Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - March 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(3/4/2)-(6/3/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(6/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(6/3/1/4)-(6/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/5)-(3/6/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(3/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(3/6/2/1)-(1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/1)-(1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/1)-(1/4)-(1/7/4/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(1/7/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(1/7/4/2)-(1/2/3/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/3/2)-(1/7/4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/4/2)-(1/2/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROJA LIGERA Feb04 Jan11 Dec28 Dec03 Nov19 (follett norm)HARKIE K 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
2  MAGGIE T Feb16 Dec31 Dec14 Jun18 May04 (giangiulio)RIVERA R 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
3  LOCKBOX Feb23 Feb04 Jan11 Dec28 Nov13 (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 9% 10.40    
4  DEVILLY Feb18 Jan19 Dec31 Nov15 Nov01 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.00    
5  LUNA LOCA Dec10 Nov30 Nov04 Oct26 Sep24 (are)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00    
6  SIMPLE SUGAR Feb16 Jan11 Dec10 Nov04 Oct19 (giglio gina)LUZZI J 120 4.50    
 
AQU-2   03/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY FELINE Feb23 Feb04 Dec28 Dec15 Nov13 (sells rache)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
2  ICE LOVE Mar03 Dec31 Nov20 Oct30 Oct03 (ferraro m )RIVERA R 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Feb23 Dec28 Dec03 Nov17 Oct20 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 62% 0.60    
4  SHIGEKO Mar03 Feb11 Jan07 Dec10 Nov26 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 12% 7.10    
5  MEMENTO MI Feb16 Dec15 Nov10 Sep22 Jul17 (sanchez-pin)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 5.00    
6  SHOOPTHEREITIS Feb16 Dec31 Nov14 Oct23 Oct05 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 123 4.00    
 
AQU-3   03/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRIE MAN Feb18 Feb02 Dec29     (baker charlt)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 9% 10.40    
2  TRIPLE WORD SCORE Mar08 Feb18 Jan13     (berna)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00    
3  SAVAGE SPIRIT Jan06 Nov04 Oct04 Aug18 Jul27 (de hor)RIVERA R 120 1.60 20% 4.00    
4  ARCO AUGUSTA Feb18 Feb04 Jan14 Dec29 Oct13 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 6% 15.50    
5  JEFFERSONS OCEAN Feb23 Dec02 Oct20 Oct05   (friedman mi)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 20.00    
6  HAIR ON FIRE Mar08 Jan13 Dec02 Oct05   (atras rob)VARGAS A 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
7  MANNY PENNY Feb18 Feb02 Jan13 Dec17   (coffey mari)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 4.00    
 
AQU-4   03/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACHWALKER Mar01 Feb19 Feb04 Jan06 Dec28 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00    
SCR  SECRET RULES Mar03 Dec17 Aug13 Jul14 Jun22 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
3  MIDLANER Feb23 Feb02 Jan08 May23 May02 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
4  JOKING WAY Feb02 Dec16 Nov02 Oct13 Aug25 (romero jes)RIVERA R 120 20.00    
5  LIFE CHANGER Mar01 Feb19 Feb02 Dec29 Nov30 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 6% 15.00    
6  OUSTER Aug09 Jul16 May29 Apr14 Mar18 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 49% 1.00    
7  ALTERNATE REALITY Mar01 Feb25 Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 (chatterpaul)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00    
 
AQU-5   03/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT A BLAST Jan26 Jan12 Nov02 Oct09 Aug04 (martin car)RIVERA R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SOUTH STREET Feb29 Feb17 Jan28 Jan11 Dec28 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 12% 7.50    
3  BARNSTORMING Feb24 Jan27 Jan01 Nov01 Oct06 (rice adam)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.20 46% 1.20    
4  I LOVE CARA Feb29 Jan19 Jan01 Dec01 Nov09 (barrera osc)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 10.00    
5  BATTUTA D'ORO Feb16 Jan26 Jan02 Nov06 Oct03 (sanchez-pin)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 20.00    
6  INDEPENDENT PAUL Feb10 Jan18 Jul09     (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 15% 5.50    
7  ARREBATO Feb29 Feb17 Jan06 Oct07 Sep16 (noda o)GRISALES DANILO 120 6.00    
 
AQU-6   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cicada Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHALIA PRINCESS Feb17 Jan20       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.80 63% 0.60    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GHALIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  ANNA'S WISH Feb18 Jan01 Dec13 Nov18 Sep27 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of I'M COZY by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  VALUE AREA Feb17 Jan27 Dec30 Nov19 Oct21 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HER SMILE by INCLUDE)
4  MISS HARRIETT Feb24 Jan14 Nov11 Oct14   (mcfarlane brand)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
  (by BLOFELD out of TEJANO SEA by SEA OF SECRETS)
5  RECONCILE Feb17 Jan27 Dec17     (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50    
  (by WAR FRONT out of WELCOMING by TAPIT)
 
AQU-7   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTBUSTIN Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Dec07   (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 64% 0.60    
2  FOXY CARA Feb24 Jan05 Dec07 Nov19 Oct12 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LIBERTY FLAME Mar02 Feb19 Jan05 Dec08 Jul30 (bernardini j)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 ★    
4  MOULY Feb17 Jan26 Dec30 Nov25 Oct12 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
5  MIM Feb17 Jan26 Jan04 Dec08 Nov09 (ferraro jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
6  QUICK POWER NAP Feb17 Nov10 Oct27 Oct15 Sep22 (rodriguez r)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 20.00    
7  LITTLE LINZEE Feb17 Jan12 Dec29 Dec03 Aug27 (sch)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.50 8% 11.90    
8  EASY PLAY Feb17 Jan26 Dec29 Dec03 Nov14 (d'alessandro ra)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
9  GEORGE'S VICE Jan26 Dec31 Dec08 May13 Mar05 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
 
AQU-8   03/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($47K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD VICTORY Feb16 Jan04 Nov30 Oct22 Oct12 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 ★    
1A  OPTIC WAY Feb03 Jan04 Nov26 Mar25 Mar10 (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 29% 2.40    
2  GENTLEMAN JOE Jan12 Dec10 May04 Apr01 Feb25 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
3  MASON MANIA Jan26 Jan01 Dec07 Nov04 Oct18 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 7% 13.20    
4  SKYLANDER Mar02 Feb03 Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 (trites lands)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
SCR  WILD BANKER Feb23 Jan26 Dec01 Nov04 Oct05 (metivier richar)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
SCR  AMERICAN LAW Feb10 Dec30 Dec02 Nov09 Oct06 (brown bruc)RIVERA R 120 2.50    
7  JUST CALL RAY Feb16 Feb03 Dec16 Nov19 Nov04 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 12.00 7% 13.60    
8  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Feb10 Jan26 Jan07 Dec02 Nov03 (tos)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 8.00    
9  SIX PERCENT Feb04 Dec09 Nov30 Oct22 Sep21 (rodriguez r)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.