Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - March 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(1/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(1/4/2/7)-(1/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/5)-(1/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(1/2/4)-(5/1/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(5/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(5/1/4/7)-(4/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/7)-(5/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/7)-(5/1/4/7)-(5/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/7)-(4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/7)-(4/5/6)-(3/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(3/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(3/5/8)-(10/3/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/8)-(3/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/8)-(3/5/8)-(3/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/8)-(10/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (10/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/6/1)-(10/3/6/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/3/6/1)-(10/3/6/1/9)-(10/3/6/1/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAY SLAYER         (contessa gary )LUZZI J 120 6.00    
2  NATURAL FACT Feb04 Nov24       (pregman john)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  ISN'T SHE KHOZY Jul07         (martin car)RIVERA R 120 4.50    
4  CRACKLIN CAT         (sciacca gar)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 5.00 14% 5.90    
5  CLASSIC CARA Nov18 Oct13 Oct01     (friedman mitche)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00    
6  YOU'RE FOREVER Jan27 Nov12       (falcone rober)SILVERA RUBEN 120 0.80 49% 1.10    
 
AQU-2   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMBRACEABLE GAL Dec31 Nov30 Nov13 Oct23 Oct09 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
2  JOEY THE FISH Feb24 Feb16 Dec31 Dec10 Nov26 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
3  HOLIDAY JAZZ Feb24 Feb02 Nov15 Oct23 Sep20 (d'ales)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
4  SISTER LINDA Feb02 Jan14 Dec07 Nov30 Oct15 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 1.60 23% 3.40    
5  SYNONYMOUS Dec31 Nov30 Nov04 Oct19 Aug31 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 15.00    
6  CAPTIVATING CARA Feb19 Jan28 Jan07 Dec07 Jul11 (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
7  TRADE SECRET Feb24 Feb10 Jan07 Nov24 Nov10 (pringle )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-3   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLARE QUILTY Feb09         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 55% 0.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GRANDTESSA by GRAND SLAM)
2  BOLT D'PLATA Feb09 Jan06 Oct22 Sep28 Aug23 (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HEKAAYAAT by MR. GREELEY)
3  EGYPT Dec08 Oct20 Feb18 Feb11   (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50    
  (by TIZNOW out of PHAROAH'S PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  LOGIN REQUIRED Jan07 Dec09 Nov12 Oct15 Feb11 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 11% 8.50    
  (by RACE DAY out of MISS FONTANA by CLASSIC ACCOUNT)
5  LIGHT THE WAY Dec09 Oct15 Mar04 Jan21   (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
6  PRICING POWER Feb09 Oct29       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of PIONEER PRINCESS by PIONEERING)
 
AQU-4   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESERVE CURRENCY Feb10 Jan14 Aug20 Jul01 Apr23 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 0.60 50% 1.00    
2  MAGIA NERA Feb16 Jan27 Jun23 Jun02 Mar31 (david carlos )FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
3  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS Feb03 Mar30 Mar03 Jan27 Jan05 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00    
4  COLLECT FROM IKE Jan11 Dec30 Dec16 Dec03 Nov12 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  PETROLO Nov10 Oct16 Aug19 Feb25 Dec31 (bond harold)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 15.00    
6  WANNA WINNA Feb18 Jan05 Apr21 Mar26 Feb26 (chichakly a)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
SCR  UNCLE GEORGE Mar01 Feb10 Feb04 Jan01 Dec09 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50    
 
AQU-5   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREDICTED Jan13 Dec13 Nov17 Oct31 Oct16 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 3.00 ★    
1A  UNION LIGHTS Feb18 Feb04 Jan12 Jan01 Dec01 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
2  FLASH KISS Jan11 Dec17 Nov17 Oct14 Apr20 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50    
3  STRONG LIGHT Feb18 Feb10 Jan13 Dec31 Dec07 (samsun)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00    
4  MILANO Feb10 Jan10 Dec13 Dec04 Nov05 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  COMPLETE AGENDA Feb29 Jan13 Jan01 Dec07 Oct21 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
6  DISAPPEARANCE Feb18 Feb10 Jan13 Jan01 Nov25 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 118 8.00    
7  STOP THE SPREAD Feb01 Jan04 Dec20 Oct17 Sep20 (caramori)DAVIS A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   03/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE WATER FLOW Feb17 Jan14 Dec03 Nov11 Oct15 (reynolds patric)RUIZ ELISEO 115 4.50    
SCR  GOLDEN PURCHASE Feb29 Feb11 Jan18 Dec15 Dec01 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 12.00    
SCR  OPPORTUNITY SET Feb17 Feb03 Jan11 Dec01 Nov09 (rodrig)GRISALES DANILO 123 15.00    
4  BEST BET Feb16 Dec16 Jun19 May20 Apr22 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.60 57% 0.80    
5  ICE ROAD Feb03 Dec28 Nov25 Oct21 Aug31 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
6  HONED Feb17 Nov10 Oct19 Sep24 Oct30 (atras rob)HARKIE K 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  PAPI ON ICE Jan14 Oct04 Aug10 Jul19 Jun24 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00    
8  SCOTTO Feb17 Feb03 Jan06 Dec28 Dec17 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00    
 
AQU-7   03/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKET ALERT Feb16 Jan04 Dec10 Nov12 Oct04 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.00    
2  BRONX BOMBER Feb04 Jan12 Jan01 Nov03 Sep28 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
3  AMUNDSON Jan18 Nov30 Oct29 Aug23 Jun09 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  SIX PERCENT Feb04 Dec09 Nov30 Oct22 Sep21 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
5  WARRIORS REVENGE Feb04 Jan01 Mar12 Feb10 Jan08 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  MASON MANIA Jan26 Jan01 Dec07 Nov04 Oct18 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.50    
SCR  GRAYWING Feb24 Jan25 Sep05 Aug01 Jul17 (englehart jef)OLVER MADISON 113 12.00    
8  TOMMY GUN Feb10 Jan04 Nov30 Nov16 Oct13 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WRITER'S REGRET Feb04 Jan01 Nov15 Nov01 Aug16 (d'alessandro ra)RUIZ ELISEO 118 5.00    
 
AQU-8   03/08/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTAUK SURF         (miceli michael)LUZZI J 120 15.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  FRANKIE R. Feb23 Dec02 Nov12     (coffey marial)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
3  BIG HUTCHY         (rice adam)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 20% 4.00    
4  IN A MINUTE Dec02 Nov18 Oct13 Sep14   (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
5  FINANCIER Feb02         (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
6  SEBA M Jan13 Dec10 Dec02 Oct19   (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
7  TRIPLE WORD SCORE Feb18 Jan13       (berna)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 50.00    
8  JANSSEN Jan18 Nov18       (lakeman an)RIVERA R 120 20.00    
9  DIANNESRETIRING Feb04 Jan06 Nov12 Sep04   (dutrow ri)CAMACHO JR 120 6.00 ★    
10  SOLO TONIGHT Feb02 Dec29 Dec08     (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
11  HAIR ON FIRE Jan13 Dec02 Oct05     (atras rob)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.