Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Thursday - March 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/6/8/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
PEN-2   Win (5/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-3   Win (8/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-4   Win (4/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-5   Win (1/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-6   Win (9/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-7   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'SACHUBBLEMAKER Feb29 Jan31 Dec20     (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00 36% 1.80    
LOOKING FANCY Feb29 Feb09       (crane clovis)CORA D 123 15.00    
HURRICANE BON Feb14 Feb01 Jan11 Nov22 Oct26 (lawrence jame)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOSSY BOOTS Nov23 Aug10 Jul22     (morgan carla)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 15.00    
FOXEY G Feb29 Dec20       (kravets )SMITH DANIEL 118 15.00    
SUMMERSATTHESHORE Feb21 Jan30 Dec20 Nov15   (linder jr)OCASIO M 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
CHEERFUL TROUT Feb29 Feb01 Aug23     (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 123 12.00    
ZIFFY BUG Feb29 Feb04 Jan11 Nov22 Nov09 (stites fli)DAVIS A 123 3.00 10% 9.20    
DREAMERY Jan31 Jan11 Nov20 Aug12 Jul27 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.50 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-2   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EARLY FROST Feb29 Feb02 Dec22 Nov22 Oct27 (ippolito)SMITH DANIEL 117 50.00    
HONORABLE LILLY Feb19 Jan11 Jul11 Jun19 May16 (sells rach)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
CHLOE ROSE Feb29 Jan26 Jan10 Nov30 Nov04 (kreiser timothy )TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
SMOOTH PEBBLE Feb18 Dec10 Aug12 Jun15 Mar11 (alvarado di)HERNANDEZ F 122 5.00 11% 8.50    
MELODIOUS SINGER Feb29 Nov02 Oct06 Sep06 Jul28 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
BOSS CARA Feb19 Feb06 Dec27 Nov22 Oct23 (rodriguez migu)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
RUN LAURA RUN Feb23 Feb09 Jan10 Dec07 Nov09 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 10.00    
BELLA PRIMA Feb28 Jan28 Nov22 Oct09 Aug18 (rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50    
 
PEN-3   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOTTA HAVE HEART Dec14 Nov24       (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
UNCLE GEORGY Feb22 Dec14 Nov03     (meister willi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.00    
DAVE DID IT         (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 12.00    
CITIZEN MACK Jan14 Nov24 Mar18 Feb03 Aug13 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00 11% 7.80    
BE THE MUSIC         (o'callahan carl)ROJAS MARTINA 119 15.00    
FILTHY RICH Feb22         (murillo ricar)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00    
RUNAWAYTOTHEMOON May19         (stites w)CORA D 124 10.00    
BAZINGA D Feb22 Feb07 Jan19 Dec14 Oct13 (beattie tod)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 65% 0.50    
WE'RE EVEN         (stites wil)DAVIS A 124 15.00    
SCR  BRADY Feb22 Jan19 Nov17 Oct24 Oct12 (rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00    
11  CINCO BONITO         (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 12.00    
 
PEN-4   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET SPELL Feb22 Jan24 Dec28 Dec14   (zalalas mi)DAVIS A 124 4.00    
CLASSICALCROSSOVER Feb07 Dec14 Nov17 Oct26 Oct05 (salinas jose)FLORES E 124 15.00    
HARD TO CATCH Feb22 Feb07 Nov01 Sep16 Aug13 (fields kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 119 3.00 20% 4.00    
CAUSE I'M ELEGANT Feb22 Jan24 Dec28 Nov29 Nov01 (wadams j)CORA D 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
JOYFUL DEPARTURE Feb22 Jan24 Dec28 Dec14 Oct25 (grusmark karl)AGUILAR M 124 6.00    
PRINCESS WIGGY Sep13 Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 Jul06 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
DIANE Jan27 Jan13       (alvarado diane)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 10.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  TREASURE PEACE Jan29 Jan03 Dec19     (brown howa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 4.50    
 
PEN-5   03/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAPA Feb02 Dec20 Nov29 Sep22 Aug24 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.50 49% 1.00    
ARROGANTE Feb02 Dec20 Nov29 Nov17 Oct27 (moreno tito)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 8.00    
SURPRISINGLY SWEET Nov08 Jul05 Jun07 May19 Dec28 (bennett juan)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 15.00    
WARRIOR'S DEFENSE Mar01         (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 12% 7.50    
MOONBOOTS Feb02 Nov24 Oct18 Sep19 Jun10 (morgan carla)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 10.00    
MARY Q Nov14 Oct02 Jan24 Nov29 Nov09 (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 3.00 15% 5.90    
ALWAYS MIA Feb29 Feb02 Jan03 Dec18 Nov20 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
OLIVIA DEE Feb02 Aug25 Aug03     (martin charle)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00    
GIRVINIZED Feb08 Jan24 Dec28 Nov16 Oct25 (allen ferris)MENA E 120 6.00    
10  PHANCY PHILLY Feb29 Dec13 Nov30 Nov15 Oct27 (beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00    
SCR  DWELLER Apr28 Mar16 Feb24 Jan26 Jan12 (kulp l)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
SCR  EQUISTAR Jan04 Dec12 Nov23     (servis c)PENNINGTON F 120 6.00    
 
PEN-6   03/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWITCHRATTLENROLL Feb29 Jan31 Jan10 Dec15 Nov08 (zalalas mi)DAVIS A 124 8.00    
MIKEY'S JEWEL Feb29 Feb09 Jan31 Jan10 Nov24 (salinas jose)FLORES E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDEN LAW Feb29 Feb12 Dec06 Nov25 Oct14 (bentley )SMITH DANIEL 119 15.00    
SERENE WARRIOR Feb29 Feb02 Dec07 Nov24 Sep14 (beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 11% 7.80    
KESTENNA (GB) Feb23 Dec07 Oct25 Oct15 Jul21 (morzan e)AGUILAR M 124 15.00    
JUSTIN TIME Jan10 Nov24 Nov08 Aug18 Jul14 (moreno tito)RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00    
CRICKET WEST Jan31 Jan18 Dec13 Nov30 Nov13 (morzan e)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  HELLO GRACIE Feb09 Jan24 Dec21 Nov22 Nov01 (kreiser c)CORA D 124 4.00    
SPECTACULLARI Jun15 Apr28 Mar10 Feb09 Dec07 (beattie todd )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
PEN-7   03/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRACTICALLYMINE Jan26 Dec20 Nov15 Oct13 Sep04 (truehart jennifer)BEATO INOEL 124 3.00    
HE'S FANCY FREE Mar01 Jul19 Jun28 May26 May05 (albright g)DAVIS A 124 12.00    
SILK PRINCE Mar01 Feb16 Jan10 Dec20 Dec01 (rose orlando)CORA D 124 6.00    
QUACKENBUSH Mar01 Mar10 Jan19 Jan01 Dec03 (martin jr)AGUILAR M 124 10.00    
GURT'S WARRIOR Feb29 Jan26 Jan10 Nov08 Oct27 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.60 67% 0.50    
SUPE Feb28 Feb16 Apr01 Mar19 Feb19 (rodriguez migu)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
HE AROSE Feb29 Jan26 Jan12 Dec21 Dec07 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 10.00    
LOUIE'S HEAT Feb29 Jan26 Jan12 Dec21 Nov09 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 12.00    
SCR  WATERMELON CRUSH Feb29 Jan26 Jan12 Dec21 Nov22 (wadams j)RODRIGUEZ E 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.