Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - February 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/3)-(4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/3)-(4/5/6)-(1/5/10/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(1/5/10/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(1/5/10/3/2)-(2/8/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-3   WIN (1/5/10/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/10/3/2)-(1/5/10/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/10/3/2)-(1/5/10/3/2)-(1/5/10/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/10/3/2)-(2/8/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/10/3/2)-(2/8/5/1)-(5/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/1)-(2/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/1)-(2/8/5/1)-(2/8/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/5/1)-(5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5/1)-(5/4)-(1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(1/2/7)-(3/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(3/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(3/1/7/4)-(4/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/4)-(4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-8   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL IN BLUE Dec30 Dec01 Nov10     (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 118 2.00 30% 2.30    
2  I KNOW MAP Dec22 Nov24 Oct26     (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
3  TAPORICAL Jan19 Dec15 Nov30 Nov01 Oct19 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  OUR ANDREW B Jan26 Dec15 Dec01 Sep06 Aug21 (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 8.00    
5  DEVINE FLAMEAWAY Jan26 Jan09 Dec20 Dec06 Nov28 (penaloza m)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 8.00    
SCR  DESTINANO Jan18 Dec20       (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 118 10.00    
7  HAMMER Jan13 Dec01 Nov09 Oct20 Sep14 (gazzier krist)ROJAS MARTINA 113 6.00 12% 7.20    
8  NUEDORF Jan09 Dec19 Nov28 Nov06 Oct10 (padilla o)RUIZ ELISEO 113 6.00    
 
PEN-2   02/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARROLL GIRL Jan12 Nov03 Sep28 Aug24 Jul15 (gorham michael )MENA E 120 2.50    
SCR  AMATERASU Oct25 Sep12 Jul05 Jun12 Mar15 (noble jam)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
3  REACHING STRIDE Feb01 Nov21 Oct30 Oct17 Oct01 (morzan j)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
4  EMIRATES AFFAIR Jan08 Dec16 Nov21 Oct24 Sep19 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
5  ABIDALE Jan24 Jan08 Nov27 Oct25 Sep14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
6  ANNA ROCKS Oct27 Sep14 Aug19 Jun21 May19 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUGURUZA May06 Mar17 Feb17 Jan27 Jan04 (morzan e)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
2  MASKED HEROINE Jan31 Dec28 Dec14 Nov17 Oct17 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BALI MOON Jan26 Dec22 Nov26 Nov01 Oct18 (alvarado diane)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT Jan12 Dec14 Nov29 Nov09 Jun20 (crook-demas)INIRIO J 120 4.00    
5  OUT OF AMMO Jan12 Dec28 Dec01 Nov16 Oct25 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 13% 6.90    
6  LIL H Jan31 Sep20 Sep08 Aug10 Jul13 (cifare)SMITH DANIEL 115 30.00    
7  NADIABIZNIZ Jan12 Dec28 Dec14 Nov15 Nov04 (cooper stacey)CORA D 120 20.00    
8  HIGHWAY QUEEN Jan31 Jan12 Dec28 Dec14 Oct07 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00    
9  NO MORE DIAMONDS Jan31 Dec19 Nov16 Oct07 Sep09 (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 113 6.00    
10  SUPER DUPER FLY Jan31 Jan12 Dec28 Dec18 Dec11 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  SANSA ARIEL Jan14 Dec22 Dec01 Nov02 Oct19 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.50    
 
