Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - March 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.60 $3.60 60%
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2 $18.30 $12.30 205%
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-2-1 $19.87 $16.87 562%
AQU-4   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.30 $1.30 22%
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-5 $10.90 $4.90 82%
AQU-5   WIN (3/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $14.20 $6.20 78%
    EXA (3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-3 $20.00 $8.00 67%
    TRI (3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-3-6 $49.37 $37.37 311%
    SFT (3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1) 24 $0.10 $2.40  1-3-6-2 $22.77 $20.37 849%
    DD (6/3/5)-(3/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-1 $27.75 $15.75 131%
AQU-6   DD (3/6/2/1)-(1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00  1-1 $9.00 $1.00 13%
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(3/6/2/1)-(1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00  6-1-1 $36.75 $12.75 53%
AQU-7   WIN (1/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $12.00 $4.00 50%
    EXA (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-3 $27.25 $11.25 70%
    TRI (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/3/2)-(1/7/4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-3-1 $78.00 $54.00 225%
    SFT (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/3/2)-(1/7/4/3/2)-(1/7/4/3/2) 96 $0.10 $9.60  7-3-1-2 $84.95 $75.35 785%
    DD (1/4)-(1/7/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00  1-7 $10.30 $2.30 29%
    PK3 (3/6/2/1)-(1/4)-(1/7/4/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00  1-1-7 $48.25 $16.25 51%
AQU-8   WIN (1/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $10.20 $2.20 28%
    EXA (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-3 $33.75 $21.75 181%
    DD (1/7/4/2)-(1/2/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-2 $27.00 $11.00 69%
    PK3 (1/4)-(1/7/4/2)-(1/2/3/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00  1-7-2 $46.75 $14.75 46%
    PK4 (3/6/2/1)-(1/4)-(1/7/4/2)-(1/2/3/7) 128 $0.50 $64.00  1-1/3-7-2 $207.75 $143.75 225%
    PK5 (6/3/5)-(3/6/2/1)-(1/4)-(1/7/4/2)-(1/2/3/7) 384 $0.50 $192  6-1-1/3-7-2 $851.75 $659.75 344%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   03/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCKBOX 3 1 11 1nk   2nk 1¼ (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 9% 10.40 3.80 W
MAGGIE T 2 3 4 2nk   1nk 2¼ (giangiulio)RIVERA R 120 3.50 26% 2.90 3.65 P
ROJA LIGERA 1 2 53 53   4 3 (follett norm)HARKIE K 120 3.50 42% 1.40 2.25 S
SIMPLE SUGAR 6 5 31 4   56 4 (giglio gina)LUZZI J 120 4.50 5.70  
DEVILLY 4 4 21 3½   3 5 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.00 3.35  
LUNA LOCA 5 6 6 67   613 621¼ (are)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00 10.30  
 
AQU-2   03/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:11 1:233   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 3 3 1½ 11 13 1 1 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 62% 0.60 1.45 W
SHIGEKO 4 1 4 43 33 2 2 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 12% 7.10 2.00 P
SHOOPTHEREITIS 6 4 3½ 31 23 3 312 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 123 4.00 2.75  
FANCY FELINE 1 5 5 510½ 5 510½ 412¾ (sells rache)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 5.20  
MEMENTO MI 5 2 2½ 21 4 410 515¼ (sanchez-pin)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 5.00    
ICE LOVE 2 6 611½ 614 616½ 618½ 623¾ (ferraro m )RIVERA R 123 15.00 5% 19.00 29.75  
 
AQU-3   03/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:113 1:25   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANNY PENNY 7 5 42 21 1nk 1½ 1¼ (coffey mari)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 4.00 4.70  
SAVAGE SPIRIT 3 2 52 42 34 3 2¼ (de hor)RIVERA R 120 1.60 20% 4.00 1.75 P
ARCO AUGUSTA 4 3 2½ 11 2nk 2½ 3½ (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 6% 15.50 3.80 S
IRIE MAN 1 7 69 6 47 4 4 (baker charlt)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 9% 10.40 4.50  
TRIPLE WORD SCORE 2 6 712½ 714 724 620½ 517¾ (berna)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00 46.50  
HAIR ON FIRE 6 4 3 56 519 515½ 619 (atras rob)VARGAS A 120 3.00 41% 1.40 3.45  
JEFFERSONS OCEAN 5 1 1½ 3 619½ 727½ 734 (friedman mi)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 20.00 48.25  
 
