEAR RIVER 3 1 11 1½   11 11¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 2.50 ★ 1.75  
1  SKETCH (IRE) 1 4 31½ 32   21 21¼ (murphy con)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 36% 1.80 4.20 P
4  RUN CARSON 4 3 21 2½   31½ 32¾ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 17% 5.00 2.79 S
6  OKIRO 5 2 42½ 42½   54½ 45½ (garoffalo)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 3.69  
2  HOLD MY BOURBON 2 6 54½ 54   44 55½ (reed r)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 5.83  
7  PRINCE OF POWER 6 5 66 68   68½ 610½ (vosler s)RIQUELME J 118 20.00 28.27  
SCR  SMOKEY SMOKEY               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00    
 
CD-6   06/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:213 :443 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TELL ME WHEN 3 4 21 11½   13 14 (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 123 3.50 1.79  
6  BAYTOWN LOVELY 6 1 64½ 54   54½ 24 (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 118 3.00 4.18  
4  JE SUIS RAPIDE 4 2 43 32½   23 34 (king l)RIQUELME J 123 5.00 5% 19.00 9.04 S
2  CRACKALACKING 2 5 11 21½   33 48¼ (hamilton sar)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 4.50 15% 5.70 8.89  
1  SPARKLE OF HOPE 1 6 31½ 42½   44 59¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00 31% 2.20 1.51  
5  ADDICTED TO LOVE 5 3 54 64½   65½ 69½ (roggenkamp ed)MACHADO LUAN 123 12.00 15.11  
 
CD-7   06/13/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:104 1:224   1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PEEK 2 5 2nk 1nk   1½ 1½ (arnold r)LANERIE J 124 3.00 47% 1.10 2.01 W
8  BOLD AMBITION 5 3 3½ 31   2½ 2½ (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 2.05  
1  LOU'S LEGACY 1 1 51½ 52¼   53 32½ (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 3.50 2.39  
7  ACCIDENT 4 4 41 41¼   43 42½ (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 117 12.00 6% 16.70 8.15  
5  REMARKABLE MO 3 2 1nk 2nk   32 53½ (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 14% 6.00 5.70  
SCR  AIR IT OUT               (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00    
SCR  BADGE OF WAR               (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
SCR  FORCED ERRORS               (zito nich)BEALMEAR C 111 12.00    
 
CD-8   06/13/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:123 1:361   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MOVIN' ON UP 6 2 31 31½ 31½ 1nk 11¼ (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 17% 4.80 4.02 W
1  SPARTAN QUEEN 1 4 1½ 11 11½ 2nk 21¼ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 3.41 P
5  MRS. ASTOR 5 5 42 42½ 53¼ 34½ 37¼ (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 36% 1.80 1.23 S
4  ROBIN SAGE 4 6 64½ 65 65¼ 45½ 47¾ (medina rober)TORRES A 124 20.00 30.08  
2  YARBOROUGH 2 3 52 52½ 43 56½ 58¼ (reed r)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 14.20  
11  TARNEEMA 7 7 75 75½ 75¾ 69½ 612½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 22% 3.60 3.98  
3  EVITA 3 1 2½ 21 21½ 79¾ 721½ (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 124 20.00 23.94  
SCR  BEST SELLER               (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00    
SCR  CAIRO STREET               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00    
SCR  JANEY CREED               (hughes g)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
SCR  MARIA'S REVENGE               (sancal mura)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 20.00    
SCR  MO SHIRO               (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00    
SCR  WITS AND WAGERS               (oliver vic)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.