The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Saturday - March 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (4/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.50 $6.50 -1.50
AQU-2   Win (2/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $13.00 -8.00
AQU-3   Win (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
AQU-4   Win (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 7.20
AQU-5   Win (2/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 -0.80
AQU-6   Win (1/5/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 1.40
AQU-7   Win (7/8/2/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -5.80
AQU-8   Win (4/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $111.00 -8.00
AQU-9   Win (10/11/8/1/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 -1.80

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   03/30/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) 2 3 1 1   12 11 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 3.00 17% 4.80 2.25 W
JOKING WAY 5 8 65 33   32 21 (romero jesus)RIVERA R 118 12.00 14.90  
EGO MAN 4 4 2 2   22 3 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 4.50 43% 1.30 4.50 S
GENTLEMAN JOE 7 1 44 4   45 4 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.50 13% 6.60 2.20  
RYAN'S CAT 6 6 5 55   5 5 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00 7.00  
HOLDTHEFLIGHT 8 2 811½ 711½   712½ 611½ (summers chad)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00 6.70  
OPTIC WAY 3 5 34 66   610½ 713¼ (barrera s)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 6% 14.90 14.40  
CO CONSPIRATOR 1 7 79 812½   817½ 817¾ (jones e)TORRES JOMAR 120 30.00 58.75  
 
AQU-2   03/30/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:233 :46 1:102 1:23   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SYNTHESIS 7 4 1nk 1nk 2nk 2nk 1¼ (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 118 4.50 5.50  
AGGREGATION 1 1 2nk 2nk 1nk 1nk 2¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 63% 0.60 0.65 P
POWER SEEKER 5 3 5 5 5 53 2¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 6% 15.80 9.60 P
WAKE SURF 2 2 42 3 3 3 4 (dutrow e)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00 6.20  
ALTERNATE REALITY 3 8 86 8 7 75 5 (chatterpaul n)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
CHAMPIONS DREAM 8 6 3 4 4 4 6 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 9.90  
DIVINE ARMOR 6 5 64 6 6 6 7 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 5.50  
AMERICAN LAW 4 7 7 7 8 88 813 (brown bruce )RIVERA R 120 8.00 6% 15.10 11.90  
 
AQU-3   03/30/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:111 1:234   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN BAY 1 3 1nk 1nk 13 1 1 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60 39% 1.60 1.60 W
MOVIE MOXY 3 6 4 41 23 2 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.80 2.00  
I'M BUZZY 4 1 52 5 4 3 3 (reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 113 4.00 4.40  
WARRIOR'S RANSOM 2 7 7 7 67 47 4 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 8.00 9% 9.70 13.40  
RUN DEVIL 7 2 2nk 2nk 5 68 5 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 16.70  
ROYAL WHISPER 6 4 3½ 3½ 33 58 614¼ (gorham michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 25% 3.10 5.30  
KILLY START 5 5 6 6 710½ 713½ 727¾ (contessa c)OLVER MADISON 118 30.00 63.00  
 
AQU-4   03/30/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEARD ON THESTREET 4 1 2½ 1nk   15 18 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00 5% 19.00 5.60 W
MR. GEORGIE 3 5 1½ 2nk   25 28 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 6.10  
CITIZEN MACK 9 9 6 7   310 3 (lucas bonnie)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 4.50 54% 0.90 3.25 S
ALPHA CAT 6 7 74 6   811¾ 411¼ (abreu jorge )RIVERA R 118 4.00 5.10  
CASTLECOVE SPIRIT 8 4 9 8   911¾ 511¼ (davis robbie)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 30.00 71.50  
MY MAN WOODY 10 2 8 9   410½ 612¼ (brown r)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 15.20  
1A  SHAKIN THE BELLE 7 3 4 54   510½ 713 (rodrigue)GRISALES DANILO 125 6.00 5.00  
RUDY RUDY RUDY 2 6 5 4   611 814¾ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 5.00  
MODEL S 5 8 32 33   711¼ 921½ (belsoeur)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 15.00 33.00  
THE ELUSIVE DRWONG 1 10 1012¾ 1019¼   1021¾ 1021¾ (kimmel joh)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 3.50 24% 3.20 3.20  
 
AQU-5   03/30/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLONEL VARGO 1 5 2 2   1½ 1½ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 25% 3.00 2.60 W
2B  PRINTRACK 5 2 1 1   2½ 2½ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.20 47% 1.10 1.50 P
BIG ENGINE 4 6 8 610½   57 3 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.50 8% 12.20 2.65 S
ICY REPLY 7 4 45 5   3 47 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 113 15.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
1A  PASCHAL MOON 8 1 5 47   4 5 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 120 8.00 26.00  
FIRST DEPUTY 3 8 78 711   810 611½ (rodriguez rud)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 1.20 1.50  
BOURBON'S HOPE 6 3 6 811   7 711½ (jones eduar)CAMACHO JR 118 12.00 19.70  
POPPY'S PRIDE 2 7 3 36   6 812 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 9.80  
SCR  DONTBELATE               (englehart jerem)OLVER MADISON 118 12.00    
SCR  PERSISTENT DANGER               (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00    
 
