The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Friday - March 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.90 $2.90 -3.10
AQU-2   Win (1/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $14.60 $14.60 6.60
AQU-3   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $8.20 -6.00
AQU-4   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.50 $3.50 -2.50
AQU-5   Win (5/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -4.20
AQU-6   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
AQU-7   Win (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.00 -6.00
AQU-8   Win (10/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $8.90 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   03/08/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3 F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:123     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU'RE FOREVER 5 1 2½ 2nk   11¼ (falcone robert )SILVERA RUBEN 120 0.80 49% 1.10 0.45 W
CRACKLIN CAT 3 4 32 32   22¼ (sciacca gary)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 5.00 14% 5.90 3.30 P
NATURAL FACT 2 5 58 4   333 (pregman j)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 6% 16.90 8.80 S
NAY SLAYER 1 2 1½ 1nk   43 4(contessa c)LUZZI J 120 6.00 10.30  
CLASSIC CARA 4 3 43 55   510 517¾ (friedman mitchell)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00 10.90  
SCR  ISN'T SHE KHOZY               (martin carlo)RIVERA R 120 4.50    
 
AQU-2   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:113 1:242   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMBRACEABLE GAL 1 4 1nk 11 11 11(hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 29% 2.50 6.30 W
SISTER LINDA 4 3 2nk 21 21 22(potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 1.60 23% 3.40 1.55 P
SYNONYMOUS 5 7 6 6 68 53(pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 15.00 44.25  
TRADE SECRET 7 1 42 53 36 36 4(pringle ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
JOEY THE FISH 2 6 7 7 58 46 5(persaud ran)CAMACHO JR 120 3.50 19% 4.20 3.05  
CAPTIVATING CARA 6 5 5 4 7 712 613¾ (diprima gregory)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 10.90  
HOLIDAY JAZZ 3 2 3 32 4 611½ 715 (d'alessa)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 6.30  
 
AQU-3   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:112 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOGIN REQUIRED 4 3 4 3 2nk 1nk 1½ (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 11% 8.50 7.70 DQ↓2
PRICING POWER 6 6 1nk 1½ 1nk 2nk 2½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 3.10  
CLARE QUILTY 1 1 3½ 2½ 3 33(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 55% 0.80 1.05 S
BOLT D'PLATA 2 5 66 67 6 43 4(terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 9.70  
LIGHT THE WAY 5 2 2nk 4 4 555 (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
EGYPT 3 4 52 52 5 64 6(de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 4.00  
 
AQU-4   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:11 1:234   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESERVE CURRENCY 1 6 6 63 5 31hd (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 0.60 50% 1.00 0.75 W
MAGIA NERA 2 3 31 3 44 22hd (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 19% 4.30 1.95 P
COLLECT FROM IKE 4 2 2nk 1½ 1 13¾ (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00 17.00 S
WANNA WINNA 6 1 4 4 3 55 4(chichakly ami)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00 6.70  
MIDNIGHT EXPRESS 3 5 5 5 69 68 59 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00 17.90  
PETROLO 5 4 1nk 2½ 2 46(bond j)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 15.00 19.90  
SCR  UNCLE GEORGE               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50    
 
AQU-5   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:112 1:24   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPLETE AGENDA 5 7 7 6 6 51¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 36% 1.80 0.90 W
1A  UNION LIGHTS 7 5 3 3 3 31 2¼ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 35% 1.80 2.80  
DISAPPEARANCE 6 6 67 7 56 43½ (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 118 8.00 15.60  
STOP THE SPREAD 8 2 2 2½ 1nk 1nk 4¾ (caramori e)DAVIS A 123 12.00 5% 19.00 22.70  
PREDICTED 3 1 1 1½ 2nk 2nk 5¾ (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 3.00 2.80  
MILANO 4 4 54 4 45 663 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
FLASH KISS 1 3 44 5 711 711¼ 7(terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50 10.00  
STRONG LIGHT 2 8 811 8 814½ 813¾ 812½ (samsunda)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00 51.50  
 
AQU-6   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:111 1:232   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEST BET 2 2 11 11 12 118 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.60 57% 0.80 0.50 W
ICE ROAD 3 3 21 21 22 228 (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 18% 4.60 2.50 P
UNCLE WATER FLOW 1 5 31 3 3 39 310¼ (reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 115 4.50 8.40  
PAPI ON ICE 5 6 614 614½ 613½ 412 410¾ (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 33.50  
SCOTTO 6 4 57 5 512 614½ 517¾ (jones eduar)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00 29.50  
HONED 4 1 45 45 410½ 513½ 618¼ (atras rob)HARKIE K 120 8.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
SCR  GOLDEN PURCHASE               (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 12.00    
SCR  OPPORTUNITY SET               (rodrigue)GRISALES DANILO 123 15.00    
 
AQU-7   03/08/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:31
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:111     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKET ALERT 1 3 3 4¾   41(kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00 1.50  
AMUNDSON 3 4 4 3½   1nk 2(giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 43% 1.30 1.35 P
BRONX BOMBER 2 2 52 5   2nk 3(kantarmaci mer)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00 4.00  
WARRIORS REVENGE 4 1 2½ 2nk   31 4(hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 20% 4.10 8.80  
TOMMY GUN 5 5 1½ 1nk   5524¼ (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
SCR  GRAYWING               (englehart jeffr)OLVER MADISON 113 12.00    
SCR  MASON MANIA               (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.50    
SCR  SIX PERCENT               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
SCR  WRITER'S REGRET               (d'alessandro ralp)RUIZ ELISEO 118 5.00    
 
AQU-8   03/08/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:113     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN A MINUTE 3 4 11 1   13 11 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 3.45  
JANSSEN 7 3 21 2   23 21 (lakeman andr)RIVERA R 120 20.00 19.70  
10  SOLO TONIGHT 9 2 5 4   37 3(de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 30% 2.30 2.00 S
11  HAIR ON FIRE 10 1 44 5   510½ 4(atras rob)VARGAS A 120 8.00 12.90  
SEBA M 5 9 79 6   410 5(kantarmaci mer)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 20% 4.00 3.95  
DIANNESRETIRING 8 7 912 919¼   820 617¾ (dutrow rich)CAMACHO JR 120 6.00 11.00  
TRIPLE WORD SCORE 6 8 810 714   720 718 (bernard)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 50.00 92.75  
BIG HUTCHY 2 6 69 819   920½ 820 (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 20% 4.00 4.90 DH
FINANCIER 4 5 3 3   617½ 820 (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00 49.00 DH
MONTAUK SURF 1 10 1013½ 1025¼   1027 1027 (miceli michael)LUZZI J 120 15.00 9% 10.50 31.25  
SCR  FRANKIE R.               (coffey marialic)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.