The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Sunday - March 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 0.00
AQU-2   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
AQU-3   Win (5/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $16.80 -8.00
AQU-4   Win (1/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 3.20
AQU-5   Win (4/6/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 -2.80
AQU-6   Win (7/4/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.70 $6.70 -1.30
AQU-7   Win (7/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 5.60
AQU-8   Win (4/1/9/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $30.00 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   03/24/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:113     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J D FACTOR 1 1 11 1½   13 15 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 1.80 39% 1.50 3.00 W
FOXHOLE 6 7 5 4   23 25 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 21% 3.90 1.65 P
REMEMBER THE CHIEF 3 4 7 7   56 3 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 5.40  
SOUNDS LIKE FUN 7 6 6 6   35 4 (pregman j)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00 49.50  
COWBOY CACHE 2 2 31 2½   45 59 (dutrow e)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
FIRST TRUMPET 5 5 42 5   77 610¼ (delauro j)RUIZ ELISEO 115 12.00 18.10  
GLINT 4 3 21 31   6 714 (ribaudo j)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 19% 4.20 3.95  
SCR  ARMOR OF CATCLAW               (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
SCR  MITOLE'S DIAMOND               (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 50.00    
 
AQU-2   03/24/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:53
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
M B'S MUNNING 4 5 32 31   1nk 11 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 123 2.00 46% 1.20 2.50 W
CLUBHOUSE 2 3 1½ 1½   2nk 21 (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 17% 4.90 1.10 P
MESSI THE MAGICIAN 3 2 2½ 2½   3½ 3 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 11.20  
INDEPENDENT PAUL 5 4 55 4   4 4 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 5.00 9.10  
DEBATE 1 6 611½ 614   69 5 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 13% 7.00 3.55  
PERSISTENT DANGER 6 1 43 5   5 67 (sells rache)CAMACHO JR 123 15.00 27.25  
 
AQU-3   03/24/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:26
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:113     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY GIRL JAL 4 4 4 4   1 1¾ (legall ricar)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 8.00 7.40  
BELLE OF THE BALL 3 3 5 5   43 2¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 4.00  
MERAVIGLIOSO 6 1 2½ 2½   2 3 (ferraro james)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 3.65  
LA GROTTE 8 5 31 32   5 4 (belsoeur)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00 23.90  
DUCKPHAT 5 8 7 8   65 54 (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 4.00 37% 1.70 3.70  
JOLLY MISS JILL 1 6 8 74   8 64 (potts wayne)RUIZ ELISEO 118 6.00 15% 5.70 5.60  
WILL BE FAMOUS 7 2 1½ 1½   32 7 (toscano john)RIVERA R 123 3.50 24% 3.20 4.60  
SHELLY 2 7 65 63   7 8 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
 
AQU-4   03/24/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:122 1:244   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDINI 1 7 5 3.2 2½ 11 1½ (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 5% 19.00 4.60 W
BLAKE B. 9 5 4¾ 5 31 21 2½ (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 47% 1.10 2.30  
DADDY KNOWS 5 4 2nk 1nk 1½ 3 32 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00 15% 5.50 3.15 S
DURKIN'S CALL 3 8 7 7 4 44 4 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 3.10  
FUNKENSTEIN 4 6 84 8 7 6 5 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50 10% 9.30 9.10  
WILD BANKER 2 9 9 9 8 56 6 (metivier rich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 18.30  
FOREVER WICKED 7 10 1010 10 9 78 7 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 72.50  
1A  PIT BOSS 10 1 1nk 4¾ 5 89 813 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 2.30  
PHOEBE'S FROSTY 8 2 6 6 64 910 916¾ (arenas marce)RIVERA R 118 15.00 24.50  
PRINCE OF JOY 6 3 3.2 2nk 1010½ 1016 1026¾ (legall ricar)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 15.00 37.00  
 