AQU-6   03/30/2024 7260ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:59
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:13 1:373 2:032 2:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SITTIN ON GO 5 11 11 1 1 13 1 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.50 25% 3.00 3.70 W
COMPLETE AGENDA 6 31 21 2 2 23 2 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 9.60  
RUNGIUS 1 21 3 3 32 3 3 (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 35% 1.90 1.05 S
MAJESTIC FRONTIER 2 43 4 4 44 4 415 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00 8.20  
SIX PERCENT 4 54 55 55 56 510½ 517½ (rodriguez rud)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 10.00 13.10  
STRONG LIGHT 3 7 78 78 712½ 617 620¼ (samsundar ro)RIVERA R 118 50.00 48.50  
11  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 8 66 6 6 611½ 718½ 727 (tosca)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 8.00 8% 11.30 5.30  
BOLD VICTORY 7 88 89 8 813 825½ 835¼ (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 8% 11.00 18.20  
SCR  CHELONIAN               (gaudet lacey)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
SCR  IRON WORKS               (goberdhan chand)OLVER MADISON 118 12.00    
SCR  MAMA'S GOLD               (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00    
 
AQU-7   03/30/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:101     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC SEAPORT 7 3 2½ 2nk   18 111¼ (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 2.00 46% 1.20 1.10 W
SUE ELLEN MISHKIN 2 6 1½ 1nk   3 211¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 13% 6.70 2.45 P
A NEW PEACE 5 8 7 5   510 311¼ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 15.00 13.50  
CARROLL GIRL 1 7 4 7   613 413 (gorham michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
11  JACKIE THE JOKER 10 2 5 41   410 513¼ (ferraro jame)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 15.00 21.10  
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 3 9 911¾ 1015¼   914¾ 614 (figueroa carlos)RUIZ ELISEO 113 50.00 73.50  
WATCH YOUR TONE 4 10 1013¾ 914¾   814½ 714¼ (gaudet lacey)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 6% 17.00 20.30  
JACKSON'S DIXIE 8 4 32 3½   28 814½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 15% 5.60 6.20  
10  LIBERTY FLAME 9 1 6 67   714 914¾ (bernardini juan)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 16.10  
RUVIES IN TIME 6 5 8 8   1018¼ 1021¾ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 118 20.00 77.00  
SCR  GRINGOTTS               (samsundar rosh)HARKIE K 118 50.00    
 
AQU-8   03/30/2024 5940ft DIRT FAST Excelsior Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:104 1:361   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MESSIER 5 6 31 31 21 1 11 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50 18% 4.40 2.25 DQ↓2
LAUGHING BOY 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 2 21 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 122 20.00 54.50  
KUCHAR 3 4 5 42 3 3 3 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 9.40  
QUALITY CHIC 7 8 8 75 65 4 4 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.50 6% 14.90 5.60  
KINETIC SKY 4 3 7 53 5 58 5 (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 41% 1.40 2.55  
CURBSTONE 8 7 62 86 811 616 614 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 12.20  
OLYMPIC DREAMS 6 5 4 63 7 716 714¼ (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 13% 6.60 4.20  
ROCCO STRONG 2 2 2½ 2½ 42 817 824 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 12.00  
 
AQU-9   03/30/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:46
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:093 1:222   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARGIN OF AIR 6 1 21 21 21 1½ 1 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 4.00 13% 7.00 3.10 W
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT 1 5 11 11 11 2½ 2 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 9% 10.10 5.80 P
12  NIGHT EFFECT 9 3 31 31 31 34 3 (samsundar )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00 26.00  
10  MAGICAL WAYS 7 8 9 8 5 47 48 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.00 40% 1.50 3.05  
STORMING CHROME 3 6 43 4 46 58 510 (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 30.00  
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 2 9 6 5 6 69 611¼ (morley thomas)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 6.20  
13  KAZ SUGAR BANK 10 4 10 1011¼ 914¾ 911 712½ (synnefias dimitr)TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00 20.40  
TETSU 5 7 7 7 7 710 813¾ (diprima gregory)LUZZI J 118 15.00 20.10  
11  LOOKIN AT ROSES 8 2 5 910¼ 1016¾ 1013 914 (preciado guadalup)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 15% 5.70 4.20  
CENTAVO 4 10 8 6 8 810½ 1014¼ (chatterpaul n)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 15.00 14.70  
SCR  KHAFRE               (handal raym)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
SCR  KINGDOM               (jacobso)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 8.00    
SCR  OVERLY CRITICAL               (jones e)ADORNO ABNER 123 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.