Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - March 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/7/3)-(2/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7/3)-(2/5/6/4)-(1/6/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4)-(2/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/4)-(1/6/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/4)-(1/6/2/7)-(8/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/7)-(8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/7)-(8/2/4)-(2/3/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/4)-(8/2/4/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4)-(8/2/4/9/6)-(8/2/4/9/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/2/4)-(2/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4)-(2/3/6/8)-(1/5/7/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/8)-(1/5/7/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/8)-(1/5/7/11)-(7/8/2/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/5/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/11)-(1/5/7/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/11)-(1/5/7/11)-(1/5/7/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/11)-(7/8/2/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/11)-(7/8/2/4/1)-(4/5/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/8/2/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/4/1)-(7/8/2/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/4/1)-(7/8/2/4/1)-(7/8/2/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/2/4/1)-(4/5/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2/4/1)-(4/5/6/7)-(10/11/8/1/13) 100 $1.00 $100 
AQU-8   WIN (4/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/7)-(10/11/8/1/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-9   WIN (10/11/8/1/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/11/8/1/13)-(10/11/8/1/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/11/8/1/13)-(10/11/8/1/13)-(10/11/8/1/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CO CONSPIRATOR Mar10 Mar02 Feb23 Jan28 Jan05 (jones eduardo )TORRES JOMAR 120 30.00    
2  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Feb04 Jan12 Nov26 Nov03 Oct19 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 3.00 17% 4.80    
3  OPTIC WAY Mar16 Feb03 Jan04 Nov26 Mar25 (barrera s)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 6% 14.90    
4  EGO MAN Feb27 Feb11 Jan10 Dec09 Nov07 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 4.50 43% 1.30    
5  JOKING WAY Mar16 Feb02 Dec16 Nov02 Oct13 (romero jes)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
6  RYAN'S CAT Mar10 Feb03 Jan07 Dec30 Dec07 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00    
7  GENTLEMAN JOE Mar16 Jan12 Dec10 May04 Apr01 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.50 13% 6.60    
8  HOLDTHEFLIGHT Feb18 Jan31 Dec04 Nov07 Oct09 (summers cha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00    
 
AQU-2   03/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE ARMOR Feb25 Feb03 Jan12 Dec29 Nov26 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50    
1A  SYNTHESIS Mar07 Feb23 Dec29 Dec02 Nov17 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 118 4.50    
2  AGGREGATION Jan28 Dec29 Nov19 Oct04 Aug23 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 63% 0.60    
3  WAKE SURF Feb23 Dec31 Nov12 Oct06 Sep02 (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00    
4  ALTERNATE REALITY Mar16 Mar01 Feb25 Jan27 Jan12 (chatterpaul)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  AMERICAN LAW Feb10 Dec30 Dec02 Nov09 Oct06 (brown bruc)RIVERA R 120 8.00 6% 15.10    
6  POWER SEEKER Feb23 Feb02 Dec29 Dec02 Oct26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 6% 15.80    
7  CHAMPIONS DREAM Feb25 Jan27 Aug26 Mar11 Feb11 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
 
AQU-3   03/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN BAY Mar24 Mar14 Feb19 Dec28 Dec03 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60 39% 1.60    
2  WARRIOR'S RANSOM Mar13 Mar02 Jan31 Dec23 Nov25 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 8.00 9% 9.70    
3  MOVIE MOXY Feb25 Feb10 Dec01 Jun24 Jun16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.80    
4  I'M BUZZY Feb29 Feb09 Jan19 Jan11 Dec14 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 113 4.00    
5  KILLY START Jan11 Dec23 Oct29 Sep16 Sep06 (contessa gary)OLVER MADISON 118 30.00    
6  ROYAL WHISPER Mar16 Mar01 Jan28 Dec23 Dec10 (gorham mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 25% 3.10    
7  RUN DEVIL Mar01 Feb09 Jan14 Jan04 Nov30 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   03/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUDY RUDY RUDY Feb25 Feb02 Dec10 Nov02 Oct07 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
1A  SHAKIN THE BELLE Jul30 Jul02 Jun04 May27   (rodrig)GRISALES DANILO 125 6.00    
2  THE ELUSIVE DRWONG Nov24 Oct22 Sep28 Aug23   (kimmel j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  MR. GEORGIE Mar10         (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
4  HEARD ON THESTREET Mar03 Feb10 Jan12     (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  MODEL S Feb10 Dec16 Nov26 Nov05   (belsoe)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 15.00    
6  ALPHA CAT Feb25         (abreu jorg)RIVERA R 118 4.00 ★    
7  CASTLECOVE SPIRIT Mar10 Feb02 Nov02 Sep22 Aug26 (davis robb)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 30.00    
8  CITIZEN MACK Mar14 Jan14 Nov24 Mar18 Feb03 (lucas bonni)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 4.50 54% 0.90    
9  MY MAN WOODY Mar10 Feb25 Feb02 Jan12 Nov30 (brown r)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-5   03/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PASCHAL MOON Mar24 Mar09 Feb23 Jan28 Jan06 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
SCR  PERSISTENT DANGER Mar24 Feb23 Jan25 Dec08 Nov14 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00    
2  FIRST DEPUTY Mar17 Feb25 Jan18 Jan06 Dec09 (rodriguez r)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 1.20    
2B  PRINTRACK Mar03 Feb04 Jan07 Dec09 Nov03 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.20 47% 1.10    
3  COLONEL VARGO Mar17 Jan18 Jan08 Dec15 Nov24 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  DONTBELATE Feb25 Feb10 Dec30 Dec09 Dec01 (englehart jer)OLVER MADISON 118 12.00    
5  POPPY'S PRIDE Feb04 Dec29 Dec07 Nov03 Oct14 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
6  BIG ENGINE Mar03 Feb16 Jan12 Jan04 Dec09 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.50 8% 12.20    
7  BOURBON'S HOPE Mar09 Mar03 Feb19 Jan27 Jan12 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 118 12.00    
8  ICY REPLY Mar15 Feb29 Feb09 Jan05 Dec14 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   03/30/2024 7260ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNGIUS Mar01 Feb02 Jan12 Nov12 Oct12 (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
2  MAJESTIC FRONTIER Mar17 Feb18 Jan26 Oct23 Sep25 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 5.00    
3  STRONG LIGHT Mar08 Feb18 Feb10 Jan13 Dec31 (samsundar )RIVERA R 118 50.00    
4  SIX PERCENT Mar16 Feb04 Dec09 Nov30 Oct22 (rodriguez r)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 10.00    
5  SITTIN ON GO Mar07 Jan27 Jan04 Dec22 Dec10 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.50 25% 3.00    
6  COMPLETE AGENDA Mar08 Feb29 Jan13 Jan01 Dec07 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
7  BOLD VICTORY Mar16 Feb16 Jan04 Nov30 Oct22 (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  MAMA'S GOLD Feb24 Jan27 Jan13 Dec03 Oct20 (summer)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00    
SCR  CHELONIAN Mar17 Mar01 Feb02 Dec31 Nov03 (gaudet lacey)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
SCR  IRON WORKS Mar02 Feb03 Jan01 Nov26 Nov11 (goberdhan cha)OLVER MADISON 118 12.00    
11  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Mar16 Feb10 Jan26 Jan07 Dec02 (tos)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 8.00 8% 11.30    
 
