Handicappers' Race Results
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Aqueduct
Saturday - March 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 3.60
AQU-2   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.90 $4.90  
AQU-3   Win (6/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $11.40  
AQU-4   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.30 $7.30 1.30
AQU-5   Win (3/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $14.20 $14.20 6.20
AQU-6   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
AQU-7   Win (1/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 4.00
AQU-8   Win (1/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 2.20
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   03/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LOCKBOX 3 1 11 1nk   2nk 1¼ (d'alessandro ralp)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 9% 10.40 3.80 W
2  MAGGIE T 2 3 41½ 2nk   1nk 2¼ (giangiulio m)RIVERA R 120 3.50 26% 2.90 3.65 P
1  ROJA LIGERA 1 2 53 53   43½ 36¾ (follett norman)HARKIE K 120 3.50 42% 1.40 2.25 S
6  SIMPLE SUGAR 6 5 31 42½   56 48¼ (giglio gina)LUZZI J 120 4.50 5.70  
4  DEVILLY 4 4 21 3½   32½ 58¾ (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.00 3.35  
5  LUNA LOCA 5 6 63¼ 67   613 621¼ (arena)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00 10.30  
 
AQU-2   03/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:11 1:233   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 3 3 1½ 11 13 16½ 19¼ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 62% 0.60 1.45 W
4  SHIGEKO 4 1 41½ 43 33 26½ 29¼ (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 12% 7.10 2.00 P
6  SHOOPTHEREITIS 6 4 3½ 31 23 39½ 312 (falcone robert )OLVER MADISON 123 4.00 2.75  
1  FANCY FELINE 1 5 57½ 510½ 58½ 510½ 412¾ (sells rachel)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 5.20  
5  MEMENTO MI 5 2 2½ 21 43½ 410 515¼ (sanchez-piner)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 5.00    
2  ICE LOVE 2 6 611½ 614 616½ 618½ 623¾ (ferraro an)RIVERA R 123 15.00 5% 19.00 29.75  
 
AQU-3   03/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:113 1:25   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MANNY PENNY 7 5 42 21 1nk 1½ 1¼ (coffey marial)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 4.00 4.70  
3  SAVAGE SPIRIT 3 2 52 42 34 31½ 2¼ (de horac)RIVERA R 120 1.60 20% 4.00 1.75 P
4  ARCO AUGUSTA 4 3 2½ 11 2nk 2½ 3½ (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 6% 15.50 3.80 S
1  IRIE MAN 1 7 69 67½ 47 43½ 42¼ (baker charlton)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 9% 10.40 4.50  
2  TRIPLE WORD SCORE 2 6 712½ 714 724 620½ 517¾ (bernard)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00 46.50  
6  HAIR ON FIRE 6 4 31½ 56 519 515½ 619 (atras rob)VARGAS A 120 3.00 41% 1.40 3.45  
5  JEFFERSONS OCEAN 5 1 1½ 31½ 619½ 727½ 734 (friedman mitc)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 20.00 48.25  
 
AQU-4   03/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:101     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OUSTER 5 4 61¾ 31   1½ 11¾ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 49% 1.00 2.65 W
5  LIFE CHANGER 4 3 51¾ 62¼   42 21¾ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 6% 15.00 3.60 P
7  ALTERNATE REALITY 6 2 2nk 2nk   3½ 32¼ (chatterpaul n)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 6.20  
3  MIDLANER 2 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 44¼ (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 4.00 21% 3.80 2.15  
4  JOKING WAY 3 5 41¼ 51¾   63½ 56 (romero jesus)RIVERA R 120 20.00 30.00  
1  BEACHWALKER 1 6 31 41½   53 66½ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00 3.50  
SCR  SECRET RULES               (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
 
AQU-5   03/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:111 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT A BLAST 1 1 1nk 1½ 11 11 1¼ (martin carlo)RIVERA R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10 W
3  BARNSTORMING 3 2 41½ 42 42½ 32 2¼ (rice adam)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.20 46% 1.20 1.05 P
6  INDEPENDENT PAUL 6 5 31 31½ 21 21 34½ (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 15% 5.50 4.90 S
2  SOUTH STREET 2 4 54 53 53 42 45 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 12% 7.50 3.35  
4  I LOVE CARA 4 7 77 710 711 79½ 512 (barrera oscar)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 10.00 10.20  
7  ARREBATO 7 3 2nk 2½ 32 55 614 (noda orl)GRISALES DANILO 120 6.00 15.60  
5  BATTUTA D'ORO 5 6 64½ 65½ 66½ 67 715¼ (sanchez-piner)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 20.00 37.00  
 
AQU-6   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cicada Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHALIA PRINCESS 1 4 21 2½   1½ 16 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.80 63% 0.60 0.40 W
5  RECONCILE 4 1 11 1½   2½ 26 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 5.50  
2  ANNA'S WISH 2 3 47 48   38½ 312¾ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 10.90  
4  MISS HARRIETT 3 2 32 37   49 414 (mcfarlane brandon)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 15% 5.70 2.85  
SCR  VALUE AREA               (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
 
AQU-7   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:31
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LITTLE LINZEE 7 3 42½ 31   11½ 15 (schet)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.50 8% 11.90 5.00 W
3  LIBERTY FLAME 3 2 53½ 76   66½ 25 (bernardini jua)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 ★ 6.10 P
1  GHOSTBUSTIN 1 1 11 1nk   21½ 35¼ (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 64% 0.60 4.10 S
2  FOXY CARA 2 7 97¾ 88½   77 45¼ (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
8  EASY PLAY 8 5 21 41½   44 55½ (d'alessandro ralp)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 7.00  
4  MOULY 4 4 31 2nk   32 67 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 5% 19.00 1.95  
9  GEORGE'S VICE 9 8 75¾ 65½   55 78½ (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 12.70  
5  MIM 5 6 63¾ 55   87½ 89¾ (ferraro james)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 15.20  
6  QUICK POWER NAP 6 9 87¾ 914½   913½ 913¼ (rodriguez rud)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 20.00 59.25  
 
AQU-8   03/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($47K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:102 1:23   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GENTLEMAN JOE 3 6 2½ 2½ 1½ 11 11 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00 28% 2.60 4.10 W
3  MASON MANIA 4 7 52½ 31 3½ 21 21 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 7% 13.20 3.50 P
8  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 7 3 42½ 62½ 43 33 31½ (tosca)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 8.00 6.20  
9  SIX PERCENT 8 2 74½ 74½ 65 66½ 45¾ (rodriguez rud)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 8.00 9.70  
4  SKYLANDER 5 4 31½ 41½ 54½ 56 55¾ (trites lands)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 3.85  
1A  OPTIC WAY 2 5 1½ 1½ 2½ 43 66¾ (barrera s)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 29% 2.40 3.05  
7  JUST CALL RAY 6 1 63 52 76 77 78¾ (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 12.00 7% 13.60 9.70  
1  BOLD VICTORY 1 8 87½ 85 87½ 810½ 89¾ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 ★ 3.05  
SCR  AMERICAN LAW               (brown bruce )RIVERA R 120 2.50    
SCR  WILD BANKER               (metivier richard)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.