PEN-4   02/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTORIOUS REY Jan24 Dec08 Nov09 Oct26 Sep20 (ippolito mar)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 50.00 5% 19.00    
2  BOSS HOLIDAY Jan24 Dec08 Oct05 Aug30 Aug06 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
3  ABBY'S SPIRIT Jan31 Dec27 Dec13 Nov22 Sep13 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00    
4  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Jan25 Dec22 Dec08 Nov24 Oct26 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 30.00    
5  HOLY CITY Dec08 Nov24 Nov09 Oct26 Oct04 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 10% 9.00    
6  LIDIA'S PRAYER Oct07 Sep28 Sep16 Aug31 Aug05 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50    
7  STEVIE T Feb06 Jan25 Dec20 Dec05 Nov22 (diaz jorge)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00    
8  WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Jan31 Dec27 Nov08 Oct17 Sep19 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-5   02/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE AROSE Jan26 Jan12 Dec21 Dec07 Jun28 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00    
2  WATERMELON CRUSH Jan26 Jan12 Dec21 Nov22 Nov13 (wadams j)LLOYD W 124 4.50    
3  LOUIE'S HEAT Jan26 Jan12 Dec21 Nov09 Oct05 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 ★    
4  CURTEIS Nov02 Oct04 Sep19 Sep09 Aug30 (dunham)SMITH DANIEL 119 2.50 7% 12.40    
5  BROKENHEARTED Feb02 Dec22 Dec14 Nov24 Nov03 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.40 66% 0.50    
6  SHEA D CAPTURE Jan10 Dec13 Nov14 Oct16 Oct02 (sanchez-pin)RAMOS C 124 6.00    
 
PEN-6   02/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER ASH Jan26 Jan10 Dec08 Nov24 Nov04 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
2  SPINNING MUSICIAN Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 Oct27 Oct09 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 15% 5.50    
3  SASSY LAD Mar23 Feb23 Feb09 Jan12 Dec28 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
4  CHARGING LION Jan18 Dec28 Dec07 Nov24 Oct25 (mcclellan c)CORA D 120 4.00    
SCR  TOUCHDOWN MONTAGE Jan25 Dec26 Nov27 Oct18 Oct07 (simoff andr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.50    
6  ACT OF VALOR Dec28 Nov30 Nov15 Nov02 Oct11 (murtough st)INIRIO J 120 20.00    
7  GET DOWN BROWN Feb02 Dec15 Sep13 Aug24 Jul27 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   02/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE MUSIC Jan18 Dec14 Nov29 Sep13   (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
2  JUMP A FOX Nov02 Sep09 Aug06 Jul01 May01 (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 119 8.00    
3  NAUTICAL MILE Dec06 Nov15 Sep08 Jul12 Jun08 (padilla hu)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  WIN FOR LAILA Dec28 Dec14 Jul21 Jun15 May25 (zalalas michael)RODRIGUEZ E 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  HAPPYINITIATIVE Dec15 Nov02 Sep30 Aug20   (meister w)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00    
6  SECRET SPELL Jan24 Dec28 Dec14     (zalalas )DAVIS A 124 15.00    
7  MILLROSE Jan18 Dec16 Nov18 Oct29 Oct08 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  MUCHO MACHO MRYTLE Dec15 Nov23       (mancilla carl)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 5.00    
 
PEN-8   02/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOCIAL GROUP Jan08 Dec13 Dec06 Nov21 Oct23 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 2.50    
SCR  FORECLOSURE Jan26 Oct06 Sep22 Aug31 Aug02 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 5.00    
3  MOLIERE Jan29 Dec27 Dec11 Oct13 Sep27 (truehart je)INIRIO J 124 10.00    
4  LORD WINSALOT Feb02 Jan19 Jan19 Dec27 Nov23 (fields ke)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
5  JUPI'S LIGHTNING Jan26 Dec27 Dec14 Nov16 Nov01 (flores-coba f)RIVERA D 124 4.00 11% 8.30    
6  SUNNY SAINT Feb01 Jan11 Dec27 Nov16 Oct10 (padilla o)RUIZ ELISEO 117 10.00    
7  A T M AWESOME Feb01 Sep22 Sep01 Aug08 Jul05 (zalalas michael)CORA D 124 8.00 8% 11.50    
8  HROTHGAR Jan18 Jan11 Dec12 Nov22 Nov05 (morzan javier )TORRES JOMAR 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.