AQU-7   03/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARROLL GIRL Feb14 Jan12 Nov03 Sep28 Aug24 (gorham mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Jan19 Dec31 Dec08 Nov10 Sep28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 13% 6.70    
3  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Mar01 Feb02 Jan14 Jan07 Nov30 (figueroa carlos)RUIZ ELISEO 113 50.00    
4  WATCH YOUR TONE Mar03 Feb11 Dec31 Dec10 Mar18 (gaudet lacey)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 6% 17.00    
5  A NEW PEACE Feb09 Jan19 Jan12 Nov26 Oct14 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 15.00    
6  RUVIES IN TIME Mar10 Feb29 Feb03 Sep09 Aug12 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
7  MYSTIC SEAPORT Feb04 Dec23 Dec10 Nov17 Oct26 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
8  JACKSON'S DIXIE Mar17 Mar02 Feb11 Dec29 Dec15 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  GRINGOTTS Mar22 Feb02 Jan07 Nov24 Nov09 (samsundar ro)HARKIE K 118 50.00    
10  LIBERTY FLAME Mar16 Mar02 Feb19 Jan05 Dec08 (bernardini ju)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
11  JACKIE THE JOKER Mar15 Feb09 Jan11 Jan04 Dec07 (ferraro ja)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 15.00    
 
AQU-8   03/30/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Excelsior Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUGHING BOY Mar02 Jan26 Jan07 Nov22 Nov08 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122 20.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of APPLAUDING by CONGRATS)
2  ROCCO STRONG Mar01 Jan27 Dec17 Dec02 Oct21 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MY SECRET BROOK by MONTBROOK)
3  KUCHAR Mar01 Feb03 Aug28 Jul21 May19 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of STREET GIRL by STREET HERO)
4  KINETIC SKY Mar02 Feb03 Dec31 Dec28 Nov17 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SKY AMERICA by SKY MESA)
5  MESSIER Jan27 Dec07 Jan28 Dec26 Nov05 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.50 18% 4.40    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of CHECKERED PAST by PASS CATCHER)
6  OLYMPIC DREAMS Mar21 Feb23 Jan26 Jan07 Nov30 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 13% 6.60    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of KIROV by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  QUALITY CHIC Mar21 Mar02 Jan26 Dec31 Dec10 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.50 6% 14.90    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CHICA BOOM CHIC by TAPIT)
8  CURBSTONE Feb25 Jul21 May28 Mar31 Feb26 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of ARCHSTONE by ARCH)
 
AQU-9   03/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Feb02 Dec09 Nov12 Oct28 Oct09 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 9% 10.10    
2  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Feb29 Feb04 Dec03 Nov04 Oct04 (morley thomas)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00    
3  STORMING CHROME Mar08 Feb11 Jan07 Dec10 Nov18 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
SCR  OVERLY CRITICAL Feb21 Feb07 Jan05 Dec16 Dec05 (jones michael )ADORNO ABNER 123 20.00    
SCR  KHAFRE Mar07 Feb02 Dec31 Nov16 Sep14 (handal ra)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
6  CENTAVO Mar22 Mar01 Feb11 Jan27 Jan12 (chatterpaul)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 118 15.00    
7  TETSU Feb19 Feb09 Dec29 Dec02 Nov12 (diprima gregor)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
8  MARGIN OF AIR Mar15 Feb12 Jan10 Dec04 Nov07 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 4.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  KINGDOM Mar15 Feb10 Dec17 Dec01 Nov11 (jacob)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 8.00    
10  MAGICAL WAYS Mar22 Feb24 Jan27 Dec30 Nov09 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
11  LOOKIN AT ROSES Jan31 Nov26 Nov03 Oct09 Sep21 (preciado guadal)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 15% 5.70    
12  NIGHT EFFECT Mar09 Feb11 Jan27 Jan14 Nov03 (samsunda)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
13  KAZ SUGAR BANK Feb11 Jan27 Dec30 Dec07 Nov08 (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.