AQU-4   03/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:101     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUSTER 5 4 6 31   1½ 1 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 49% 1.00 2.65 W
LIFE CHANGER 4 3 5 6   42 2 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 6% 15.00 3.60 P
ALTERNATE REALITY 6 2 2nk 2nk   3½ 3 (chatterpaul)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 6.20  
MIDLANER 2 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 4 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 4.00 21% 3.80 2.15  
JOKING WAY 3 5 4 5   6 56 (romero jes)RIVERA R 120 20.00 30.00  
BEACHWALKER 1 6 31 4   53 6 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00 3.50  
SCR  SECRET RULES               (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
 
AQU-5   03/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:111 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT A BLAST 1 1 1nk 1½ 11 11 1¼ (martin car)RIVERA R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10 W
BARNSTORMING 3 2 4 42 4 32 2¼ (rice adam)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.20 46% 1.20 1.05 P
INDEPENDENT PAUL 6 5 31 3 21 21 3 (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 15% 5.50 4.90 S
SOUTH STREET 2 4 54 53 53 42 45 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 12% 7.50 3.35  
I LOVE CARA 4 7 77 710 711 7 512 (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 10.00 10.20  
ARREBATO 7 3 2nk 2½ 32 55 614 (noda o)GRISALES DANILO 120 6.00 15.60  
BATTUTA D'ORO 5 6 6 6 6 67 715¼ (sanchez-pin)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 20.00 37.00  
 
AQU-6   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cicada Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHALIA PRINCESS 1 4 21 2½   1½ 16 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.80 63% 0.60 0.40 W
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GHALIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
RECONCILE 4 1 11 1½   2½ 26 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 5.50  
  (by WAR FRONT out of WELCOMING by TAPIT)
ANNA'S WISH 2 3 47 48   3 312¾ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 10.90  
  (by DIALED IN out of I'M COZY by GRAND SLAM)
MISS HARRIETT 3 2 32 37   49 414 (mcfarlane brand)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 15% 5.70 2.85  
  (by BLOFELD out of TEJANO SEA by SEA OF SECRETS)
SCR  VALUE AREA               (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HER SMILE by INCLUDE)
 
AQU-7   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:31
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE LINZEE 7 3 4 31   1 15 (sch)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.50 8% 11.90 5.00 W
LIBERTY FLAME 3 2 5 76   6 25 (bernardini j)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 6.10 P
GHOSTBUSTIN 1 1 11 1nk   2 3 (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 64% 0.60 4.10 S
FOXY CARA 2 7 9 8   77 4 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
EASY PLAY 8 5 21 4   44 5 (d'alessandro ra)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 7.00  
MOULY 4 4 31 2nk   32 67 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 5% 19.00 1.95  
GEORGE'S VICE 9 8 7 6   55 7 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 12.70  
MIM 5 6 6 55   8 8 (ferraro jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 15.20  
QUICK POWER NAP 6 9 8 914½   913½ 913¼ (rodriguez r)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 20.00 59.25  
 
AQU-8   03/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($47K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:102 1:23   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENTLEMAN JOE 3 6 2½ 2½ 1½ 11 11 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00 28% 2.60 4.10 W
MASON MANIA 4 7 5 31 3½ 21 21 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 7% 13.20 3.50 P
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 7 3 4 6 43 33 3 (tos)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 8.00 6.20  
SIX PERCENT 8 2 7 7 65 6 4 (rodriguez r)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 8.00 9.70  
SKYLANDER 5 4 3 4 5 56 5 (trites lands)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 3.85  
1A  OPTIC WAY 2 5 1½ 1½ 2½ 43 6 (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 29% 2.40 3.05  
JUST CALL RAY 6 1 63 52 76 77 7 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 12.00 7% 13.60 9.70  
BOLD VICTORY 1 8 8 85 8 810½ 8 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 3.05  
SCR  AMERICAN LAW               (brown bruc)RIVERA R 120 2.50    
SCR  WILD BANKER               (metivier richar)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.