The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Penn National
Wednesday - February 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
PEN-1   Win (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00
PEN-2   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
PEN-3   Win (1/5/10/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 -1.80
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   02/14/2024 3630ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  I KNOW MAP 2 5 52¼ 42½   1nk 1½ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 118 2.50 29% 2.50 2.00 W
8  NUEDORF 7 1 1½ 11   2nk 2½ (padilla hugo)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 6.00 11.30  
7  HAMMER 6 3 4¾ 21   31 3½ (gazzier kristy)ROJAS MARTINA 113 6.00 12% 7.20 5.20 S
1  COOL IN BLUE 1 4 2½ 31½   41½ 41¼ (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 118 2.00 30% 2.30 0.90  
4  OUR ANDREW B 4 6 63¾ 65   56½ 57¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 8.00 21.20  
5  DEVINE FLAMEAWAY 5 2 3½ 54   67½ 611 (penaloza mig)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 8.00 28.00  
3  TAPORICAL 3 7 78¼ 710   711½ 714 (o'callahan carl)TORRES JOMAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 28.70  
SCR  DESTINANO               (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 118 10.00    
 
PEN-2   02/14/2024 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:12 1:381   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EMIRATES AFFAIR 3 1 11½ 11 1½ 12½ 15½ (mosco robe)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 34% 1.90 1.10 W
5  ABIDALE 4 3 33 33½ 34½ 34½ 25½ (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.00 33% 2.00 2.20 P
1  CARROLL GIRL 1 2 21½ 21 2½ 22½ 36¾ (gorham e)MENA E 120 2.50 2.50  
6  ANNA ROCKS 5 4 57½ 57 58 49½ 415¼ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
3  REACHING STRIDE 2 5 47½ 47 48 59½ 516¾ (morzan jav)DAVIS A 120 15.00 23.60  
SCR  AMATERASU               (noble james)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
 
PEN-3   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SUPER DUPER FLY 9 3 11 12½   13½ 11¼ (salvaggio v)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 11% 8.30 3.10 W
9  NO MORE DIAMONDS 8 4 41½ 22½   23½ 21¼ (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 113 6.00 3.20  
2  MASKED HEROINE 2 6 62½ 43½   35 35½ (o'callahan ca)INIRIO J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 26.70 S
5  OUT OF AMMO 4 7 75 54½   45 46¾ (mcclellan e)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 13% 6.90 3.00  
3  BALI MOON 3 9 99¼ 98½   77¾ 57 (alvarado diane)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 5% 19.00 3.70  
6  LIL H 5 1 52 65   56 69¾ (cifarelli )DAVIS A 115 30.00 32.80  
8  HIGHWAY QUEEN 7 2 31½ 33½   66¼ 711¾ (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00 17.90  
1  MUGURUZA 1 8 85¼ 86½   88¾ 814½ (morzan e)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 47% 1.10 8.60  
7  NADIABIZNIZ 6 5 21 75½   99¼ 916 (cooper stacey)CORA D 120 20.00 17.90  
SCR  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT               (crook-demasi )INIRIO J 120 4.00    
SCR  SANSA ARIEL               (gorham michae)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.