The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - March 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/6/8/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $27.40 -10.00
PEN-2   Win (5/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $7.40 -8.00
PEN-3   Win (8/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
PEN-4   Win (4/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -2.20
PEN-5   Win (1/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $18.80 $18.80 10.80
PEN-6   Win (9/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $11.00 $11.00 3.00
PEN-7   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -0.80

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:142 1:274   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSY BOOTS 4 3 5 52 4 1nk 12 (morgan carl)HERNANDEZ A 123 15.00 12.70  
HURRICANE BON 3 1 31 31 2 322 (lawrence jame)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00 5% 19.00 2.80 P
SUMMERSATTHESHORE 6 2 2nk 2nk 1 2nk 3(linder jr)OCASIO M 123 3.50 27% 2.70 7.60 S
ZIFFY BUG 8 9 7 7 5 44(stites fli)DAVIS A 123 3.00 10% 9.20 3.00  
FOXEY G 5 5 1nk 1nk 32 512½ 518¼ (kravets )SMITH DANIEL 118 15.00 6.70  
SHE'SACHUBBLEMAKER 1 4 8 812½ 813½ 817¾ 619 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00 36% 1.80 6.40  
CHEERFUL TROUT 7 7 6 65 7 717½ 720½ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 123 12.00 21.30  
DREAMERY 9 8 4 4 6 615½ 821 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.50 5% 19.00 4.20  
LOOKING FANCY 2 6 911¼ 913½ 918 924¾ 932¼ (crane clovis)CORA D 123 15.00 ######  
 
PEN-2   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA PRIMA 8 4 1nk 11   13 1(rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 2.70  
CHLOE ROSE 3 7 6 43   42(kreiser timothy )TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00 21% 3.70 3.00 P
MELODIOUS SINGER 5 1 3½ 31   33 3(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 43% 1.30 1.40 S
SMOOTH PEBBLE 4 3 2nk 21   23 46 (alvarado di)HERNANDEZ F 122 5.00 11% 8.50 12.40  
HONORABLE LILLY 2 5 53 5   56 5(sells rach)DAVIS A 122 6.00 8.60  
BOSS CARA 6 6 7 6   610 6(rodriguez migu)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 19.00  
RUN LAURA RUN 7 2 4 7   711 710¾ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 10.00 27.00  
EARLY FROST 1 8 8 810¼   816 819¼ (ippolito)SMITH DANIEL 117 50.00 64.60  
 
PEN-3   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:221 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAZINGA D 8 1 1½ 11   11(beattie tod)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 65% 0.50 2.60 W
CITIZEN MACK 4 5 5 55   42(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 11% 7.80 2.60 P
UNCLE GEORGY 2 2 2½ 21   236 (meister willi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.00 4.80 S
FILTHY RICH 6 9 31 3   34(murillo ricar)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00 4.40  
BE THE MUSIC 5 3 4 44   57 510½ (o'callahan carl)ROJAS MARTINA 119 15.00 16.20  
RUNAWAYTOTHEMOON 7 4 6 68   610 611¼ (stites w)CORA D 124 10.00 39.50  
WE'RE EVEN 9 7 9 910   710¼ 711½ (stites wil)DAVIS A 124 15.00 34.60  
GOTTA HAVE HEART 1 6 7 79   814¼ 816½ (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00 5% 19.00 30.10  
DAVE DID IT 3 8 8 8   916¼ 919½ (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 12.00 15.10  
11  CINCO BONITO 10 10 10 1019   1029¼ 1034 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 12.00 9.70  
SCR  BRADY               (rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00    
 
PEN-4   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 4 2 22 2   116 (wadams j)CORA D 124 3.50 30% 2.30 1.90 W
DIANE 7 5 43 32   326 (alvarado di)HERNANDEZ F 124 10.00 12% 7.00 3.00 P
JOYFUL DEPARTURE 5 4 3 4   47 3(grusmark karl)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 10.00  
HARD TO CATCH 3 6 5 56   57 49 (fields kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 119 3.00 20% 4.00 2.50  
PRINCESS WIGGY 6 1 12 1   2510¾ (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
SECRET SPELL 1 3 7 6   611 618¾ (zalalas mi)DAVIS A 124 4.00 9.70  
CLASSICALCROSSOVER 2 7 65 78   714 722 (salinas jose)FLORES E 124 15.00 40.60  
SCR  TREASURE PEACE               (brown howa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 4.50    
 
PEN-5   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :452 :572     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS MIA 7 1 2½ 1nk   111 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.40 W
CHAPA 1 2 3 31   321 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.50 49% 1.00 3.60 P
MOONBOOTS 5 5 4 2nk   23(morgan carla)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 10.00 13.20  
MARY Q 6 8 10 6   54(moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 3.00 15% 5.90 2.20  
10  PHANCY PHILLY 10 6 64 5   45(beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00 31.80  
ARROGANTE 2 9 7 7   66(moreno tito)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 8.00 29.40  
GIRVINIZED 9 10 9 9   811¼ 713 (allen ferris)MENA E 120 6.00 3.60  
WARRIOR'S DEFENSE 4 3 1½ 4   7814½ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 12% 7.50 3.60  
OLIVIA DEE 8 4 52 8   915¼ 922½ (martin charle)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00 ######  
SURPRISINGLY SWEET 3 7 8 1012¼   1019¼ 1027¾ (bennett juan)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 15.00 ######  
SCR  DWELLER               (kulp l)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
SCR  EQUISTAR               (servis c)PENNINGTON F 120 6.00    
 
PEN-6   03/14/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:134 1:403   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRICKET WEST 6 2 2 21 1nk 1½ 1¼ (morzan e)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00 17% 5.00 4.50 W
SPECTACULLARI 7 3 4 4 3 2½ 2¼ (beattie todd )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 45% 1.20 3.40 P
SWITCHRATTLENROLL 1 4 67 6 5 56 3(zalalas mi)DAVIS A 124 8.00 15.30  
MIKEY'S JEWEL 2 6 55 53 4 46 4(salinas jose)FLORES E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
SERENE WARRIOR 3 1 1 11 2nk 31 511½ (beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 11% 7.80 0.80  
KESTENNA (GB) 4 7 7 78 711 613 616¾ (morzan e)AGUILAR M 124 15.00 51.10  
JUSTIN TIME 5 5 33 3 68 715 719 (moreno tito)ROJAS MARTINA 124 8.00 15.20  
SCR  GOLDEN LAW               (bentley )SMITH DANIEL 119 15.00    
SCR  HELLO GRACIE               (kreiser c)CORA D 124 4.00    
 
PEN-7   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:252 :491 1:14 1:271   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GURT'S WARRIOR 5 1 1½ 1½ 11 11(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.60 67% 0.50 0.60 W
PRACTICALLYMINE 1 8 7 67 6 32(truehart jennifer)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 4.90 P
LOUIE'S HEAT 8 3 2½ 2½ 21 233 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 12.00 6.50 S
SILK PRINCE 3 4 5 32 33 44(rose orlando)CORA D 124 6.00 5.40  
HE'S FANCY FREE 2 2 42 5 4 559 (albright g)DAVIS A 124 12.00 30.90  
HE AROSE 7 7 8 810½ 710¾ 712½ 612½ (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 10.00 27.70  
SUPE 6 5 3 4 5 6717½ (rodriguez migu)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 8.00 5% 19.00 29.80  
QUACKENBUSH 4 6 64 7 810¾ 816½ 820¼ (martin jr)AGUILAR M 124 10.00 24.10  
SCR  WATERMELON CRUSH               (wadams j)RODRIGUEZ E 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.