The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - June 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $16.78 $16.78 10.78
CD-2   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.08 $6.08 0.08
CD-3   Win (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.42 $5.42 -0.58
CD-4   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $20.04 -6.00
CD-5   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $5.50 -4.00
CD-6   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.58 -6.00
CD-7   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.02 $6.02 0.02
CD-8   Win (5/11/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $10.04 $10.04 2.04

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   06/13/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN BUCK 4 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 1¼ (castanon jos)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.39 W
SUNDAY SPIRIT 3 4 4 4   41 2¼ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 41% 1.40 2.56 P
TWIRLING TROILLET 5 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 3¾ (milligan ed)TORRES A 118 4.00 6.56  
BROTHER RICE 1 6 31 3.2   3½ 42 (pino v)TORRES A 118 1.40 34% 2.00 0.85  
BAJAN BOY 2 5 6 5   5 5 (tomlinson mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 10.00 8.86  
HEZMORETHANREADY 6 3 5 6   6 614¾ (house gary)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 23.30  
 
CD-2   06/13/2024 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:113 1:353   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STIR CRAZY 2 4 43 4 43 42 1 (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 26% 2.80 2.04 W
JOIN THE DANCE 3 2 11 1½ 11 11 2 (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 122 3.00 3.00  
VALENTINA DAY 4 1 21 3 21 31 3 (toye li)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 5% 19.00 11.46 S
CAROLINE STREET 5 5 5 54 53 21 4 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 45% 1.20 2.15  
SAMAY (PER) 1 3 3 2½ 3 5 5 (arias alfonso)CHUAN MARTIN 122 8.00 5.15  
ROYAL TAKE CHARGE 6 6 6 6 66 6 619½ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 12.43  
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)               (meah m)ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
 
CD-3   06/13/2024 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:224 :46       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRALIZER 1 4 11 12   12 12 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 29% 2.50 1.71 W
ASLEEP AT EIGHT 2 3 4 32   22 22 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.98 P
MO HAIR SAM 6 6 54 5   5 3 (hancock a)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 48% 1.10 5.61 S
CHARLIE TOLU 5 2 3 43   43 4 (hancock jack)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 2.00 2.10  
HEDGE 4 1 21 22   33 5 (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 25.52  
MORLOCK 3 5 6 64   6 6 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 4.26  
SCR  EL CORDOBES               (chavez manuel)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 15.00    
 
CD-4   06/13/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:113 1:234   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COX CANYON 2 6 68 6 6 4 1nk (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 9.02  
TARTUFO 1 2 54 53 3½ 31 2nk (vaccarezza carlo)ORTIZ L 118 1.40 64% 0.60 0.53 P
COOL QUARTET 4 3 4 4 1nk 1½ 3¼ (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 2.32  
CLASSIC KING 6 5 21 2½ 2nk 2½ 4 (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 16.26  
IMPROBABLE STORY 3 1 3 3 5 5 52 (king l)RIQUELME J 118 20.00 35.11  
KHOZAN'S SUCCESS 5 4 11 1½ 4¾ 64 6 (vanden britt)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00 5% 18.40 12.62  
SCR  SHORTLIST               (cano munoz)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
 
CD-5   06/13/2024 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($141K) 3 ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:223 :444 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAR RIVER 3 1 11 1½   11 1 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 2.50 1.75  
SKETCH (IRE) 1 4 3 32   21 2 (murphy conor)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 36% 1.80 4.20 P
RUN CARSON 4 3 21 2½   3 3 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 17% 5.00 2.79 S
OKIRO 5 2 4 4   5 4 (garoffalo j)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 3.69  
HOLD MY BOURBON 2 6 5 54   44 5 (reed r)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 5.83  
PRINCE OF POWER 6 5 66 68   6 610½ (vosler s)RIQUELME J 118 20.00 28.27  
SCR  SMOKEY SMOKEY               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00    
 
CD-6   06/13/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:213 :443 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TELL ME WHEN 3 4 21 1   13 14 (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 123 3.50 1.79  
BAYTOWN LOVELY 6 1 6 54   5 24 (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 118 3.00 4.18  
JE SUIS RAPIDE 4 2 43 3   23 34 (king l)RIQUELME J 123 5.00 5% 19.00 9.04 S
CRACKALACKING 2 5 11 2   33 4 (hamilton sarah)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 4.50 15% 5.70 8.89  
SPARKLE OF HOPE 1 6 3 4   44 5 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00 31% 2.20 1.51  
ADDICTED TO LOVE 5 3 54 6   6 6 (roggenkamp ed)MACHADO LUAN 123 12.00 15.11  
 
CD-7   06/13/2024 4950ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:104 1:224   1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEEK 2 5 2nk 1nk   1½ 1½ (arnold r)LANERIE J 124 3.00 47% 1.10 2.01 W
BOLD AMBITION 5 3 3½ 31   2½ 2½ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 2.05  
LOU'S LEGACY 1 1 5 5   53 3 (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 3.50 2.39  
ACCIDENT 4 4 41 4   43 4 (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 117 12.00 6% 16.70 8.15  
REMARKABLE MO 3 2 1nk 2nk   32 5 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 14% 6.00 5.70  
SCR  AIR IT OUT               (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00    
SCR  BADGE OF WAR               (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
SCR  FORCED ERRORS               (zito nichol)BEALMEAR C 111 12.00    
 
CD-8   06/13/2024 5940ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:123 1:361   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOVIN' ON UP 6 2 31 3 3 1nk 1 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 17% 4.80 4.02 W
SPARTAN QUEEN 1 4 1½ 11 1 2nk 2 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 3.41 P
MRS. ASTOR 5 5 42 4 5 3 3 (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 36% 1.80 1.23 S
ROBIN SAGE 4 6 6 65 6 4 4 (medina robert)TORRES A 124 20.00 30.08  
YARBOROUGH 2 3 52 5 43 5 5 (reed r)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 14.20  
11  TARNEEMA 7 7 75 7 7 6 612½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 22% 3.60 3.98  
EVITA 3 1 2½ 21 2 7 721½ (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 124 20.00 23.94  
SCR  BEST SELLER               (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00    
SCR  CAIRO STREET               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 12.00    
SCR  JANEY CREED               (hughes g)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
SCR  MARIA'S REVENGE               (sancal murat)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 20.00    
SCR  MO SHIRO               (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00    
SCR  WITS AND WAGERS               (oliver victo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.