AQU-5   03/24/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:113 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT'S MONEY 3 5 1½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 1¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 40% 1.50 2.60 W
THE BIG TORPEDO 7 2 4 42 3 1nk 2¾ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 5% 19.00 10.20 P
LIBERTY CENTRAL 6 4 62 5 43 4 3 (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 4.80  
SAINT GAUDENS 5 7 31 2nk 2nk 3.2 43 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 30% 2.40 1.05  
BROWN DON'T STOP 2 9 9 8 8 6 5 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00 5% 19.00 19.20  
RETAIL MAN 4 6 8 63 5 5 6 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 63.00  
JUST STEP ON IT 8 3 2½ 31 6 7 712 (linder louis )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
KING FREUD 1 1 52 7 7 813 816¾ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 30.00 55.25  
1A  SUGAR'S LAST HOPE 9 8 7 910¾ 916¾ 928 946 (synnefias di)RIVERA R 120 30.00 70.75  
SCR  KAZ CREED               (synnefias d)CAMACHO JR 122 30.00    
 
AQU-6   03/24/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:104     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK TO ACCUSE 3 6 42 3.2   13 1 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 25% 3.10 2.35 W
CALDO CANDY 4 4 21 2nk   23 2 (bond harold )RIVERA R 123 5.00 10% 9.30 1.85 P
DR. KRAFT 6 2 32 4¾   38 310½ (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 28% 2.60 3.10 S
PASCHAL MOON 1 5 11 1nk   410 411½ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 7.30  
DOC ADVANTAGE 5 7 5 5   512½ 512¼ (barrow paul)LUZZI J 123 20.00 70.00  
ROCK THE WEEKEND 7 3 6 6   718 617¼ (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 20.20  
KENTUCKY JOKER 2 8 7 7   617½ 718 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 11.10  
10  PLEASE BE NICE 8 1 8 8   818½ 818¼ (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 123 15.00 9% 9.80 24.50  
SCR  PRINCE OF TRUTH               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
SCR  REFUAH               (walder pete)CAMACHO JR 123 20.00    
 
AQU-7   03/24/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Biogio's Rose Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:242 :473 1:12 1:241   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STONEWALL STAR 5 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 1 1 (de horacio)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00 16% 5.40 4.80 W
BUSTIN BAY 3 4 42 4 4 2 2 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 23% 3.40 2.50 P
VENTI VALENTINE 4 3 3½ 3½ 3½ 4 3 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 26% 2.90 1.35 S
SECURITY CODE 1 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 3 45 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 3.05  
SWEETEST PRINCESS 2 5 54 5 5 5 5 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 12.90  
SCR  BON ADIEU               (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 118 10.00    
SCR  LADY MINE               (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00    
SCR  SWEET MYSTERY               (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
 
AQU-8   03/24/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:113     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2B  LAND D'ORO 14 2 6 6   52 1¾ (clement christo)OLVER MADISON 120 8.00 14.00  
SILVER SATIN 3 6 42 5   31 2¾ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 42% 1.40 1.35 P
1A  RUSSIAN REALM 11 8 1113¾ 10   63 32 (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 30% 2.30 4.80  
SCHLOMO 5 9 7 3½   11 4 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 7.30  
INONIT 7 11 9 8   74 56 (lugovich lisa)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 120 15.00 41.50  
12  HAGRID'S FLAME 10 14 1423¾ 1420¾   119 6 (terranova jo)RIVERA R 120 20.00 51.75  
FINAL DENILE 12 7 10 9   107 7 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 14.00  
13  YO BANANA BOY 13 1 3½ 2nk   21 8 (heath g)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
11  VIN SANTO 9 13 1219¼ 12   86 99 (brown r)RUIZ ELISEO 115 10.00 15.50  
TOMACON 2 10 8 7   9 10 (duggan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 29.50  
BIG EGO 1 5 1nk 1nk   4 1111 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 4.80  
LAST DRINK 8 3 5 11   1214 1217 (ward wesle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
ROAD SODA 4 12 1319¾ 1316¾   1319 1324¾ (rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 51.25  
PERNO 6 4 2nk 4   1422 1432 (giddings melanie)LUZZI J 120 20.00 89.25  
SCR  SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY               (levine bruce)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.