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Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-1			EXA	(3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2)						12	$2.00	$24.00	5-6		$24.64			$0.64				3%
			TRI	(3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2)						24	$0.50	$12.00	5-6-3		$27.46			$15.46				129%
CD-3			WIN	(2/3/1)						3	$2.00	$6.00	3		$9.20			$3.20				53%
CD-6			EXA	(6/4/1/8)-(6/4/1/8)						12	$2.00	$24.00	6-8		$91.32			$67.32				281%
CD-8			EXA	(2/3/6/5/10)-(2/3/6/5/10)						20	$2.00	$40.00	6-3		$42.28			$2.28				6%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			05/23/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($66K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 5:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	WINDY WALK									(davis christop)ORTIZ L 118						2.50		19%		4.40		2.54	W
6	MALU									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124						3.00		19%		4.20		2.50	P
3	MITOLE'S LEGACY									(bush george)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						4.00		39%		1.60		4.70	S
1	MALAWNIA									(tomlinson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124						3.50						5.64
7	LADAN									(bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 124						8.00						10.41
2	HAYUNEVANO									(husak gary)HERNANDEZ J 124						10.00		5%		19.00		5.09
4	SHE'S A SAINT									(reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118						8.00						13.98

CD-2			05/23/2024		5940ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($10K)					Purse ($30K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	CURLINS INCHARGE									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125						2.00						1.50
3	AMERICAN RAIDER									(santamaria car)ASHTON GAVIN 125						3.00		36%		1.80		6.03	P
4	BLOOD BROTHER									(cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						2.50		20%		4.00		1.56	S
7	COAL BOSS									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125						5.00						6.72
5	VACCINATOR									(stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118						8.00		15%		5.70		10.52
6	SKY KEY									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118						15.00						27.64
1	STRICKLAND									(brennan te)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						12.00		5%		19.00		33.23

CD-3			05/23/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($75K)			4UP		M/F		PT- 5:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	COEXIST									(forster grant )ORTIZ L 118						3.50		16%		5.10		3.60	W
6	PUNCHY GIRL									(morse l)BEJARANO R 118						5.00						4.01
4	CENTER STAGE									(esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 120						3.00						2.67
1	KLIMT'S MUSE									(humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 118						4.00		8%		11.50		12.17
2	ALTERED SHOT									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						2.50		36%		1.80		1.23
SCR	YES DAY									(wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 118						6.00

CD-4			05/23/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($10K)					Purse ($32K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 6:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	COOL QUARTET									(d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 118						3.00		15%		5.80		1.57	W
5	ROYAL ACT									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120						4.50		7%		12.60		3.99	P
7	KHOZY MY BOY									(moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 118						6.00						9.26
4	RACKATAPTAP									(shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						15.00		5%		19.00		9.46
2	DREAMING OF SMARTY									(burton roger)BARBOSA CARLOS 113						20.00						19.46
9	KEEN ON YOU									(miller jer)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						30.00						67.27
6	SHORTLIST									(cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 118						4.00		39%		1.60		6.89
10	FERRYBOAT									(miller jero)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						10.00						18.94
1	COOL MEMORY									(joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.50		12%		7.40		5.73
8	JOB SECURITY									(stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 118						15.00						23.26

CD-5			05/23/2024		7260ft	DIRT	RC10	WET FAST	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 6:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	NEON ICON									(arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118						2.00		58%		0.70		0.56	W
4	VIVA LA RED									(biancone p)ASMUSSEN J 124						1.80		17%		5.00		2.25	P
3	CALL ME TONI									(hughes g)GRAHAM J 124						12.00						7.50
1	MARIA'S REVENGE									(sancal mura)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124						10.00		5%		19.00		17.05
6	ROBIN SAGE									(medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 124						5.00						9.57
SCR	JANEY CREED									(hughes g)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.50
SCR	MRS. ASTOR									(thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 124						1.40

CD-6			05/23/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	SLOPPY	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($68K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 7:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	WILLOW BEND									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123						2.50		48%		1.10		1.69	W
8	FRANGO ELECTRICO									(bahe)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123						10.00		5%		19.00		22.06	P
5	LITTLE SISTER SUE									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 123						8.00						2.96
2	JE SUIS RAPIDE									(king l)MOJICA JR 123						6.00						13.99
1	SPARKLE OF HOPE									(foley greg)ORTIZ L 123						3.50		6%		15.00		3.57
7	CRACKALACKING									(hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123						8.00						5.21
4	GORMLEY'S GABRIELA									(cash l)SAEZ LUIS 116						5.00		18%		4.40		9.08
SCR	PIONEER PARADE									(shorter a)TORRES A 123						6.00

CD-7			05/23/2024		5940ft	DIRT	RC7	SLOPPY	Claiming ($30K)					Purse ($54K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 7:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	JOINT VENTURE									(damato phili)TORRES A 124						8.00						5.87
1	GOLDEN PLATE									(ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						15.00						12.28
4	DR KRINGLE									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124						5.00		27%		2.80		5.24	S
7	PATROLMAN									(esquivel )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124						15.00		5%		19.00		17.01
2	WASHINGTON'S UNION									(sims a)BEJARANO R 124						5.00						10.15
6	YORK TAVERN									(sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 124						3.50						7.15
8	TIZZY INDY									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118						4.00		★				4.58
5	INTERLOCK EMPIRE									(shorter )SANTANA JR 124						10.00		5%		19.00		10.72
3	J T'S IMAGINATION									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						2.50		44%		1.30		2.34

CD-8			05/23/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC4	SLOPPY	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($58K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 8:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	BEELIEVE HER									(hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						6.00		10%		8.70		4.14	W
3	CANDY LOVER									(sharp joe)TORRES A 118						4.50		29%		2.50		3.96	P
9	BOLT ON THE ROCKS									(delima e)MACHADO LUAN 118						15.00						8.20
10	STAGFLATION									(baker james)GRAHAM J 125						12.00		5%		19.00		20.06
7	END OF INNOCENCE									(drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118						6.00						4.63
2	LOVELAND									(moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						2.50		32%		2.10		3.39
4	ADALENE									(salas felipe)MONCADA IRVING 108						30.00						43.30
8	HEDGE THESE BETS									(seglin e)RIQUELME J 125						30.00						41.57
5	RUBIA									(asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 125						4.00		5%		18.20		3.79
SCR	I'M THINKING									(dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 118						6.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.